Captain Sensible
6 May 2023 421 comments
Hibbo Hibbo
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With two goals, four bonuses and a combined 16-point haul preceding a hugely favourable encounter against Leeds United, record-breaking Erling Haaland (£12.4m) is the clear favourite for Gameweek 35’s Fantasy Premier League (FPL) armband.

Nevertheless, the Captain Sensible article is here to consider any chinks in his robotic armoury, whether the red-hot home form of Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) can challenge the Norwegian and also run the rule on some usual suspects and differential punts.  

These alternative armband options might be all the more important, should we get any pre-deadline heads-up on a benching for Haaland.

First, we will assess the fallout of the captain poll, before then analysing the best options, Rate My Team (RMT) and the Premier Fantasy Tools ratings ahead of Saturday’s 13:30 BST deadline.

THE CAPTAIN POLL

Haaland dominates the poll, backed by just under three-quarters of the total votes cast by users at the time of writing.

No other player has garnered more than 8% of votes, with Salah providing the Norwegian’s main competition. Jack Grealish (£7.3m) occupies third place with 3.69% of the vote, closely followed by Julian Alvarez (£6.0m) and Kevin De Bruyne (£12.2m).

THE CANDIDATES

ERLING HAALAND/JULIAN ALVAREZ

Haaland’s deft chip against West Ham United on Wednesday night gave the Norwegian his 35th goal, already breaking the single-season Premier League record.

The Manchester City marksman received a guard of honour from teammates in acknowledgement of his superb debut season, with early-season questions about his suitability for Pep Guardiola’s system and the Premier League now a very distant memory.

While it’s almost churlish at this stage to examine Haaland’s recent underlying data, the Norwegian continues to dominate the majority of key metrics.

Over the last six matches, Haaland’s non-penalty expected goals (NPxG, 4.80), 13 big chances and 13 shots on target are all division-leading

Above: Erling Haaland leads the division for big chances (13) and shots on target (13) over the last six matches.

In his current form and with a hugely favourable fixture, how do you oppose him?

A strong indication from Guardiola that the Norwegian will be preserved for Real Madrid – or a trusted team leak that he’s benched – represents the only opportunity without committing Fantasy suicide.

Man City’s title ambitions are firmly in their own hands, holding a slender one-point lead over Arsenal with a game in hand.

It’s no secret that Guardiola’s pursuit of Champions League glory has been a high priority for their Abu Dhabi ownership, so resting Haaland could be on the cards after three successive 90-minute outings.  

Meanwhile, Alvarez produced a 12-point haul at Fulham last weekend, scoring a screamer from 25 yards to put Man City on top. With possible rotation taking place, the Argentinian may be afforded another opportunity to impress and continue his recent run of form. Again, we await a possible team leak.

Since Premier League action resumed in Gameweek 17, Alvarez has scored five goals, supplied three assists and collected seven bonus points – averaging 7.33 FPL points per start.

City’s opponents Leeds are under the new stewardship of Sam Allardyce but face an uphill battle for top-flight survival that starts at the Etihad Stadium. A five-game winless streak hastened the departure of Javi Gracia and, without a clean sheet in ten, their underlying defensive numbers look ominous.

The last half-dozen matches have seen Leeds concede the most goals (19) of everyone, ranking second-worst for non-penalty expected goals conceded (NPxGC, 12.52).

MOHAMED SALAH/TRENT ALEXANDER-ARNOLD



Hibbo Author of Captain Sensible. I write Fantasy Premier League articles, focusing on stats and strategy. Four top 10k finishes. 22/23 Rank - 6123.  Follow them on Twitter

421 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Scots Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Score predictions for today?

    Bournemouth v Chelsea - 2-1
    Wolves v Aston Villa 1-2
    Tottenham Hotspur v Crystal Palace 2-1
    Manchester City v Leeds United 3-0
    Liverpool v Brentford 3-1

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I agree but apart from wolves think that's a draw

    2. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Bournemouth v Chelsea 1-1
      Wolves v Aston Villa 0-0
      Tottenham Hotspur v Crystal Palace 2-0
      Manchester City v Leeds United 4-1
      Liverpool v Brentford 2-2

  2. Jonesy5
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    I (stupidly) went for KDB over Salah last week. Anyone in the same position? Worth riding it out and hope KDB plays or cut loses and switch to Salah now?
    Nearest mini league oppo has Salah

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      If KDB plays equally as good?

      1. Jonesy5
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Yeah, that’s what I’m thinking. Reckon I’ll leave him unless we get word he’s not starting

  3. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    GTG or bench someone & play Watkins?

    Cannot see an easy way to Salah?

    Ederson,
    Trent, Pervis, Dalot
    Rashford, Martinelli, Mitoma, Gealish, BrunoF
    Jota, Hauland

    Raya, Watkins, Trippier, Chilwell,

    .7

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I would definitely start Watkins ahead of Jota who at best may get minutes off bench but if he has only been able to do no contact training that is probably unlikely

      1. g40steve
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Back injury playing up still, probably rested

    2. SHOOTER MCGINN
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I'm starting Watkins over Martinelli at the mo

      1. g40steve
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Looked at that & Marty > March or differentials

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Could you go Jota to Greenwood and Grealish to Salah? Probably needs Chilwell downgrade also

      1. g40steve
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        -8 minimum & next week need 3 City Brighton United 🙁

        1. g40steve
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Nah that’s 37 NewC & Brighton:)

    4. Jonesy5
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      You would probably need to get rid of Bruno to afford Salah?

      1. g40steve
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Yes probably but will -8 payoff

        1. Jonesy5
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          I wouldn’t. I also don’t have Salah and not rushing to get him now. Can’t keep getting penalties

  4. Mainoo Magic
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    GTG here, who to bench is a little tricky, 1ft and £0.8m itb

    Steele

    Stones estupinian robertson

    Salah grealish macAllister saka rashford

    Haaland isak

    Bench: martinez, solanke, moreno, trippier

    1. Livinginapool - Top 100 Any…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Gtg

    2. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I would play Solanke over Grealish

  5. dannybronco
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Ødegaard to Salah for -4?

    1. bigwig
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Na. If you've got all that cash lying around it could be worth a punt but Ode is more in form and plays for a better team

  6. n14mul
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Going 1 week early...who is best for thr next 2 gw

    A. Wilson
    B. Isak

    1. bigwig
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I think Isak gets more minutes but Wilson more explosive. If you're chasing I'd go Wilson as he's lower owned has a high ceiling I reckon

      1. Robe Wan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Agree

      2. n14mul
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Define chasing! Haha 100k but had an awful 4 weeks so in my head yes I'm chasing

    2. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I'd try and wait a week to see if the lineup against Arsenal gives any indication of what to expect going forward.

      All indications thus far is that Isak is first choice when there is one match a week. There is a chance they both play, which would mean Isak on the left.

      1. n14mul
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I have jota who is also a risk, and last 4 weeks don't want to fall further behind.

        Jota will be our for wilson/isak next week anyway so may as well roll dice this week

        1. Hairy Potter
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Depends on who is your 8th attacker and whether you would play them instead of Jota this week. I think Wilson and Jota minutes this week are both uncertain TBH.

          Plus no guarantee that Wilson would start next week against Leeds. It might be the midweek game against Brighton he starts and then Isak against Leicester.

          I favour Isak for minutes, but I'm also biased as I've already got Isak. Depending on this GW and Howe's selection, I may bring in Wilson next week for Watkins. It's dependent on whether Howe plays them both together or not.

  7. bigwig
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    any idea what to do here lads? Any help is appreciated
    Edersen, Iversen
    Shaw, TAA, Estupi, Trippier, Toti
    Rash, Mitoma, Salah, Grealish, Murphy
    Enciso, Haaland, Watkins

    2ft

    I'd like to punt on Alvarez but got 3 city so am thinking Grealish > MArch, Enciso > Alvarez
    But it seems a little backwards/sideways

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      They seem great moves to me

    2. Jonesy5
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Probably only worth it if you are happy not having Grealish in the last few games. Reckon he is more nailed than Alvarez.
      But if Alvarez does play more, could work really well for the doubles

    3. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Alvarez could be a one week punt only but who knows. Maybe a Newcastle forward though that could wait to next week.

  8. Livinginapool - Top 100 Any…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Steele
    Lindelof Akanji Alexander-Arnold
    Grealish Mitoma Rashford Salah
    Haaland Jota

    Bench: De Gea Isak Trippier Botman

    0.0m in the bank.

    Got 2 free transfers and a few potential benching risks, not sure if I'm benching the right players, but can't see an obvious transfer.

    Anyone see something I can't?

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Jota is the obvious one mate. Probably won’t start

      Him to Alvarez is he starts on leaked line ups

    2. Conners
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Even if Alvarez doesn't start, he's surely getting decent minutes either side of their CL games.

      Only 6m too...

    3. Livinginapool - Top 100 Any…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Cheers guys. It's a bit of a minefield with starts...

  9. Robe Wan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    When are leaked line ups normally?

    1. tim
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Citys usually like 10min before deadline

      1. Robe Wan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks

    2. Paqueta Rice
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Just prior to deadline really / close to the game

  10. TanN
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Kepa
    Trent Estupinan Mings
    Salah Grealish Rashford March Mitoma
    Haaland Isak

    Raya Trippier Watkins Henry

    *is it right to bench these?

    1. bigwig
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Isak vs Watkins is the dilemma

    2. Sabz_1111
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Same headache of choosing between Isak or Watkins. Decided to start Isak. If you wanted to hedge your bets a little maybe start Watkins instead of one of the Brighton mids.

  11. Yozzer
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    If Haaland and Alvarez are starting. Anyone still bringing in Alvarez for a one week punt if you are not going to captain him?

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I will yeah and captain salah

  12. StellaMan
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    What to do with Jota?

    Tempted to do Jota/Grealish to Kane/Willock

  13. Paqueta Rice
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    I need a differential. Chances of Luis Diaz starting again?

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Very good option imo

  14. mr_jones
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Thoughts: will Martinelli start or is it Trossard again?

  15. RogueBlood
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    What changes would you make here willing to take a -4 1FT and 0.4itb.

    Currently thinking Jota> Alverez/Isak/Watkins

    Kepa
    Estu, Shaw, TAA
    Salah, Rash, Mitoma, Grealish, Mac Al
    Solanke, Haaland

    Raya, Mings, Trippier, Jota

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Jota Alvarez if he starts

  16. Zimo
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Man GW36 is gonna be a big bench headache

  17. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Are Watkins owners holding given that Wolves got pumped 6-0 and could be on the beach?

    1. Zimo
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Playing this week. Then switching to Wilson/Isak in 36.

      1. Ribus
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        This

    2. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Playing him this GW, unless the Man City lineup has Alvarez and no Haaland. Planning on shipping next week.

      1. Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Is there a feeling Haaland could be benched with Real Madrid in mind?

        1. Hairy Potter
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          I doubt he will personally, but there is a chance.

  18. GoonerByron
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Saka -> Foden for free worth a pubt?

    1. Assisting the assister
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      If line up leaked

  19. TanN
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Give me one differential to buy to replace either Ollie Watkins or Rico Henry

  20. Ribus
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Play Trippier or Shaw?

    1. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Same dilemma, on shaw at the minute, tripps 1 cs in last 13, hopefully some attacking threat
      Shaw/utd have kept more cs in that period

    2. big dawg
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Im having the same dilema, im thinking Shaw has better clean sheet potential but trippier has a possible assist in him

      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Yeah but not had any for while, think that late m week pen put doubts on playing shaw, he was on bonus before that goal I think.
        Can’t see new keeping cs, would be hoping for a return from tripp

  21. Digital-Real
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Just a word of caution.

    FPL servers will most likely crash 15-20 mins before deadline.

    Most engaged managers are waiting for City team leaks to decide captaincy. This is by the far the most eagerly anticipated team leak we've had this season.

    Unlilkely you'll be able to do your transfers/captaincy changes 15 mins before deadline.

    1. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      It does worry me. As a Haaland and Grealish owner Im thinking of getting Alvarez in well before deadline and then only having to worry about bench order on the server roulette among the 3 of them

  22. Fuddled FC
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Why isn't anyone mentioning Vardy?

    Jota > Vardy?

    1. bigwig
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Decent punt I think, yeah

    2. Assisting the assister
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Nice nostalgia pick

  23. JoeSoap
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Start Martinelli ot Watkins?

    1. bigwig
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Watkins

    2. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I'm currently playing Watkins over Saka for what it's worth.

    3. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Thanks

  24. tim
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    2FT, what to do?

    Ederson(might be rested)
    Shaw Taa Estu
    Salah Rash Mitoma Grealish(might be rested)
    Isak Jota Haaland(might be rested)

    Iversen March Dalot Trippier

    Cheers!

  25. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Which three do I start?

    Porro
    Trippier
    Bueno
    Castagne
    Moreno

    1. TanN
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Dont wanna sound mean but terrible defence!

      I would start: Trippier, Moreno, Castagne (idk who leicester are playing though :0 )

    2. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Don't see many clear sheets TBH, maybe Moreno, Castagne, Trippier?

  26. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Morning.. Is this g2g? Or is anything worth a -4?

    Steele
    Trent - Trippier - Shaw
    Grealish - Salah - Mitoma - Rashford
    Haaland (c) - Watkins - Isak

    Raya - Mac10 - Botman - Zinchenko

    1. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      G2G

      1. Kodap
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks mate

  27. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    1 FT and 0.1 ITB.

    A - Transfer out Kepa and for who?
    B - Roll FT

    Kepa
    TAA - Estu - Shaw
    Salah - Mitoma - March - Grealish
    Haaland - Isak - Watkins

    Raya - Martinelli - Trippier - Botman

  28. GoonerByron
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Start one.. (I have at least 2 Ars mids starting)

    A - Trippier
    B - Mings

    1. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Probably B as I see Arsenal scoring.

  29. Kantelele
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Play one :
    1. A) Kepa B) Navas
    2. A) Trippier B) Gabriel

    1. GC123
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      1B, 2A

  30. Ibracadebruyne
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Play Martinelli or Eze?