Spot the Differential
19 February 2026 205 comments
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Our Gameweek 27 differentials column highlights three low-owned Fantasy Premier League (FPL) assets for your consideration.

All three of the players have an ownership of 5% or lower.


RAYAN

FPL notes: “Amazing” Rayan, £4.2m goalkeeper starts + Summerville scores again

  • FPL ownership: 1.0%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW27-31 fixtures: whu | SUN | BRE | bur | MUN

An away match against a West Ham United team that has failed to keep a clean sheet on home turf all season prompts us to consider Rayan (£5.5m).

The Brazilian winger has enjoyed a fine start to life on the south coast, having either scored or assisted in each of his first three appearances.

He’s also been directly involved in nine shots across his two starts (six of his own, three created for others), the joint-most of any Bournemouth player.

With positional rivals David Brooks (£5.0m) and Marcus Tavernier (£5.3m) returning to fitness, Rayan isn’t a guaranteed starter in every match. However, when you factor in his height and physicality, he could be a really important player against aerially dominant teams such as Sunderland and Brentford.

“It’s one of the things we were looking for in the winter market because this season we have lost Antoine Semenyo and Dango Ouattara, two of the most physical wingers in the league. We needed someone with some physicality and with set plays given that we’re quite short, so I think he’s added these things to the team.” – Andoni Iraola on Rayan

Just one bad performance, or another mistake like the penalty he conceded at Everton, especially if it proves costly this time, could leave him vulnerable, but Bournemouth are in decent form right now, and it may very well be Rayan’s shirt to lose.

The left flank has been a weak spot for West Ham of late, too, with five assists in the last six Gameweeks coming from that side of the pitch:

Above: West Ham United’s chances created conceded (assists in green) over the last six Gameweeks

So, with an ownership of only 1.0%, Rayan can be an effective differential fourth or fifth midfielder for the upcoming period.


MICHAEL KAYODE

  • FPL ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW27-31 fixtures: BHA | bur | bou | WOL | lee

A favourable home match against goal-shy Brighton and Hove Albion, plus some really tasty fixtures to follow, leads us to consider Michael Kayode (£4.5m).

The Italian defender has impressed at the Gtech Community Stadium this season, emerging as an effective attacking outlet down the right flank.

Indeed, Kayode is first among Brentford players for passes received in the final-third (201), while only Mikkel Damsgaard (£5.6m) has created more chances (25).

He’s also delivered more successful long throws than any other player in the Premier League, with 22.

Keane Lewis-Potter (£4.8m) netted a thumping header from one of those launched balls in Gameweek 26, of course.

As for Brentford, they are third on our Season Ticker for fixture difficulty over the next six Gameweeks, but from a defensive perspective, they move up to first. That’s partly because four of their next five opponents are in the bottom seven for expected goals (xG) in Gameweeks 21-26:

Looking further ahead, Brentford also entertain Everton, Fulham and West Ham in Gameweeks 32-35, so for those managers who have already used their second Wildcards, the long-term fixture outlook adds further appeal.

Up first, however, is Brighton, who are in really poor attacking form, having failed to score in each of their last two matches, a period which has seen them create just 1.24 xG.

As a nailed-on option in Brentford’s backline, it suggests Kayode can be a really decent set-and-forget budget option for the remainder of the 2025/26 season.


NICO O’REILLY

FP

  • FPL ownership: 4.8%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW27-31 fixtures: NEW | lee | NFO | whu | –

Nico O’Reilly (£4.9m) was one of the standout Fantasy performers in Gameweek 26, with 13 points thanks to a goal, a clean sheet and a share of the bonus.

The England international is, of course, listed as a defender in FPL, but featured as an ‘out-of-position’ left-sided No 8 in Pep Guardiola’s 4-1-3-2 formation.

O’Reilly consequently produced five shots against Fulham, the most of any player, as well as racking up five penalty box touches, another match high.

“I’m loving it. I love it in the middle, try to dictate the game and try to get in the box to score goals. He [Guardiola] is very big on second balls, duels and dominating the midfield. I think I play a big part in that, using my body to win the ball back and counter. That’s what he’s trying to get across to me.” – Nico O’Reilly

Newcastle United visit the Etihad Stadium this weekend, and although the Magpies are in decent form, with three successive wins in all competitions, they could suffer from a European hangover after their midweek trip to Baku.

They’ve also kept just one clean sheet in their last 16 away matches in all competitions.

Furthermore, Man City put three goals past Eddie Howe’s troops in the recent EFL Cup semi-final at the Etihad.

As for O’Reilly, his advanced, ‘out-of-position’ role is yet another string to his bow from a Fantasy perspective – and the chief reason why his underlying attacking stats were so impressive against Fulham.

Tijjani Reijnders (£5.1m) is arguably the biggest threat to O’Reilly’s minutes in the current set-up, but City are in a good moment right now, and Guardiola may choose to maintain this approach for a little while longer.


price change predictions
205 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. chilli con kone
    • 12 Years
    7 days, 2 hours ago

    Start 1:

    Hill (whu)
    Andersen (sun)

    1. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      7 days, 1 hour ago

      Hill

  2. The Knights Template
    • 12 Years
    7 days, 2 hours ago

    Bottomed (giggety)!

    Who on earth do I bench this GW? Dubravka and Esteve are givens but who should join them on the pine? Grateful views, thankee!

    Verbruggen, Dubravka
    Chalobah, Gabriel, Timber, Mukiele, Esteve
    Rice, Bruno, Mbeumo, Semenyo, Enzo
    Watkins, DCL, Haaland

    1. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      Timber for sure. And DCL probably.

    2. Qaiss
      • 10 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      Team value FC

    3. Captain Mal
      • 1 Year
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      If you read the small print under the "it is shameful to boast" declaration, you will notice the following clarification : "posting your team can be considered as boasting, when your team is too good".

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        🙂

    4. Mr Turnip 1
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        DCL and Mukiele

      • Ze_Austin
        • 7 Years
        7 days, 1 hour ago

        Timber DCL

        1. I have no Wirtz
            7 days, 1 min ago

            This

      • Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Raya (dub)
        Gab chalobah Munoz(alderete Andersen)
        Mbeumo bruno F Rogers rice Enzo
        Haaland Pedro (c) (mane)

        3 FTS .3 itb

        Save one more transfer?

        Cheers

        1. FPLMACKEM
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          I'd roll. Team looks good as it is. I'd look to shift Chelsea players and Munoz next week.

        2. Mr Turnip 1
            7 days, 2 hours ago

            Yes easy roll nice job

          • Ajax Hamsterdam
            • 11 Years
            7 days, 2 hours ago

            Thank you both !

          • Camzy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            7 days, 1 hour ago

            No way I roll without Thiago.

            Rice + Mane > Thiago + KDH

            1. Mr Turnip 1
                7 days, 54 mins ago

                This is a good shout tbf

          • Deanamo Jammy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            7 days, 2 hours ago

            Kayode has zero attacking threat.

          • zensum
            • 12 Years
            7 days, 2 hours ago

            Who would u pick on WC?
            A) Dango
            B) Rayan

            Appreciate your help and reasons why?

            1. Mr Turnip 1
                7 days, 2 hours ago

                A, more nailed, more FPL pedigree

                1. zensum
                  • 12 Years
                  7 days, 1 hour ago

                  Thk u

            2. FPLMACKEM
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              7 days, 2 hours ago

              Raya
              Virgil, Gabriel, Chalobah, Munoz
              Enzo, Bruno, Rice, Anderson
              Ekitike, Haaland (c)

              Dubravka, Wilson, Andersen, Guiu
              5ft 2.0 itb

              Rice to?

              A Semenyo
              B Dando/Shade
              C Rogers

              1. Ajax Hamsterdam
                • 11 Years
                7 days, 2 hours ago

                Same boat and tempted to keep rice one more week...

                1. FPLMACKEM
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 5 Years
                  7 days, 2 hours ago

                  I don't mind keeping Rice this week, just don't want him long term. I just don't want to burn a transfer.

                  1. Ajax Hamsterdam
                    • 11 Years
                    7 days, 2 hours ago

                    Ooh just realised you have 5 FTS ! A for me

                    1. FPLMACKEM
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 5 Years
                      7 days, 2 hours ago

                      Cheers. I am actually leaning towards Semenyo anyway.

                  2. Ajax Hamsterdam
                    • 11 Years
                    7 days, 2 hours ago

                    Help above would be appreciated

              2. Mr Turnip 1
                  7 days, 2 hours ago

                  A

                  1. Mr Turnip 1
                      7 days, 2 hours ago

                      Actually, Wirtz

                  2. Camzy
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 15 Years
                    7 days, 1 hour ago

                    Dango + Guiu > Thiago

                • I have no Wirtz
                    7 days, 2 hours ago

                    Roefs
                    Gabriel Munoz Chalobah
                    BrunoF Mbeumo Semenyo Rice
                    Haaland JP Watkins

                    Dub Zubimendi Collins Thiaw

                    I was keen to do Rice>Palmer, but after last night lost conviction. Not sure what to do. Team seems decent, don’t want too much benching headache.

                    Please pick two from these options:

                    A) Rice > Palmer
                    B) Watkins > Thiago
                    C) Zubimendi > Dango
                    D) Collins > VVD

                    E) roll and next week JP > Thiago
                    F) roll and next week Munoz > VVD
                    G) roll and next week Watkins > Ekitike

                    H) roll and reassess

                    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
                      • 11 Years
                      7 days, 2 hours ago

                      E

                    2. Mr Turnip 1
                        7 days, 2 hours ago

                        AB looks good

                        1. Mr Turnip 1
                            7 days, 2 hours ago

                            Actually nevermind

                            1. Mr Turnip 1
                                7 days, 2 hours ago

                                AD and then E next week

                        2. Letsgo!
                          • 9 Years
                          7 days, 2 hours ago

                          Is sarr on penalty or will be JSL?
                          Wanted to punt on sarr for differential capt or just capt enzo?

                          1. Tonyawesome69
                            • 7 Years
                            7 days, 1 hour ago

                            Probably give Sarr the higher pen share due to scoring Palace's last pen.

                            Pen record:
                            Sarr 7/9
                            Larsen 4/5

                        3. Athletic Nasherbo
                          • 9 Years
                          7 days, 2 hours ago

                          Gomez > KdH or just play Alderete?

                          1. Manani
                            • 14 Years
                            7 days, 2 hours ago

                            Alderte

                        4. Manani
                          • 14 Years
                          7 days, 2 hours ago

                          Pope
                          OReilly Gab Chalobah
                          Rogers Rice Wirtz Enzo
                          Ekiteke Haaland JP
                          (Dub Timber Mukiele Wilson)

                          roll FT? (yes I know no Bruno, but ML rule for no united player)

                          1. Mr Turnip 1
                              7 days, 1 hour ago

                              You could roll. Rice to Semenyo looks ok too

                          2. Mr Turnip 1
                              7 days, 1 hour ago

                              3.3 ITB, 1FT

                              Raya
                              Gab Timber Munoz
                              Fruno Mbeumo Enzo Wilson Anderson
                              Haaland DCL

                              Dub Andersen Tark A.Barnes

                              A) DCL -> Thiago, Enzo to Wirtz/Semenyo next week

                              B) A. Barnes -> Thiago, bench DCL. Enzo to Dango next week

                              C) Get Semenyo now (and who to sell if this?)

                              1. Ajax Hamsterdam
                                • 11 Years
                                7 days, 1 hour ago

                                B

                            • Letsgo!
                              • 9 Years
                              7 days, 1 hour ago

                              Garner to odango for free?

                            • Letsgo!
                              • 9 Years
                              7 days, 1 hour ago

                              Or gyok to thiago is better?

                              1. Mr Turnip 1
                                  7 days, 1 hour ago

                                  This is much better

                              2. jeffa79
                                • 12 Years
                                7 days, 1 hour ago

                                Is it worth doing Sanchez, Dorgu and Evanilson to Kelleher, Hill and Pedro?

                                3 FTs so no hits.

                                1. Ajax Hamsterdam
                                  • 11 Years
                                  7 days, 1 hour ago

                                  No

                                2. FantasyClub
                                  • 5 Years
                                  7 days, 1 hour ago

                                  Looks good to me

                                3. Camzy
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • 15 Years
                                  7 days, 1 hour ago

                                  Depends who you're benching. Pedro is great for this week but not as good for subsequent weeks.

                              3. thetommy14
                                • 5 Years
                                7 days, 1 hour ago

                                Thoughts on this team?
                                Start Andersen or Mukiele?
                                0,0m ITB

                                Verbruggen
                                Gabriel, Timber, Muñoz, Andersen
                                Palmer, Bruno, Mbeumo, Wirtz, Semenyo
                                Haaland

                                Dubravka, Mukiele, Kroupi, Guiu

                              4. Letsgo!
                                • 9 Years
                                7 days, 1 hour ago

                                Watkins anybody?

                              5. amenon
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 2 Years
                                7 days, 1 hour ago

                                Hey guys took the swing and went triple arsenal defence before DGW26 and am licking my wounds now.

                                my two questions: 1. Timber or Reinildo this week? 2. Cunha out to Dango?

                                Raya
                                Reinildo-Gabriel-Richards
                                Bruno-Mbeumo-Cunha-Enzo-Rogers
                                Haaland-Thiago

                                Bench: Dub Timber Andersen Guiu

                                Love this community!!

                                1. Mr Turnip 1
                                    7 days, 55 mins ago

                                    1 Timber
                                    2 you could probably do better than Dango for Cunha. Semenyo/Wirtz if you can afford

                                    1. amenon
                                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                      • 2 Years
                                      7 days, 27 mins ago

                                      u back arsenal triple defence against spurs away? im so nervous after how bad gw27 went for me.

                                      plan was to do get dango + wirtz for enzo + cunha next week but bringing it a week early.

                                      avoiding semenyo cos of bgw32

                                      1. amenon
                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                        • 2 Years
                                        7 days, 27 mins ago

                                        bgw31*

                                2. AF90
                                  • 13 Years
                                  7 days, 56 mins ago

                                  Guiu, Rice & Saliba -> Thaigo, Semenyo, Senesi for a -8?

                                  I don't normally take hits and haven't taken any this season. I'm on a streak of 4 red arrows and feel behind on my transfers. Thoughts on this? Thanks

                                  1. Ze_Austin
                                    • 7 Years
                                    7 days, 49 mins ago

                                    I wouldn't. Maybe just Saliba to Hill (not Senesi) for free, start him and Rice, then Guiu to Thiago next GW

                                    There's probably someone who's a more urgent sale than Rice in your midfield, if you must get Semenyo

                                    1. AF90
                                      • 13 Years
                                      7 days, 42 mins ago

                                      Why do you favour Hill over Senesi?

                                      Enzo needs to go but can't sell this GW.

                                      1. Baps Hunter
                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                        • 8 Years
                                        7 days, 29 mins ago

                                        Same problem with Enzo. The issue with selling Rice is that he prolly gets defcon vs Spurs and if he gets an A, he may get also bonus points.

                                        1. AF90
                                          • 13 Years
                                          7 days, 25 mins ago

                                          Yeah don't paticularly want to sell Rice but think Semenyo is such a good option atm. Will bench Enzo next week and rotate with Wilson until GW31.

                                          May even go for an early bench boost.

                                3. thetommy14
                                  • 5 Years
                                  7 days, 53 mins ago

                                  Start Kayode or Mukiele?

                                  1. Ze_Austin
                                    • 7 Years
                                    7 days, 44 mins ago

                                    Mukiele atm

                                4. TorresMagic™
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • Has Moderation Rights
                                  • 16 Years
                                  7 days, 51 mins ago

                                  Save or make a move?

                                  Raya Dub
                                  Gab Richards Muk (Tark Hall)
                                  Bruno Rice Enzo Sarr (Wilson)
                                  Haaland Ekitike Bowen

                                  3 FT, 0.1m bank

                                  Cheers.

                                  1. Ze_Austin
                                    • 7 Years
                                    7 days, 44 mins ago

                                    Raya to Kelleher is tempting. Should be fine to roll for this GW though

                                  2. Mr Turnip 1
                                      7 days, 37 mins ago

                                      Bowen to Thiago

                                      1. Baps Hunter
                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                        • 8 Years
                                        7 days, 33 mins ago

                                        I would.

                                    • TorresMagic™
                                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                      • Has Moderation Rights
                                      • 16 Years
                                      7 days, 36 mins ago

                                      Cheers both.

                                  3. thetommy14
                                    • 5 Years
                                    7 days, 41 mins ago

                                    Bring in Andersen or Kayode?
                                    Leaning more towards Kayode…

                                    1. Baps Hunter
                                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                      • 8 Years
                                      7 days, 34 mins ago

                                      Isn't Kayode the one throwing long balls? He isn't scoring from them. Andersen is perhaps little overrated, but plays Burnley gw31 and that is all that matters to me or my team atm. I don't actually really need him before that.

                                  4. Baps Hunter
                                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                    • 8 Years
                                    7 days, 40 mins ago

                                    Kelleher / Dub
                                    Gabriel*, Timber*(*), VvD, Andersen, Muñoz**
                                    Bruno, Mbeumo, Rice**, Rogers, Enzo*
                                    Haaland*, J Pedro*, Guiu**
                                    1 ft, 1.4 mitb

                                    So, I have 5 transfers, 2 Che starters with bad future fixtures soon and 6 players not starting gw31. No Semenyo or Thiago in my team. Am I going to manage this run in dead ending gw31 without taking a hit?

                                    1) Could there be merit in downgrading Rice to someone cheap gw31 starter and upgrading Guiu to Thiago (-4) now?
                                    2) Should I roll and sell starting Che assets for Thiago and someone next week?
                                    3) Rice to Semenyo now?

                                    1. Baps Hunter
                                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                      • 8 Years
                                      7 days, 39 mins ago

                                      I mean that I have 5 transfers before gw31.

                                    2. Mr Turnip 1
                                        7 days, 34 mins ago

                                        Not 3 I think. 1+2 are valid

                                      • AF90
                                        • 13 Years
                                        7 days, 32 mins ago

                                        Thinking similar lines....Semenyo & Thiago's fixtures are excellent for up until GW31 so it might be worth taking the hit now and it will pay off long term.

                                        I could do Rice -> Semenyo this week or Roll & get Thiago in with 2FT next week but I want both so considering a -8 this week tbh. Backing against Arsenal with their tougher fixtures and slight wobble while most will still have a triple up

                                        1. Baps Hunter
                                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                          • 8 Years
                                          7 days, 12 mins ago

                                          Taking -8 to bench Rogers home vs Leeds isn't for this team. I could sell Rice and Guiu for Dango and Thiago though (-4). They have Burnley away next and Leeds away come gw31.

                                    3. shal
                                        7 days, 29 mins ago

                                        Donnarumma
                                        Mukiele, Gabriel, Timber, Chalobah
                                        Rice, Semenyo, B. Fernandes
                                        Tiago, J Padro, Haaland

                                        Bench: Dubravka, Garner, Enzo, Alderete

                                        I have 1 FT. Have used wildcard and planning to use FH in GW34. Need to replace Timber and Rice before GW31 and bench Gabriel and 3x city players in GW31). Planning on getting Virgil for Timber GW27. Wirtz for Enzo GW28 and maybe Wilson or Dango for Rice GW29.
                                        Q: any comments on the above transfer plan?
                                        Q: should I bench Mukiele or Enzo for GW27.

                                      • Apollo Sanchez
                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                        • 12 Years
                                        7 days, 19 mins ago

                                        Mane to Kroupi or keep him for Palace?

                                        1. Baps Hunter
                                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                          • 8 Years
                                          6 days, 23 hours ago

                                          Waste of transfer prolly.

                                      • thetommy14
                                        • 5 Years
                                        7 days, 17 mins ago

                                        Thoughts on this team? GTG?
                                        0,0m ITB

                                        Verbruggen
                                        Gabriel, Timber, Muñoz, Mukiele
                                        Palmer, Bruno, Mbeumo, Wirtz, Semenyo
                                        Haaland

                                        Dubravka, Kayode, Kroupi, Guiu

                                      • SpaceCadet
                                        • 12 Years
                                        7 days, 10 mins ago

                                        Best option this gw? 1ft, 0.4m itb

                                        A. Timber > vvd/ senesi
                                        B. Anderson > dango
                                        C. Save ft

                                        Sanchez
                                        Gabriel timber Mukiele
                                        Bruno semenyo rice Enzo
                                        Haaland Pedro Thiago

                                        Dubravka Anderson diouf vdv

                                      • amenon
                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                        • 2 Years
                                        6 days, 23 hours ago

                                        start triple arsenal (raya, timber, gab) or bench timber for reinildo

                                        1. HellasLEAF
                                          • 16 Years
                                          6 days, 23 hours ago

                                          B

                                      • I have no Wirtz
                                          6 days, 23 hours ago

                                          Who will score higher?

                                          Mukiele(FUL) or Munoz(WOL)

                                          1. TorresMagic™
                                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                            • Has Moderation Rights
                                            • 16 Years
                                            6 days, 23 hours ago

                                            Depends if Munoz gets an attacking return.

                                          2. HellasLEAF
                                            • 16 Years
                                            6 days, 23 hours ago

                                            I've stopped betting against Muk long time again. Munoz good shout too. Feel like both could concede though.

                                        • HellasLEAF
                                          • 16 Years
                                          6 days, 23 hours ago

                                          Palmer or J. Pedro C

                                          or Haaland, if you must.

                                        • The FPL Units
                                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                          • 15 Years
                                          6 days, 23 hours ago

                                          Current plan is to do Rice => Palmer this week for free. Then Enzo => Szobo

                                          Kelleher
                                          Timber Guehi Gab O'Reilly
                                          Rice* Enzo Bruno Mbeumo
                                          Haaland Thiago

                                          Dubs Anderson Kroupi Andersen

                                          Good moves?