Spot the Differential
15 May 2026 405 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Our Gameweek 37 differentials column puts the spotlight on three low-owned players.

This time, we’ve selected assets from Everton, Brentford and Newcastle United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

All three of these players have an ownership of 5% or lower.

CATCH UP ON FRIDAY’S LIVE TEAM NEWS HERE


BETO

  • FPL ownership: 3.2%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: SUN | tot

A favourable home fixture against Sunderland has seen us plump for Everton forward Beto (£5.0m) as our headline differential.

Crucially, the Toffees can still finish as high as sixth, and need to win in order to maintain their hopes of European qualification.

Beto has found the net six times in his last eight matches, the most of any forward from Gameweek 28 onwards.

In that time, he has received eight Opta ‘big chances’, and averaged a shot every 31.9 minutes:

Beto’s appeal is further boosted by the fact that Sunderland are third-bottom for StatsBomb expected goals conceded (xGC) in away matches across 2025/26.

The forward could get some joy from crosses into the box, too.

That’s because Regis Le Bris’ men are 18th for headed chances conceded in the last six matches.

While many Fantasy managers are looking to Everton teammate Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (£5.3m) this week, the fifth-most transferred-in player, Beto is going under the radar and could be worth a gamble.


KEANE LEWIS-POTTER

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: CRY | liv

Brentford play host to Crystal Palace in Gameweek 37, so Keane Lewis-Potter (£4.8m) could be worth a punt.

The 25-year-old has impressed for Keith Andrews’ side recently, getting forward at every opportunity from left-back.

Indeed, since returning to the Brentford starting XI in Gameweek 30, he’s supplied two assists in seven matches.

In that time, he ranks second among defenders for expected goal involvement (xGI), having received 14 passes in the opposition penalty box.

Above: Defenders sorted by passes received in the opposition penalty box (Pen) in Gameweeks 30-36

Clean sheets are the bread and butter for Fantasy defenders, however, and Brentford have four of those since the start of March, the second-most of any team behind Arsenal.

The goalscoring form of Palace is far from prolific, too, having failed to find the net in each of their last two away matches, with Europe very much the focus for the remainder of the campaign.

Like Everton and a few other clubs, Brentford are locked in a battle for sixth, which may even be enough for UEFA Champions League qualification.

Lewis-Potter, who comes with obvious attacking upside, could subsequently prove a canny acquisition.


HARVEY BARNES

  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £6.1m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: WHU | ful

Following an impressive substitute appearance at the City Ground last week, Harvey Barnes (£6.1m) presents an intriguing differential option.

The winger scored in the 74th minute and has now netted in consecutive Gameweeks, bringing his total for the season to 16 goals across all competitions

His underlying numbers further illustrate his impact.

Barnes is averaging a shot every 35.9 minutes in 2025/26, the fastest rate of any Newcastle player.

On home turf, it’s even better (27.8 minutes per shot).

With Anthony Gordon (£7.3m) seemingly out of the picture, Barnes looks like he’s in the frame to start in Gameweek 37.

Speaking last week, Eddie Howe said:

“He is such a good player and he has goals in him. He has done well for us historically, off the bench. He has done well when he’s started too and he’s an outstanding player. He took his goal well and that gives Harvey a great chance to start the next game.” – Eddie Howe on Harvey Barnes

Barnes’ match-up with West Ham United on Sunday looks favourable.

Instead of merely relying on a draw, the Hammers will likely try to come out and beat Newcastle, so Barnes, who has an ownership of just 1.1%, could have a field day if the match becomes more dynamic.

A favourable fixture follows, too, with a trip to Fulham on the final day.

It all bodes well for Barnes, whose pace and goal threat could cause plenty of problems for both opponents.

There’s an obvious risk involved with Newcastle stocked with wide options, but Barnes could hold the upper hand given his recent output.

At least we know that when Barnes gets on the pitch, he’s more than capable of finding the net, as shown in Gameweeks 35 and 36.


price change predictions
405 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Sam (Team Sam)
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    I'm down to this...

    A) Start O'Reilly (Thiaw on the bench)
    B) Buy Keane

    Happy with everyone else for this week and next.

    Worth the transfer?

    1. RogueBlood
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      I`d go A personally

    2. The Philosopher
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      I'd keep O'Reilly

      1. Sam (Team Sam)
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        1 month, 21 days ago

        Thanks. Would definitely keep O'Reilly, I'd just bench him and get Keane in for Thiaw instead.

        Still think hold?

        1. Nomar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          1 month, 21 days ago

          Yes.

          I’m sceptical of his minutes on Tuesday, 3 days after a cup final that may well go to extra time.

          But, in all likelihood, City will go into GW38 with a slim chance of the title so will have to play their best team, and they will have had 4 days rest.

          More confident of him starting GW38 than this week.

  2. The Philosopher
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    Any reason I should wait till deadline to do Senesi -> Mosquera?

  3. RogueBlood
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    What changes would you make here? 1FT 2.7ITB

    Verbruggen,
    Van hecke, o'reilly, Gabriel, Lacroix
    Semenyo, Fernandes, Rogers
    Watkins, Haaland, Welbeck

    Darlow, Tavernier, Ampadu, Struijk

    1. TSN
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      welbeck to gyokeres/thiago

  4. TSN
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    start
    A. Wilson
    B. KDH

    1. BOATIES FC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      Close but KDH for me

  5. BOATIES FC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    I'm thinking of Zubamendi and Watkins to KDH and Gyokeres for - 4, then captain Gyokeres.

    Thoughts?

  6. sunzip14
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    Bench one:

    A) Enzo
    B) Hinshelwood

    1. The Philosopher
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      Tough. B if pushed.

  7. Nickyboy
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    Would you start Welbeck over DCL?

    Leeds at home but Brighton more to play for.

  8. Jonta83
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    Any thoughts on Eze starting? Safer to bring in Trossard instead?

    1. Bruno Commando
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      I am doing this move

  9. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    Which from the below to transfer in:
    Need a differential to catch ML leader. May even captain below

    A) KDH
    B) Ndiaye
    C) Bruno G
    D) Harvey Barnes

    And:
    1) Tarkowski
    2) Keane

  10. Manani
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    will OReilly or Cherki play?

    got BB left, not sure this week or next

    1. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      No one knows. This is why saving BB for final weeks isnt optimal

  11. Brosstan
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    Chasing about 30 points... -4 is rarely worth it but I feel like I have to to have a chance. Anyone else in same position? Considering szobo in and bench welbeck who my rival owns and will play

    1. The Philosopher
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      2 ahead and 4 points behind in 2 money leagues. Might just play it safe and avoid the hit.

      1. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 21 days ago

        I would as well in your situation as long as you have just a couple different picks

        1. The Philosopher
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 21 days ago

          Could've peeled away last week only if the bald fraud played Haaland vs Palace as I was on TC and leaders in both leagues already used it. Teams are virtually similar except a few differences. I'm going Saka C though I suspect they may go the Bruno C route.

  12. TheSteel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    TC on Bruno or Gabriel for ML cup semi final? He has FH and WC, so im likely finished either way.

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      Bruno surely got bigger ceiling

  13. OneTeamInBristol
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    Need to do a defender transfer. Can pay up to 5m. Chasing my league rival by 8 points and he is playing Gab, NOR and Keane. He also has double ARS defence.

    Any suggestions please?

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      I like the Lewis Potter one in the article if you don’t need to play him next week

      1. OneTeamInBristol
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 21 days ago

        Thanks!

    2. z13
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 21 days ago

      Yeah, Lewis Potter, or Mavropanos, or Maguire

      1. OneTeamInBristol
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 21 days ago

        Thanks!

  14. chilli con kone
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    Start Palmer or DCL?

    I have double Brighton defence

  15. Zola
    • 16 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    What looks best here with 2FT:

    A) Eze and Bowen - KDH and Gyokeres(c)
    B) Eze and Semenyo - Saka(c) and Cherki
    C) Eze - Trossard (captain Gabriel and have 2FT for GW38)

    Have been going round in circles with these for days - cheers!

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      E probably

      Don’t like the idea of selling Bowen before GW38 or buying Cherki

  16. arcticjunkie1
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    Play Truffert or Cash?

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      Truffert

  17. Bobbyg1
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    Mitoma to -

    A - Hinshelwood
    B - Trossard
    C - Ndiaye
    D - KDH
    E - Anyone else ...who

    Tia

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      D

      1. Bobbyg1
        • 14 Years
        1 month, 21 days ago

        Thanks

        1. denial
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 17 Years
          1 month, 21 days ago

          Can you have a look at my squad below?

  18. Caligula's third favou…
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    Finally time to bin Rogers. Undecided between Bruno G or Casemiro

  19. jamesuk
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    seriously thinking of selling Haaland for Gyokeres. Is that madness? Thinking is Bournemouth away is a hard fixture and this comes after an FA Cup final + Gyokeres v Burnley at home

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      Not a bad shout if you're chasing

  20. Feed tha Sheep
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    Better option please and thanks?

    A. Tavenier > Trossard
    B. Semenyo & Welbeck > Gyokores & Szob (-4)
    C. Virgil & Welbeck > Gyokores & Keane (-4)

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      Don't like a hit really. A. Barnes?

      1. Feed tha Sheep
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 21 days ago

        You prefer Barnes over trossard?

  21. The_FF_King
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    Want to bring in Gyokeres.

    Replace with:

    DCL
    or
    Pedro

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      Pedro

  22. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    Lads could do with help here. 1ft.

    Verb
    Gabriel vanH O'Reilly
    Saka BrunoF Semenyo Hinshelwood
    Haaland Gyökeres DCL

    / Senesi / Tav / Struik

    VanH to Tark
    DCL to Beto or Thiago
    Something else?

    1. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      50-50 whether you should punt on Tark or Thisgo. I like both moves

    2. Bobbyg1
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      As you have Verb i would go Van H to Tark or Keane

      1. denial
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        1 month, 21 days ago

        OK thanks chaps

  23. XX SMICER XX
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    A. Bruno Mitoma to Saka Barnes -4
    B. Bruno Mitoma to Saka Hinselwood -4
    C. Bruno Mitoma to Saka Summerville -4
    D. Saka to Barnes
    E. Saka to Hinselwood
    F. Saka to Summerville

  24. BobbyDoesNotLook
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    3ft 2.7itb

    Raya
    Gab O'Reilly MUNOZ
    ROGERS Bruno Kdh Cherki Gross
    Haaland Welbeck

    A) Rogers to Saka
    B) A + Munoz to Keane (bench Van Hecke)
    C) Rogers to cheap, Welbeck to Gyokeres
    D) C + Munoz to Keane

    B: Dcl VanHecke Struijk

    A)

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      B

      1. denial
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        1 month, 21 days ago

        Can you have a look at my squad above?

        1. BobbyDoesNotLook
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 21 days ago

          Thanks. I did although I wasn't super helpful

  25. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 21 days ago

    Verbruggen
    Gabriel, Van Hecke, O'Reilly
    Saka(c), Bruno, Gross, Cherki
    Haaland, DCL, Pedro

    Darlo, Hill, Tavernier, Struijk

    3ft 4.2itb

    2k rank

    Who would you prioritise for transfers here? Im only planning to use two transfers.

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      I'd get Gyökeres and Tark in for Pedro and Hill

  26. SIMBOBIANTHEIII
      1 month, 21 days ago

      Sarr to KDH -4?

      1. ball c
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 21 days ago

        Not for -4

    • ball c
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      Pick two mids to replace Cherki and Tav:
      Going differential

      A) KDH
      B) Ndiaye
      C) Bruno G
      D) Harvey Barnes
      E) Dango
      F) Schade

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 21 days ago

        Both for free ?

        1. ball c
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 21 days ago

          -4.
          Only have 1ft

          1. OptimusBlack
            • 13 Years
            1 month, 21 days ago

            So do just one
            Tav out to A

    • OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      So who's ur © till now ?
      I am on Saka © but maybe change it

      1. ball c
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 21 days ago

        Haven’t decided yet.
        I need a differential captain that’ll play 90 mins so likely to go KDH

    • AzzaroMax99
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      would you do Eze to Saka for free?

      And then TC to Gyok or Saka?

    • 17legend85
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 21 days ago

      Henderson
      O’reilly-gabs-van hecke
      Saka-Bruno-saboz-Semenyo
      Haaland-Pedro-dcl

      Thoughts on this please?
      1 free transfer, 1m in the bank
      Trossard or Thiago ?

      I’ve just got a feeling that Pedro or saboz need upgrading

      1. ball c
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 21 days ago

        Thiago