Spot the Differential
15 May 2026 405 comments
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Our Gameweek 37 differentials column puts the spotlight on three low-owned players.

This time, we’ve selected assets from Everton, Brentford and Newcastle United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

All three of these players have an ownership of 5% or lower.

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BETO

  • FPL ownership: 3.2%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: SUN | tot

A favourable home fixture against Sunderland has seen us plump for Everton forward Beto (£5.0m) as our headline differential.

Crucially, the Toffees can still finish as high as sixth, and need to win in order to maintain their hopes of European qualification.

Beto has found the net six times in his last eight matches, the most of any forward from Gameweek 28 onwards.

In that time, he has received eight Opta ‘big chances’, and averaged a shot every 31.9 minutes:

Beto’s appeal is further boosted by the fact that Sunderland are third-bottom for StatsBomb expected goals conceded (xGC) in away matches across 2025/26.

The forward could get some joy from crosses into the box, too.

That’s because Regis Le Bris’ men are 18th for headed chances conceded in the last six matches.

While many Fantasy managers are looking to Everton teammate Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (£5.3m) this week, the fifth-most transferred-in player, Beto is going under the radar and could be worth a gamble.


KEANE LEWIS-POTTER

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: CRY | liv

Brentford play host to Crystal Palace in Gameweek 37, so Keane Lewis-Potter (£4.8m) could be worth a punt.

The 25-year-old has impressed for Keith Andrews’ side recently, getting forward at every opportunity from left-back.

Indeed, since returning to the Brentford starting XI in Gameweek 30, he’s supplied two assists in seven matches.

In that time, he ranks second among defenders for expected goal involvement (xGI), having received 14 passes in the opposition penalty box.

Above: Defenders sorted by passes received in the opposition penalty box (Pen) in Gameweeks 30-36

Clean sheets are the bread and butter for Fantasy defenders, however, and Brentford have four of those since the start of March, the second-most of any team behind Arsenal.

The goalscoring form of Palace is far from prolific, too, having failed to find the net in each of their last two away matches, with Europe very much the focus for the remainder of the campaign.

Like Everton and a few other clubs, Brentford are locked in a battle for sixth, which may even be enough for UEFA Champions League qualification.

Lewis-Potter, who comes with obvious attacking upside, could subsequently prove a canny acquisition.


HARVEY BARNES

  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £6.1m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: WHU | ful

Following an impressive substitute appearance at the City Ground last week, Harvey Barnes (£6.1m) presents an intriguing differential option.

The winger scored in the 74th minute and has now netted in consecutive Gameweeks, bringing his total for the season to 16 goals across all competitions

His underlying numbers further illustrate his impact.

Barnes is averaging a shot every 35.9 minutes in 2025/26, the fastest rate of any Newcastle player.

On home turf, it’s even better (27.8 minutes per shot).

With Anthony Gordon (£7.3m) seemingly out of the picture, Barnes looks like he’s in the frame to start in Gameweek 37.

Speaking last week, Eddie Howe said:

“He is such a good player and he has goals in him. He has done well for us historically, off the bench. He has done well when he’s started too and he’s an outstanding player. He took his goal well and that gives Harvey a great chance to start the next game.” – Eddie Howe on Harvey Barnes

Barnes’ match-up with West Ham United on Sunday looks favourable.

Instead of merely relying on a draw, the Hammers will likely try to come out and beat Newcastle, so Barnes, who has an ownership of just 1.1%, could have a field day if the match becomes more dynamic.

A favourable fixture follows, too, with a trip to Fulham on the final day.

It all bodes well for Barnes, whose pace and goal threat could cause plenty of problems for both opponents.

There’s an obvious risk involved with Newcastle stocked with wide options, but Barnes could hold the upper hand given his recent output.

At least we know that when Barnes gets on the pitch, he’s more than capable of finding the net, as shown in Gameweeks 35 and 36.


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405 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. SIMBOBIANTHEIII
      7 hours, 27 mins ago

      Start:
      Darlow BHA
      Martinez LIV
      Or Raya BUR -4
      Only got gab and Saka.
      Already doing KDH to sarr for free.
      Or would you prioritise bringing in Raya?

      1. R Whites
        • 10 Years
        7 hours, 12 mins ago

        Darlow

    • ball c
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      7 hours, 26 mins ago

      Which one to transfer in:

      A) Porro
      B) Tarkowski
      C) Keane

      Will be for -4 as chasing and need a big haul.
      To replace Struijk

    • The_FF_King
      • 13 Years
      7 hours, 26 mins ago

      Play

      Verbruggen LEE(A)
      or
      Darlow BHA(H)

      In defence I am playing Van Hecke LEE(A)

      1. Orion
        • 15 Years
        7 hours, 25 mins ago

        I’m going with double Brighton as they have something to play for…

    • Orion
      • 15 Years
      7 hours, 26 mins ago

      I need a help here guys… As I am leading my ML by 15 points, what should I do?

      A) Tavernier to KDH for a hit
      B) DCL to Beto for a hit
      C) play one of DCL or Tavernier

      Cheers

      1. Van der Faart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        7 hours, 22 mins ago

        C, 15 is tight

        1. Orion
          • 15 Years
          7 hours, 20 mins ago

          Just think that second placed is going to get KDH… Not sure what to do and if C, who to play?

          1. Van der Faart
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            7 hours, 18 mins ago

            Probably Tav

      2. g40steve
        • 8 Years
        6 hours, 59 mins ago

        C otherwise you’ve given him 4 points

    • Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 hours, 25 mins ago

      Hello guys. Would you play Hill (MCI) / Richards (bre) or take a hit for Tarkowski/ Lewis-Potter?

      1. Pep's Money Laundry
        • 10 Years
        7 hours, 16 mins ago

        Play Hill, he should get on DefCon. Plus Bournemouth are quite decent in defence too

        1. Jam0sh
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          7 hours, 14 mins ago

          Cheers

    • SAINTS
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 hours, 24 mins ago

      I was going to save a transfer but Struijk to Tarkowski seems like a good idea.

      Yay

      or

      Nay

    • WibblesTeam
      • 8 Years
      7 hours, 23 mins ago

      Eze to Trossard worth a -4?

    • Ray85
      • 8 Years
      7 hours, 23 mins ago

      Start DCL or Pedro?

    • Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 hours, 22 mins ago

      Captain

      A) Saka
      B) Bruno
      C) Gyok

      Currently on Saka

      1. Orion
        • 15 Years
        7 hours, 22 mins ago

        Me too… on Saka currently

        1. AzzaroMax99
          • 9 Years
          7 hours, 20 mins ago

          Why? Think that he will play more mins than Gyok or because of pens?

          1. Orion
            • 15 Years
            7 hours, 18 mins ago

            I don’t know, just some gut feeling… Think that Gyok is on pens??

      2. Jigger & Pony
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 hours, 16 mins ago

        Saka

    • FPL_RubberDucky
      • 1 Year
      7 hours, 22 mins ago

      Sorry
      Have not been online for months on FFS.

      All the best for the final two weeks and enjoy the World Cup.

      As for GW37 i have no idea what to do!

      1. Stevie B
        • 15 Years
        7 hours, 14 mins ago

        Arsenal defence players (Raya, Gabriel, Saliba) are not bad for the last two game weeks.

        All the best and good luck for you too.

        A World Cup win after 1966 would be fantastic.

    • Jullepuu
      • 6 Years
      7 hours, 22 mins ago

      A) Gross to KDH
      B) Struijk to Keane (Keane would move Van Hecke to the bench)

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        7 hours, 19 mins ago

        B

      2. Stevie B
        • 15 Years
        7 hours, 17 mins ago

        Struijk is a real doubt, so B. Also the Leeds defence is very shattered and Groß can use this.

    • Stevie B
      • 15 Years
      7 hours, 20 mins ago

      Is this bench boost team good to go?

      Raya, Henderson
      Gabriel (C), Saliba, O`Reilly, Tarkowski, Lacroix
      Bruno Fernandes, Casimero, Groß, Cherki, Sarr
      Haaland, Thiago, Welbeck

      Thank you and good luck!

      1. Jullepuu
        • 6 Years
        6 hours, 50 mins ago

        Yeha gtg, you must hope palace play well though!

    • AzzaroMax99
      • 9 Years
      7 hours, 20 mins ago

      Have TC chip left.
      On which player would you use it in this gw?

      1. Stevie B
        • 15 Years
        7 hours, 12 mins ago

        I would go safe with Gabriel. A home game against Burnley is not bad.

    • TheBiffas
      • 5 Years
      7 hours, 20 mins ago

      Can only bring in one of Thiago and Gyokeres. Who is more important?

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        7 hours, 19 mins ago

        Gyokeres

    • Mufc202020
      • 6 Years
      7 hours, 20 mins ago

      Triple captain:

      A) Bruno GW37
      B) Bowen GW38

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        7 hours, 20 mins ago

        A

      2. fpl_tp95
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        7 hours, 19 mins ago

        No Arsenal players to triple captain this week?

    • Ha.
      • 10 Years
      7 hours, 20 mins ago

      My H2H doesn't have Bruno, who was going to be my captain but it almost feels excessive now

      1. Bruno (c)
      2. Haaland (c) to cover them (pretty confident that I can make up points elsewhere)

      1. fpl_tp95
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        7 hours, 19 mins ago

        Do you not have any Arsenal attackers?

        1. Ha.
          • 10 Years
          7 hours, 17 mins ago

          I do, but I am not overly optimistic that they score many goals

          1. fpl_tp95
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            7 hours, 15 mins ago

            Fair, I'd captain them over Haaland and Bruno personally

            1. Ha.
              • 10 Years
              7 hours, 13 mins ago

              Even if Arsenal do score a few, it's always quite spread out

              Bruno can get 10 points off one assist and/or a lucky pen

        2. FPL_RubberDucky
          • 1 Year
          7 hours, 15 mins ago

          Would you captain Gabriel, Raya or Rice ahead of Bruno?

          1. Ha.
            • 10 Years
            7 hours, 14 mins ago

            I wouldn't / am not

    • fpl_tp95
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      7 hours, 19 mins ago

      Start DCL or Gross?

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        7 hours, 19 mins ago

        Gross

    • aapoman
      • 12 Years
      7 hours, 18 mins ago

      6 points behind ML leader who doesn't have Cherki. I can't trust his minutes anymore so move him to Szoboslai or Bruno G?

    • Bobby_Baggio
      • 15 Years
      7 hours, 16 mins ago

      Which to (C) please? First to 5 wins.

      A) Saka
      B) Gyok
      C) Haaland

      1. Udogie-style
        • 2 Years
        7 hours, 15 mins ago

        B as I think he plays longer

        1. Bobby_Baggio
          • 15 Years
          7 hours, 9 mins ago

          You confident he plays instead of ze German?

      2. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        7 hours, 15 mins ago

        Haaland

      3. OptimusBlack
        • 13 Years
        7 hours, 8 mins ago

        A

        1. Bobby_Baggio
          • 15 Years
          7 hours ago

          WHy Saka mate?

    • Udogie-style
      • 2 Years
      7 hours, 15 mins ago

      Please bench one:
      Welbeck
      KDH
      Hinshelwood
      J. Pedro

      Cheers.

    • Bullet Eder
      • 10 Years
      7 hours, 15 mins ago

      Need to bench one:

      Cherki (bou)
      DCL (BHA)
      Sarr (bre)

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        7 hours, 15 mins ago

        DCL

      2. Udogie-style
        • 2 Years
        7 hours, 14 mins ago

        DCL

      3. OptimusBlack
        • 13 Years
        7 hours, 7 mins ago

        Sarr

    • bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 hours, 15 mins ago

      Is MGW likely to start?
      Thanks

      1. g40steve
        • 8 Years
        6 hours, 57 mins ago

        Not seen any news, moved him to KDH anyway

    • marpy016
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 hours, 15 mins ago

      Given Leeds injury woes who should I start?

      A) DCL
      B) Wellbeck (have Van Hecke & Gross)

      1. Udogie-style
        • 2 Years
        7 hours, 14 mins ago

        Welbs

      2. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 hours, 11 mins ago

        100% would choose Welbeck if in your position

    • R Whites
      • 10 Years
      7 hours, 12 mins ago

      A - Sen/Hill to Saliba (bench Tav)
      B - Okafor to KDH or another (bench Tav)
      C - anything else!

      Darlow (verb)
      Gabriel, Van Hecke, O'Reily (sen, hill)
      Saka, Cherki, Tav (Okafor)
      JP, Haaland, Welb

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        7 hours, 9 mins ago

        B

        And you're a player short

        1. R Whites
          • 10 Years
          7 hours ago

          Cheers, Bruno!

    • Skout
      • 6 Years
      7 hours, 11 mins ago

      Any suggestions for this lot? 1FT / 2.5 itb

      Verb
      Gabriel O’Reilly VanHecke
      Bruno Saka Cherki Rayan
      Haaland Gyok Welbeck

      Darlow Tav Hill Struijk

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        7 hours, 10 mins ago

        Tav/Rayan > KDH and play him

      2. XX SMICER XX
        • 8 Years
        7 hours, 8 mins ago

        Bruno G?

    • XX SMICER XX
      • 8 Years
      7 hours, 9 mins ago

      Is it madness to lose Bruno for Saka?
      Would you do it for -4?

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        7 hours, 7 mins ago

        Yes
        No

      2. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 hours, 6 mins ago

        Probably wouldn't do that. Would punt on a cheaper Arsenal midfielder and keep Bruno.

        1. XX SMICER XX
          • 8 Years
          6 hours, 29 mins ago

          Already have Eze.
          Saka sorts out my captaincy dilemma.

    • Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 hours, 7 mins ago

      Afternoon 🙂 1 FT / 6.0m(!) ITB

      Verbruggen
      Gabriel O'Reilly Van Hecke
      Bruno Saka Cherki Hinshelwood
      Haaland Pedro DCL

      Darlow / Tavernier Hill Struijk

      A) DCL > Gyokeres
      B) Pedro > Gyokeres
      C) Tavernier > Trossard (bench DCL)
      D) Tavernier > KDH/Ndiaye (bench DCL)
      E) Struijk > Saliba (bench DCL)
      F) Struijk > Tarkowski/Keane (bench DCL)

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        7 hours, 6 mins ago

        D, KDH

        or

        F, Tark

        1. Hazz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          7 hours ago

          Cheers for the reply!

      2. g40steve
        • 8 Years
        6 hours, 56 mins ago

        A or D KDH

        1. Hazz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          6 hours, 44 mins ago

          Cheers. Leaning towards A currently. Although I love KDH...

      3. XX SMICER XX
        • 8 Years
        6 hours, 28 mins ago

        A

    • Atimis
      • 9 Years
      7 hours, 7 mins ago

      BrunoG or Hinshelwood?

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        7 hours, 7 mins ago

        Bruno

      2. Pep's Money Laundry
        • 10 Years
        7 hours, 5 mins ago

        Hinshelwood

    • Jonta83
      • 6 Years
      7 hours, 6 mins ago

      Which ones to start?
      A. Munoz
      B. Justin

      1. Gross
      2. Sarr