Moving Target
8 August 2026 310 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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Arsenal have finally confirmed the £75 million signing of Bruno Guimaraes (£7.0m) from Newcastle United.

The 28-year-old central midfielder is the latest high-profile Magpies departure, following Anthony Gordon, Sandro Tonali (£5.5m) and Eddie Howe.

So, what will the Brazilian bring to Arsenal, and is he still a viable Fantasy Premier League (FPL) asset?

FPL HISTORY

Starts (subs)GoalsAssistsFPL points
2025/26Newcastle UnitedPremier League27 (2)97154
2024/25Newcastle UnitedPremier League38 (0)56135
2023/24Newcastle UnitedPremier League37 (0)79153
2022/23Newcastle UnitedPremier League32 (0)45107
2021/22Newcastle UnitedPremier League11 (6)5167

Eased into the line-up after joining Newcastle in early 2022, he scored a backheel volley on his first start, versus Southampton. Four more goals came during that season’s final seven matches.

Guimaraes had very similar 2023/24 and 2025/26 campaigns in terms of points and attacking returns, the latter made more impressive because it included a two-month injury.


LAST SEASON

Trusted with Eddie Howe’s armband by now, Bruno G had a particularly strong October-to-February run at St James’ Park:

Between Gameweeks 7 and 25, his nine-match home streak brought seven goals, five assists and 85 points (including seven hauls). Of all players who started at least four times at home, no one had more points per start (7.5).

On the other hand, Guimaraes scored and assisted only once in 14 away trips. He was a big expected goals overachiever (xG, +3.40).

Still, such Tyneside form ensured that just Bruno Fernandes (£12.0m) and Erling Haaland (£15.5m) delivered more season-long double-digit delights (eight).


WHERE BRUNO G FITS IN AT ARSENAL

FPL new signings: Guimaraes 1

Above: A Transfermarkt look at Bruno Guimaraes’ positions in 2025/26 (left), 2024/25 (centre) and 2023/24 (right)

In Howe’s rigid 4-3-3 system, Guimaraes began as the central defensive midfielder, but evolved into a more talismanic, advanced role over time. He has flip-flopped between positions ever since, often interchanging with Tonali.

The versatility to play as a ‘number six’ and ‘number eight’ will appeal to Mikel Arteta.

“With Bruno joining us, we are further strengthening the heart of our team. As we have all seen, Bruno can play as a defensive midfielder and as a box-to-box player. He combines quality with quantity, and has provided goals and assists for his team every year.” – Arsenal’s Sporting Director, Andrea Berta


IS THERE ANY ROTATION RISK?

FPL notes: Eze + Havertz injury latest

Arteta, of course, already has Declan Rice (£7.5m), Martin Odegaard (£6.5m), Martin Zubimendi (£5.5m), Mikel Merino (£6.0m), Eberechi Eze (£6.5m), Myles Lewis-Skelly (£5.5m) and even Kai Havertz (£7.5m) in the engine room.

Seeing this, will Guimaraes even be a nailed-on starter?

  • ‘6’: Bruno, Zubimendi, Rice, Lewis-Skelly
  • ‘8’: Rice, Odegaard, Bruno, Eze, Merino, Lewis-Skelly, Havertz
  • ’10’: Odegaard, Eze, Havertz

The Gunners played a whopping 63 matches in all competitions last season. Just for context, that’s 23 more than Manchester United.

Zubimendi’s form suffered towards the end of 2025/26, having racked up over 4,000 minutes. Rice, even more overworked, was managing hamstring nerve pain from Christmas. Arteta may be keen on protecting those two a bit more this season.

In a sense, it’s mostly those two – Lewis-Skelly and Merino will likely fall back down the pecking order now – who Bruno is competing with. Odegaard and Eze are more 8/10-types, with Eze also an option on the left wing. It’s not often Arteta will start Odegaard and Eze in central midfield together.

Bruno’s signing is perhaps also an indication that Havertz will spend far less time in midfield and instead be more of a direct competition for Viktor Gyokeres (£7.5m).


BENEFIT OF AN EARLY WORLD CUP EXIT?

Brazil v Norway team news: Ryerson + Martinelli start

While there is longer-term rotation risk, you’d think Bruno Guimaraes is in a good position to start the season in Arsenal’s engine room.

Many of the Gunners’ central midfielders went deep into the World Cup and some have not even returned to pre-season training, let alone featured in a friendly.

Bruno’s Brazil team were eliminated two weeks before Spain and England, who each had two Arsenal midfielders in their ranks:

MidfielderWorld Cup exit round (last fixture)Has he featured in a pre-season friendly yet?
Merino, ZubimendiFinal (Jul 19)No
Eze, RiceThird-place play-off (Jul 18)No
OdegaardQuarter-finals (Jul 11)No
Bruno GuimaraesRound of 16 (Jul 5)No
HavertzRound of 32 (Jun 29)Yes
Lewis-Skellyn/aYes

Bruno, while not yet appearing in a friendly, has been in training with Newcastle. Let’s see if he features in Arsenal’s Emirates Cup match against Borussia Dortmund on Sunday.


BRUNO V RICE IN 2025/26

Bruno and Rice had similar rates of chance creation (one every 55 mins v one every 49 mins) and expected assists (xA, 493.8 and 444.4) last season. Both were on a share of set plays, although Rice (95 corners taken) was more of a regular taker than the Brazilian (44 corners taken).

Bruno offered a bit more goal potential, although a shot in the box every 123 minutes still wasn’t great. It should also be said that two of his nine goals came from the penalty spot; he won’t be taking spot-kicks for Arsenal.

Bruno only achieved the DefCon tally on six occasions, meanwhile. Two while starting as a ‘six’, two as an ‘eight’, and two when in a double pivot. So, starting position did little to affect his DefCon potential.

Rice hit the threshold on 14 occasions, meanwhile.

Above: Rice v Bruno, sorted by defensive contributions per 90 minutes


IS BRUNO G AN FPL TARGET?

FPL notes: Bruno G fitness latest + entire Arsenal XI rested 5

Usually, when we’re assessing a new signing’s worth, there’s a ‘not yet, maybe later’ policy. Bruno could be the other way around!

While Bruno may be slightly more of a rotation risk than he was at Newcastle in the longer term, you’d imagine he’ll be in the Arsenal midfield in the opening weeks. Many of his positional rivals haven’t yet returned from their post-World Cup break, while it remains to be seen how fit Rice is after his aforementioned hamstring issues – something that dragged into England duty this summer.

Arsenal only have one midweek match (matchday one of the UEFA Champions League) in the opening five Gameweeks, so you’d imagine rotation would be in short supply. That’s a very good-looking Gameweek 1 fixture, too…

But after the prolonged September/October international break, we’re into a busier period of midweek games.

And will he be as good an asset as he was at Newcastle? Not usually a defensive contributions (DefCon) guy – reaching the threshold only six times – he’ll now presumably be on fewer set-pieces, and won’t take penalties. Zubimendi only reached the DefCon threshold on six occasions in 34 starts last season, so if Bruno is to become the starting ‘six’ at Arsenal, there’s not much DefCon potential in that role.

Taking all this into account, FPL managers may feel that someone like Dominik Szoboszlai is a better long-term £7.0m midfield option.


FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

310 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. TafOnTour1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 hour, 17 mins ago

    A or B here?!

    A) Mukiele and Kadioglu

    B) Ballard and Vuskovic.

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      58 mins ago

      I know Brighton paid a lot of money for him, but does this Vuskovic guy start from gw1?

        1. Jafalad
          • 16 Years
          26 mins ago

          The Leeds line up is way off. Needs a big update imo.

        2. Brosstan
          • 11 Years
          22 mins ago

          One look at that site and you see the problem with using AI to try and sum up what every other site is doing to come up with the answer. Thats what that site is doing. Hes asked Claude (an AI coding program) something along the lines of "Find all the most used FPL prediction sites. Based on what all these sites are saying, create the most likely team for each PL team and give a confidence rating"

          This is the Arsenal team its coming up with.

          Raya
          White - Mosquera - Gabriel - Calafiori
          Ødegaard - Lewis-Skelly - Havertz
          Dowman - Gyökeres - Tzolis

          An absolute nonsense team that there is 0% chance Arsenal will line up with.

          AI has no ability to recognize on its own when the output is awful, and therefore you should never trust it for things like this.

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      56 mins ago

      Hume and Kadioglu

    3. TheBiffas
      • 5 Years
      35 mins ago

      B, I actually think Ballard is a better pick than Mukiele regardless of price

      1. Riska
        • 14 Years
        9 mins ago

        As a Newcastle fan I say this through gritted teeth but Ballard was in my first draft and hasn't moved out since

  2. Zoostation
    • 12 Years
    58 mins ago

    Would appreciate any feedback on BB for GW2?

    Raya Kinsky

    VVD N Matheus Maguire Hume van Ewijk

    Semenyo Mbeumo Szoboszlai Le Fee Grimes

    Haaland Pedro DCL

    1. TheBiffas
      • 5 Years
      38 mins ago

      Like it

    2. Riska
      • 14 Years
      30 mins ago

      Solid mate, I like the Hume pick. You think Grimes over Norgaard? I do think Coventry will start well so just curious on the thinking

      1. Zoostation
        • 12 Years
        22 mins ago

        If I'm being honest haven't really considered Norgaard. Fixture certainly isn't as good, but he's part of a much better team. Need to look at it futher.

        Do we know that he's 100% nailed on?

        Glad you like the rest of the team.

        1. Riska
          • 14 Years
          10 mins ago

          Every pick here to my eye makes total sense and I can absolutely see the thinking. You could argue the toss on, say, Thomas and van Ewjik but it's exactly that, just a coin toss. I'm also on 4/5 of your mids -- Semenyo in particular I feel like I'm being gaslit into thinking not a good choice when practically ever data point suggests he's an outstanding pick for the price.

          We definitely don't know that Norgaard is nailed at this stage. I would love a 5.0 enabler myself but currently have sacrificed some backline for some mid certainty.

          1. Zoostation
            • 12 Years
            1 min ago

            I'm happy to take the punt on Grimes in this match up.
            He's nailed, takes corners etc..

            I am obviously worried about no Bruno but am happy to take the risk with how not having him makes the rest of the team look.

  3. Powers106
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    55 mins ago

    Why is everyone going Mosquera, my first thought is “who?” And I guess wait for community shield but …

    1. jayzico
      • 15 Years
      just now

      Eh, Saliba out for a month or two? He's the best replacement for that exact spot.

  4. Wissa with a brace

    1. Mother Farke
      • 2 Years
      40 mins ago

      I know the caveat is "v 10 men", but it would be nice to have Wissa as an option at 6.0. He's proven he can bag.

      1. Yes that is true . He banged 2 seasons ago

  5. MetallicaJack93
    • 2 Years
    53 mins ago

    Mosquera or calafiori?

    1. jayzico
      • 15 Years
      17 mins ago

      I trust Mosq more than Cal with Hincapie waiting in the wings

    2. CoracAld2831
      • 5 Years
      16 mins ago

      Calafiori if he is nailed otherwise Mosquera.

      1. jayzico
        • 15 Years
        1 min ago

        This I suppose. More attacking. Higher ceiling.

        Possibly...

        Raya
        White
        Mosquera
        Gabriel
        Calafiori
        Ødegaard
        Lewis-Skelly
        Havertz
        Dowman
        Gyökeres
        Tzolis

        1. jayzico
          • 15 Years
          just now

          But I suspect Saka to be fairly fit for at least half a match

  6. jayzico
    • 15 Years
    53 mins ago

    Question.

    I guess those of you with DCL won't play Neco and vice versa (GW1)

    1. Riska
      • 14 Years
      9 mins ago

      Not quite what you're asking but I have both Le Fée and O'Shea currently. But I also have DCL and think Forest will concede in GW1. So I guess it's a case of will Neco get an attacking return (very possibly) vs a more stable defcon 5.0 -- not sure I have the answer here, mostly food for thought

  7. Kodap
    • 9 Years
    52 mins ago

    Hi all, how we thinking this looks? I'm quite happy tbf, 0.5m in the bank.

    Kinsky
    Maguire - Gvardiol - Calafiori
    Palmer - Bruno - Sangare - Wirtz - Le Fee
    Haaland - DCL

    Verbruggen - Diop - Van Ewijk - Kusi Asare

    1. CoracAld2831
      • 5 Years
      16 mins ago

      Looks good.

    2. jayzico
      • 15 Years
      13 mins ago

      What is Kusi Asare? Surely better choices?

      1. TheBiffas
        • 5 Years
        10 mins ago

        Yeah he's a 4.5 Fulham striker but since they signed Gonzalo Garcia his chances look pretty bleak. Walle Egeli is the one

        1. jayzico
          • 15 Years
          6 mins ago

          oh cheers dude

  8. Son Hume-mings just popped in my head for a team name. Has it been done already?

  9. CoracAld2831
    • 5 Years
    44 mins ago

    Are you currently going woth Bench Boost GW1, GW2 or neither.

    For me it's neither.

    Even though i do not like the chip i prefer to save it for later when i have more information regarding set ups etc. I also do not want to commit to an early wildcard on 4/5 when there is still 14-15 gameweeks before i get a new one. Too much risk and uncertainty for me. But i und

    1. CoracAld2831
      • 5 Years
      8 mins ago

      But i understand why people are using it.

    2. TheBiffas
      • 5 Years
      5 mins ago

      GW2 purely because of the Cov fixture. Means the bench doesn't need to be super heavy and an early wildcard isn't necessary

  10. speardrops
    • 14 Years
    42 mins ago

    My Definitive 2026/27 FPL Goalkeeper Guide is out.

    Includes the best keepers, rotations, fixtures, Bench Boost planning and more. I don’t think you’ll need to do much GK analysis yourself after watching it.

    Can watch or listen at your own pace here: https://youtu.be/lJjkBktTxY0

    Strikers next...

    1. The Hunt
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      27 mins ago

      Nice one!

  11. TheBiffas
    • 5 Years
    36 mins ago

    Hate that Groß is template now 🙁

    1. fantasyfog
      • 11 Years
      30 mins ago

      He wont even play, let them have him

    2. Jafalad
      • 16 Years
      14 mins ago

      He only averaged 2-3 ppg last season so he is very much a bit of a gamble. Need to see if the sps make a difference.

      1. TheBiffas
        • 5 Years
        just now

        Not sure that's correct? He resigned in January, 78pts in 18 games works out as 4.3ppg

  12. Fletch69
    • 5 Years
    29 mins ago

    Any concerns or good to go:

    Raya / Verbruggen

    Gvardiol / Calafiori / Shaw / Mitchell / Cash

    Mbuemo / Semenyo / MGW / Le Fee / Gross

    1. fantasyfog
      • 11 Years
      16 mins ago

      Concerned

      1. Fletch69
        • 5 Years
        8 mins ago

        Dropped the phone and post3d before I'd added the forwards lol

    2. Fletch69
      • 5 Years
      16 mins ago

      Haaland / Joao Pedro / DCL

    3. Jafalad
      • 16 Years
      4 mins ago

      Mbeumo really tailed off last season so I would prefer Cunha.
      MGW over achieved on his x data last season so I am not too sure if he can reproduce the same output. Prefer to monitor these two.

      1. Fletch69
        • 5 Years
        just now

        Thanks, was thinking MGW has had 140+ for 4 years running, and Mbuemo is looking like starting up top for Man U.

  13. Jafalad
    • 16 Years
    19 mins ago

    89 rating. Thoughts?

    Verbrugen/Kinsky

    Rodon, Mosquiera, Gvardiol, Ballard, Shaw

    Le Fee, Bruno F, Gross, Szob, Cunha

    DCL, Brobbey, Haarland.

    Could play BB in week 1 with this.

    Sacrificed Pedro for Brobbey but it gets me Rodon instead on a 4.0 and Le Fee instead of a 5.5 mid.

  14. AK-ATTACK ⚽
    • 4 Years
    14 mins ago

    Starting with 4 in defence doesn't seem very popular with FPL creators and FPL manages in general. I understand attack is the best form of defence !

    What your thinking or experience on a back 4 attacking returns, CS or DFCON at the start of an FPL season ?