Spot the Differential
21 August 2026 694 comments
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Sunderland, Everton and Leeds United players are on our differentials radar in Gameweek 1 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

DAN BALLARD

  • FPL ownership: 5.3%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: ips | FUL | bre | ARS | mci

With newly-promoted Ipswich Town up first, followed by a home encounter with Fulham, Dan Ballard (£5.0m) looks like a decent under-the-radar pick.

The Sunderland centre-back averaged 10.98 defensive contributions (DefCon) per 90 minutes in 2025/26.

He subsequently hit the required DefCon threshold in 51.7% of his matches.

Notably, only six defenders (and four current ones in FPL!) had a greater DefCon hit rate:

Image from our FPL Toolkit

Ballard also carries a bit of goal threat from set plays.

He scored twice from such situations last season, and ranked fifth among defenders for shots from set plays, with 24. Given his lower minutes (2,164) compared to other defenders on this list, it’s even more impressive.

Ballard also recorded two Fantasy assists, one from a penalty he was awarded, the other from a cross that he flicked on.

By prioritising structure and defensive shape, Sunderland ranked joint-fourth for clean sheets last season, with 11.

Further down the line, European football could potentially impact their domestic form. However, Matchday 1 of the Europa League isn’t until after Gameweek 4, so Ballard could still be a nice option for those on an early Wildcard strategy.

It allows you to target those early Sunderland fixtures against Ipswich and Fulham, both of whom are under new management.

THIERNO BARRY

  • FPL ownership: 1.3%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: CRY | bou | MUN | tot | IPS

Picked by only 1.3% of managers, Thierno Barry (£5.5m) is a cheap forward option to consider, particularly for those on an early Bench Boost.

Everton are hardly known for their attacking intent, and Barry did somewhat underwhelm last season, with eight goals in just under 2,000 minutes of top-flight football.

However, lots of his shots were from good positions inside the box (0.21 xG per shot).

 Image from our FPL Toolkit

His 18 big chances weren’t bettered by any other Everton player, either.

Barry isn’t completely nailed-on to start each week, and even when he does, he usually gets subbed off early.

But he does appear to have moved ahead of Beto (£5.5m) in the striker pecking order this summer, having scored three goals and supplied one assist in pre-season. He also started each of Everton’s final two friendlies against Newcastle United and Lille.

According to our Fixture Ticker, David Moyes’ side have the best first six matches of all teams, with new boys Ipswich Town and Hull City included in that run.

Up first is Crystal Palace, who new head coach Pierre Sage has already said aren’t ready for their Premier League opener.

At an affordable price, Barry could be a decent cheap forward enabler.

ANTON STACH

  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: nfo | BRE | bha | NEW | CRY

Anton Stach (£6.0m) averaged an impressive 4.9 points per start last season, outperforming many other popular FPL midfielders, including Elliot Anderson (£6.5m, 4.8 points per start), Bryan Mbeumo (£8.0m, 4.7) and Morgan Rogers (£7.5m, 4.6).

Yet the Leeds United man is owned by merely 0.9% of squads as we approach Friday’s deadline.

Helped by a role on set plays, Stach scored five goals and supplied six assists (three Opta/three Fantasy) in 29 matches last season.

In terms of assist potential, he created 63 chances for his teammates, by far the most of any Leeds player:

Image from our FPL Toolkit

He also hit the DefCon threshold 10 times, with a 34.5% hit rate.

Harry Wilson’s (£6.5m) arrival at Elland Road may see Stach play a bit deeper and share set plays. However, Leeds’ early run of fixtures offers encouragement that he will still have plenty of license to push forward.

Daniel Farke’s men visit Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 1, with further encounters against Brentford, Brighton and Hove Albion, Newcastle United and Crystal Palace before the first international break.

Three of those fixtures are on home turf, where Leeds only lost five times last season.  

After that, the schedule takes a turn for the worse, so Stach could be an ideal early investment, partricularly for those managers who plan to Wildcard in Gameweek 6.


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  1. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Is this team finally G2G

    Kinsky Dubravka
    Calaflori Gvardiol Maguire De Cuyper Thomas
    Fernandes Mbeumo Szoboszial Tzolis Slater
    Haaland Pedro DCL

    Any ideas would be appreciated

    1. NobodyF*cksWithTheJesus
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      It looks good to me. Personally think Tzolis is bit of a gamble but a fun one

      1. Royal5
        • 15 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Could be this years Wirtz

        1. Brosstan
          • 12 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          More likely to be this years Wirtz is ... Wirtz, who is somehow in a ton of teams.

    2. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Szoboszlai vs Odegaard is a tricky one… would give you an extra 0.5m

    3. Toplad
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Same as mine but I’ve got Shaw, Verbrugen

  2. NobodyF*cksWithTheJesus
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    5.5 for a 5th mid on BB1

    A. Sangare (Brentford)
    B. Gross
    C. Gomez and save 0.5

    Anyone I'm overlooking?

    1. Woifi89
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Sangare as Brighton played on Thursday

  3. Totalfootball
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Amad + White or
    Tzolis + Maguire

    1. NobodyF*cksWithTheJesus
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B

  4. JELLYFISH
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Best 4.5 DEF to complete this defensive line up (BB1)?. Currently on Ajer.

    Califiori Shaw O'Nien De Cuyper *****

  5. Royal5
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    White or Mosquera?

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      White

  6. Emiliano Sala
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Walle egeli best 4.5 forward?

    1. El_Matador
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      That's who I've gone for, unless anyone has any better suggestions?

      1. ArthurBrutal
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Kusi-Asare?

  7. Ray85
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Elf, Gross or Schade?

    1. Woifi89
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Schade

  8. Emiliano Sala
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Ffs server down?

  9. GCM0803
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    GTG?

    Kinsky Verbruggen
    Calafiori Maguire Ballard Ajer Diop
    Bruno Mbeumo Szoboszlai Tzolis Slater
    Haaland JP DCL

    1. JELLYFISH
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Looks g2g, not dissimilar to mine (and many on here too tbf). I've gone De Cuyper, O'Nien and Gross for your Ballard, Diop and Slater

  10. Kane Train
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Which 2 would you rather have?

    A) Raya + Mbeumo
    B) Kinsky + Palmer

  11. Sfowl123
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    A) Lammens + Shaw
    B) Kinsky + Maguire

    Which one?

  12. Ray85
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Gross, Schade or Le Fee?

    1. RICICLE
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Gross

      1. Ray85
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Surely his mins will be managed with Europe?

  13. adstomko
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Which pair:

    A) Raya & O’Reilly
    B) Verbruggen & Gabriel

    1. Totalfootball
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

  14. ran
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Best 8m max midfielder to go with these?

    Odegaard Wirtz Foden Mbeumo

    1. Totalfootball
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Schade

  15. Nutmeg Ninja
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Trying to maximize BB1 with the highest upside players (with no Haaland 😐 )

    Highest upside 5.5-6.0 mid?

    a) Schade
    b) Hinshelwood
    c) Ndiaye
    d) Barnes
    e) Sangare
    f) Ndoye

    1. Totalfootball
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

    2. Nutmeg Ninja
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      **Forgot Le Fee!!

  16. HellasLEAF
    • 17 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Start one:

    DCL or Gross

    1. Calafiornication
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Grob

  17. Brosstan
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    All 3 in my team... Do you have access to my account Tom?

  18. Dybala10
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Foden or Rogers for 1-3 GWs?

    Own Haaland and JPedro.

  19. brain67
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 17 days ago

    How does it look, think ive finally settled

    Kinsky / Verbrugen

    Mosqeria / Calafori / Frimpong / Maguire / Robertson

    Gibbs White / Wirtz / Tzolis / Mbeumo / Gross

    Brobbey / Haaland / Pedro

  20. Ronnies
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Which Ipswich defender is the best for BB1?

    A) Diop
    B) Davis
    C) O'Shea

    Cheers.

  21. Glokollur nr.1
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    A) kinsky, maguire, szobo
    B) dubravka, de cuyper, mbuemo

  22. bitars
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    A) Szoboszlai+Joao Pedro

    or

    B) Mbuemo+Brobbery+0,5itb

  23. Fpl_Ludwig
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Thoughts on this BB?

    Lammens / Verbruggen
    Maguire / Calafiori / White / Palestra / Frimpong
    Szoboszlai / Tzolis / Semenyo / Mbeumo / Moore
    Haaland / Joao pedro / Barry

  24. MetallicaJack93
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Captain Bruno or haaland?

    Kinsky or verb?

  25. GoonerSteve
    • 16 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Would you go Ballard over Jacquet?

  26. Feed tha Sheep
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    First to 3 please and thank you?

    A. Ajer & Sangare/Grob
    B. Ballard & Gomez

  27. jayzico
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    ARGHHHHHH.

    Wirtz or Szobs?

    Got Isak and Tzolis

  28. tom66
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Final decision. Who scores most in GW1?

    - DCL
    - Le Fee
    - Brobbey

    1. shady4revr
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Dcl

  29. chelseabrad
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    G2G? 2.0m ITB

    Raya
    VVD Shaw Gvardiol
    Semenyo Tzolis Szobo Mbuemo
    Haaland J.Pedro DCL

    (Dubravka Diop Slater Thomas)

  30. Feanor
    • 17 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Not seeing comments?