Spot the Differential
21 August 2026 694 comments
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Sunderland, Everton and Leeds United players are on our differentials radar in Gameweek 1 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

DAN BALLARD

  • FPL ownership: 5.3%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: ips | FUL | bre | ARS | mci

With newly-promoted Ipswich Town up first, followed by a home encounter with Fulham, Dan Ballard (£5.0m) looks like a decent under-the-radar pick.

The Sunderland centre-back averaged 10.98 defensive contributions (DefCon) per 90 minutes in 2025/26.

He subsequently hit the required DefCon threshold in 51.7% of his matches.

Notably, only six defenders (and four current ones in FPL!) had a greater DefCon hit rate:

Image from our FPL Toolkit

Ballard also carries a bit of goal threat from set plays.

He scored twice from such situations last season, and ranked fifth among defenders for shots from set plays, with 24. Given his lower minutes (2,164) compared to other defenders on this list, it’s even more impressive.

Ballard also recorded two Fantasy assists, one from a penalty he was awarded, the other from a cross that he flicked on.

By prioritising structure and defensive shape, Sunderland ranked joint-fourth for clean sheets last season, with 11.

Further down the line, European football could potentially impact their domestic form. However, Matchday 1 of the Europa League isn’t until after Gameweek 4, so Ballard could still be a nice option for those on an early Wildcard strategy.

It allows you to target those early Sunderland fixtures against Ipswich and Fulham, both of whom are under new management.

THIERNO BARRY

  • FPL ownership: 1.3%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: CRY | bou | MUN | tot | IPS

Picked by only 1.3% of managers, Thierno Barry (£5.5m) is a cheap forward option to consider, particularly for those on an early Bench Boost.

Everton are hardly known for their attacking intent, and Barry did somewhat underwhelm last season, with eight goals in just under 2,000 minutes of top-flight football.

However, lots of his shots were from good positions inside the box (0.21 xG per shot).

 Image from our FPL Toolkit

His 18 big chances weren’t bettered by any other Everton player, either.

Barry isn’t completely nailed-on to start each week, and even when he does, he usually gets subbed off early.

But he does appear to have moved ahead of Beto (£5.5m) in the striker pecking order this summer, having scored three goals and supplied one assist in pre-season. He also started each of Everton’s final two friendlies against Newcastle United and Lille.

According to our Fixture Ticker, David Moyes’ side have the best first six matches of all teams, with new boys Ipswich Town and Hull City included in that run.

Up first is Crystal Palace, who new head coach Pierre Sage has already said aren’t ready for their Premier League opener.

At an affordable price, Barry could be a decent cheap forward enabler.

ANTON STACH

  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: nfo | BRE | bha | NEW | CRY

Anton Stach (£6.0m) averaged an impressive 4.9 points per start last season, outperforming many other popular FPL midfielders, including Elliot Anderson (£6.5m, 4.8 points per start), Bryan Mbeumo (£8.0m, 4.7) and Morgan Rogers (£7.5m, 4.6).

Yet the Leeds United man is owned by merely 0.9% of squads as we approach Friday’s deadline.

Helped by a role on set plays, Stach scored five goals and supplied six assists (three Opta/three Fantasy) in 29 matches last season.

In terms of assist potential, he created 63 chances for his teammates, by far the most of any Leeds player:

Image from our FPL Toolkit

He also hit the DefCon threshold 10 times, with a 34.5% hit rate.

Harry Wilson’s (£6.5m) arrival at Elland Road may see Stach play a bit deeper and share set plays. However, Leeds’ early run of fixtures offers encouragement that he will still have plenty of license to push forward.

Daniel Farke’s men visit Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 1, with further encounters against Brentford, Brighton and Hove Albion, Newcastle United and Crystal Palace before the first international break.

Three of those fixtures are on home turf, where Leeds only lost five times last season.  

After that, the schedule takes a turn for the worse, so Stach could be an ideal early investment, partricularly for those managers who plan to Wildcard in Gameweek 6.


694 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. MC Hammer
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Is White a safer option than Mosquera? I don't want to be forced into a transfer after 1 week for Monday.

    1. Jstap94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I think so yes

  2. Eastman
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Best 5.5 mid to play on a bb. Not sure on Gross but is he the best? Thanks

  3. Eastman
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Best 5.5 mid. Is it Gross? Thanks

    1. Jstap94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Gross, Sangare (probably) and then Ampadu

      1. Eastman
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Thanks. Think I'll go Sangare.

  4. Jstap94
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Who do we think is on City penalties with Haaland off the pitch?

    1. Amartey Partey
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Not really. Maybe Marmoush?

  5. Sigga43
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Oscar Bobb in my side currently (5.5m) surely it's his wing spot to lose to start the season? Keep in mind they've lost Jiminez and Wilson who contributed the lion's share of their goals.

    1. Jstap94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      He will probably start. Is he any good? Are Fulham good?

      1. Sigga43
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Very valid comment, he looked okay before he got injured, but that was 2 years ago. Fulham look pretty poor. Surely they still get 40ish goals, for reference, 2nd lowest last season was burnly 38. fulham 47 goals.
        you're taking away most of their last season goal contributions, someone's gotta be involved in their goals. Not sure it's Bobb, but maybe.

    2. GreennRed
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Palacios also 5.5m

  6. Pep Roulette
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Any Brighton fan here? Is De Cuyper likely to start at LW against Villa? And how long is he nailed in that position?

    1. Holmes
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      2-3 weeks

    2. Ball Ake
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Yes he is, at least a month I'd say, unless we sign a new winger.

    3. Pep Roulette
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Cheers both

  7. GoonerGirl
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Is anyone having Sangare (Brentford) in their team?

    1. Jstap94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Lots on here i believe. I have him. Interesting comments from Andrews in presser that he views him as an "all-round midfielder", and did alright for goals and assists last year

      1. GoonerGirl
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Great, think I'll keep then. Just started to see him out of some teams that had him, so was worried something had happened.

        1. G-Whizz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          Been told Andrews has stated he will start but can't find the comment as my head is on a swivel atm...

          1. Eastman
            • 9 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            Ive chosen him over Gross

  8. The Frenchie
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Lammens
    White - Palestra - Gvardiol - Maguire
    Bruno Fernandes - Schade - Tzolis
    Haaland - Isak - Joao Pedro

    Any advice ?

  9. JabbaWookiee
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Ndiaye and 4.5 fwd (5-3-2) or DCL and 4.5 mid (4-4-2)?

    1. George Agdgdgwngo
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      DCL

      1. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Thanks. I’ll now transfer the monies…

      2. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        1 month, 16 days ago

        Dag nabbit!!!

  10. Holmes
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    It's time to answer everyone

  11. tmstrand
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Current bench Verbruggen, Ndiaye, DCL and Vuskovic.

    BB?

  12. FDMS All Starz
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Thoughts on this team for BB1? Anything you would change?

    Kinsky (Verbruggen)
    Calafiori Shaw Rodon (Mykolenko Diop)
    Bruno Mbuemo Odegaard Tzolis (Henshelwood)
    Haaland DCL Pedro

    1. Sly Fly
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I like it. The only possible negative is double ARS midfield will cost you a couple of transfers if you do to double defence later on.

  13. Pomp and Circumstance
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    if have Kinsky, is OK to have a non-playing 4.0 GK for the 2nd one? this would keep more options open for TOT later on, if needed

    1. Sun God Nika
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      ie like dubravka who also plays for spurs?

      1. Pomp and Circumstance
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        yeah, do you think Kinsky is secured enough that can choose someone other than Dubravka as the 2nd GK? and then have more options for TOT available if wanted later

        1. Van der Faart
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          Kinsky is 100% nailed

        2. GreennRed
          • 15 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          Not sure why Spurs under DeZerbi are so rated as a cleansheet prospect here. Not the DNA of either.They're wait and see for defensive assets for me.

          1. Sun Jihai
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            Ultimately it's a 4.5m GK for a team that in theory should be pushing for top 4 with how much they have spent. They also had good defensive stats under De Zerbi last season.

            1. Pomp and Circumstance
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              1 month, 17 days ago

              thx; for the 2nd GK, none of the 4.0s are expected to start; of them, go with Palmer tho? or someone else? (don't have budget for another 4.5)

  14. King H
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Who is the go to 4.5 defender?

    1. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Shaw or Mitchell

    2. GreennRed
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Mitchell, Shaw, Hume. More to show their potential.

  15. Ibralicious
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Hold on, I've been trying to join the 3 below, but it keeps giving contact admin error. Are these now closed?

    Top 10k Any Season (league code amphx4) is only for teams with at least one overall top 10,000 finish.
    Multiple Top 10k Finishes (league code g69zt9) is for teams with two or more top 10,000 finishes.
    Top 0.15% Any Season (league code 8u59ye) is a new mini-league, for teams with at least one %Finish of 0.0% or 0.1% (0.0% means top 0.05% and 0.1% means top 0.15%).

  16. Blens
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Hi all,

    Best £5.0m defender...I'm currently on N. Williams (5.0) but Nottingham F don't seem to be fancied by anyone, and he may be a differential?
    What do you think? Give me options friends..

  17. PartyTime
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Late deadline call for me. I didn't realize we get two set of chips so BB gw1 it is!

    Shall we?! 😉

    1. Holmes
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      majority are

  18. El Copo
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Vuskovic or Muharemovic?

    1. Holmes
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Muhare

  19. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Site is creaking!

    A) Szobo + Maguire
    B) Wirtz + Shaw

    Thanks!

    1. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Should be OK now, just needed a few tweaks to be done to handle the capacity...

    2. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Tzolis and Maguire?

  20. Super John McGinn-
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Best 11.5 midfield? One will be benched most weeks. Currently on Le Fee and Gomez with 0.5 ITB

    1. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Sangaré and EFL?

  21. Emp
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Shaw or hume for the first 2?

    1. jayzico
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Shaw. But BOTH surely. Ah, only if benchboosting

  22. Holmes
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    site overload

  23. jayzico
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Wirtz or Szobs???

  24. Eastman
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Done. BB active

    Verb
    Calafiori Maguire Ajer
    Bruno Mbuemo Tzolis Odegaard
    Haaland Pedo DCL
    Kinsky Sangore (Bre) Rodon Diop

    1. Wenger_In
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Best of luck everyone and good luck on the GW2 wildcard I'll certainly be there

      1. Eastman
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Yes good luck everyone

    2. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Nice team 🙂

  25. Jordan.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    constantly having to log in,then goes to 0 comments,get logged out,refreshes forever,what a simply awful time for this to happen to the site,absolute nightmare for somebody,hope its fixed soon

    1. Saka White Rice
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Yeah and I couldn't even reply to your comment without refreshing!

  26. Amartey Partey
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    No-Haaland teams unite!*

    *Behind the couch

    1. Sun God Nika
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      im so conflicted over this
      i keep changing it back and forth

  27. Saka White Rice
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Surely Schade over Ndiaye? More nailed and better data?

    1. boroie
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      More nailed? Who’s starting ahead of Ndiaye?

  28. Serrao10
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 17 days ago

    will Rogers be a starter in GW1?

    1. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I think so. Alonso wasted no time at all trying to give him minutes when he came back from preseason...

  29. Sun God Nika
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Who edges it out of Thiago vs Cavert lewin ?

  30. Mirec007
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    A) Gvardiol + Sangare
    B) Maguire + Schade

    1. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Maguire and Sangaré for me...