Spot the Differential
21 August 2026 694 comments
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Sunderland, Everton and Leeds United players are on our differentials radar in Gameweek 1 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

DAN BALLARD

  • FPL ownership: 5.3%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: ips | FUL | bre | ARS | mci

With newly-promoted Ipswich Town up first, followed by a home encounter with Fulham, Dan Ballard (£5.0m) looks like a decent under-the-radar pick.

The Sunderland centre-back averaged 10.98 defensive contributions (DefCon) per 90 minutes in 2025/26.

He subsequently hit the required DefCon threshold in 51.7% of his matches.

Notably, only six defenders (and four current ones in FPL!) had a greater DefCon hit rate:

Image from our FPL Toolkit

Ballard also carries a bit of goal threat from set plays.

He scored twice from such situations last season, and ranked fifth among defenders for shots from set plays, with 24. Given his lower minutes (2,164) compared to other defenders on this list, it’s even more impressive.

Ballard also recorded two Fantasy assists, one from a penalty he was awarded, the other from a cross that he flicked on.

By prioritising structure and defensive shape, Sunderland ranked joint-fourth for clean sheets last season, with 11.

Further down the line, European football could potentially impact their domestic form. However, Matchday 1 of the Europa League isn’t until after Gameweek 4, so Ballard could still be a nice option for those on an early Wildcard strategy.

It allows you to target those early Sunderland fixtures against Ipswich and Fulham, both of whom are under new management.

THIERNO BARRY

  • FPL ownership: 1.3%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: CRY | bou | MUN | tot | IPS

Picked by only 1.3% of managers, Thierno Barry (£5.5m) is a cheap forward option to consider, particularly for those on an early Bench Boost.

Everton are hardly known for their attacking intent, and Barry did somewhat underwhelm last season, with eight goals in just under 2,000 minutes of top-flight football.

However, lots of his shots were from good positions inside the box (0.21 xG per shot).

 Image from our FPL Toolkit

His 18 big chances weren’t bettered by any other Everton player, either.

Barry isn’t completely nailed-on to start each week, and even when he does, he usually gets subbed off early.

But he does appear to have moved ahead of Beto (£5.5m) in the striker pecking order this summer, having scored three goals and supplied one assist in pre-season. He also started each of Everton’s final two friendlies against Newcastle United and Lille.

According to our Fixture Ticker, David Moyes’ side have the best first six matches of all teams, with new boys Ipswich Town and Hull City included in that run.

Up first is Crystal Palace, who new head coach Pierre Sage has already said aren’t ready for their Premier League opener.

At an affordable price, Barry could be a decent cheap forward enabler.

ANTON STACH

  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: nfo | BRE | bha | NEW | CRY

Anton Stach (£6.0m) averaged an impressive 4.9 points per start last season, outperforming many other popular FPL midfielders, including Elliot Anderson (£6.5m, 4.8 points per start), Bryan Mbeumo (£8.0m, 4.7) and Morgan Rogers (£7.5m, 4.6).

Yet the Leeds United man is owned by merely 0.9% of squads as we approach Friday’s deadline.

Helped by a role on set plays, Stach scored five goals and supplied six assists (three Opta/three Fantasy) in 29 matches last season.

In terms of assist potential, he created 63 chances for his teammates, by far the most of any Leeds player:

Image from our FPL Toolkit

He also hit the DefCon threshold 10 times, with a 34.5% hit rate.

Harry Wilson’s (£6.5m) arrival at Elland Road may see Stach play a bit deeper and share set plays. However, Leeds’ early run of fixtures offers encouragement that he will still have plenty of license to push forward.

Daniel Farke’s men visit Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 1, with further encounters against Brentford, Brighton and Hove Albion, Newcastle United and Crystal Palace before the first international break.

Three of those fixtures are on home turf, where Leeds only lost five times last season.  

After that, the schedule takes a turn for the worse, so Stach could be an ideal early investment, partricularly for those managers who plan to Wildcard in Gameweek 6.


694 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. The Tinkerman
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Torn between A, which is all in first 2 GWs and book in WC3 or B, which is a slight hedge to let me FH3 instead and delay the WC to 5…

    A) White, Mosquera, Roefs, Semenyo
    B) OReilly, Palestra, Raya, Tzolis

  2. ididnt
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Does it look like Walle Egeli plays? Have him on a bench boost.

    1. Diles Mavis
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Yes, I hope so. I have him as my enabler for Raya Gabriel Bruno Haaland.

  3. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    A) Maguire & Gross
    B) O'Nien & 6.5 (Odegaard/Sarr)

    BB this week and then O'Nien bench fodder after that

    Already have Tzolis & Ndiaye as cheaper mids

  4. PartyTime
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Predictions here please

    Hull vs Man utd
    Nfo vs Leed
    Ipswich vs Sunderland

    ( Though I fancy Hull scoring against Utd)

    Thanks

  5. mr. inconspicuous
    • 17 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Final decision - Le Fee and Ndiaye or Gomez and Szoboszlai?

  6. Just jarvo
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    do you get 2 of every chip? one first half of season one second?

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Yes

  7. shady4revr
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Havertz or Gyokeres?

    1. Domo
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Neither

  8. Zero
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Thoughts on Hinshelwood as another low-picked player? Likely #10 vs a shabby looking Villa defense?

    1. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Should start having been benched for the Tromso game...

      1. FPL Blow-In
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Agreed

  9. Jstap94
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Do we think Semenyo could be on pens if Haaland is off the pitch?

    1. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Ederson 😉

      Could be yes.

  10. NobodyF*cksWithTheJesus
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    BBers - how many points would you be happy with?

    1. Holmes
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      12+

    2. Jstap94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Honestly, give me 1 return and I am happy. Prepared for 8, happy with 12

    3. Wet Bandits
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I think the real reward is that weve got it out the way.. holding onto a strong bench for 10 weeks for 12points.. no thanks.

    4. Woking Wanderers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      24

  11. Make FPL Casual Again
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    First time asking one of these...
    Shaw and Vuskovic OR
    Maguire and De Cuyper

    1. Woking Wanderers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I've gone with Maguire & De Cuyper

      1. Make FPL Casual Again
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Yeah that's what ive put in..makes sense...cheers

  12. Van der Faart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Thoughts please?

    Verbruggen (Kinsky)
    Shaw Calafiori Vuskovic (Rodon O'Shea)
    Bruno Mbuemo Odegaard Gross Szob
    Haaland Pedro (Barry)

    Dont plan to BB this week

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Also considering

      Kerkez and Gomez instead of Vuskovic and Gross

  13. PartyTime
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Final call.

    1. Vuskovic + Aina
    2. Neco + KadIoglu

    Thanks

    1. Woking Wanderers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Ballard & De Cuyper. Won't be much give in the NFO v LEE game.

      1. PartyTime
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Thanks. I already have Hume.

  14. XX SMICER XX
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Which trio on BB
    A. White Foden Rogers
    B. Shaw Szoboszlai Semenyo

    Verbruggen Leno
    O’Reilly Calafiori Maguire Ajar XXX
    Mbuemo Tzolis Ndaiye XXX XXX
    Haaland Pedro Brobbey

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B

    2. Dorse88
      • 16 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B

  15. MrMartini2026
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Last min dilemma... help please
    A- tzolis and Ballard
    B- gvardiol and Le Fee
    C- A better combo for 11.5

    1. Sly Fly
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I've gone Tzolis and Muharemovic, but equally you could get Maguire.

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        This

    2. Woking Wanderers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I have all 4 of your A or B choices.
      All I'd point to is the FPL Draft tool xPs for them;
      Tzolis 5.3, Ballard 4.1, Gvadiol 4.5, Le Fee 4.3.
      GL.

  16. Dorse88
    • 16 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    G2G? BB active

    Kinsky
    Maguire Calafiori Ajer
    Tzolis Szoboszalai Mbeumo Bruno
    Haaland DCL João Pedro

    Verbruggen Gomez Rodon Diop

    Thanks.

    1. Sly Fly
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Like it. Maybe one thing to consider would be Szob > Gross, and you can upgrade both Gomez to a Sangare AND Rodon > Muharemovic. Although I do like Rodon.

    2. peddymax
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I have the same team except O'Nien instead of Rodon and Wirtz instead of Szob

  17. BobbyDoesNotLook
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    BB1
    A) Slater Maguire Gross
    B) Slater Shaw Schade
    C) Gomez Shaw Gross

    1. Wet Bandits
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I'm B..

      1. BobbyDoesNotLook
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Yep. Schade tempting. Currently on c

  18. Serrao10
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Thoughts are appreciated:

    Verbruggen (Sanchez)
    Kerkez, Maguire, Shaw (Davis, Ewijk)
    Semenyo, Wirtz, Mbeumo, Rogers (Gomez)
    Haaland, João Pedro, Igor Thiago

    I was thinking in playing in 352 with Tzolis to Gomez and Igor to Brobbey

    1. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Kerkez punty

      1. Serrao10
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 17 days ago

        I'm hoping that Kerkez as a good season with Iraola

    2. Sly Fly
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I take it you mean Gomez > Tzolis. Good moves if you want a 3-5-2. Strong midfield and attack. Rogers *could* be a little punty.

  19. Danno - Emre Canada
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Afternoon all and good luck.

    What do we think?
    Gross or Gomez
    And
    Le Fee or Stach

    Wilson taking over some of Stachs duties?
    Cheers

  20. Think
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Do any one have league code of last man standing?

    1. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      3m8787

  21. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    GTG?

    Lammens - Verbruggen
    Calafiori - James - Muharemovic - Maguire - Ballard
    Semenyo - Mbeumo - Odegaard- Tzolis - Schade
    Haaland - Pedro - Calvert-Lewin

    1. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Quite close to my own squad. I've gone Vuskovic/Gross/Bruno F/Ndiaye instead of James/Semenyo/Tzolis/Schade. But considering moving Maguire+Ndiaye to Shaw+Tzolis and BB.

  22. tmstrand
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    A) Maguire + Ndiaye
    B) Shaw + Tzolis

  23. Pariße
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Haven't seen Reece James in any draft. Seems like a nice differential on corners and free kicks.

  24. Just jarvo
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Captain
    Bruno?
    Haaland?

    1. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Haaland

  25. Kane Train
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Feedback on this team?

    Kinsky
    Calafiori / Shaw / Rodon
    Szoboszlai / Bruno F / Mbeumo / Semenyo
    J.Pedro / Haaland / DCL

    Bench: Dubruvka, Diop, Slater, Van Ewijk

    1. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Gtg

    2. Sly Fly
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      You know the obvious! It's a great eleven. Downgrading one of Szob or Semenyo would allow you to upgrade your bench...

  26. mr_jones
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    gtg?

    Raya
    White / Shaw / Hume
    Bruno / Mbeumo / Tzolis / Ndiaye
    JP / Haaland / Brobbey

    Dubravka / Sangaré / Davis / Kayode

  27. Kingmasson
    • 16 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Perhaps if there wasn’t so many advert pop ups or demands to join the Chief scout the site wouldn’t crash.

    It wasn’t like this in 2008 I tell yer

    1. Sly Fly
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Amen. I had to re-load this page five times just to get it to appear...

    2. Denis Tueart on the wing
      • 16 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      😀

    3. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Apologies for any inconvenience caused, it should be OK now...

  28. DeSelby
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Those on BB, don't forget to activate BB!

    I just remembered.

  29. Vasshin
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Bb1 active

    Kinsky
    Calafiori white Maguire Shaw
    Tzolis Ndiaye Bumo Palmer lefee
    Haaland

    Verbuggen Pedro DCL Ballard

    1. Gtg
    2. Palmer and Shaw to Wirtz/Rogers/mgw/sobz and OReilly

  30. banskt
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    One hour before the game starts. And here's my first draft, with a BB2 in mind. Not enough time to go through iterations, but are there any obvious issues?

    Verbruggen | Kinsky*
    Calafiori | Shaw | Hume | Rodon* | Van Ewijk*
    Bruno (vc) | Mbeumo | Szoboszlai | Tzolis | Groß*
    Haaland (c) | João Pedro | Brobbey
    £0 in the bank
    Starred players are on bench.

    Would have liked Gvardiol + Simms instead of Brobbey + Rodon, but Simms minutes seem to be at risk — or is that still viable for the first 2 weeks? Bruno and Brobbey (or Simms, if I decide to go that way) will be out in GW3.

    1. Sly Fly
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Pretty darn good.