Spot the Differential
21 August 2026 694 comments
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Sunderland, Everton and Leeds United players are on our differentials radar in Gameweek 1 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

DAN BALLARD

  • FPL ownership: 5.3%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: ips | FUL | bre | ARS | mci

With newly-promoted Ipswich Town up first, followed by a home encounter with Fulham, Dan Ballard (£5.0m) looks like a decent under-the-radar pick.

The Sunderland centre-back averaged 10.98 defensive contributions (DefCon) per 90 minutes in 2025/26.

He subsequently hit the required DefCon threshold in 51.7% of his matches.

Notably, only six defenders (and four current ones in FPL!) had a greater DefCon hit rate:

Image from our FPL Toolkit

Ballard also carries a bit of goal threat from set plays.

He scored twice from such situations last season, and ranked fifth among defenders for shots from set plays, with 24. Given his lower minutes (2,164) compared to other defenders on this list, it’s even more impressive.

Ballard also recorded two Fantasy assists, one from a penalty he was awarded, the other from a cross that he flicked on.

By prioritising structure and defensive shape, Sunderland ranked joint-fourth for clean sheets last season, with 11.

Further down the line, European football could potentially impact their domestic form. However, Matchday 1 of the Europa League isn’t until after Gameweek 4, so Ballard could still be a nice option for those on an early Wildcard strategy.

It allows you to target those early Sunderland fixtures against Ipswich and Fulham, both of whom are under new management.

THIERNO BARRY

  • FPL ownership: 1.3%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: CRY | bou | MUN | tot | IPS

Picked by only 1.3% of managers, Thierno Barry (£5.5m) is a cheap forward option to consider, particularly for those on an early Bench Boost.

Everton are hardly known for their attacking intent, and Barry did somewhat underwhelm last season, with eight goals in just under 2,000 minutes of top-flight football.

However, lots of his shots were from good positions inside the box (0.21 xG per shot).

 Image from our FPL Toolkit

His 18 big chances weren’t bettered by any other Everton player, either.

Barry isn’t completely nailed-on to start each week, and even when he does, he usually gets subbed off early.

But he does appear to have moved ahead of Beto (£5.5m) in the striker pecking order this summer, having scored three goals and supplied one assist in pre-season. He also started each of Everton’s final two friendlies against Newcastle United and Lille.

According to our Fixture Ticker, David Moyes’ side have the best first six matches of all teams, with new boys Ipswich Town and Hull City included in that run.

Up first is Crystal Palace, who new head coach Pierre Sage has already said aren’t ready for their Premier League opener.

At an affordable price, Barry could be a decent cheap forward enabler.

ANTON STACH

  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: nfo | BRE | bha | NEW | CRY

Anton Stach (£6.0m) averaged an impressive 4.9 points per start last season, outperforming many other popular FPL midfielders, including Elliot Anderson (£6.5m, 4.8 points per start), Bryan Mbeumo (£8.0m, 4.7) and Morgan Rogers (£7.5m, 4.6).

Yet the Leeds United man is owned by merely 0.9% of squads as we approach Friday’s deadline.

Helped by a role on set plays, Stach scored five goals and supplied six assists (three Opta/three Fantasy) in 29 matches last season.

In terms of assist potential, he created 63 chances for his teammates, by far the most of any Leeds player:

Image from our FPL Toolkit

He also hit the DefCon threshold 10 times, with a 34.5% hit rate.

Harry Wilson’s (£6.5m) arrival at Elland Road may see Stach play a bit deeper and share set plays. However, Leeds’ early run of fixtures offers encouragement that he will still have plenty of license to push forward.

Daniel Farke’s men visit Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 1, with further encounters against Brentford, Brighton and Hove Albion, Newcastle United and Crystal Palace before the first international break.

Three of those fixtures are on home turf, where Leeds only lost five times last season.  

After that, the schedule takes a turn for the worse, so Stach could be an ideal early investment, partricularly for those managers who plan to Wildcard in Gameweek 6.


694 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. martynteresa
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Any pregame leaks on Arsenal starters?

  2. Fifa las vegas
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    A) KDH + Sangare
    B) Rogers + Hughes

    Have Hinshelwood also, would prefer have KDH and Rogers, but don’t think it’ll be possible money wise

  3. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Thrown this together in an hour, look good enough?

    Kinsky
    Neco Calafiori Shaw
    Bruno Tzolis Mbeumo Semenyo
    Haaland Pedro DCL
    (Dubs, Hughes, Diop, van Ewijk)

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Looks pretty nailed on template

      But I've paid much less attention too

    2. Woking Wanderers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Yep, looks good enough, whether BBing or not.

  4. Jstap94
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    1) Wirtz and Tark
    2) Semenyo and Muharemovic

    1. AF90
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B

    3. The Tinkerman
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B

    4. Sly Fly
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Deux

  5. AF90
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    A) Kinksy & Calafiori + 1.0m itb
    B) Raya & Van Hecke

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

    2. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

    3. The Tinkerman
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

  6. The Tinkerman
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    A) Gabriel, Le Fee, DCL
    B) White, Semenyo, Brobbey

    WC3, BB1

    1. Royal5
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

    2. Woking Wanderers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B

  7. Nightf0x
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    12m pick 2 mids
    Schade sangare gross kdh ndiaye Hinshl gomez

    1. The Tinkerman
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Already got Le Fee? if so… Schade and Hinselwood

      1. Woking Wanderers
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        This

      2. Nightf0x
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        No

  8. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    https://x.com/i/status/2090828535640272933

    The Arsenal team walk today

    1. tiger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Solid walk, good pace, formation looked good.

      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        😆

    2. Sgt. Schultz
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Tzolis more mins then

  9. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    I’m done, can’t think anymore 😆

    Good luck to you all

    1. PartyTime
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Same here. Cheers! Good luck!

    2. Royal5
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      GL!

    3. tiger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Same, decision fatigue!

    4. Woking Wanderers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Me too. Heads gone!
      Best of luck to us all!!

  10. tiger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Will the FPL servers crash?

    1. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Lock your team in now and save yourself a headache in 20 minutes...

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Maybe

      Probably not

      August people are away etc

  11. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Which one:

    A) Roefs & Szobozlai
    B) Kinsky & Wirtz

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

    2. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

    3. Woking Wanderers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

  12. PEP G
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Mosquera Maguire Hume 4.0 4.0

    ITB:1.0M

    Already have 3 Arsenal players. Should I stick with Hume or try get someone else? I dont fancy anyone else tho.. I guess I am missing out something right haha. Yea Sunderland's fixtures on GW4-5 isnt the best but I cant think of any for now.. Any kind suggestion for defenders at 5.5M or less? Palestra worth the punt?

    1. Messiah Hazard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Shaw at 4.5 over Hume

    2. Sly Fly
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Muharemovic, Rodon. Ajer, Diop, Thomas, the other one from Coventry, O'Shea?

  13. Kane Train
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Best 4.5 goal keeper ?

    1. Saka Punch
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Kinsky imo

  14. Nickyboy
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    How nailed is Mosquera? Is it stupid to buy Konsa now for later ?

    1. Fifa las vegas
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      How nailed is Konsa either?

      1. Sly Fly
        • 17 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Not for GW1, but will be interesting to see from GW2 onwards...

  15. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Ah - I'm back.

    1. Sly Fly
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      And welcome back.

  16. Bored Ape Jota Club
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    A) Wirtz, Gross and Walle Egeli.
    B) Szobo, Gomez and Barry

    Currently on A. Walle Egeli might give me a one pointer on the BB1, but after that he is just last on my bench.

  17. Fifa las vegas
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Feck it, think I might just BB this lot

    Verbruggen, DCL, Sangare, Diop

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Do it, GL!

  18. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Which leagues to join?

  19. Messiah Hazard
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Is there a best 4.5m midfielder from any team that plays regularly?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Slater

      1. Messiah Hazard
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Thanks

  20. FantasyClub
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Lads im not seeing Groß much any reason?
    Mins risk after Europe?

    1. Sly Fly
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      He's in my team. Thinking from some content creators that he'll start... poss only 60 to 75 mins though due to Europe.

  21. Crystal Alice
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Final decision, which 4.5 def
    Kinsky Verb
    Gabriel Calafiori 4.5 Davis Van Ewik
    Wirtz Tzolis Mbeumo Semenyo Gross
    Haaland JP Brobbey

    A De Cuyper
    B Hume
    C Rodin
    D other?

    1. Royal5
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Hume

    2. Messiah Hazard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Shaw

  22. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Which?

    A) Muharemovic Semenyo
    B) O'Reilly Szoboszlai

    1. Shoplifters United
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I'd go with A for the first few GWs, or at least until we see O'Reilly's minutes. Szoboszlai is a bargain but has been playing deep. Not sure how that will affect his attacking output.

    2. Mo Mane Mo Salah
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

  23. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    It seems to me that third in the Captain's poll is just too important to leave out, so I have had a final fiddle:

    BB1 (100.0):

    ___ ___ ___ Lammens
    ___ Van Hecke _ Hume _ O’Nien
    Bruno F. _ Semenyo _ Mbeumo _ Ampadu
    __ Haaland _ Thiago _ Calvert-Lewin

    [ Verbruggen / Gomez Davies Mitchell ]

  24. Uncle John from Jamaica
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Is sudden lack of Mosquera love due to Konsa rather than a team news leak? Cheers

  25. myteamissheeeeeeeet
    • 16 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Sorry! I’m having a bad day.

    Thoughts on this please everyone? Not BB for a while. Would you change any of the 4.0 fodder?

    Verb
    Hume Maguire Cal
    Bruno Gross Mbuemo Tzolis
    (C) Holland Isak JP

    Dub Davis Slater Thomas

  26. Royal5
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Who are people capping? Gone for Bruno F

    1. Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      It's between Haaland and Bruno

    2. Sgt. Schultz
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      same here

    3. Fifa las vegas
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Bruno

    4. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Bruno.

  27. -GK22-
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    On BB

    White + Tzolis

    Or Hume + Roger’s/wirtz

    1. Fifa las vegas
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I like the Rogers version, even though I only have Hume out of all those 4

    2. Sgt. Schultz
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      White + Tzolis

  28. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Which forward to pick from the below for next 2 gw’s. Wild carding in gw 3.

    A) Dcl
    B) Richarlison
    C) Brobbey

  29. Rollercoaster
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    best 4,0 def?

    1. Fifa las vegas
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Diop?

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Thomas, van erwijk etc

  30. Kane Train
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Which one would you rather have?

    A) Rodon
    B) Hume
    C) Ajer

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

    2. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B)