Paddy Says
17 December 2016 560 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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It’s Saturday morning – time to rise, shine and study the latest Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds that have kept Paddy awake all night compiling.

But don’t feel sorry for him. It’s his job, after all.

And so is tempting new customers with enhanced offers, so that’s where we’ll start.

Two of the Gameweek’s three most transfered-in players happen to be from Liverpool. If all those managers are expecting Adam Lallana and Divock Origi-based joy, Paddy’s offer of 7-1 on the Reds emerging victorious from Monday’s Merseyside derby at Goodison could well lighten the mood even further.

Can Chelsea make it 11 league wins on the spin? Facing a Palace side that’s won just once in seven should help. Paddy’s 5-1 on yet another Blues victory looks decidedly generous.

You can also get 6-1 on Man U beating West Brom, while the even more likely event that is Spurs beating Burnley is on offer at 4-1.

And finally, the match of the Gameweek – Man City at home to Arsenal.

Pep Guardiola is struggling with the rigours of Premier League life at the moment, but even he would be tempted by the 6-1 he could get on his boys sticking it to the Gunners if he was really, really, really not allowed to bet on such things, that is.

Arsenal, meanwhile, were in a very good place before their midweek loss at Everton, with three straight wins and 11 goals scored. City’s defence is the wrong side of desperate, so if you think the Wenger boys can re-find their mojo, the 12-1 on offer looks almost irresistible.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.


ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 17

PlayerTeamOdds
KaneTOT1.36
SonTOT1.72
CostaCHE1.72
IbrahimovicMUN1.90
IheanachoMCI1.90
DefoeSUN2.00
BonySTO2.10
EriksenTOT2.20
NegredoMID2.20
CarrollWHU2.40
RashfordMUN2.40
SlimaniLEI2.50
VardyLEI2.50
OrigiLIV2.50
FirminoLIV2.50
SanchezARS2.60
WalcottARS2.60
BentekeCRY2.62


Harry Kane, Diego Costa and Christian Eriksen were our top three in this week’s captaincy poll and whaddyaknow? Two of them have been handed the shortest odds in the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Kane (1.36) has drawn a blank for two consecutive Gameweeks, but the idea that he’ll fall short again seems highly unlikely when Burnley’s truly awful away record is added to the mix.

The Clarets have managed one – count it, one – point from seven road trips this season. That came when they gave Jose Mourinho a taste of his own medicine (flavour notes: bus hints, with motes of bus) in a 90-minute homage to the parking of public transport during Gameweek 10.

Spurs have won their last three home matches, banging in 11 goals while they’ve been about it, thanks in part to the resurgent form of Eriksen (2.20).

Further down the list comes Andy Carroll, who is priced at 2.40 to help dismantle hapless Hull City. Fantasy managers haven’t exactly busted a gut to get the big fella in, whereas Michail Antonio is the 10th most popular acquisition of the Gameweek. He’s at 2.80 to score – and he’s done that twice in the last five matches.

Priced only slightly lower than that is Alexis Sanchez (2.60). The Arsenal man has fallen out of favour for the armband this week, but nine of his 12 league goals this season have come away from home and Man City’s defence is so obliging that it would be almost surprising if he doesn’t add to that tally at the Etihad.

More than 240,000 FPL bosses have bought into the delights of Adam Lallana (3.30), making him the Gameweek’s top transfer target. The Liverpool midfielder is certainly in sparkling form, with three goals in his two starts since returning from injury.

The Merseyside derby often defies form, but Everton have kept just two clean sheets at Goodison all season, and none at all home or away for the past six matches.

Lallana looks as well-placed as anyone to cash in.


CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 17

TeamOdds
Tottenham1.80
Manchester United2.10
West Ham2.29
Chelsea2.40
Middlesbrough2.60
Liverpool2.75
Southampton2.87
Sunderland3.00
Stoke3.10
Bournemouth3.20

Clean sheets have been scarce, and Fantasy managers have certainly been splashing the cash anywhere but at the back this week – among defenders, only Bournemouth’s Nathan Ake and Chelsea stalwart Cesar Azpilicueta make it into the top ten transfers-in.

The Cherries have kept five clean sheets this season, four of which have come at home. Even factoring in the unpredictability of a derby match at home to Southampton, the 3.20 you can get on a Bournemouth shut-out looks good.

The Saints have drawn a blank in their last two away days and are without leading scorer Charlie Austin, which makes the case for the Bournemouth defence even stronger. But Southampton are hardly mugs either – they’ve kept four cleanies in their last five outings – so the 2.87 on them for a south coast shutdown is as generous as you’re likely to get.

Stoke City host Leicester City and there’s 3.10 available on the home team frustrating the Foxes. Leicester currently travel about as well as a pint of Guinness on a Spacehopper – they’ve scored just twice in their last three away matches, losing them all to the combined might of Watford, Sunderland and Bournemouth.

Mark Hughes’ men, meanwhile, have kept consecutive home clean sheets and three in their last four matches overall.

560 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Giovanni Giorgio
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    People should keep Firmino now that I finally threw him out the door.

    1. makaveli123
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Hopefully you will be punished 🙂

      1. Giovanni Giorgio
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 11 days ago

        This happens every single time. Fully expecting a Eriksen blank too. 🙁

    2. Moose™
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Yeah. I also ditched Wally after horrendous performance midweek. Get in Lallana eventhough I know he will moat probabyly blank this weekend

    3. Cojiro
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Thanks

  2. Moose™
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Lads, g2g?

    Pickford

    Alonso Pieters Cedric

    Sanchez Hazard Siggy Lallana

    Kane (C)osta Divock

  3. Ryan Naysmith
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Good article

  4. thevikings
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    One question left for the weekend:
    Play Ake or Cedric this week? BOU at home, but SOU a better defence?

    1. ekul the lokonga enthusiast
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Same problem here, im going with Cedric

    2. Scapegoat Salah
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      I'd lean towards the home player Ake in this case.

  5. bodgejob
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Ihenacho 1.90
    Origi 2.50

    Still haven't took the hit for Nacho to Origi yet, do PP know what they are saying?

    1. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      It would be meaningful only if Nacho starts.

      1. Plutocracy
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 11 days ago

        that's the interesting thing about the bookies isn't it...they don't seem to know much about who is actually playing

        1. VS10_
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 11 days ago

          Or you don't know how the odds work...

    2. Backup Dancer
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      He has those odds every week even when kun is available.

    3. Scapegoat Salah
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      I'd lean towards the home player Ake in this case.

      1. Scapegoat Salah
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 11 days ago

        Reply fail, just like my GW score this week

  6. Whats the Mata?
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    People with no eriksen are getting him in this week even if y'all have Kane?

    1. bodgejob
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      I still think he's a FF troll like Lukaku and Barkley

      1. Kanga roo
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 11 days ago

        Kaku is actuallly a fairly solid fantasy option. can't compare to Barkley who is as you say, a 'troll'

    2. nonprophet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      I'm with bodgebodge

    3. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      No, I'd still rather have Firmino and I already have Alli. Alli is getting sold next week regardless of what he does today.

  7. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Bench 2 of the following:

    A) Holebas (sun)
    B) Pieters (LEI)
    C) Amat (mid)
    E) Iheanacho (ARS)

    Thanks!

    1. bodgejob
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      C

      1. Garfield1001
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 11 days ago

        Thanks, and?

    2. Scapegoat Salah
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      C and E

  8. Weilong7
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Which one the best out of the below?

    Cech for Lloris
    Firmino for lallana
    Bolasie for zaha
    Deeney for llorente

    Any other changes also welcomed

    Keep the comments coming guys. Thanks!

    1. bodgejob
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Probably Bolasie out as at least the others are playing. Zaha off to AFCON soon though

      1. Weilong7
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 11 days ago

        yeah i tot of zaha too... any good options for 6.7?

  9. batmaniac
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Evans => ake for a free or save?

    1. ekul the lokonga enthusiast
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Do it+

  10. nkhoughton
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    How's my team looking? Also captain?

    Pickford
    Daniels Vertongen Alonso
    Alexis Hazard Eriksen Siggy
    Kane Costa Anichebe

    Heaton Nyom Phillips Fodder

  11. RyanS511
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Would it be stupid to captain Son? Other options are Costa and Ibrahimovic.

  12. Shack
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Nacho to Origi for FT or give Nacho one more week? Cheers!!

    1. Lumberjack
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Origi seems a safer bet at the moment

  13. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Grant (Heaton)
    Walker van Dijk Alonso (Pieters, Amat)
    Sigurdsson Mane Sanchez Walcott (Carrick)
    Kane Origi Costa

    2 free transfers, 0.4m in the bank. Walcott stays because I decided against tripling up on Liverpool attack.
    I'm thinkin about Pieters > Ake/Smith/Francis/Jones/Gibson or maybe even Carrick to de Roon in case I'll want 3 United players in the future. Any suggestions? 🙂

    1. Mini Mane Mo
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Maybe Pieters to Jones sounds good due to their fixtures

      1. Arteta
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 11 days ago

        Thanks mate!

  14. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Iv asked this 4 wks in a row.
    And everywk it's a sub 40/50 points -so disappointing.
    Saved my ft for nxt wk.

    Going get a haul this wk?

    Pickford
    Alonso, A.smith, holebas
    Firmino, sanchez,hazard, siggy
    Kane (C).Costa, Llorente

    1. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      red arrow again i'm afraid

    2. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      The thing is (and I'm in the same boat) if you do get a huge haul so does everyone else because your big hitters are heavily owned.

      1. camarozz
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 days ago

        Yeah but not many have them all?? And my defence bit different no??

        1. FPL Virgin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 11 days ago

          True.

          Adam Smith is a great pick. Could get double figures this week.

    3. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      That said, you are doing the right thing saving your FT. You may need to do a mini WC going into Christmas.

  15. Romford Pele - Don't w…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Play Heaton (tot) or Pickford (WAT)?

    1. Lumberjack
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Pickford

    2. mcmd11
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Pickford

  16. Kiss the Badge!!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Morning,

    I"ve sat looking at my team for 20 minutes and can't decide if i should make a transfer. Any input welcome.

    Sch (Zei)
    Cahill Stones Lovren (McAuley) (Bardsley)
    Walcott Erikson Hazard Capoue (Fletcher)
    Origi Kane Costa

    1. mir
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Get rid of stones for Bournemouth defender?

    2. Lumberjack
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Yep, get rid of Stones or play McAuley

  17. mcmd11
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    a) Mane and Eriksen

    b) Hazard Lallana

    1. Lumberjack
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      A

  18. BecAuse79
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Play
    A) Redmond (bou)
    B) Phillips (MUN)

    1. mcmd11
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      a

  19. kalk
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Good morning guys!

    Got 2 free transfers and 0.9 in the bank. Given this team :

    Foster, Pickford

    Walker, Alonso, Lovren, Holebas, Amat

    Hazard, Firmino, Walcott, Redmond, Fletcher

    Kane, Costa, Defoe

    0.9 ITB, 2 FT

    Firmino> Lallana
    Redmon > Sidgurson

    Yay or Nay? Any other priority?

    Cheers mates!

    1. Lumberjack
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Decent transfers, go for it

      1. kalk
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 11 days ago

        Thanks!

    2. Moose™
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Keep 1FT imo

  20. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Players spread out nicely this wk.
    7 Saturday
    3 and (C) Sunday
    1 Monday. (altho it's firmino. Might be scary Monday)

    Please give me a green this wk santa.

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      5, 5 + (c), 1 here

  21. Bleach †
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Want to get Benteke in soon but do you reckon that when Zaha is gone, Palace won't score as much?

  22. Shrimpy
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Alonso, Azpi or Toby?

    1. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Alonso

    2. Lumberjack
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Alonso

  23. Lumberjack
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Wallcott/ Defoe -> Eriksen/ Origi (-4)?

    Odds suggest it'll be fairly even in terms of scoring, but the latter look strong at the moment...

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Yeah and Eriksen (c) to compensate for the hit

      1. Lumberjack
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 11 days ago

        ha why not, in for a penny...good suggestion though, cheers

  24. mcmd11
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Best striker under 8m?

    1. BB-8
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Defoe

    2. ytijani1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Origi
      Benteke
      Rondon

    3. BecAuse79
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Origi with the rest risk if u dont like the risk , Defoe

  25. BB-8
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    First sub - Holebas or De Roon?

  26. Shack
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    First sub;
    A: Holebas
    B: Capoue
    Cheers!

  27. King H
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    No idea who should start and no idea who to bench pls help.

    Pickford
    Lovren Alonso Pieters Holebas Amat
    Hazard Lallana Chadli Sanchez Capoue
    Kane Rondon Costa

    Thanks.

  28. Jooster
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    Help! Can't decide what to do... 2FT, £1.7M itb

    Pickford (Heaton)
    Smith, Holebas, Alonso (Evans, Pieters)
    Sanchez, Firmino, Allen, Capoue, (Can)
    Costa, Kane, Defoe

    Terrible midfield, obvs, but have missed the boat with Eriksen, so thinking
    A) Firmino - Siggy/Payet/Lallana
    B) Firmino & Can - Siggy/Payet/Lallana & Adam
    C) Something else

  29. Dimitris1993
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    when does the 6th round of the cup starts?

  30. ytijani1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 11 days ago

    My brain is frying here!

    Pickford (v WAT)

    Cedric (v bou) - Alonso (cry) - Amat (v mid) - Nyom (MNU)

    Haz (v cry) - Mane (eve) - Siggy (mid) - Sanch (mnc)

    Costa (C) (pal) - Anichebe (WAT)

    Subs - Heaton (spurs) - Ihenacho (ARS) - Can (eve) - Ward (spurs)

    2FT and 1.2M in the bank...

    1. mir
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 11 days ago

      Nacho to defoe