Gameweek 38 AOA Chip Strategy

FPL GW18 Scout Picks - Final Selection

Pickford

O’Reilly
van Dijk
Keane
Saliba

Saka
Wilson
Wirtz

Thiago
Haaland
Ekitiké

Dubravka
Alderete
Miley
Le Fée

GW19 Chip Poll

Price Change Predictions

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Cherki	MCI	6.6m	130.3%	Very Likely
Keane	EVE	4.7m	82.6%	Likely
Lewis-Potter	BRE	4.8m	100.2%	Very Likely
Chalobah	CHE	5.5m	98.6%	Likely
Wirtz	LIV	8.1m	84.9%	Maybe
Mukiele	SUN	4.2m	98.7%	Maybe
Verbruggen	BHA	4.4m	94.7%	Maybe
Alderete	SUN	4.0m	90.3%	Unlikely
Truffert	BOU	4.5m	87.2%	Unlikely
O'Reilly	MCI	5.3m	86.3%	Unlikely
Calvert-Lewin	LEE	5.8m	58.1%	Unlikely
Guéhi	CRY	5.3m	76.5%	Unlikely
Rice	ARS	7.2m	69.2%	Unlikely
Virgil	LIV	5.9m	74.9%	Unlikely
Andersen	FUL	4.6m	71.9%	Unlikely
Tete	FUL	4.5m	69.8%	Unlikely
Roefs	SUN	4.8m	69.2%	Unlikely
Dorgu	MUN	4.1m	47.6%	Unlikely
Saliba	ARS	5.9m	64.6%	Unlikely
Mount	MUN	5.9m	68.2%	Unlikely
Semenyo	BOU	7.7m	61.0%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	63.2%	Unlikely
Gvardiol	MCI	6.0m	54.7%	Unlikely
Heaven	MUN	3.8m	56.9%	Unlikely
Watkins	AVL	8.5m	54.7%	Unlikely
Pickford	EVE	5.5m	56.2%	Unlikely
Tarkowski	EVE	5.5m	49.4%	Unlikely
Van den Berg	BRE	4.5m	56.4%	Unlikely
Dúbravka	BUR	4.0m	53.3%	Unlikely
E.Le Fée	SUN	4.9m	54.9%	Unlikely
Trossard	ARS	6.9m	54.3%	Unlikely
Konaté	LIV	5.4m	53.2%	Unlikely
Petrović	BOU	4.5m	55.2%	Unlikely
Hall	NEW	5.2m	43.4%	Unlikely
Cullen	BUR	5.0m	51.4%	Unlikely
Rúben	MCI	5.7m	46.8%	Unlikely
Smith Rowe	FUL	5.6m	47.5%	Unlikely
Igor Jesus	NFO	5.8m	46.0%	Unlikely
A.Becker	LIV	5.4m	45.1%	Unlikely
De Cuyper	BHA	4.3m	43.6%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Eze	ARS	7.6m	98.7%	Likely
B.Fernandes	MUN	9.2m	99.4%	Likely
Cucurella	CHE	6.2m	103.0%	Very Likely
McAtee	NFO	5.1m	100.9%	Very Likely
Udogie	TOT	4.4m	100.8%	Very Likely
Enzo	CHE	6.5m	96.5%	Likely
James	LEE	5.3m	100.5%	Very Likely
Jair Cunha	NFO	4.3m	97.7%	Maybe
Yoro	MUN	4.3m	97.6%	Maybe
Trafford	MCI	4.6m	97.3%	Maybe
L.Guilherme	WHU	4.9m	95.8%	Maybe
Barnes	BUR	4.3m	95.3%	Maybe
Bevan	BOU	3.9m	96.5%	Maybe
Colwill	CHE	4.8m	97.6%	Maybe
Nwaneri	ARS	5.1m	97.3%	Maybe
Tasker	BHA	3.9m	95.1%	Maybe
Mosquera	ARS	5.4m	95.9%	Maybe
Fer López	WOL	5.2m	93.8%	Unlikely
Adams	BOU	5.0m	91.0%	Unlikely
Gibbs-White	NFO	7.3m	93.5%	Unlikely
Fitzgerald	MUN	4.4m	91.7%	Unlikely
Hermansen	WHU	4.3m	90.0%	Unlikely
Johnson	SUN	3.9m	88.6%	Unlikely
Bruno G.	NEW	7.0m	87.0%	Unlikely
Robertson	LIV	5.8m	89.3%	Unlikely
Aké	MCI	5.3m	88.3%	Unlikely
Broggio	AVL	4.5m	87.0%	Unlikely
Bellegarde	WOL	5.2m	86.7%	Unlikely
Odobert	TOT	5.3m	85.6%	Unlikely
Benitez	CRY	4.0m	87.6%	Unlikely
Bayindir	MUN	4.8m	87.8%	Unlikely
Seung soo	NEW	4.4m	83.2%	Unlikely
J.Timber	ARS	6.5m	61.8%	Unlikely
R.Gomes	WOL	4.4m	81.9%	Unlikely
Morgan	BRE	4.4m	79.4%	Unlikely
March	BHA	5.8m	80.9%	Unlikely
Reinildo	SUN	3.9m	78.8%	Unlikely
Agbadou	WOL	4.3m	79.1%	Unlikely
Roberts	BUR	4.4m	78.7%	Unlikely
Anderson	SUN	3.9m	77.2%	Unlikely

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FPL Fixture Ticker

Watchlists

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Raya Martin	ARS	B
Up	Pickford	EVE	B, Vs
Down	Alisson	LIV	C, Vs
Down	Donnarumma	MCI	B, Vs, Sus
No Change	Kelleher	BRE	B, Vs
No Change	Dubravka	BUR	C, £

Last updated: 26 Dec, 2025 1:46pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	van Dijk	LIV	C, Vs
No Change	Jurriën Timber	ARS	C
Up	Keane	EVE	Vs
No Change	O’Reilly	MCI	B, Vs
No Change	Marc Guehi	CRY	A
No Change	van den Berg	BRE	C, Vs
No Change	Thiaw	NEW	C
Down	Andersen	FUL	C
No Change	Milenkovic	NFO	C, Sus
No Change	van Hecke	BHA	A
No Change	Mukiele	SUN	C, £

Last updated: 26 Dec, 2025 1:50pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Saka	ARS	A
No Change	Foden	MCI	A, Vs
Up	Matheus Cunha	MUN	A
No Change	Semenyo	BOU	A
Up	Wirtz	LIV	B, Vs
Up	Grealish	EVE	B, Vs
No Change	Bruno Guimarães	NEW	B, Sus
No Change	Schade	BRE	C, Vs
Down	Minteh	BHA	C
No Change	Anderson	NFO	C, £

Last updated: 26 Dec, 2025 1:54pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	A, Vs
Up	Ekitiké	LIV	A, Vs
Up	Bowen	WHU	B, Vs
Down	Thiago	BRE	C, Vs, Inj
No Change	Mateta	CRY	C
No Change	Woltemade	NEW	B, Rest

Last updated: 26 Dec, 2025 1:56pm

Community

6 February 2017 28 comments

Kryten

All Out Attack (AOA) is the poor relation in the Fantasy Premier League chip family. But are we doing this much maligned potential source of extra points a disservice. Yes, I know Gameweek 38 is a long way off, but could it be that the best way to make use of this runt of the chip litter is to save it for this final fixture?

Let’s look at the reasons for an eleventh hour deployment of this chip, which allows managers to field a total of eight midfielders and forwards and just two defenders.

Goal Potential

Season	Average Goal per GW	Game Week 38 Total Goals
11/12	28.05	29
12/13	29.97	36
13/14	27.68	28
14/15	25.66	29
15/16	27.00	35

So the stats indicate there have been more goals scored in the final fixture than in Gameweek average in each of the last five seasons. Playing the AOA chip in Gameweek 38 with five midfielders and three strikers would therefore boost goal potential and points.

Clean Sheet potential

Season	Average Clean Sheet per GW	Clean Sheets GW38
11/12	5.36	4
12/13	5.15	4
13/14	6.1	4
14/15	5.89	7
15/16	5.65	2

The indicates that there is less clean sheets on average in season finale than the average Gameweek in four out of the last five seasons. Playing the AOA chip in Gameweek 38 with just two defenders would minimize lost clean sheets, the most important point scoring attribute in defenders.

Conclusion

The statistics alone prove that attacking points are higher and defending points lower in Gameweek 38 each year, making it ideal for AOA chip utilisation.

There can be many reasons for this trend, with rotation and the introduction of young players from teams who cannot move in the table regardless of the result.

In addition, players minds can start to wander towards holidays and summer international football tournaments during this fixture. Fatigue can also be a factor among those who have played many matches, with tired legs and heads producing the sort of mistakes strikers can prosper from.

So think about the missed opportunity that the season finale presents when you decide Joe Allan and Etienne Capoue can outscore your budget defender on a cold February evening.

28 Comments Login to Post a Comment

J0E
8 years, 10 months ago
Shame I've already used mine. Looks a viable tactic.

De Gea looks like he wished he'd done that instead of fielding Smalling in a three man defence back in last season's GWK 38. 😉
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1. ThisTimeNxtYrRodney
  8 years, 10 months ago
  Don't think it's a good idea as often players are rested for the last match. If one of your front 8 is rested then the chip is wasted.
  
  It's not a useful chip unless you have defensive injuries.
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Pep says
8 years, 10 months ago
How are we going to get thes young players in in time right after a double gameweek?
Interesting research but I think the AOA is best saved for a week where your defence is facing suspension or injury and you only have 2 defenders to play
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1. Teddy Steddingham
  8 years, 10 months ago
  I don't think the article advises to bring in young players; it advises to play 8 forwards in the final week.
  
  It also doesn't affect being able to use when your defence is missing players. If you are at a GW where you have 2 defenders then you can play it but, if this doesn't happen then might be worth playing it in the final GW rather than a random week where you think your 5th midfielder will outscore a defender. For example, last year I never played my AOA chip so, knowing more goals scored might have tempted me to play it in the final week!
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Tomcooper9
8 years, 10 months ago
Also a little gutted that I've used mine - would be quite a good last gameweek effort to maximise points.
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Morph - Unbelievable Geoff
8 years, 10 months ago
I think that a WC in GW 35/36 to have 8 playable attackers, BB GW37, then AOA GW38 could work well.

Though I've used my AOA chip (luckily got Capoue's 10pts vs Man Utd in GW5).
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Bunk Moreland
8 years, 10 months ago
This was also posted last season and its a good point. However, with rotation you will be very lucky if all 8 attackers start in that gw.
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grapesland
8 years, 10 months ago
Cheers I like this kind of probabilty approach, will remember next season, as I ve already used it (on nothing ofcourse)
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AA33
8 years, 10 months ago
Nice article, thanks!
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MANGE TOUT RODNEY
8 years, 10 months ago
Did this last year, not sure it made a massive difference.
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FPL Virgin
8 years, 10 months ago
Shame this article didn't come out sooner. Used my AOA ages ago 🙁
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Rhinos
8 years, 10 months ago
Personally i like downgrading a premium defender (when the time is right) and taking a one wek punt on bringing in a quality 8th attacker. It's worked the last 2 seasons,
Plus do well to get to gw38 without having to use it due to random defensive injuries
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Hibbo
8 years, 10 months ago
It's the route I'm going.

Largely because of value gained within the squad allowing a better fifth midfielder and also because it doesn't matter if your squad balance is askew in GW38 as the season is over.
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diesel001
8 years, 10 months ago
Nice analysis. Will use it in GW38 now.
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CBC
8 years, 10 months ago
I did this last year, and it worked a treat, as I got the only 2 Clean Sheets! (absolute luck and no skill whatsoever!)
After WCing in GW 36 and BB in GW 37, it certainly helped me a late push up the Rankings.
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Baines on Toast...
8 years, 10 months ago
The problem with this is that more goals probably means more defender goals too.
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the cromulent one
8 years, 10 months ago
I didn't even use my AOA last year. Contemplated using it in gw38, but it would have actually cost me points, if memory serves.
I'll see what the fixtures look like in gw38, but I wont just play the chip blindly. I'll just let it go to waste again if I don't see a compelling reason to use it.
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GENERATION X
8 years, 10 months ago
The way the wing backs are involved at the moment makes the chip more useless than ever tactically - use it purely for a busted defence as opposed to any attacking plan for me.
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Unsuccessful
8 years, 10 months ago
Good stuff and worth a thought.

Last year during one of the blanks or end of season rotation fixtures (I forget which, making this post slightly pointless) I was in a situation where I only had two playing defs and AoA allowed me to save a transfer and still field 11
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1. Unsuccessful
  8 years, 10 months ago
  Wrong tense. "Would have". I burned it when Leicester benched Mahrez in GW9 and therefore totally wasted it.
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Kryten
8 years, 10 months ago
To be honest I have actually already wasted my aoa chip and it wasn't even because of a defensive injury crisis 🙂 . I think the aoa gw38 is a interesting concept from a probability point of view although I agree difficult to implement depending on rotation. I think it would definitely add fun to gw38 especially to add more differentials if you hunting ml rival with a similar lineup.
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Alexis Nonsense
8 years, 10 months ago
AOA had been good in previous seasons

This season AOA is just really bad because defence is where the points are
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NATSTER
8 years, 10 months ago
Rotation could be a problem and GW37-38 are more unpredictable than usual.
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Nelson Vivas Fan Club
8 years, 10 months ago
Ref the GW38 AOA Chip Strategy, i used my AOA chp late last year. Ended up with a 4-4-2 formation. There's typically a lot of absentees late in the season. Especially as the article suggest young/fringe players get more playtime
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The Shaman
8 years, 10 months ago
It's an interesting idea but what were the total goals scored in the other gameweeks? Just because GW38 tends to be above average for goals scored, is it actually GW38 that is the most above average gameweek?

You could imagine that the reason behind GW38 being above average for goals scored is multifactorial: reasons as mentioned in the article but also teams making that last push to avoid relegation, get Europa/Champions league spots, and likely many other reasons: I don't believe fatigue would be much of a reason though.
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1Banksy
8 years, 10 months ago
Tried this last season and had people like Townsend troll me with no points in a 5-1 win. Can work but maybe my choices let me down last year.
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Sideways Backwards
8 years, 10 months ago
Thanks for this, decent analysis.

In general, and this season in particular, it appears that the early season is when defences are not set, so using an aoa chip in the first 5-6 gameweeks would have been a good tactical decision, maybe even set up for it in gw1.

But if you miss that boat (I did), then gw38 is a better bet than anything in, unless injuries enforce it.
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Clasher4ever
8 years, 7 months ago
last year i bought in giroud for GW 38 but dint captain him, went to 2nd place in my ML only because of captaincy decision. I can use AOA chip this time and punt on sturridge.
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