Selection
21 May 2017 2797 comments
James H James H
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With this afternoon’s Fantasy Premier League deadline edging ever closer, it’s now time to reveal our final differential selections of the season.

There are no second chances after today – our options simply must produce in a one-week scenario, so we’ve turned to three forwards with potentially prosperous home fixtures in the hope they can deliver big hauls to provide a final push.

Daniel Sturridge

For those Fantasy bosses really prepared to roll the dice, Liverpool’s Daniel Sturridge looks the perfect route on offer.

The Reds forward is sat in just 1.6% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads, and crucially, Jurgen Klopp’s side go into the final day with plenty of motivation, with a victory at home to Middlesbrough guaranteeing them a top four finish.

Liverpool should also be full of confidence after dispatching West Ham United 4-0 last weekend, with Sturridge a key figure on his return to the starting XI.

The England international opened the scoring at the London Stadium and produced four goal attempts in total, with three arriving from inside the box, while also creating two chances in an effervescent display.

Sunday’s showing reminded us that, on his day, Sturridge is an explosive Fantasy asset, with all the tools to hit the double-figure mark.

Sturridge could also hardly ask for a more favourable match-up to end the season.

No side have conceded more goals than Boro (11) over the last four Gameweeks, while they also rank first for the most shots conceded inside the box (52) and big chances allowed (12) over the same period.

Steve Agnew’s men also have nothing to play for, with relegation back to the Championship already confirmed.

Available at 9.7 in FPL, Sturridge looks to tick all the differential boxes. And placing the captain’s armband on the Liverpool forward could certainly pay off handsomely should he get the opportunity to build on his display against the Hammers.

The potential return to fitness of Roberto Firmino presents a caveat and makes the move something of a gamble. However, after such an impressive performance with a front two last Sunday, Klopp will surely be tempted to preserve Sturridge and strike partner Divock Origi for Boro’s visit, regardless of the Brazilian’s availability.

Sam Vokes

At the other end of the price spectrum is Burnley’s Sam Vokes, who sets us back just 5.7.

The Wales international has been in convincing form of late, scoring four goals in his last four Gameweek starts, and enjoys his own favourable match-up at home to Liverpool’s victims last weekend – West Ham.

As mentioned, Slaven Bilic’s men really struggled in their 4-0 home defeat last time out and will travel to Turf Moor without the significant influence of centre-back Winston Reid.

The New Zealand international is one of several key absentees for a Hammers side that has managed just two clean sheets on their travels all season, so Vokes looks to have the ideal platform on which to maintain his late-season momentum.

The Clarets forward has registered an impressive 30 penalty box touches and 11 shots from inside the box over his last three appearances, and with his confidence levels sky-high, is primed for another strong showing.

Over 34,000 FPL bosses have already drafted in the target man prior to today’s deadline, but he’s still only owned by 3.0%.

Vokes looks unrivalled as a final-day acquisition for those seeking goals on a budget.

Charlie Austin

While Sturridge and Vokes have form heading into Gameweek 38, it’s reputation and a promising home fixture against Stoke City that sees Southampton’s Charlie Austin get the nod as our final selection.

The Saints forward returned from a shoulder injury as a late substitute in the 2-1 win over Middlesbrough last weekend, and following another disappointing outing from Manolo Gabbiadini in the goalless draw against Manchester United, Austin should see some minutes this afternoon.

Taking a chance on the English striker clearly comes packaged with plenty of risk given that he hasn’t started a match since Gameweek 14. But his pedigree, along with the fact he’s only sat in 1.8% of FPL squads, does make him an intriguing option.

Despite a lengthy absence, Austin is still Southampton’s second leading scorer this season with six goals.

His appeal is also boosted by Stoke’s disappointing form heading into the final day.

The Potters have won just one of their last 10 matches and have conceded eight goals in their last four encounters.

With Austin’s outstanding predatory instincts on offer and Southampton’s dire need for a final day cutting edge, it may be worth taking a gamble on the 6.3-priced forward as the ultimate Gameweek 38 punt.

  1. zizoo10
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    capoue or stephens first bench

    1. NestorC
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Steph

    2. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Stephens

    3. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Ste

    4. unlethal
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Capoue bringing back the worst memories from the first half of the season... 🙁

      Stephens though

  2. NestorC
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Would you do

    Alli and Kosc
    to
    Cout and Azpi

    Thanks

    1. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Not really.

    2. Duffy Dunk
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Yes

    3. jimmy.floyd
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      No

    4. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      No

  3. Tomlette Greggs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    start which Southampton defender?

    A) Yoshida
    B) Stephens

    Stephens more of a BPS magnet?

    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      A

    2. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Stephens

    3. NestorC
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      B yes

    4. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      B, because yes

  4. 1NVINCIBLES
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Still undecided, please help:

    Cech
    Alonso Alderweireld
    Sanchez Sane King Hazard DeRoon
    Kane Jesus Gabbiadini
    Bench: Jakupovic Stephens Yoshida Chambers

    1 FT

    A. Hazard + DeRoon > Fabregas + Sigurdsson
    B. Hazard + Gabbiadini > Fabregas + Sturridge

    1. Tomlette Greggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      B

      1. 1NVINCIBLES
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers Fring

    2. NestorC
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      B

      1. 1NVINCIBLES
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers NestorC

    3. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      B, defo

      1. 1NVINCIBLES
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks! Very unanimous. 🙂

  5. CERVELO
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Think I'm g2g?

    Pickford
    Alonso Yosheda Davies
    Haz Sanchez Coutinho Silva King
    Kane Jesus(TC)

    Jaku Vokes Cedric Amat

    Thoughts on King vs Vokes for bench?

    1. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Vokes first sub looks good to me.

  6. Legomane
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    A. Hazard Holgate > Coutinho Azpilicueta (-4)
    B. Holgate > Terry
    C. Sané > Coutinho
    D. Save...

    Cech
    Alonso(v) Kompany Stephens
    Sanchez Hazard Eriksen Sané King
    Kane(c) Jesus

    (Pickford Yoshida Holgate Anichebe)

    1. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      A

  7. Art Vandelay
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    I have a 25 point lead on my nearest rival with two others up to 5 points further back. They all have King and I don't. Should I...

    a) Hedge with Sterling > King and bench Gabbi but ignore Liverpool
    b) Don't hedge and just do Ozil > Coutinho
    c) Ozil + Gabbi > King and Sturridge -4

    Cheers and GL for the last GW (unless you are one of said rivals)

    1. scootadee
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      C

    2. Duffy Dunk
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      b

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers. This is my preferred option in many ways but I then have to,rely on Gabbi or a Sterling.

    3. Man Chest Hair United
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      A gotta go for the win

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers, I am already in the lead though if you misunderstood my initial post.

    4. Art Vandelay
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      I think the three different answers illustrates my quandary. 😆

      1. 8ball
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        I think C is the easy choice. Have to block Liverpool and King

        1. Art Vandelay
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          Cheers.

  8. The 12th Man
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Is it safe to start DDG knowing I have Foster on the bench?

    Or just start Foster?

    1. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      DDG.

    2. Man Chest Hair United
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Start ddg

    3. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Just start Foster.

  9. DantheManinaPan
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Coutinho or Sturridge?

    1. Man Chest Hair United
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Coutinho

    2. CERVELO
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      If chasing Sturridge, consolidating then Coutinho

  10. Man Chest Hair United
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Best option

    A KDB
    B Sane
    C Hazard
    D Aguero-4

    1. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      A

    2. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      A

  11. Hit Warning: Average Points Per Game
    Piggs Boson
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Average Points per Game

    7.1 - Kane
    6.9 - Sanchez
    6.2 - Jesus
    6.1 Hazard
    6.0 - Eriksen
    5.9 - Alli & Lukaku
    5.8 - Zlatan & Mane & Alonso
    5.6 - Costa
    5.4 - KDB & Coutinho
    5.3 - Aguero
    5.1 - Ozil & Firmino & Son & Coleman

    This is why hits are only usually worth it when you have injuries, or for special players, like Kane. The new player needs 6pts or more for you to break-even if the other players starts for 2pts.

    1. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Great post.

    2. CERVELO
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Spot on fella

    3. CloudSky
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      You dont necesarilly look to break even in the first game.

      1. Piggs Boson
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        True, if it's a long term move early on it can be worth it. But as it's the last day of the season, I thought this would be relevant 🙂

        1. CloudSky
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          Oh, 100% agree on that.

    4. thewhitepele
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Mehh just had decided on a hit and now you post this... Cheers for helping!

    5. Brap.
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Are those averages only for this season?

      Adjusted for opponents?

      Adjusted for home/away?

      What's the methodology for predicting point returns for a single game from average points over a season?

      What's the margin of error?

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        This is silly.

      2. Piggs Boson
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Yes
        No
        No
        Jane Fonda
        Zero, these stats are 100% accurate.

    6. Spencer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Agree, but when taking a hit you should really look over the next two or three games. That's why hits for the last gameweek don't seem worth it.

      1. Piggs Boson
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Agreed!

    7. AA33
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Great post! 🙂

      • 1NVINCIBLES
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Definitely made me think of upgrading DeRoon to Stanislas instead of Hazard + Gabbiadini to Fabregas + Sturridge. Hmm..

      • Bubz
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        While I agree with what you're saying, the PPG obviously averages up points in both difficult and easy matches. A hit will be more worthwhile if the player is in form vs an out of form defence for example

        1. Piggs Boson
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          Yeah, I agree. RMT in the member's section does these adjustments.

      • Dave Boozle
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers GB.

        the last two games ive seen have been leicester 1 spurs 6 and chievo 3 roma 5 so i think there are goals and points to be had for the adventurous.

      • Klopp For The Kopps 😆
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Got me thinking Now
        I'm doing it mostly for getting Kane and gonna Captain him
        So worth it?

      • Qubit
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        But players rarely score the average. The average is made up of lower and higher points scores - obviously you'd be looking to find those with a higher likelihood of a higher score for that one week.

        However, due to it being the last game, theres one game only to make it back and a good chance of a 2pt rather than a 10pt return for example.

      • XabiAlonso
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        What if you have gabbiadini tho 🙂

        1. Ginola14
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          the only argument against is if you want to risk getting a player that can have a mega haul like kane/cout last week or kakus 4 goals or sanchez hatty vs wham, it can be a calculated risk if you are chasing and goes balls out in the last gw

      • Hotdogs for Tea
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Last game fun trying to catch the big haul - inevitably one or two players will surprise us ... my guess ... Vokes, Gylfi, Llorente, Giroud, Sane, Daniels, Milner, Olsson, Zaha & ... umm ... Gabbiadini... all to be in the double digit points 🙂

      • FP El Wonky
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        love me a bit of a good post. Nice one giggs boson.
        This clarifies the hit thing, its mostly daft taking a hit at this stage of the competition.

        1. alexmj
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          Turns out most of the top players would've been worth the hit this week .....

    8. thewhitepele
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Ok final question, 2FT:
      Haz, Eriksen, Gabbi to:
      A) Coutinho, KDB, Llorente
      B) Coutinho, Siggy, Sturridge

      Caballero Picford
      Yoshi Monreal Azpi Davies Stephens
      Haz Eriksen King Sanchez Capoue
      Kane Jesus Gabbi

      1. Hotdog
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Which defenders are you starting?

        1. thewhitepele
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          Monreal, Azpi and either Yoshi or Davies, can't decide...

      2. 1NVINCIBLES
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        B

        1. thewhitepele
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          cheers

    9. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      BREAKING: It is believed that Firmino didn't train yesterday, but Origi did.

      Ben Dinnery just now on Twitter.

      1. Ógie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        The question is did Ben Dinnery train this morning?

        1. FPL Virgin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          Just a light session in isolation, I am told.

    10. scootadee
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Play Cech or cabellero?
      Playing Monreal

      1. Duffy Dunk
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Cab couldn't keep a clean sheet in home matches.
        Watford scored 3 at Chelsea.
        Play Cech

    11. Hotdog
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Which defender should I play out of Stephens holding and Yoshida

    12. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      I really need to know if fabregas will start and hazard won't

      1. Kun Tozser
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Call Conte

      2. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Scout picks think Fab will start

    13. Dutte
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Take a -4 to get Fabregas in for Silva?

      1. Rash
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        no

      2. BERGKOP
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Noooo. Silva could be in the points.

        1. Dutte
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          All right, ta, lads.

      3. Dutte
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Have Jesus but no Chelsea FWDs.

    14. Kun Tozser
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Firmino anyone?

      1. Funkyav
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        certainly wouldnt be bringing him in

      2. Zlatan The Magician
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        FPLVirgin has a post above saying that Dinnery Tweeted that Firminio didn't train, but Origi did

    15. Bruno Bruno!!
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Alonso TC worth a shout ??

      1. Revival
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        A bit of a punt for TC

      2. Pariße
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Hmm interesting, but I'd consider Kane first if you have him.

      3. Hybrid.power
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        No

    16. jackhammer1
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Play Yoshida or Zaha?

      Already playing stephens.

      Cheers

      1. Dbz91
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Zaha

      2. MrZ
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Zaha

    17. Lazerball
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Who will get more points today? Alli or Coutinho

      1. BERGKOP
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Coutinho IMO

    18. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Fab or KDB to score more this week?

    19. johnnymorrocco
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Who do we think is gonna get the biggest humping today??

      1. Mark-O
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Watford

      2. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Sunderland. 8-0 to Chelsea.

        1. Funkyav
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          AAAAAGH and I am about to transfer out Hazard!

          1. Duffy Dunk
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 7 months ago

            😀
            get that button away from your finger!

      3. Revival
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Sunderland will get a pasting today

      4. Hooky
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Stoke. Gabbiadini hat-trick

        1. johnnymorrocco
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          aaaah don't say that! I feel like i should move him out after last week but there is a risk! But surely he's just rubbish..... but he might score against stoke ............aaaaah

      5. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Hull

      6. Spab
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Hazard captainers

    20. kumast
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Chasing 30 points. Please help.

      My team. *= my differentials. Rival has made 3 transfers for -8.
      Pick, Caballero
      Yosh, Stephens*, Alonso, Monreal, Davies
      Haz*, Alexis, King*, Sane*, Albrighton
      Jesus, Kane, Costa*

      1. Klip Klopp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        How can you tell he has made transfers?

        1. BERGKOP
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          I'd like to know this too

        2. kumast
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          You can see this by looking at your rivals page on FPL.

          1. Klip Klopp
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 7 months ago

            As in like the comments he has left?

        3. Zlatan The Magician
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          If you go onto his team page on FPL, scroll down to level with the substitutes and on the right it tells you Gameweek Transfers

      2. Funkyav
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        dont go more than -4 then you are already catching them

      3. Vinyl78LP
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        ...is your rival likely making 3 changes to block your differentials?

        1. kumast
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          He´s leading in 4 ML´s so he´s not only thinking about me. But I feel maybe he got King in.

      4. Zlatan The Magician
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        I'd guess that those asterixed midfield players aren't your differentials anymore.

    21. Klip Klopp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Play Gabbiadini or Stephens?

      1. Funkyav
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        I think I am playing both

        dont like it one bit

        1. Spab
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          Me too, playing both and hoping Stoke crumble

    22. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Hi folks,
      1) Start Luiz
      2) Play AOA to give me this:

      Vert, Clichy (Stephens, Luiz, Manquillo)
      Pedro, Cout, Sanchez(C), JWP, Xhaka
      Kane, Gabbi, Jesus
      1.8mil in bank
      0FT
      Thanks!

    23. MrZ
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Is willian a punt? Will he play today?
      Or should i go with tekkers instead?

      1. Klip Klopp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Tekkers

        1. MrZ
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          Thanks mate

      2. Dbz91
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Pedro or Cesc?

        1. MrZ
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          Have cesc.
          1 FT, Money left only 7.8 if goes for midfield (redmond) or 8.3 (gabbi)
          wanna transfer out gabbi with redmond 1st sub... So either tekkers, giroud or vokes in

    24. JasonG123
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Play one:
      (A) Monreal (EVE)
      (B) Yoshida (STK)
      (C) Davies (hul)

    25. Michelle Davin
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Ake a good punt to save funds to get kane?

      1. Funkyav
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        if you have to

      2. Duffy Dunk
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Get Kane in no matter what

    26. Dbz91
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      A little help with a sensible change (or not)... Leading ML by 18 points... he has BB!

      de Gea (Willy)
      Alonso, Yoshida, B. Davies
      Fabregas, Sanchez, De Bruyne, King
      Costa, Kane, Vokes

      De Bruyne to Coutinho?