Spot the Differential

Out-of-position Antonio could thrive as West Ham’s key attacker

After huge success for this column in Gameweek 27, our tails are up for our Blank Gameweek 28 selections.

Last time out, all players we tipped, Shane Long (£4.6m), Bruno Fernandes (£8.2m) and Dwight McNeil (£6.0m) all registered important hauls for their brave owners.

All of these options, at the time of writing, were owned by fewer than 5% of Fantasy Premier League managers, suggesting there is still value to be found.

Michail Antonio

  • FPL Ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £6.9m
  • GW28-32 fixtures: SOU | ars | WOL | tot | CHE

Despite a narrow defeat on Monday night, West Ham United came close to inflicting Liverpool’s first Premier League defeat of the season and were the first team to score two goals at Anfield since Everton last year.

It was a vastly improved performance by David Moyes’ men and gives the Hammers something to build on in their battle against relegation.

In fact, post-match, Reds boss Jurgen Klopp described them as being a “proper threat”.

Setup in a 4-5-1 shape, Michail Antonio (£6.9m) led the line and impressed till tiring in the second half. Despite not getting on the scoresheet, he continually looked dangerous on the counter, using his pace to keep Liverpool’s centre-backs on their toes.

Since returning to the starting XI in Gameweek 25, Antonio has been West Ham’s most advanced player.

Over that same period, he has produced six shots in the box. That tally is four more than any other teammate, whilst it is only bettered by three FPL midfielders – Mohamed Salah (12.8m), Son Heung-min (£9.8m) and Richarlison (£8.3m).

The next set of games are crucial for the Hammers, with Saturday’s match against Southampton being billed as a ‘six-pointer’. Knowing a win will move them outside of the bottom three, Antonio looks a good differential for Gameweek 28.

Reece James

  • FPL Ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW28-32 fixtures: bou | EVE | avl | MCI | whu

Chelsea right-back Reece James (£5.0m) has burst onto the scene in 2019/20, and has quickly established himself as a key part of Frank Lampard’s exciting young team.

He has made 23 appearances in all competitions this term, contributing two goals and three assists, and has now been named in the Blues starting XI in six of the last seven Gameweeks.

His marauding displays have drawn plenty of praise in recent weeks, with Gareth Southgate reportedly eyeing him up for a place in the next England squad.

The underlying numbers show he has been one of the most attacking defenders in FPL over the last two Gameweeks. His total of four shots is only bettered by Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.7m) and Virgil van Dijk (£6.6m), whilst his three created chances demonstrate his assist potential.

Also, if we look back further to the turn of the year, we can see he’s been putting his superb delivery to good use – only five defenders have put in more crosses than him.

Chelsea have had an unpredictable season, and despite a forgettable Champions League night against Bayern Munich earlier this week, we’re tipping James to get back on track against a Bournemouth side who sit just two points above the relegation zone.

Diogo Jota

Jota shines in central role as Traore is handed second successive benching
  • FPL Ownership: 4.3%
  • Price: £6.2m
  • GW28-32 fixtures: tot | BHA | whu | BOU | avl

Diogo Jota (£6.2m) is a player who has been in our thoughts for a while now. In fact, he only narrowly missed the cut for last week’s Spot the Differential.

Since then, the 23-year-old ran the Norwich City backline ragged, and followed up his Europa League hat-trick with a brace. Those goals, alongside an assist and maximum bonus, meant he returned a huge 16-point haul for his small army of owners.

It was a hugely impressive performance by the Portuguese, who led the way for shots, shots in the box and big chances.

With 11 games to go in the Premier League, Wolves remain in the hunt for a Champions League place, and sit just two points behind Manchester United in fifth.

Rested in midweek, Jota looks set to be unleashed on Sunday, against a Tottenham Hotspur side who have struggled defensively in recent matches, conceding seven goals in their last four in all competitions.

After Spurs, the schedule couldn’t be much kinder for Wolves, who face Brighton and Hove Albion, West Ham, Bournemouth and Aston Villa.

Currently owned by just 4.3% of FPL managers, Jota is a man in form, and looks like a major differential for the season run-in.

1,056 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Bird Raymond
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    If it was me I'd retire on a high after last weeks differentials!

  2. Holmes
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Van Dijk is fit, right?

    1. Zladan
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I probably would.

      1. Holmes
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        :0

    3. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Always.

  3. Wild Rover
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Aubameyang has over 161k transfers in 😆 and 83k transfers out this week. I wonder how many people have contributed to both figures for a hit?

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I bet they do not know deadline is today...

    2. mcginnntonic
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      or on a wildcard/freehit

      1. Wild Rover
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I don't think they are included in the transfers in figure

        1. Wild Rover
          • 13 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Or out

  4. SpaceCadet
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Would you do any of these moves for a hit?

    A. Grealish > Maddison
    B. Rico > Doherty

    McCarthy
    Salah dunk soy Rico
    Salah Bruno dendo
    Firmino jiminez ings

    Button grealish Stevens kdb

    1. The_Fish
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Not for a hit

    2. Bluejays and Horseplay
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I’d go with B. considering Rico’s starting place being uncertain along with fixtures and Doherty’s form plus xGI.

    3. FPL_Sponge
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Possibly B

  5. MagicMessi
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Captain Salah or Firminho or Vardy ?
    Thanks

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Vaaaarddddddyyyyyyy

      1. Joss Ackland’s Spunky…
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Tempted. But it could ruin the entire FPl weekend. Haha

  6. afsr
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Barnes, Perez or Maddison for Fleck? Have Vardy, obv.

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Barnes for me.

    2. Bluejays and Horseplay
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Perez given Leicester’s next four fixtures are against struggling teams. Consensus is he gets his best returns in those types of games.

  7. Nightcrawler
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    In a weird situation

    Want to do kdb to mane (got kdb at 10.7 so not losing anything) but a dgw 29 announcment after the deadline would be a disaster

    On the other hand i can afford to sell kdb unlike many others and i cant take advanrage of that if i keep him (and there is no dgw)

    1. One Wheels Enough
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      As long as you don't mind wasting a tranny to get him back again

  8. Albert_Luque
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone playing a cheapie this week? Tempted to be conservative and play Dendoncker rather than get someone like Harvey Barnes for a hit and may not play full 90.

    1. Nightcrawler
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Barnes is not a 1 week pick tho. Next 4 look gr8 for him

  9. Hazardous1983
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Got barnes and perez. Feel im goin to regret not having vardy or maddison

  10. Cruz88
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Play Lascelles or Saiss?

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Probably Saiss due to form.

  11. Reddonkeyham 42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Pope
    Alexander-Arnold, Lascelles, Boly, O'Connell
    Traoré, Salah, Harry Wilson
    Maupay, Jiménez, Ings

    Substitutes Button, De Bruyne, Grealish, Stevens

    Got 2FT, and £3.2 in the bank, only ten starters, and have all chips avail except wildcard. Really appreciate any help?

    Thinking Grealish out for Harvey Barnes and rolling a transfer over, although I've got no money tied up in KDB.

    1. Zladan
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If no money in KDB then sell! He’ll likely fall and you can buy back cheaper

      1. Reddonkeyham 42
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Interesting, who to bring in mane?

  12. Public user
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Barnes kelly

    Cantwell Doherty,

    which one score more ?

    1. BigBillyBass
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      It should be Barnes or Cantwell Doherty who scores more

      Kelly won't play

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      So Barnes vs 2 players. Barnes owners hoping it's him.

      1. Public user
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Ya but no lei cover without Barnes .

  13. Nightf0x
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ryan (buton)
    Soy boly taa lascels (lund)
    Traore mane salah (fleck kdb)
    Dcl vardy ings

    which, fleck to whom & bench whom?

    A) barnes/perez
    B) mount
    C) armstrong
    D) snody/antonio
    E) maximin
    F) roll ft

    1. One Wheels Enough
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      F

  14. juicewagz
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Play which goalkeeper?

    A) Ryan (PAL H)
    B) Fabianski (SOU H)

    1. BigBillyBass
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Dumb & Dumber

    2. wulfrunian
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      a

    3. Now I'm Panicking
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Ryan probably - 2nd favourites to keep a CS this week according to G-Whizz

    4. One Wheels Enough
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B, Zaha haul coming 🙂

  15. niaz1982
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Current starting line up is
    Pope
    Rico TAA Soy
    Dendoncker Troare salah fernandes (KDB)
    Jimi Ings firminho

    I’ve used free transfer, have 3.3m in the bank should I cost myself 4 points swapping firmino, same getting rid of dendoncker (suggestions welcome) or leave as is.

    Thanks

  16. wulfrunian
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What should i do with Martial?

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I am thinking to sell him for one of Mount/Traore/Maddison. Jave Vardy, otherwise I would go Madds 100%

  17. Whits
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Martial (flagged) to Bruno Fernando's for a hit? Cantwell on bench

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Don't trust Utd, there are better options out there.

    2. El Presidente
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I wouldn't

    3. Cojones of Destiny
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      play cant

    4. OldBenKenobi
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I think yes

  18. Dammed Utd
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Stuart Armstrong anybody 3 goals in his last five starts and good fixtures following this week Newcastle and Norwich

    1. BabyB
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Im risking him as he is cheap but most of his shots are from outside the box so he will never be prolific.

  19. Ace Ventura
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Martial --> Barnes or B Fern? Tough one.

    I like the Barnes option as it leaves money to go for a Vardy --> Auba switch, if i grow the balls.

    1. Evil Greg
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Vardy could go either way. Go for Barnes?

  20. Tsparkes10
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A) Martial to Barnes, Madi, Mount or Bruno

    B) Play Williams

    1. clodhopper
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Bruno

    2. El Presidente
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

    3. Evil Greg
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Williams will start...probably B.

  21. Cojones of Destiny
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    who’d u play
    a. Tanganga
    b. Traore

    ta

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. Evil Greg
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

  22. davies
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Barnes or Mount?

  23. Joss Ackland’s Spunky…
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What do we reckon about captaining stat buster Vardy this weekend?

  24. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A: Saiss
    B: Taylor
    C: Boly

    1. Lignja
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      C

    2. Cojones of Destiny
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B has more cs innit , A could get attacking pts

  25. Tonyawesome69
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Lund, Grealish and Connolly > Sais, Armstrong and Jota for -4 and TAA (c) taking the differential moves too far?

    2ft 2.8itb
    Pope
    Stephens TAA(C) Lascelles Lund*
    Grealish* salah Mane
    Vardy Ings connolly*

    Ryan traore* Rico KDB

  26. Lignja
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A. Lundstram to Boly
    B. Lundstram to James
    C. Traore to Mount (strat Dendoker)
    D. A+C for -4

  27. Ange Ball
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What's happening with this city double game week? Anyone know if it's happening I have put hold on my transfers.

    1. Joss Ackland’s Spunky…
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Just wait till last minute or take the risk. Personally keeping KDB and mahrez on my bench this week anyway. You could edge your bets if you own 2-3 City and keep KDB.

      1. Cojones of Destiny
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        same here i got a good feeling about it

      2. Lignja
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        It will be single gw for Mahrez anyway

  28. De Gea is GOAT
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Captain Salah or Mane?

    1. Cojones of Destiny
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      mane away they say

      1. De Gea is GOAT
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Currently on Mane. But i feel that keeping the faith in Mo might pay off.

  29. Bluejays and Horseplay
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any thoughts on Lundstram to Saiss or Boly for a hit?

    Especially concerned that Lundy’s value is going to tank while Wolves have a good run of fixtures (especially if you consider Spurs to be a bit toothless just now).

    1. FOMFF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If it gets you to 11 starters yes, if you've already got 11, I'd probably hold.

      1. Bluejays and Horseplay
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks. I have 11 with fixtures but that include Dendoncker so figure he’s not a nailed on starter.

        1. Bluejays and Horseplay
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Will probably hold though as unlikely to be produce that big a point swing.

    2. Tsparkes10
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Do it

  30. FOMFF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Does Digne play tomorrow?