Spot the Differential
28 February 2020 1056 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

After huge success for this column in Gameweek 27, our tails are up for our Blank Gameweek 28 selections.

Last time out, all players we tipped, Shane Long (£4.6m), Bruno Fernandes (£8.2m) and Dwight McNeil (£6.0m) all registered important hauls for their brave owners.

All of these options, at the time of writing, were owned by fewer than 5% of Fantasy Premier League managers, suggesting there is still value to be found.

Michail Antonio

  • FPL Ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £6.9m
  • GW28-32 fixtures: SOU | ars | WOL | tot | CHE

Despite a narrow defeat on Monday night, West Ham United came close to inflicting Liverpool’s first Premier League defeat of the season and were the first team to score two goals at Anfield since Everton last year.

It was a vastly improved performance by David Moyes’ men and gives the Hammers something to build on in their battle against relegation.

In fact, post-match, Reds boss Jurgen Klopp described them as being a “proper threat”.

Setup in a 4-5-1 shape, Michail Antonio (£6.9m) led the line and impressed till tiring in the second half. Despite not getting on the scoresheet, he continually looked dangerous on the counter, using his pace to keep Liverpool’s centre-backs on their toes.

Since returning to the starting XI in Gameweek 25, Antonio has been West Ham’s most advanced player.

Over that same period, he has produced six shots in the box. That tally is four more than any other teammate, whilst it is only bettered by three FPL midfielders – Mohamed Salah (12.8m), Son Heung-min (£9.8m) and Richarlison (£8.3m).

The next set of games are crucial for the Hammers, with Saturday’s match against Southampton being billed as a ‘six-pointer’. Knowing a win will move them outside of the bottom three, Antonio looks a good differential for Gameweek 28.

Reece James

  • FPL Ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW28-32 fixtures: bou | EVE | avl | MCI | whu

Chelsea right-back Reece James (£5.0m) has burst onto the scene in 2019/20, and has quickly established himself as a key part of Frank Lampard’s exciting young team.

He has made 23 appearances in all competitions this term, contributing two goals and three assists, and has now been named in the Blues starting XI in six of the last seven Gameweeks.

His marauding displays have drawn plenty of praise in recent weeks, with Gareth Southgate reportedly eyeing him up for a place in the next England squad.

The underlying numbers show he has been one of the most attacking defenders in FPL over the last two Gameweeks. His total of four shots is only bettered by Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.7m) and Virgil van Dijk (£6.6m), whilst his three created chances demonstrate his assist potential.

Also, if we look back further to the turn of the year, we can see he’s been putting his superb delivery to good use – only five defenders have put in more crosses than him.

Chelsea have had an unpredictable season, and despite a forgettable Champions League night against Bayern Munich earlier this week, we’re tipping James to get back on track against a Bournemouth side who sit just two points above the relegation zone.

Diogo Jota

Jota shines in central role as Traore is handed second successive benching
  • FPL Ownership: 4.3%
  • Price: £6.2m
  • GW28-32 fixtures: tot | BHA | whu | BOU | avl

Diogo Jota (£6.2m) is a player who has been in our thoughts for a while now. In fact, he only narrowly missed the cut for last week’s Spot the Differential.

Since then, the 23-year-old ran the Norwich City backline ragged, and followed up his Europa League hat-trick with a brace. Those goals, alongside an assist and maximum bonus, meant he returned a huge 16-point haul for his small army of owners.

It was a hugely impressive performance by the Portuguese, who led the way for shots, shots in the box and big chances.

With 11 games to go in the Premier League, Wolves remain in the hunt for a Champions League place, and sit just two points behind Manchester United in fifth.

Rested in midweek, Jota looks set to be unleashed on Sunday, against a Tottenham Hotspur side who have struggled defensively in recent matches, conceding seven goals in their last four in all competitions.

After Spurs, the schedule couldn’t be much kinder for Wolves, who face Brighton and Hove Albion, West Ham, Bournemouth and Aston Villa.

Currently owned by just 4.3% of FPL managers, Jota is a man in form, and looks like a major differential for the season run-in.

  1. Thomas M.
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    What would you do with Son?

    A. Bruno F.
    B. Son + Maupay -> Vardy + Armstrong/Anyone for 5.9 mil -4

    1. FOMFF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      A

    2. Cojones of Destiny
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      A just

    3. jason_ni
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      between those, I would say that B will get more points over the next few gameweeks.

    4. Lignja
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      B

  2. Evasivo
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Play Ryan or McCarthy guys?

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Ryan.

  3. Gazza2000
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    O'Connell -> Robertson for -4 or play Stephens ?

    1. Tsparkes10
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Stephens

      1. Gazza2000
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Stephens.

      1. Gazza2000
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers

  4. chaser123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Why is everyone convinced that Martial won’t play? Ole didn’t suggest it was that bad, did he!?

    1. Tsparkes10
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      He didn't with Pogba and Rash at first... Plus said ighalo and Greenwood are ready for the weekend

    2. farmerfat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      He mentioned the words "injured" and "scan".

      Thats enough info for me.

    3. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      He didn't with Pogba or Rashford either

    4. OldBenKenobi
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Because historically Martial misses a lot of games through “injury” and Ole tends to “underplay” injuries.

      So most are “educated” guesses

    5. I Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Well it's bad enough for him to need a scan. Even if it isn't serious I doubt he would play on Sunday.

    6. jason_ni
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Earlier this season, before gw4, OGS said that it was touch and go for Martial, he might make the game that weekend.
      He was out for the next 7 gws.
      You can't trust anything the Ole says relating to injuries.
      I am selling him personally.

  5. _Greg
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Man City DGW29 more likely now Arsenal out of EL?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Slightly.

  6. OldBenKenobi
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    GTG?
    Grealish > Barnes
    Martial* > Fernandes -4

    Pope
    TAA Robbo Lascelles
    Salah(c) Cantwell Fernandes Barnes
    Vardy Jimenez Ings

    McCarthy Stephens KDB Egan

    1. Tsparkes10
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Yup

    2. jason_ni
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Ha - similar to myself, but moves look good.

      You just know that Martial will have a miraculous discovery and turn up at Goodison on sunday, and its been Ole playing fergie style mindgames.

  7. Public user
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Used my ft on Bruno

    Mane salah Bruno kdb
    Ing deeney Jimenez

    Crazy to -8 for

    Mane salah Bruno Richarlison
    Ing vardy Jimenez ??

    Value lost on kdb will be 0.2 which is fine to me

    1. jason_ni
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      bit crazy - could pay off if you double down and capt vardy.

      Other hand it could all back fire massively!

    2. One Wheels Enough
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      -8's are Ok if you're gonna sit on your hands for a while...

  8. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Martial >? Max 7.8

    A- Moura
    B- Maddison
    C- Someone else?

    1. Aimar
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      PereZ

  9. Aimar
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Captain who !?

    A) Mane
    B ) vardy
    C) salah

    23k OR

    chaising a 40 pts ahead rival and he would captain Mane plus having vardy & salah

    1. OldBenKenobi
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      No need to go crazy this week trying to catch 40 points. Stick with Salah(c). Pick your battles in other weeks

      1. Aimar
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks mate

        But salah away form scary me

    2. jason_ni
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      wow - chasing 40 pts, at 23k is crazy, what rank is he?!
      Capt Mane out of those 3

      1. Aimar
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        He is top 5k

        Chaising another one called Hassen youssri the top of HOF

        He is 80 pts ahead and 734 OR

        1. jason_ni
          • 10 Years
          5 years, 10 months ago

          Thought my ml was tough, leader is currently sitting at 8k, but am slowly catching him, at one point the gap was like 130, now down to 60. He peaked at 80OR in GW 9, but has dropped slowly from there, and from top 1k to 8k over past few gamesweeks, capt aguero hasnt helped him much!

  10. jimmyabs1987
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Martial to Maddison for -4?

    1. OldBenKenobi
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Maddison isn’t in form so it feels risky...

    2. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      I think there are better picks out there, Madders always looks dangerous but don't bring in a lot points

  11. Ange Ball
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    We all know what happened when Vardy played on a Friday night I say no more on the cap pick.

    1. jimmyabs1987
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      What happened?

      1. Aimar
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        Hatrick & assist against sotons

        Blanked against wolves

        1. Ange Ball
          • 10 Years
          5 years, 10 months ago

          Wolves have better difference

          1. Ange Ball
            • 10 Years
            5 years, 10 months ago

            defence

      2. Ange Ball
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        hatty and assist

    2. Joss Ackland’s Spunky…
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Was that the 9 nil bumming?

      1. Ange Ball
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        yep

        1. Joss Ackland’s Spunky…
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 10 months ago

          I’m in.

          1. Ange Ball
            • 10 Years
            5 years, 10 months ago

            time to break this Salah & Mane mould fight for decent rank

  12. davies
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    A) Traore > Barnes/Mount (which?)

    B) Play Cantwell

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Traore to Barnes

  13. Joss Ackland’s Spunky…
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Going Vardy captain. Who’s all in with me?

    1. jason_ni
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Bold choice, will either see you soar, or sink!

      1. Joss Ackland’s Spunky…
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        I need one soaring weekend for parity before all these blanks and doubles. Could really do with this dgw 29 for City. Captained Ings last week and still managed a green arrow so I can probably take a punt again.

    2. Ace Ventura
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Im in. Vardy over Mane and Salah.

    3. Joss Ackland’s Spunky…
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Plus if he blanks I can concentrate on my actual teams relegation scrap in peace.

      1. jason_ni
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        Watford fan?

  14. jason_ni
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    A) Play Dendo (Also relying on B.Willaims to start)
    B) Martial -> Bruno, play Bruno ahead of Dendo for -4

    1. OldBenKenobi
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      B

    2. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      B

  15. Sz21
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    No keeper. Auba + KDB seem definite keeps.
    Hendo -> Patricio, Schmeichel or Pope I think is best.
    Any other ideas?

    TAA, Stephens, Williams, Saiss, Holgate.
    Mane, Salah, Dendoncker.
    Ings, Maupay.
    2ft, 0.2m ITB.
    Non players - Hendo, Stek, Auba, Grealish, KDB.

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Would sell Grealish to Barnes and Maupay to Jota

  16. striiiker
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Afternoon all,

    Current team with 2 FT and 0.1 in the bank:

    McCarthy, Button
    VVD, TAA, Saiss, Kelly, B. Williams
    KBD, Salah, Grealish, Zaha, Maddison
    DCL, Vardy, Ings

    Could do Kelly/Williams to Taylor and save other FT? That would leave me with 11 likely starters in a 4-3-3 this week and Kelly/Williams for the bench.

    I have all chips still available to play.

    Anything else you feel would be a good move?

    Thanks.

  17. the vanisher
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Kelly or Rico for starting XI?

    1. Gobigorgohome
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      it does not matter.. both wont start

    2. jason_ni
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Kelly not likely to play, Rico slightly more chance, but worse fixture, no ft to bring in Taylor?

    3. the vanisher
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Did lundstram to lascelles for free. I have exactly 11 ‘playing’ players, dont think a hit is worth for defenders either..

      1. jason_ni
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        Usually agree, but if your 11th player is Rico or Kelly, i doubt you would get much, so if you did get someone like C.Taylor, better chance of points this week, and fixes a longer term issue with having unreliable def in your squad.

        I had 2ft and moved Lundy and Rico both out, for Saiss and Taylor, giving me some cash in the bank as well.

  18. Reddonkeyham 42
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Pope
    Alexander-Arnold, Lascelles, Boly, O'Connell
    Traoré, Salah, Harry Wilson
    Maupay, Jiménez, Ings

    Substitutes Button, De Bruyne, Grealish, Stevens

    Got 2FT, and £3.2 in the bank, only ten starters, and have all chips avail except wildcard. Really appreciate any help?

    Thinking Grealish out for Harvey Barnes and rolling a transfer over, although I've got no money tied up in KDB

  19. Woy_is_back
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Which one?

    A. Grealish + Mahrez to Barnes + Fernandes. Mahrez might have a dgw next gw
    B. Grealish + Rico to Barnes + Fernandez
    C. Grealish + Donkey to Barnes + Shelvey

    🙂

    1. Woy_is_back
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      D. Grealish to Barnes and play either Rico or Donkey

    2. Woy_is_back
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Yoooooooooooooo help me out

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        Need more info for A.

        1. Woy_is_back
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 10 months ago

          Ok

  20. Hochoki
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    best transfer decision with 1 FT & 3.7 ITB??

    a. holgate to pereira
    b. DCL to Vardy
    c. save FT and prepare for the DGW 29

    Ryan
    TAA Robertson Holgate Boly
    Salah(c) Richarlison Cantwell
    Jimenez Ings DCL

    Henderson Cahill KDB Grealish

  21. Tsparkes10
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    A) Martial out for a hit (8.3m)
    B) Play Williams

    1. OldBenKenobi
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      I’ve gone A and got Fernandes

  22. yanky
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    already done my FT
    Grealish > Barnes to field 11? its still not pretty with Doncker and Traore. Seems like a rough gameweek for me lol

    Guaita
    TAA Soy Lascelles Saiss
    Salah Traore Dendocker Grealish*
    Ings Vardy

    1. yanky
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      i mean already done my FT and got saiss, should i do grealish> barnes for -4 to field 11?

  23. BlzE_94
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    GTG guys? Have i benched the right players?

    McCarthy
    TAA Robertson Stephens Lascelles Taylor
    Salah Barnes
    Vardy Jimenez Ings

    Bench: Henderson, Traore, Hayden, KDB

  24. El_Gigante
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Guaita | Button
    TAA | Robertson | Soy | Lascelles | Stephens
    Salah | Martial* | Traore
    Ings | Greenwood

    Button* | KDB* | Aub* | Fleck*

    Thinking about doing Aub > Vardy and Martial > Rich for a -4 and bench Traore?

    Sound plan?

  25. Dannyb
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Auba to Vardy or save ft?

    1. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Save.

    2. PEP_TALK
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      You might want Auba back for the good run of fixtures after GW28 and a DGW at some point.

      1. Dannyb
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        I will want him back, that's the problem, plus It gives me 2ft next week if theres a double.

    3. Joss Ackland’s Spunky…
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Do it. Vardy go crazy tonight.

    4. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Keep Auba

    5. pablo discobar
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Ben crellin update would be helpful

      1. Dannyb
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        Yes very, would love 2ft next week if theres a double.

    6. Dannyb
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Cheers all

  26. PEP_TALK
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Is it worth using my FT to change Rico (who I'd have to field to get XI out this week) for either of these 2 dodgy replacements:

    A) Fernandez (NEW) - playing Burnley at home with an impressive goals against record at St. James this season.
    B) Taylor (BUR) - playing goal shy Newcastle away.
    C) Rico (BOU) - just hope he gets his place back this weekend and flukes a CS or assist somehow.

    1. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      I want to make the change. Rico to Fernandez. Look below.

    2. Easy Cheesy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      I did lund -> taylor but hoping rico dropping, when they lost 3-0, was a one off. If it isn’t he will go at some point

      1. PEP_TALK
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        I was thinking that about Rico too. A 3-0 hammering last time out for BOU might be a good thing for us Rico owners. Hopefully he comes straight back in. I'm not expecting many points but if he could just get me through GW28 then I'd have 2FT next week for a potential DGW for City or just with more options available, plus I can just bench Rico as 3rd sub from then on.

  27. EmreCan Hustle
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    2FTs.

    Sidibe+Rico to Boly+Fernandez?

    Will give me XI playing this GW. No cash for upgardes.

    Thanks.

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Decent moves

      1. EmreCan Hustle
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers.

    2. PEP_TALK
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      This seems sound... I did Lundstram to Saiss and am mulling over Rico to Fernandez right now to get XI.

      1. EmreCan Hustle
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers.

  28. iL PiStOlErO
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Struggling to decide here. Help appreciated.

    Ramsdale
    TAA Taylor Cathart
    Salah(C) Martial* Dendo
    Firmino Vardy Ings

    Martin KdB* Grealish* Egan*

    1ft, 0.7itb

    What to do?

    A) Martial to Maddison

    B) Grealish to Mount/Traore

    C) both for -4

    1. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      B. Traore or Barnes.

  29. olidooley
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    A thought and a question!

    Thought: Better use those chips up soon before the coronavirus cancels the league

    Question: 0 FT and 0.3itb

    McGovern*
    Robertson TAA Stephens Söyüncü
    Salah Fernandes Dendoncker
    Vardy Ings Jiménez

    Henderson** Kelly* Grealish** KDB**

    1) A hit for Kelly to Saïss and play over Dendoncker
    2) No hit

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      1 worth it I reckon - Kelly dead as an option and Wolves play in GW31

      Coronavirus should be fine - we have Johnson and Matt Hancock looking out for us.

  30. Reddonkeyham 42
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    In regards to the potential Man city double, what time are these announcements normally made?