Spot the Differential

Differential Sarr can sustain electric form ahead of Blank Gameweek 31 fixture

The Spot the Differentials article is on a roll with five of our last six selections providing instant returns, including four double-digit hauls.

Last time out, our tips Michail Antonio (£6.9m) and Diogo Jota (£6.3m) registered 11 and 12 points respectively and delivered for those managers willing to think outside of the box.

This time, we focus on three midfield picks, all of whom have ownership of 5% or less, who we like the look of for Gameweek 29.

Ismaïla Sarr

  • FPL Ownership: 1.9%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: cry | LEI | bur | SOU | che

Ismaïla Sarr (£6.3m) is back on the FPL radar after Watford’s 3-0 win over Liverpool, yet surprisingly sits in just 1.9% of squads.

Making his first start since recovering from a hamstring injury last weekend, the Senegal winger played a part in each of Watford’s three goals, but realistically could have had more, drawing a save from Alisson (£6.2m) and curling a shot wide late on.

It’s now eight attacking returns in nine appearances for Sarr under Nigel Pearson, which has earnt him an impressive 57 FPL points under the new head coach.

Over that same period, amongst midfielders, only Mohamed Salah (£12.8m) and Dele Alli (£8.3m) have been afforded more big chances, despite Sarr playing just 675 minutes.

His partnership with Kiko Femenía (4.2m) could also add another dimension to Watford’s attacking play, with the Spaniard offering more quality in the final third than previous right-back options Adrian Mariappa (£4.2m) and Craig Dawson (4.8m).

The 22-year-old will hope to continue his form when Watford take on Crystal Palace on Saturday, whilst it’s also worth noting the Hornets have a guaranteed Gameweek 31 fixture against Burnley to follow.

If Sarr can remain fit for the rest of the season, then Watford have a real chance of Premier League survival, whilst FPL managers have the opportunity to purchase a potentially explosive, kindly priced differential.

Miguel Almirón

  • FPL Ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £5.8m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: sou | SHU | – | bou | WHU

For the majority of the season, Miguel Almirón (£5.8m) has struggled on the right side of a 5-4-1 set-up.

However, Steve Bruce’s decision to switch to a 4-2-3-1 in Gameweek 28 has seen Almirón take up a central role, as a no 10 – a position he thrived in for Atalanta United in MLS.

In his new role, the Paraguay international impressed against Burnley last weekend. He was Newcastle’s most advanced player, taking three shots in the box and creating four chances, whilst he had more final third touches than any of his teammates.

Despite failing to score, the system change had a positive impact on the Magpies’ attack, who looked more of a threat, mustering 21 attempts on goal. With better finishing, they could have pulled off a decent win against the Clarets.

But it was on Tuesday night the attack finally clicked, as they ran out 3-2 winners over West Bromwich Albion in the FA Cup, with Almirón showing excellent composure to score two goals.

Following that haul, Almirón is now the Magpies’ top scorer this season with six goals, which have all been scored since 21st December.

Newcastle remain in a relatively comfortable league position and are only two points behind their opponents on Saturday, Southampton. Only three teams have given up more than the Saints’ six big chances over the last two Gameweeks, whilst they have often struggled against direct teams this season. With Dwight Gayle (£5.0m) looking to run the channels, it should give Almirón plenty of space through the middle, and an opportunity to build on his previous good form.

Phil Foden

  • FPL Ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £5.1m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: mun + ARS| BUR | – | LIV | sou

At Wembley on Sunday, Phil Foden (£5.1m) delivered a man of the match performance as Manchester City beat Aston Villa in the Carabao Cup final.

Playing as a winger coming in off the right, Foden was at the centre of everything, assisting Sergio Agüero’s (£11.9m) opener whilst almost scoring himself. He had a pass completion rate of 92%, had five shots, and now has two goals and seven assists in his last 10 starts.

Those performances suggest Foden is ready to start more often, and with David Silva (£7.3m) departing in the summer, it would certainly make sense.

The interesting news for FPL managers, is following City’s FA Cup fifth round win at Hillsborough on Wednesday night, Pep Guardiola suggested Foden will play in this weekend’s Manchester derby. That doesn’t necessarily mean he’ll start, but with Kevin De Bruyne (£10.7m) a doubt for the game with a shoulder problem, and Silva having played the full 90 minutes midweek, his chances look quite high.

As for City, it’s been an impressive period following wins against Leicester City, Real Madrid and Aston Villa, and with two matches this Gameweek it looks sensible to invest in at least one of their attacking assets.

Foden is still learning, although he has already shown he is ready to shine when called upon, and could be an effective budget differential for Gameweek 29.

2,179 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Strchld
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Which one guys? Have been thinking this last two days. Vardy could also match Aubas points.

    A) Do Vardy to Auba(C) (can just get 6 players without hit out GW31)

    B) Kelly to Doherty (7 players out GW31 for free)

  2. In a Rush
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    19 minutes before we get more vague news on kdb’s injury..

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      And Ole playing 'mastermind' tricks about slabhead.

    2. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I suspect he will miss the derby and play against Arsenal.

      1. In a Rush
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yes that’s my hunch too, tempted by Pepe and bring him back in a few weeks

        1. Nomar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I already have KdB and Auba.

          May just save my TF for next week and have 2 to use on building a team for GW31.

    3. The Overthinker
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      "He is not yet fully fit. He is still recovering. He has problem in the back. I will have to talk to the physio.
      Decision will be made in tomorrow's training. Will he play the derby? I don't know. "

  3. Nespinha
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    1FT 2.8ITB - 7 players playing GW31

    Help, Pick one please:

    A) prioritize GW31 players, GW31 with 10 players - captain Salah/KDB

    B) get Aguero in for the next 3 games, GW31 with 8 players - captain Aguero

    PS: Aguero would be added for Firmino

    1. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

      Other than Auba, the rest of this DGW looks riddled with rotation risks that ostensibly make it a SGW for a lot of the options available.

      I'd personally focus more on getting a team for GW31 to avoid using a chip.

      1. Nespinha
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        even with 8 players, I would save the chips for GW34 and GW37

        1. Nomar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I do like Aguero this week, especially if he's on pens again.

          GW31 looks like a GW where few people who aren't playing chips will put a full team out.

          If Kun scores big that GW you'll be laughing.

          1. Nespinha
            • 8 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            that's my dillema lol

  4. gomez123
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Kuns minutes this DGW??

    1. Nespinha
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      120

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Played in the final and midweek cup.

      I will be very surprised if he starts the Manc derby.

    3. tm370
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Benched for United but starts against Arsenal is my prediction.

    4. The Overthinker
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      130-150

    5. Dr. Agabuse
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      187

  5. Philip Jones's Diary
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any alternative chip strategies that don't involve FH in GW31, BB and TC in the next doubles?

    1. Marmalade Forest
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Play 9-11 players in 31
      FH 34/37
      TC 31/38

      1. Marmalade Forest
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        FH/BB 34/37 whatever looks best

  6. LSK
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    How is this wildcard draft looking?

    Foster/Button
    Alonso, TAA, Doherty/Gomez, Taylor
    Salah, Pepe, Mahrez, Foden, Sarr
    Auba (c), Jimenez/Ayew

    Should Gomez come in for Sarr (or get rid of Foden for Snodgrass and bring Gomez into the team for him?)

  7. FreddyP3
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Man city presser today?

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      In 20mins

      1. Dr. Agabuse
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        5

  8. BNMC
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Anxiously awaiting Pep's presser...

  9. King Kohli
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Would you change anything in this starting 11?

    Hendo
    TAA - Gomez - Egan - Basham
    Salah - KDB - Bruno
    Auba - Jimenez - Ings

    (Pope - Traore - Cantwell - Taylor)

    Not sure if I should play Basham or Taylor.
    Also tempted by Ings > Jota (-4).

    1. The Overthinker
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Basham the right choice.

  10. Flynny
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Hi. Benchboosting this week. Taken - 4 for this squad. 0.5mitb. Anything for another hit?

    Maybe mccarthy to foster to reduce saints double defence risk and bring another gw31 player in? Thanks

    Hendo mccarthy
    Taa robbo soy boly stephens
    Salah kdb sarr barnes fleck
    Auba jota jiminez

    1. KUN_DE_BRU_YNE
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Initial my plan also was to BBing GW 29 but all plan ruined by DGWs and traore injury,fleck no show last 3-4 weeks,possible pool rotation(especially Robbo)...
      Now m in great dilemma when to use my BB with my wildcard already gone.

      1. Flynny
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Im just going for it.

        Fleck is fit. Wil look for lpool leaked news....

        1. KUN_DE_BRU_YNE
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          GL mate!!!
          If traore is fit enough then I will also go for it.

          1. KUN_DE_BRU_YNE
            • 6 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Coz I was also wildcarder for GW 29 BB.

  11. Fudgy
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Same guy on man city forum with info. Is he legit or did he get a lucky guess?

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Link?

      1. Fudgy
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Not allowed to post pre match rumours on here so you will have to find it yourself

        1. InvertedWinger
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          So then why even mention it?

        2. Cahill
          • 13 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          clown

    2. InvertedWinger
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      What's the info?

      1. In a Rush
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        What’s he saying? Talk to us!

    3. The Overthinker
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Fake

    4. Now I'm Panicking
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Was his guess that you are a bellcheese?

      1. Gnu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        😆

      2. In a Rush
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Fudgy off

    5. Gnu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Great post.

  12. Atwood
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    No, your eyes don't deceive you, I own Iheanacho. Took my first and only real gamble of the season last week and slid out of the top 100k because of it.

    1FT, 3.7 in the bank, does this sound good?

    Iheanacho > Jota

    Henderson
    TAA - Robertson - Soyuncu - Stephens
    Martial - Salah - Cantwell - KDB
    Jimenez - Ings - Iheanacho

    Button - Cantwell - Dendoncker - Lundstram

  13. Beehindyou
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Which of these 3 end of season defining options;

    1. Hold the FT: it’s a solid 11 and work toward a good GW31 team
    2. Richarlison & Vardy to Auba (c) and Sarr (-4): aka "The hedge"
    3. WC and structure an above average 29 and 31 with no hits

    Ryan

    TAA / Robbo / Doc / Stephens
    Salah / KDB / Richarlison
    DCL / Ings / Vard

    (Traore / Dendonk / Rico)

    1FT 0.3 ITB / FH, BB, and WC

    1. Beehindyou
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I lean towards #1, but is that not aggressive enough?

  14. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Gtg here?

    Ryan
    Taa* Robbo* Aurier* -- Boly* Rico*
    Salah* Sarr* KDB Perez -- Stephens
    Jiminez* Auba(c) Ings

    Was contemplating Ryan >> Foster (-4) till WC33...the move should make up 4 points over 4gw's esp as Ryan blanks

    1. Beehindyou
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Looks great - would love that team

  15. kamdaraji
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    who is more nailed out of Masina or Femenia?

    1. kamdaraji
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Do you expect Janmaaat or Holebas to get back into the first team as they compete with the players above?

  16. Energetics
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    On wildcard. If I let go of KDB I can do:

    Pope
    Taa Doherty Otamendi
    Salah Pepe Gündogan Saka
    Auba Aguero Jota

    Krul Sarr Cathcart C.Taylor

    Which for a -4 in 31 will give me:

    Pope
    Taa Doherty Cathcart C.Taylor
    Salah Mane Sarr McNeill
    Jiminez Jota

    Thoughts?

    1. Beehindyou
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Very aggressive - not sure about Gundo, but is a good option at the higher end of the risk curve

      1. Energetics
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        IF KDB was out his chances of playing increases, may even take corners.

        If KDB played probably a wasted punt.

        But it is Aguero.

    2. Pompel
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If KDB only plays one, should be good. But Gundo, can you stretch it Mahrez?

      1. Energetics
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Nah, massive price difference would have to lose Aguero.

        Could do Mahrez and Jiminez, no Aguero and no -4 for 31.

        Aguero did score a hatty against Arsenal in a double last year though

        1. Pompel
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Agüero could be genius or massive fail, I'd not lose him if chasing.

    3. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      31 team must be close to what you would choose even if on free hit?

  17. BNMC
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    No love for Doucoure?

    1. The Ejiptian King
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      He's a good pick, it's just that Sarr is better.

      1. BNMC
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Would you rather have Gomez and Doucoure, or Aurier and Sarr?

        I'd play Gomez in all of the next 3 GWs then sell him for a defender with a DGW - probably a SHU defender. If I go for Aurier, I probably wouldn't play him in 29 and 30 (will instead play fodder like Cathcart) but will play him in 31, then sell him as with Gomez.

  18. houghmagandie
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Advice please: should I start (a) Fleck (safe, limited returns) or (b) Traore (risky, possible high returns)?

  19. Pia06rc
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Captain Auba or Salah?

  20. Pompel
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Can't overlook a DGW, so pretty decide on getting Auba in for a captian punt. But also badly want Doherty, who I think should justify a hit even this GW. But then funds, are tight, so options are :

    A) DCL -> Auba for FT
    B) Ings + Webster -> Auba(c) + Doherty -4pts

    cheers

    1. The Overthinker
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

      1. Pompel
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        But surely Ings oikely to outscore DCL over next two?

        1. In a Rush
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Maybe do b with dcl instead of ings then

          1. In a Rush
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            I forgot dcl cheaper so probably not an option

            1. Pompel
              • 10 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              spot on

    2. In a Rush
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah I like B really want Doherty myself

  21. FreddyP3
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Unpopular opinion: bb on a dgw is at best marginally better than a regular gw. Chances are you won’t have over 11 players with a dgw anyway, and if you do you have probably gimped your team just for the sake of having 15 dgw players. Thoughts on this?

    1. BNMC
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      The TC and BB chips are heavily based on luck.

      1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        The whole game is

    2. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I love the look of 15dgw players 😎
      Tbf the most I've played is 13.
      Its the only way the BB can pay off really but requires it in tandem with wc

    3. Now I'm Panicking
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      BB in a DGW if you play your WC the week before is definitely better than a SGW.

    4. Jullepuu
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      True unless you wildcard in gw 36 right before you bb in gw 37

      1. FreddyP3
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yes and then you have gw38 with a team with players from a restricted numbers of teams, effectively gimping your team. And also in 37 you kind of get the fixtures that are offered, compared to any of the other 37 gws that might have had better looking fixtures for your bench.

    5. Gnu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      It's an unpopular opinion for very good reason I'd say.

  22. Checko
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What does everyone think about Aubamayang Triple Captain this GW?

    I am planning on keeping my FH and BB for the likely DGW's in 34 and 37, but the fact that one of his double matches for 29 is City is putting me off.

    Any thoughts? Or advice on a better time to use it than now?

    1. BNMC
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      You'll keep asking yourself the same question for the rest of the season. Do it now.

  23. _Gunner
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any Traore news?

  24. Rash
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    This worthy of a wildcard?

    McCarthy button*
    Trent gomez* boly* dunk* Pereira
    Salah kdb perez* barnes* Hayden*
    Aubameyang ings* Jimenez*

    To

    McCarthy pope*
    Trent Doherty* alonso* tanganga* Pereira
    Salah kdb bruno* sarr* saka
    Aubameyang DCL* jota*

    If worth it, any changes to it?

  25. Stimps
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    On a WC, how's she looking? 0 itb

    Pope
    TAA Doherty Egan
    Salah KDB Pepe Saka
    Auba (c) Jimi Jota

    3.9 Sarr Kiko Taylor

    1. Buck The Trent
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      noice

    2. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Almost identical to me!

      Only I’m going with Otamendi rather than Egan.

      And may downgrade Sarr to Doucoure to upgrade 3.9 to Krul

  26. DAZZ
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Worth benching KDB?

    1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      May as well sell if you plan on doing that

      1. Wild Rover
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        This

  27. Dr. Agabuse
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    DISCLAIMER
    NOT ACTUAL QUOTE:

    Lets guess what Peps gonna say on KDB

    "He's a very important player for us. He's not been training. Tomorrow is too soon. After we will see."

    1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes he's fit and here's the team and tactics I intend to play....

    2. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      he's on penalties, freekicks, corners, throw ins for both games and will play every goddam second of both games..and fetch the half time oranges from tesco's

  28. SHOOTER MCGINN
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Pepe points prediction for GW29?

    1. BNMC
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Can't see more than 10 points across the 2 games combined

  29. manu4life99
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Which GK gets more pts in the next 4 gw?

    A) Foster (cpl, LEI, bur, SOT)
    B) Pope (TOT, mcy, WAT, cpl)

    1. Buck The Trent
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Popey

  30. FOO FIGHTER
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Damn, how good it would have been for GW31 if Son was not injured.