Spot the Differential

Differential Sarr can sustain electric form ahead of Blank Gameweek 31 fixture

The Spot the Differentials article is on a roll with five of our last six selections providing instant returns, including four double-digit hauls.

Last time out, our tips Michail Antonio (£6.9m) and Diogo Jota (£6.3m) registered 11 and 12 points respectively and delivered for those managers willing to think outside of the box.

This time, we focus on three midfield picks, all of whom have ownership of 5% or less, who we like the look of for Gameweek 29.

Ismaïla Sarr

  • FPL Ownership: 1.9%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: cry | LEI | bur | SOU | che

Ismaïla Sarr (£6.3m) is back on the FPL radar after Watford’s 3-0 win over Liverpool, yet surprisingly sits in just 1.9% of squads.

Making his first start since recovering from a hamstring injury last weekend, the Senegal winger played a part in each of Watford’s three goals, but realistically could have had more, drawing a save from Alisson (£6.2m) and curling a shot wide late on.

It’s now eight attacking returns in nine appearances for Sarr under Nigel Pearson, which has earnt him an impressive 57 FPL points under the new head coach.

Over that same period, amongst midfielders, only Mohamed Salah (£12.8m) and Dele Alli (£8.3m) have been afforded more big chances, despite Sarr playing just 675 minutes.

His partnership with Kiko Femenía (4.2m) could also add another dimension to Watford’s attacking play, with the Spaniard offering more quality in the final third than previous right-back options Adrian Mariappa (£4.2m) and Craig Dawson (4.8m).

The 22-year-old will hope to continue his form when Watford take on Crystal Palace on Saturday, whilst it’s also worth noting the Hornets have a guaranteed Gameweek 31 fixture against Burnley to follow.

If Sarr can remain fit for the rest of the season, then Watford have a real chance of Premier League survival, whilst FPL managers have the opportunity to purchase a potentially explosive, kindly priced differential.

Miguel Almirón

  • FPL Ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £5.8m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: sou | SHU | – | bou | WHU

For the majority of the season, Miguel Almirón (£5.8m) has struggled on the right side of a 5-4-1 set-up.

However, Steve Bruce’s decision to switch to a 4-2-3-1 in Gameweek 28 has seen Almirón take up a central role, as a no 10 – a position he thrived in for Atalanta United in MLS.

In his new role, the Paraguay international impressed against Burnley last weekend. He was Newcastle’s most advanced player, taking three shots in the box and creating four chances, whilst he had more final third touches than any of his teammates.

Despite failing to score, the system change had a positive impact on the Magpies’ attack, who looked more of a threat, mustering 21 attempts on goal. With better finishing, they could have pulled off a decent win against the Clarets.

But it was on Tuesday night the attack finally clicked, as they ran out 3-2 winners over West Bromwich Albion in the FA Cup, with Almirón showing excellent composure to score two goals.

Following that haul, Almirón is now the Magpies’ top scorer this season with six goals, which have all been scored since 21st December.

Newcastle remain in a relatively comfortable league position and are only two points behind their opponents on Saturday, Southampton. Only three teams have given up more than the Saints’ six big chances over the last two Gameweeks, whilst they have often struggled against direct teams this season. With Dwight Gayle (£5.0m) looking to run the channels, it should give Almirón plenty of space through the middle, and an opportunity to build on his previous good form.

Phil Foden

  • FPL Ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £5.1m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: mun + ARS| BUR | – | LIV | sou

At Wembley on Sunday, Phil Foden (£5.1m) delivered a man of the match performance as Manchester City beat Aston Villa in the Carabao Cup final.

Playing as a winger coming in off the right, Foden was at the centre of everything, assisting Sergio Agüero’s (£11.9m) opener whilst almost scoring himself. He had a pass completion rate of 92%, had five shots, and now has two goals and seven assists in his last 10 starts.

Those performances suggest Foden is ready to start more often, and with David Silva (£7.3m) departing in the summer, it would certainly make sense.

The interesting news for FPL managers, is following City’s FA Cup fifth round win at Hillsborough on Wednesday night, Pep Guardiola suggested Foden will play in this weekend’s Manchester derby. That doesn’t necessarily mean he’ll start, but with Kevin De Bruyne (£10.7m) a doubt for the game with a shoulder problem, and Silva having played the full 90 minutes midweek, his chances look quite high.

As for City, it’s been an impressive period following wins against Leicester City, Real Madrid and Aston Villa, and with two matches this Gameweek it looks sensible to invest in at least one of their attacking assets.

Foden is still learning, although he has already shown he is ready to shine when called upon, and could be an effective budget differential for Gameweek 29.

2,179 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Gringo Kid
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What would you change here

    Henderson (McCarthy)
    TAA, Boly, O'Connell (PVA, Taylor)
    Salah (c), KDB, Barnes, Maddison (Traore)
    Ings, Jimenez, Firmino

    1FT 0 ITB

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Save

    2. Sotamendi84
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      traore fit. better option than madisson?

      1. vincentwsho
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Is Traore fit??

  2. Bubz
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I’m going 0 DGW players. I can’t justify selling the likes if Mane home to Bournemouth or Vardy home to villa. I’m going to hold tight, save a transfer and hope the SGWers perform.

    1. Fudgy
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I only have kdb

    2. Bubz
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Unless we hear news Mane is benched ofc

    3. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I've not bought any in, but I have kdb and auba.

      I can see where you are coming from, its one thing to move someone out if they fixtures are tricky, but there is no reason that Mane/Vardy cant outscore Kdb/Auba this week, flip a coin.

      1. Bubz
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Indeed, plus Mane has a gw31, and saving a xfer will allow me to set up even better for gw31. It could backfire but could also turn out great

    4. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Roll of the dice. Could be good, could be terrible. Similar decision myself over Vardy >> Auba(C). GL

    5. Mingo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'm in pretty much the same boat but with KDB on board. I'd have to take a hit to get Auba in, he's pretty much the only option as I couldn't afford Pepe too. Liverpool are dropping like flies, but Salah could still easily haul and match any DGW player.

  3. Malkmus
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A'noon all. I used my FT to get saiss in. 0FT, 0.1 ITB, so just KDB for the dgw.

    McCarthy
    TTA - O'Connell - Saiss
    Salah - Mane - KDB - Maddison
    Ings - Vardy - DCL

    Subs - Kiko, Dendonk, Fernandez

    A - Keep
    B - Vardy & Maddison to Auba & Saka ? (-8)

    I'm thinking A

    Ta !

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A. Leicester surely have to pick up.

      1. Malkmus
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers ! Fingers crossed

  4. Old Gregg
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Hello all,

    which move please?. Looking in part to prep for GW31

    a) Vardy + Dcl > Auba + Jota (-4)
    a) Vardy + Ings > Auba + Jota (-4)

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      keep Dom

  5. King Kohli
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Score predictions for these players this gw?

    A. Gomez (BOU)
    B. Sarr (cry)
    C. Ings (NEW)
    D. Jota (BHA)
    E. Doherty (BHA)

    1. how now brown cow
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      6
      2
      2
      6
      6

    2. Pukki Party
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      22562

    3. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      6
      6
      6
      6
      6

      1. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Sorry

    4. jia you
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      2
      2
      6
      2
      1

  6. Naby K8a
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    oh no not Alisson. Adrian vs Atletico ...

    1. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If Alisson misses the CL, its prob the end for them in that tourny.

  7. _Ninja_
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Best move here?

    A. Vardy Fernandez to Jota Doherty and BB?
    B Vardy Perez to Auba Saka
    C. Save

    Hendo
    TAA - VVD - Stevens
    Salah - KDB - Bruno - Barnes
    Jiminez - Ings - Vardy

    Pope Perez Taylor Fernandez

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

  8. Pep Roulette
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    If Robertson doesn't start tomorrow, depending on early team news

    Robbo + Perez to Kiko + Pepe(C) for -4?

    Have only Kun & KDB for the DGW!

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Don't think so

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Why not?

        1. Fulchester's New Centr…
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          If Robbo out only?
          Perez can do one, but not excited about Pepe or Kiko.

  9. CRO KLOPP
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Kasper
    TAA Robbo Dunk
    Salah KDB Grealish Perez
    Auba(c)Jimenez DCL
    (4.0 Cantwell Taylor Holgate)
    0 FT

    A) Dunk to Doherty(-4)
    B) DCL to Jota(-4)
    C) Grealish/Perez to Sarr (-4)
    D) gtg

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A will pay for itself this weekend

      1. CRO KLOPP
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I agree mate, cheers

  10. Pukki Party
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Would you rather have Leno for this double gameweek or would you get Pope for 31?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Pope

  11. Firminooooo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    How about this if Allison is out.

    Robertson and Ings to Auba and Fermenia for 2FT and maybe Ryan to Foster for -4.

    Would give me:

    Foster (Button)
    TAA Fermenia Boly Soy (Rico)
    Salah KdB Grealish (Traore) (Cantwell)
    Aguero Auba Jimenez

    1 hit in the next 2GWs would give me 11 for BGW31. FH GW34 and WC before BB GW37.

    1. Long ago I drew a walrus
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Not sure Ryan to Foster is particularly relevant. 2FT could be worth it though

  12. Fudgy
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Liverpool falling apart again 😆

  13. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Start Aurier or Soy?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Bookies much prefer Soy

  14. Godfrey
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    More people who still have KDB. What's your plan?

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Keep and start him.

    2. how now brown cow
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Do nothing

    3. Pep Roulette
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Keeping but no capping

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Not*

  15. Milk, 1 Šuker
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Still none the wiser as to KDB's participation in both upcoming games then! Would you start him or have him as first sub?

    1. Pukki Party
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Surely start

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      start

    3. Milk, 1 Šuker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      OK fellas thanks

  16. The 12th Man
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bench Boost this lot?
    McCarthy v New (H)
    Perez v AVL (H)
    Sarr v CPY (A)
    Lascelles v SOU (A)

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      no

  17. how now brown cow
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    So assuming auba blanks v city

    A - Vardy (AVL) + 2 points
    B - Auba (WHU)

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Would you captain Auba? As that throws up another permutation

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      b

    3. The 12th Man
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      The one in form.

    4. JohnBlack
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

  18. SheBangsTheDrums
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I only currently have KDB as a DGWer and it would take at least -8 to bring in another.

    I have all chips available plus a good 7 GW31 in the squad so would you FH this week?

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Similar scenario myself and contemplating FH.

      Just not sure it's worth it.

  19. abaalan
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A. Rico + traore > Doherty + saka
    B. Rico + traore > otamendi + foden
    C. Rico + traore > Alonso + foden

    All for free, fh31, wc32/33.

    1. majeci
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A...

  20. OverTinker
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Pope button
    Taa Saïss Stephens lascelles holhate
    Salah kdb Mane grealish Dendoncker
    DCL jiminez ings

    1 FT and 3.1 itb
    1. Grealish to Mahrez
    2. Grealish to Pépé
    3. save

  21. GW 29 News Roundup
    Rotation's Alter Ego
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What we learnt in the run-up to Gameweek 29…

    Liverpool

    Alisson has suffered a muscular problem which will rule him out of the Bournemouth game. Henderson is out but could return for Atletico.
    https://twitter.com/ptgorst/status/1235921113617743872?s=20

    Man City

    KDB is “getting better”. A late decision will be made on his involvement. Pep previously talked about Foden - “Next game he [Foden] is going to play”. Sane won’t feature.
    https://twitter.com/andyhampson/status/1235920606337675264?s=20

    Leicester City

    Vardy will train Friday and is on track to be available for Monday. Chilwell is a concern with a hamstring issue – he’ll be assessed late.
    https://twitter.com/BBCRLSport/status/1235927676394917888?s=20

    Chelsea

    Pulisic and Loftus-Cheek are both short on match fitness. Hudson-Odoi has had a setback and will now need a scan on his hamstring. Willian will be tested late, Kovacic is out. It is hoped Abraham will be back by the end of the month.
    https://twitter.com/liam_twomey/status/1235925456328757249?s=20

    Man Utd

    Maguire is a doubt after he rolled his ankle in training. Wan-Bissaka and James are also doubts and will need late tests as neither had trained between the league and FA Cup games.
    https://www.manutd.com/en/news/detail/team-news-before-man-utd-v-man-city-at-old-trafford

    Wolves

    Jonny will still take some time to recover, but he and Gibbs-White are the only fitness concerns facing Wolves. Traore is fit and available.
    https://twitter.com/TimNash_1/status/1235915912923971584?s=20

    Tottenham

    Lloris has returned to training and is expected to play, with no fresh injuries for Spurs after 120 minutes midweek. Kane, Sissoko and Son remain out. Mourinho has mentioned that Dier will play on Saturday.
    https://twitter.com/AlasdairGold/status/1235909278877261824?s=20

    Sheffield Utd

    Stevens and Fleck are both fit and ready.
    https://twitter.com/JamesShield1/status/1235516212756414468?s=20

    Burnley

    Barnes is back in full training but isn’t ready yet. JBG remains out, whilst Lowton is still working with the medical team.
    https://twitter.com/adjones_journo/status/1235560341532110848?s=20

    Arsenal

    Torreira has fractured his ankle and will need “further specialist reviews”. Chambers is still out. Tierney has had a few training sessions but hasn’t joined the squad yet. Mari can play if needed.
    https://twitter.com/ArtdeRoche/status/1235565314391388160?s=20

    Everton

    Coleman is set to miss at least two games for Everton but Digne is fit. Tosun will have surgery next week.
    https://twitter.com/Adam_Jones94/status/1235920965256822787?s=20

    Crystal Palace

    No Tosun for Palace who has returned to Everton after injury. Tomkins, Schlupp and Sakho have all recovered from injury.
    https://twitter.com/CPFC/status/1235917694307840001?s=20

    Southampton

    Djenepo is back in training after his mother passed away. Smallbone is out with an illness, as is Armstrong, who has a concussion and hasn’t been training. Redmond remains out. Ings has trained all week.
    https://twitter.com/Ankaman616/status/1235559859418001409?s=20

    Newcastle

    Saint-Maximin is “ok” and Bruce thinks he’s going to be fine. Manquillo was sore on Thursday but it’s hoped everyone came through midweek fine.
    https://twitter.com/ChronicleNUFC/status/1235861067663720448?s=20

    Brighton

    No new injuries, but Izquierdo remains out. Mac Allister is still getting up to speed.
    https://twitter.com/AndyNaylorBHAFC/status/1235563290358476801?s=20

    West Ham

    Yarmolenko is out again but is back training. Soucek has a good chance for this weekend, he’s very close to being match fit.
    https://twitter.com/Sam_InkersoleTM/status/1235922669670973441?s=20

    Watford

    Janmaat has not recovered in time to feature for Watford. Deulofeu is out, but the rest of the team are fit.
    https://www.watfordobserver.co.uk/sport/18284555.watford-without-daryl-janmaat-gerard-deulofeu-crystal-palace-game/?ref=rss

    Bournemouth

    Brooks, Danjuma and Mepham are not training with the team yet and are out. Kelly has been training. It is hoped Brooks can get integrated into training in the next couple of weeks. Harry Wilson is ineligible.
    https://twitter.com/peterrutzler/status/1235856505049497600?s=20

    Aston Villa

    McGinn is training again, but isn’t ready for contact and could return vs Chelsea in March.
    https://www.birminghammail.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/john-mcginn-injury-aston-villa-17876673

    Norwich

    Pukki and Tettey are both fully back. Zimmermann is back training since Thursday and could travel. Klose is also close to returning to team training and may be able to play after the international break. Buendia had nothing but cramp.
    https://twitter.com/michaeljbailey/status/1235923071594385409?s=20

    1. OverTinker
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      thanks

    2. Scotch Jock
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      "Harry Wilson is illegible" - must be loads pf potential puns here, but I can't come up with one 🙂

      1. Rotation's Alter Ego
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Oops, awkward. Fixed!

      2. Dr Mulholland
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        "Klose is also close" - another one.

    3. Lazaretti
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Thank you RAE. Anyone can say how long Jonny will be out. Might swap Dunk to Vinagre... (-4)

  22. stepper1971
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What is the general consensus for those of us who have already used their early WC but still have FH/BB/TC Chasing my ML leader by 37 points but he has all chips available still. Looking for any ideas to claw back this lead

  23. Don Kloppeone
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I have TAA and VVD. Personally think we still have good chance of CS even without Allison vs BOU.

    Agree or move on VVD > Doherty for -4?

    Planning WC32, FH34/36 and BB37.

    1. Abra Dubravka
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'd be tempted to pull the trigger.
      I have TAA and Robbo, so slightly more on the fence due to assist potential.

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      With WC in pocket, why not?

      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Main reason against was I was going to lose a worse defender (Holgate) for Doherty in GW31

  24. Mufc202020
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bench boost

    Hendo McCarthy
    Alonso Stevens TAA Gomez Soy
    Salah Pérez Barnes Fernandes Fleck
    Jota Ings Auba (C)

    Good to go???
    Thanks

  25. Bubz
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I’m surprised more people arent interested in Aguero. Do you think he will only play one of the games? I’d have thought he starts both

    1. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      It's not lack of interest, it's lack of transfers and funds

    2. Easy Cheesy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Why? I would be if I thought there was a chance of it

  26. Riggs
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Who to replace Ryan with?
    A) Patricio
    B) Guaita
    C) Foster

  27. Abra Dubravka
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Sooo, time to sell both Liverpool defenders with Adrian in goal !!

    1. Now I'm Panicking
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I would keep TAA just for his attacking returns

    2. jia you
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      makes them all worth at least 1.0 less that's for sure

  28. jia you
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Never one for being afraid of selling premium / popular assets but selling KdB this GW is just ridiculous!

    1. MrZ
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I sold him for foden, to accommodate aguero

      1. jia you
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        don't like it but best of luck!

  29. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    7 playing in 31 so far.
    Could have 10 with a hit.

    Use FH this week?

  30. yanky
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    1) TC Auba a wise decision if I have all chips left?
    2) Play one of Traore or Lundstrom and bank FT or do Traore > Sarr for free?