Spot the Differential

Differential Sarr can sustain electric form ahead of Blank Gameweek 31 fixture

The Spot the Differentials article is on a roll with five of our last six selections providing instant returns, including four double-digit hauls.

Last time out, our tips Michail Antonio (£6.9m) and Diogo Jota (£6.3m) registered 11 and 12 points respectively and delivered for those managers willing to think outside of the box.

This time, we focus on three midfield picks, all of whom have ownership of 5% or less, who we like the look of for Gameweek 29.

Ismaïla Sarr

  • FPL Ownership: 1.9%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: cry | LEI | bur | SOU | che

Ismaïla Sarr (£6.3m) is back on the FPL radar after Watford’s 3-0 win over Liverpool, yet surprisingly sits in just 1.9% of squads.

Making his first start since recovering from a hamstring injury last weekend, the Senegal winger played a part in each of Watford’s three goals, but realistically could have had more, drawing a save from Alisson (£6.2m) and curling a shot wide late on.

It’s now eight attacking returns in nine appearances for Sarr under Nigel Pearson, which has earnt him an impressive 57 FPL points under the new head coach.

Over that same period, amongst midfielders, only Mohamed Salah (£12.8m) and Dele Alli (£8.3m) have been afforded more big chances, despite Sarr playing just 675 minutes.

His partnership with Kiko Femenía (4.2m) could also add another dimension to Watford’s attacking play, with the Spaniard offering more quality in the final third than previous right-back options Adrian Mariappa (£4.2m) and Craig Dawson (4.8m).

The 22-year-old will hope to continue his form when Watford take on Crystal Palace on Saturday, whilst it’s also worth noting the Hornets have a guaranteed Gameweek 31 fixture against Burnley to follow.

If Sarr can remain fit for the rest of the season, then Watford have a real chance of Premier League survival, whilst FPL managers have the opportunity to purchase a potentially explosive, kindly priced differential.

Miguel Almirón

  • FPL Ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £5.8m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: sou | SHU | – | bou | WHU

For the majority of the season, Miguel Almirón (£5.8m) has struggled on the right side of a 5-4-1 set-up.

However, Steve Bruce’s decision to switch to a 4-2-3-1 in Gameweek 28 has seen Almirón take up a central role, as a no 10 – a position he thrived in for Atalanta United in MLS.

In his new role, the Paraguay international impressed against Burnley last weekend. He was Newcastle’s most advanced player, taking three shots in the box and creating four chances, whilst he had more final third touches than any of his teammates.

Despite failing to score, the system change had a positive impact on the Magpies’ attack, who looked more of a threat, mustering 21 attempts on goal. With better finishing, they could have pulled off a decent win against the Clarets.

But it was on Tuesday night the attack finally clicked, as they ran out 3-2 winners over West Bromwich Albion in the FA Cup, with Almirón showing excellent composure to score two goals.

Following that haul, Almirón is now the Magpies’ top scorer this season with six goals, which have all been scored since 21st December.

Newcastle remain in a relatively comfortable league position and are only two points behind their opponents on Saturday, Southampton. Only three teams have given up more than the Saints’ six big chances over the last two Gameweeks, whilst they have often struggled against direct teams this season. With Dwight Gayle (£5.0m) looking to run the channels, it should give Almirón plenty of space through the middle, and an opportunity to build on his previous good form.

Phil Foden

  • FPL Ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £5.1m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: mun + ARS| BUR | – | LIV | sou

At Wembley on Sunday, Phil Foden (£5.1m) delivered a man of the match performance as Manchester City beat Aston Villa in the Carabao Cup final.

Playing as a winger coming in off the right, Foden was at the centre of everything, assisting Sergio Agüero’s (£11.9m) opener whilst almost scoring himself. He had a pass completion rate of 92%, had five shots, and now has two goals and seven assists in his last 10 starts.

Those performances suggest Foden is ready to start more often, and with David Silva (£7.3m) departing in the summer, it would certainly make sense.

The interesting news for FPL managers, is following City’s FA Cup fifth round win at Hillsborough on Wednesday night, Pep Guardiola suggested Foden will play in this weekend’s Manchester derby. That doesn’t necessarily mean he’ll start, but with Kevin De Bruyne (£10.7m) a doubt for the game with a shoulder problem, and Silva having played the full 90 minutes midweek, his chances look quite high.

As for City, it’s been an impressive period following wins against Leicester City, Real Madrid and Aston Villa, and with two matches this Gameweek it looks sensible to invest in at least one of their attacking assets.

Foden is still learning, although he has already shown he is ready to shine when called upon, and could be an effective budget differential for Gameweek 29.

2,179 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Daghe Munegu
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Have Maddison Perez and Vardy

    Would you play all 3 or get rid of Maddison/ Perez for Sarr ?

    If so which one ?

    1. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Play all 3 this week.

    2. George Sillett
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Depends if you have any other pressing issues with your team.

  2. lekalatch
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts on my current WC? 0.0itb

    McCarthy Ramsdale
    TAA Otamendi Alonso Doherty Taylor
    Sterling Pepe Saka Sarr Rice
    Auba Aguero Jota

    3xArsenal
    3xCity
    7xBGW31

    Could do Otamendi Rice —> Gomez Dendoncker also

    1. Jafooli
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No Salah or Mane 😮

    2. MrZ
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Sterling is not worth his tag.
      Mahrez or even foden is worth the risk IMO

  3. Regin
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    is walker likely to start both matches?

    1. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Would say so.

    2. George Sillett
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Not based on what Pep said earlier in the week about Walker getting a rest.

      1. Regin
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        didnt pep say walker had his rest in the FA Cup? So now he has more chance to play both games?

    3. kamdaraji
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      only if he runs

  4. Regin
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    how much % chance for Chelsea to keep clean sheet at home to Everton?

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I would say unlikely mate.

      1. Regin
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        so worth doing azpi to walker for a hit?

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      can't see it. Haven't been many home clean sheets this season

  5. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Would you rather play:

    A. Egan (NOR)
    B. Jonny Evans (AVL)

    1. Dutte
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Both?

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

  6. gooberman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Vardy 'on track' to be available. Not particularly encouraging that is it. Think I'm gonna sell him for Jimenez

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I would mate.

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      “We’re hoping that the measures we take behind the scenes – from medical science – can help him. He’s a very important player for us and has been for a number of years.”

      "He’s at the age where you’re looking after your body and hopefully you get that little bit of luck.”

      "Hopefully he’s clear now because him being available for us in this last section of the league is very important for us."

    3. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Last paragraph is key

  7. Dutte
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I’m strongly considering Jota (C), are you gonna talk me out of it?

    Other options: Salah, Mané, Jimenez, Trent, KdB

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Surly Salah if you have him mate.

      1. Dutte
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I have all of those mentioned. Salah is the safer option of course but looking to climb ranks (at 326k now).

  8. Gobigorgohome
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Double Liv Def looks stupid when allison is injured fml

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Sure does.

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      “We’re hoping that the measures we take behind the scenes – from medical science – can help him. He’s a very important player for us and has been for a number of years.”

      "He’s at the age where you’re looking after your body and hopefully you get that little bit of luck.”

      "Hopefully he’s clear now because him being available for us in this last section of the league is very important for us."

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Wrong post

  9. FOO FIGHTER
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    ***Repost***

    Is this agressive enough for a FH29?

    Henderson
    TAA Alonso Doherty
    Pepe Salah Saka Mahrez
    (A)uba Jesus Jota

    5 doubles and Sarr 1st bench for autosub if need be.

    Replies appreciated.

    1. MrZ
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Can't fit ederson?

      1. FOO FIGHTER
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Don't want City defence.

    2. Young Lingard
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Love it .. would take an abnormal game week for you not to prosper from those selections
      Good luck

  10. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Mendy to play both in DGW?

    1. Young Lingard
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      In the roulette
      Annoyingly he and Zinc are injured at the same times
      Fit at the same times
      Favoured in spurts

      It’s a guessing game . Walker has rested recently he’s your better pick
      Best of luck

  11. Le Bluff
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Who scores more over the 2 GWs:

    A) Grealish (lei, CHE)
    B) Sarr (cry, LEI)

    1. MrZ
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      b

  12. MrZ
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Need 2 playing & correct bench order... input appreciated!

    A. Alonso (EVE)
    B. Stevens (NOR)
    C. Fernandes (MCI)
    D. Sarr (cry)
    E. Fleck (NOR)

    Thank you

  13. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    % chance KdB will play both?

    1. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      51%

      1. Jafooli
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Is he on penos?

    2. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I think it’s quite likely, pep’s words today looked pretty promising to me

    3. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      40% IMO

    4. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If fit 100% if not 0%

    5. TheTinman
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Play in both I say about 60-70% depends if they need a goal in the game he is on the bench.

  14. Krafty Werks
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    The €25 entry Fanteam season long game with the €250,000 prize pool, FFS community players what is your current overall rank? Anyone doing ok?

  15. Energetics
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A. KDB & Jiminez
    B. Aguero & Sarr

    A leads to Robbo in 31, B means Mane in 31 but will lose value in KDB, difficult to bring him back

    1. nolard
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      a

      1. Energetics
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Even if with B I still have Jimi 31?

        Will be using xfers to bring in Jimi and Mane.

        1. nolard
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I'd get Jimi now.

          1. Energetics
            • 9 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            I have. Thanks.

            Definitely seems better this week but Sarr and Mané over Doucoure and Robbo 31 was playing on my mind.

            1. Energetics
              • 9 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              As was Agueo hat trick vs Arsenal in the DGW last year

    2. Pukki Party
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

      1. Energetics
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Transfers for 31 in that case would be McNeill and Robbo in

  16. nolard
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    To get Auba

    Sell:

    a) Vardy and Traore/Perez
    b) Firmino and Traore/Perez

    or just sell:

    c) Firmino and Vardy and get Auba and DCL/Ings

    1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

      1. nolard
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        get rid of traore or perez?

  17. Pukki Party
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    After pressers KDB and Vardy are basicly "don't buy, sell, bench or captain". Any guesses on what players will be most captained this week? Will anyone have over 100% EO? Auba, Liverpool mid and KdB will probably get equal share?

    1. Le Bluff
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Salah still likely to be most captained overall.

      May change for live players though.

    2. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Salah probably over 100% which I’m okay with

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Salah prob still will be over 100%

    4. FPL Daniel
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Very difficult situation for non owners

    5. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Aubameyang should have around 150%

      1. Pukki Party
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        With that ownership?

    6. The Rumour Mill
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Auba and Salah might have over 100% amongst active players. They will both have far higher EO than KDB, who is being sold in droves and won't be captained as he's an injury doubt and flagged.

  18. FPL Daniel
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    So will KDB play both games?

    1. Pukki Party
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      We don't know

  19. Link
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Guys final decision on WC and Pepe has been as useful as ever.

    A. KDB + Wood (bench either Wood or Sarr)
    B. Aguero + McArthy (bench and play Sarr)

    Had Kev from week 1 which makes the decision trickier. Help!

  20. Ask Yourself
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Just remembered I played my FH a few days ago does this still look okay or am I missing something important x

    Leno
    TAA Doherty Alonso
    Mahrez KDB Pepe Armstrong
    Aguero Auba Jota

    1. Pukki Party
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Brave to go without Liverpool mid, but i guess you're taking dgw punts which is understandable

      1. Ask Yourself
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        They are honestly painful to watch I am very happy to avoid

    2. Link
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Armstrong has concussion and likely to miss out

      1. Ask Yourself
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Oh FFS that ruins it a bit

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Thoights on mine?

      Henderson
      TAA Alonso Doherty
      Pepe Salah Saka Mahrez
      (A)uba Jesus Jota

      1. Warby84
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Jesus is a big punt on WC, rest look good

        1. FOO FIGHTER
          • 4 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          FH not WC

    4. Warby84
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Leno
      VanDijk Bellerin Stephens Alonso
      Mahrez Pepe Salah
      Jota Aguero Aubameyang(C)

      What do you think? Bench all red flagged.. Your team looks good, Armstrong punt is different

      1. Warby84
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Ederson not Leno

  21. BNMC
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I'm on a WC and there are two main reasons why I haven't sold KDB. The first being the lack of an alternative City player; I like Mahrez but I'm not too convinced on him. The second is the risk of selling him - I feel like he will do fairly well if he plays and he's just way too highly owned to be messing around with him. Also there will be a fair few people captaining him.

    1. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I have kept by now but twitching towards selling and getting Sarr and Aguero in

  22. Warby84
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Last Piece of Free Hit

    A. Doherty/Taylor
    B. Alonso/Stephens

    1. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A for me.

    2. nolard
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      a

  23. JamieC180
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Hey guys. Been very busy so not been paying much attention to FPL. Can someone point out the inevitable flaw in this FH team? (Other than the fact it's currently 1mil over my budget).

    McCarthy
    Aurier Boly Sais
    Saka Mane KDB Mahrez Pepe
    Auba Aguero
    (Button, Giles, Williams, Greenwood)

    1. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Ahm, if its 1mill over budget, whats the point is checking for its flaws?!

      1. JamieC180
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Knowing the weak areas would help give me some idea of where to shift funds from fella

        1. jason_ni
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Id remove Aurier, thats where you can save the mill.

          Bring in Nketiah as 3rd striker, in place of Saka place in the starting 11.

          With that can you bring in someone like C.Taylor, or whats the def budget.

  24. jason_ni
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Capt -

    A) Salah
    B) Auba

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      b

    2. Gobigorgohome
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Auba

    3. JamieC180
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      There's a case for A, but B I'd say

  25. kamdaraji
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    ok finally settled on my moves and taking a -8 because I want Auba as captain and also want to ditch Digne and get another defender for GW31. Dangerous but calculated. Therefore

    Digne, Maddison and Ings OUT
    Femenia, Saka and Auba(c) IN

    1. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Mate - I wouldnt remove Maddison and Ings as part of -8, its not even setting you up for 31.

      They both have plum fixtures.

      1. kamdaraji
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I know they do but feel I need to take risks. Held onto Maddison far too long hoping he would do something

        1. jason_ni
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I've had him for months as well, its frustrating for sure, but I have a ft, and I'm rolling it, and not selling him.

          1. kamdaraji
            • 14 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            so you suggest I hold transfers and captain Salah?

            1. kamdaraji
              • 14 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              I could save a transfer I suppose and prepare for BGW31

            2. jason_ni
              • 8 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              This is just my opinion, but I would say that
              Digne, Maddison, Ings, Salah(C) + 8
              outscores
              Femenia, Saka, Auba(C), salah

              For this gw.

              Of course its hard to tell, I have Salah and Auba, and have been leaning to Salah capt all week, now doubting myself. hard to know!

              Go with your gut!

              1. kamdaraji
                • 14 Years
                4 years, 1 month ago

                I haven't confirmed anything yet so may not do anything after all!

                1. kamdaraji
                  • 14 Years
                  4 years, 1 month ago

                  -8 is a big chunk to be fair

                  1. kamdaraji
                    • 14 Years
                    4 years, 1 month ago

                    this will hurt if either Maddison or Ings or both especially go nuts

                  2. jason_ni
                    • 8 Years
                    4 years, 1 month ago

                    Dont come after me when Maddy and Ings fail!

  26. Fudgy
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Excited for the game week

    1. BNMC
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I just want it to start...

    2. Gobigorgohome
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I want it right now

    3. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Hows your team looking?

  27. Jdpz
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I have 6 players who will play in 31 GW. One of them is Traore. Sold him? Or Maddison out?

    1. Gobigorgohome
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      sold him

    2. Jambot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I would sold him too

  28. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ings to Jota for free?

    1. Gobigorgohome
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      yes

      1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Just seen I can only do it if I also take out Traore.
        Would you do Ings+Traore to Jota+Sarr?

        1. Weasel Boy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Same boat and I'm considering it for a hit.

    2. Young Lingard
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Do you own Jimi ; ?
      I think ings still has a goal in him .
      I know he’s dropping in price but with that his ownership is
      I’d suggest he’s nailed to play
      With jota he’s bang on form yes but he’s always likely to be subbed , mostly it goes through jiminez and Neto , podence both play on the left
      If Nuno trolls .. well
      But it’s a great move if jota continues hot form
      Good luck

  29. yanky
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    1) TC Auba a wise decision if I have all chips left?
    2) Play one of Traore or Lundstrom and bank FT or do Traore > Sarr for free??

  30. SpaceCadet
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Auba TC?