Scout Betting

The Fantasy Flutter: Leeds and City to pay the penalty?


Sponsored by bet365


Every Saturday morning, we combine Fantasy football with a flutter as we put a small wager or two on the weekend fixtures.

Focusing exclusively on the Gameweek 4 matches, we’ll be turning to the vast array of data available in our Premium Members Area to inspire a few sensibly staked bets this weekend.

The odds featured in this piece are all provided by our official sportsbook partner, bet365.

Please gamble responsibly and always remember: when the fun stops, stop.

MISFIRING MAGPIES

Unsurprisingly bottom of the shots on target table this season are Newcastle United, who have mustered only three such efforts – and scored from all of them.

The Magpies were indebted to a controversial penalty award in Gameweek 4 in order for them to salvage a point from their clash with Spurs, while they were comprehensively outplayed by Brighton on home soil a week before that.

Only West Bromwich Albion (0.66) are averaging fewer big chances per match than Newcastle (1.00) among Premier League clubs this season.

Burnley are next up for Steve Bruce’s side, with the Clarets recording clean sheets in both meetings with the Tyneside club in 2019/20.

The return of James Tarkowski should help solidify a backline that hasn’t yet recorded a shut-out this season but who kept 15 of them in the campaign just gone.

The Clarets are 15/4 with bet365 to win to nil, with a 1-0 Burnley victory priced at 8/1.

For some reason, bet365’s Bore Draw Money Back offer sprung to mind when we saw this fixture…

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FLOUNDERING FULHAM

Backing against the Premier League whipping boys isn’t big or clever – but who knows, it might be profitable.

Fulham have conceded at least three goals in all three of their Premier League fixtures to date and even did so again in the EFL Cup in midweek, going down 3-0 to Championship side Brentford.

A wounded Wolves outfit are up next for Scott Parker’s beleaguered troops, who will also be without arguably their stand-out performer at the back (an injured Kenny Tete) when they make the trip to Molineux.

Nuno Espirito Santo’s side seldom seem to put teams to the sword and have scored four or more goals only once in their 79 Premier League fixtures since promotion was sealed in May 2018.

Three goals is within their grasp, however: they have managed this on a further nine occasions since they came back up from the second tier of English football.

With uncertainty raging over who will start for Santo’s troops this week, there is at least the knowledge that Raul Jimenez is a ‘nailed’ presence in attack.

The Mexican started 37 of Wolves’ 38 league games in 2019/20 and played a part in 50% of the goals that his club scored when he was on the pitch.

A Jimenez goal at any time in a 3-0 win for Wolves over Fulham this weekend is 13/1 with bet365, with the Jimenez anytime/Wolves 3-1 combo available for 18/1.

SPOT-KICK SURRENDERERS

There has been much talk of penalty awards since the 2020/21 campaign got underway, with a whopping 20 of them arriving in the first 28 fixtures of this season – as many as we had in the first nine Gameweeks of 2019/20.

A softening of the handball rule could come into place this weekend but it won’t stop all of the contentious awards; the one that Spurs conceded last weekend, for instance, would still have been given.

A remarkable eight of the 20 penalties that have been awarded have come in matches involving Leeds United and Manchester City – who just happen to meet each other this weekend.

Bet365 are offering 6/4 for any penalty to be awarded in this game, with the Whites 6/1 to score from the spot and City at 5/2.

Backing the sides to miss from 12 yards returns 20/1 and 10/1 respectively.

SUPER SIX?

This seems like one of those Gameweeks that is too good to be true: your FPL team looks great on paper, there is an abundance of captaincy choices and the fixtures are favourable.

It’s at this point where the universe usually intervenes – but that won’t stop us from going for broke with our sixfold of home wins.

All of the above are matches in which the home side is odds-on to win in Gameweek 4 – and an accumulator not only returns 15/1 with bet365, it also comes with a 15% bonus on top of that.

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For all the latest Premier League odds, visit bet365 and build your personalised football bet. 


Odds subject to fluctuation. 18+. Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org#ad


1,896 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Futureform
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Best 5.4 or under midfielder to keep for a good while?

    Wanted Soucek, but 4 nightmare fixtures in a row.

    A - Soucek (despite LEI/TOT/MCI/LIV)
    B - ASM
    C - March
    D - Wijnaldum
    E - Someone else

    1. Zrinkec
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Still Soucek i would say.

      1. Futureform
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Ha, that's what I was thinking! But those fixtures are horrible.

    2. Tallahassee
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      March looked good vs Utd, but only match. Soucek a great option when fixtures clear up. Looks like a set and forget for me.

      1. Futureform
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Yes, tempted by set and forget.

    3. Magic Box
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Stick probably.

      1. Futureform
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Yes, probably the smart thing.

    4. Amey
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I see only one nightmare there

      1. Futureform
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Tell me which one is it!

        1. Amey
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Liverpool

          1. Futureform
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            Ah, I see what you mean. The others can be got at I guess!

    5. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A - his style of play means he could get a goal or assist against anyone

      1. Futureform
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        That's what I was wondering. That's really helpful.

    6. Twisted Saltergater
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Wijnaldum

      1. Futureform
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        That's a dilemma. Plays for the best team. Sometimes scores. Great fixtures. Rotation though?

  2. King Kohli
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Best way to shave off 0.1m from this wc team to do Sterling> KDB down the line?

    A. Mitchell > Dunne
    B. Anguissa > Stephens

    Martinez
    TAA Robbo Castagne
    Salah Sterling Barnes Pereira
    Ings DCL Maupay
    Button Anguissa Mitchell Johnson

    1. We ain't got no histor…
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Anguissa-Stephens

    2. fish&chips
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Mitchell to Ferguson?

    3. Amey
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Mitchell to Ferguson is what I've done

  3. tommo123
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    G2G?

    McCarthy
    VVD Saiss James Taylor
    Salah Sterling Rodriguez Podence*
    DCL Jimi

    Nyland Mitchell Davis Son*

    0.1ITB 1FT

  4. NULL-X-VOID
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    looked at the shots attempted by Pool for the past two weeks, and then looking at attempted shots by Mane and Salah, Mane looks much better.

    Salah: 5 shots on target out of 9 attempted shots
    Mane: 6 shots in target out of 9 attempted shots

    3 goals each

    Does Salah looks a good Captain choice over KDB?

    1. pricycle
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Yes. Salah won't score

      1. pricycle
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Sorry, I mean, no

        1. pricycle
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Villa are immense at the back at home

          1. NULL-X-VOID
            • 10 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            wait a min, are you saying Villa are amazing at Def?

            1. pricycle
              • 10 Years
              3 years, 5 months ago

              Yes they're awesome

              1. pricycle
                • 10 Years
                3 years, 5 months ago

                Goals conceded 0

        2. NULL-X-VOID
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          well that was a plot twist

    2. Volley127
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      1 shot on target more makes Mane a lot better?

  5. We ain't got no histor…
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    On WC, pick one lads:

    A. KDB + KWP(4.5 defender)

    B. Sterling + Lamptey/Justin

    1. Big boy Bowen
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

      1. We ain't got no histor…
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        With lamptey or Justin mate?

        1. Big boy Bowen
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Lamptey for me

    2. Tallahassee
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Depends on rest of your defense, but KDB is a season keeper. Sterling is so streaky.

      1. We ain't got no histor…
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        MCcarthy
        TAA Robbo *****
        *** Salah Barnes Soucek
        DCL Jimenez Ings
        Forster Mitchell Dunne Stephens

        1. Tallahassee
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          KDB + 4,5 imo.

  6. Big boy Bowen
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    As if Son didn’t drop, oh well I guess he should tonight.

    1. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Can't wait to get him for 8.9 for those tasty fixtures.

  7. World XI
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    I never know Arsenal's starting defenders? Keeps switching. Who would you bring in? I fancy them to keep a CS

    1. NULL-X-VOID
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Holding

  8. Sgt Frank Drebin
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Kane looks very interesting. I'm suprised more of the so called upside chasers do not consider him. Great stats so far and if Spurs get some penalties he could get some crazy scores after the IB. The only problem for me is that looking at the fixtures there is no GW that I would prefer to captain Kane than Salah or KDB.

    1. Bubz
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Shhh

    2. Big boy Bowen
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Looks insane this season, he has everything, even assists now

      1. Steve The Spud
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Such a monster when he’s on a roll

    3. el polako
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      So much value in cheaper forward options this season might be the reason why people stay off Harry.

      Me personnally - think he's past his best.

      1. DAZZ
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        He isn’t past his best. He’s started the season on fire.

      2. Sgt Frank Drebin
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Well, yeah but he is only 10.5 this season. If I was selling Werner I would consider him with some money ITB (rn I'm 0.1 short). But as I say captaincy is the problem as I think he would possibly be a good value if captaining him and I will prefer to captain Salah or KDB.

    4. Champions League Varane
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Shush..

    5. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Jimenez Ings DCL and a few others makes it tricky to pick Kane at his price

      He needs Son playing too otherwise he will be marked quite closely

    6. Tallahassee
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I agree, stats are looking great!

    7. Hairy Potter
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I don't watch Spurs much, but he's rarely passed the eye test for me the last couple of years. He looked really good against Newcastle last weekend in the first half.

  9. Magic Box
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Planning to WC in GW5, so best one-week midfield punt for under 9.3?

    1. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Benteke

    2. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Barnes

    3. Mike82
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Havertz

    4. Easy Cheesy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Mahrez

    5. D-Fens
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Willian

  10. Scout
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Salah or Sterling captain?

    1st bench player Mitchell or shaw?

    1. MarcusAurelius
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Sterling Shaw

  11. Mike82
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    On WC, is it GTG?
    Mccarthy
    TAA, Semedo, Justin
    Salah (C), KdB, Barnes, Havertz, Armstrong
    Jiminez, DCL
    Ryan, Dunne, Mitchell, Brewster

    Any thoughts?

  12. DAZZ
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Sonny brace against united

    1. Amey
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Think he'll get more than 2 minutes

    2. MarcusAurelius
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Leg brace?

      1. Mike82
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Teeth brace?

    3. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Ouch, that would hurt since I got rid of him for-4

    4. Muchentuchel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      yes, maybe in 2021

  13. Pukkipartyy
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Any news of Rich?

  14. jonnybhoy
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Captain Salah, KDB or Jiminez? Currently on the latter but unsure

    1. Mike82
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Stuck it on Salah

    2. MarcusAurelius
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Sam dilemma it’s killing me! Had Jimmy all week and just swapped to KDB 5 mins ago

    3. Dee Lixon
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Could be but I am expecting a City bounceback with KDB scoring well. But what do I know...

  15. Dee Lixon
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Play Taylor over Soucek is right, right?

  16. Puzzle
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Is Jota a good punt on WC?

    1. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      No

      Mane will be back next game

      Jota is just back up

  17. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Repost;

    G2G?

    Martinez
    VVD, Saiss, KWP
    Salah, KDB, Foden, Barnes, Podence
    Vardy, DCL

    Forster, Bamford, Justin, Mitchell

    0FT, 1.5ITB

    Cheers

    1. Scout
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Upgrade KWP?

      1. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        KWP v WBA at home? Juicy fixture not to have KWP playing

    2. Sid1891
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Nice team

      1. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        thanks

  18. Jokesy87
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Bottomed

    McCarthy (Steer)
    Taa Kwp Taylor Justin (Mitchell)
    Salah son KDB (Soucek, stephens)
    Wilson Jimenez Ings

    A) G2G
    B) Son -> Mahrez (-4)
    C) Son -> Someone else (-4)

    1. Over Midwicket
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

    3. lilmessipran
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A

  19. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Why is KDB a bad captain choice this week if Sterling is the best?

    If Sterling is gonna do well against Leeds then surely tht means some assists for KDB?

    1. Mike82
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Its City, they could lose 3-0

    2. el polako
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Who said Kevin is bad, my captain this week for sure.

    3. Bubz
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Kdb is top of the captain poll...

    4. MarcusAurelius
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      My thinking exactly. Also with Sterling/Mahrez/Foden pens are on the cards for Kevin

  20. Mr. Mystic
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Captain Salah or KDB?, and why?

  21. Scout
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Playing saiss Justin’s and dunne

    Who do I bench first shaw or Mitchell?

    1. Mike82
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Shaw

      1. Scout
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks think I should play him or bench?

        1. Mike82
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          What is your line up?

          1. Scout
            • 6 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            Saiss Justin and dunne at the back

    2. Peter Ouch
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      how did you end up with this defence mate

      1. Scout
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Got expensive mid

  22. No Professionals
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Ings or Jimenez
    Ings or Jimenez
    Ings or Jimenez
    Ings or Jimenez
    Ings or Jimenez
    Ings or Jimenez

    1. Mike82
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Both? Bit longevity, Jimi

      1. No Professionals
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        This week for Werner

        I agree Jimenez better longer term

        But fancy ings captain this week

    2. Amey
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Jimenez

    3. fc_skrald
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Both of course

    4. Scout
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Jimi

  23. Rinseboy
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Brewster or Lamptey first sub?

    1. Mike82
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Brewster

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Think Brewster will get much game time this GW?

      1. Piggs Boson
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Don't think he's registered in time...

    3. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Lampety

  24. Flair
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Bamford is this season's Pukki

    1. Peter Ouch
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      pukki is a good player, bamford isnt

  25. Bubz
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Love how Villa are suddenly viewed as some kind of defensive powerhouse these days 😆

    1. Amey
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Over fitting

    2. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Haha - funny how excited people get after 3 games

      1. Volley127
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Only 2 for villa!

  26. iL PiStOlErO
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Ramsdale
    TAA KWP Taylor Justin
    Salah Sterling *Son Romeu
    Vardy *Werner

    Steer Bissouma Mitchell Davies

    2ft, 0.5 itb

    Choose one you like the most:

    A) Son + Werner to Bruno + DCL
    B) Son + Werner to Rashford + Jimenez
    C) Son + Werner + Davies to Zaha + DCL + Jimenez for -4
    D) or something else?

    1. jonnybhoy
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A easy

  27. SirT83
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Risk of Sterling not playing tonight?

    1. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      no chance

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Slim.

    3. Piggs Boson
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      There's not a single player that's 100% to start, but Sterling is probably as close as you can get.

    4. SirT83
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Thanks. That's the calming words I needed to put him on captain.

      1. Arlo2103
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        You never know with pep. I don’t think mahrez will start after starting 3 in a row and Torres looked superb midweek. I think he’s a good about this weekend

  28. Bobadoba
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Vardy captain.

    2 goals and 1 assist.

    1. Mike82
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      2 pens 1 pen assist

    2. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      think he might suffer given the penalty discussions - almost certainly a kick back and less pens this weekend

    3. Bubz
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      You can’t assist your own penalty

  29. Essrick
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Would you guys make any changes? 1 FT £0.9 ITB

    Ryan
    TAA KWP Robertson
    Salah (vc) KDB (C) Podence Soucek
    Werner Martial Adams

    Walton Lascelles Bissouma Mitchell

    1. Mike82
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Martial out for Jimi

      1. Essrick
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        That’s what tempts me. However, there’s a good chance I WC next week so wondering if I should take a 1 week punt instead?

  30. PlayPercentage
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Is Mane -> Jota worth a punt for the next two GWs?

    1. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      yes, probably a good call. If he bags a few his value will go up and Mane's will drop and then you can switch back