Injuries
12 February 2011 651 comments
Mark Mark
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With the Gameweek and Wildcard deadline approaching at pace, itโ€™s time to chew the fat with Paddy Power to see if his odds can sway our thinking when it comes to last minute tinkering.

Complete with some double Gameweek specials, a United vs City preview and a tempting Money Back Special on the early kick-off at Old Trafford, hereโ€™s this weekโ€™s Paddy rundown…

Who Will Keep a Clean Sheet?

  • Arsenal 1.83 (WOL) dgw
  • Liverpool 1.83 (WIG)
  • Chelsea 2.25 (ful)
  • Man United 2.37 (MCY)
  • Blackburn 2.75 (NEW)
  • Birmingham 2.80 (STK) dgw
  • West Brom 3.00 (WHM) dgw
  • Stoke 3.10 (bir)

Even off the back of a home win against league leaders Man United, Wolves are fancied to draw blood against Arsenal this weekend. A poor average of 0.75gsa (goals scored away) this campaign agrees with Paddyโ€™s prediction, however Arsenal’s defence at the Emirates has been prone to a lapse and, if Arsene Wenger rests Johan Djourou for the midweek clash with Barcelona, the home cleanie looks less secure. The smart money says that the Gunners will hold their nerve after being on the receiving end of Newcastleโ€™s record-breaking comeback and if Djourou starts, they look well placed for a fifth shut-out in six league matches.

Liverpool are tied at the top of Paddyโ€™s odds and sport an impressive run of form at the back, with a healthy 0.77gch (goals conceded at home) to boot. Opponents Wigan appear to pose little threat with a mere 0.83gsa and, despite their goal glut in the win over Blackburn. Liverpool meanwhile have amassed four cleensheets in a row, the most recent of which came at Stamford Bridge. Paddyโ€™s odds look pretty sound then, with Martin Kelly (if fit) set to continue to as a strong budget option at the back.

Chelsea and league leaders Man United feature next, both a shade over even money, both facing stern competition. On the road, Chelsea have only attained 3 cleansheets, in comparison to their 8 at home, and face a Fulham side seeming increasingly settled under manager Mark Hughes. This one looks shaky to us โ€“ Mark even tipped a home win on the ScoutCast this week. While Iโ€™m not sure about that, Chelseaโ€™s cleanie does look vulnerable.

Man City travel down the road to Old Trafford for the second Manchester Derby of the season in the early kick-off. The first clash was a drab affair, offering little for the neutrals. Will we get the same again? Rio Ferdinandโ€™s absence at the back for United will provide City with a few more chinks of light and significantly Paddyโ€™s odds lengthened from 2.20 to 2.37 overnight – perhaps a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome here.

Anytime Goalscorer

  • R Van Persie 1.44 (WOL) dgw
  • L Suarez 1.72 (WIG)
  • D Bent 1.83 (blp)
  • M Chamakh 1.90 (WOL) dgw
  • C Fabregas 2.00 (WOL) dgw
  • A Arshavin 2.00 (WOL) dgw
  • N Bendtner 2.00 (WOL) dgw
  • D Kuyt 2.25 (WIG)
  • D N’Gog 2.25 (WIG)
  • P Odemwingie 2.30 (WHM) dgw
  • F Torres 2.30 (ful)
  • D Drogba 2.30 (ful)
  • T Walcott 2.40 (WOL) dgw
  • W Rooney 2.37 (MCY)
  • D Berbatov 2.37 (MCY)
  • C Vela 2.50 (WHM) dgw
  • DJ Campbell 2.50 (AVL) dgw
  • J Defoe 2.50 (sun) dgw

Robin Van Persie has established himself as the most consistent form striker in the league and itโ€™s no surprise to see him topping the Anytime Goalscorer market this week. Netting 7 goals in his last 4 games and featuring twice in this Gameweek (hopefully),Van Persie has been the hot property this week and will be sporting the armband for thousands against Wolves later today. Paddyโ€™s price here – 1.44 is the shortest theyโ€™ve gone for any striker in any game this season. The planets seem to be aligning for Van Persie.

Liverpoolโ€™s new hitman Luis Suarez is favoured by Paddyโ€™s odds this week, coming in second in the market. The Uruguayan will be eager to make his mark again following his debut goal and Wiganโ€™s away record of 1.5gca (goals conceded away) should grant him every opportunity if Dalglish throws him in from the start at Anfield.

Steady scorer Darren Bent has been welcomed by Aston Villa faithful, already helping take the scalp of Man City and finding a consolation at Man United. His FPL price of 8.8m looks a bit much for a striker without the lure of a double fixture but Bent certainly looks a handy differential and Paddy rate him this weekend.

Significantly Arsenal are so strongly backed for goals against Wolves, they offer four attacking players with Cesc Fabregasโ€™ odds looking particularly short considering he has yet to catch fire since his return from injury.

Peter Odemwingie once again sits above big guns like Torres, Drogba and Rooney, a sight that is becoming more and more familiar. With Roy Hodgson newly installed at the Hawthorns helm, the Nigerian shouldnโ€™t struggle to find the motivation here and will be expected to improve on his 9-goal season haul. With the Baggies playing both West Ham and Wolves at home in the Gameweek, Fantasy investors will be hoping and expecting for at least a 2 goal return.

Paddy’s United vs City Preview

This afternoon derby promises to be more competitive than it has been for quite some time but from a neutralโ€™s point of view, the biggest concern is that weโ€™ll be served up another turgid display between two sides who have only really managed only a handful of truly convincing performances between them this season.

The way Roberto Mancini has set his teams out against his title rivals doesnโ€™t bode well and another 0-0 draw at 8/1 is a distinct possibility. City have scored just once in five games against United, Spurs, Chelsea and Arsenal, with three of those five games ending 0-0. Itโ€™s clear that when the pressure is on the Italian reverts to type and focuses firmly on avoiding defeat. A fifth shut-out against a title rival in this game is 7/2 if you fancy them to hold firm.

Rio Ferdinand, though perhaps over-rated, does form a reliable partnership with Vidic and when heโ€™s been absent from the team this season, Ferguson has struggled to find a satisfactory replacement from his underwhelming list of options. With the addition of Dzeko and the improvement of David Silva, City have been more potent going forward or late and for all his off-field attitude problems, once heโ€™s on the pitch Carlos Tevez has been excellent this season. He may feel he has a point to prove, especially if the home fans get on his back, and heโ€™s well priced at 6/1 to score first and 15/8 to score anytime. He certainly looks better value than the sporadic Berbatov and the not-quite-back-to-his-best Rooney, both of whom are 9/2 to open the scoring.

For all the previous United bashing their record at home is near perfect, which is more of a testament to the managerโ€™s ability to instil belief in his players than it is to the general standard of their play. That record is the reason why the home side are odds on at 4/5 but with Ferdinand gone and their unbeaten run ended, the draw at 12/5 and City to win at 15/4 both provide better value.

Paddy’s Money Back Special…

The Money Back Special is a “Feast or Famine” offer for the early kick-off at Old Trafford. If this game finishes scoreless or it has more than four goals, Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st /last goalscorer, correct score and scorecast singles on the match.

Click here for this and other Paddy odds…

Paddy’s Scout Specials

Weโ€™ve had a host of specials from Paddy running this week, all tying in with our double Gameweek selections.

Peter Odemwingie to score 3 or more goals in the Gameweek 7/1 (8.00)

Charlie Adam to score 2 or more goals in the Gameweek 6/1 (7.00)

Arsenal to keep two clean sheets in the Gameweek 5/2 (3.50)

Cesc Fabregas to score 2 or more goals in total in the Gameweek 6/4 (2.50)

Robin Van Persie to score 3 or more goals in total in the Gameweek 13/8 (2.62)

Robert Huth to score a header against Arsenal 16/1 (17.00)

Bet ยฃ10 Get ยฃ20

If youโ€™re new to this betting lark and new to Paddy Power then you can take up any of these odds and offers and get yourself a bonus. You can sign up via this site and get a free ยฃ20 when you register and bet a tenner.

Finally of course, we should state that all these offers are only available to those aged 18 and over and are subject to Paddy Powerโ€™s terms and conditions.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

651 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Raccoon
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    This is a mental morning. I haven't changed my mind so much so close to the deadline since the snowiest week and I was sticking my head out the window to see if Arsenal would play!

    Good luck everyone. It's one of those weeks where those of us who are paying more attention should prosper, but it could easily all go wrong anyway ๐Ÿ˜›

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  2. Prime Time21
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    benching berbs for djorou ?? also keeping vdv in just for the blackpool game...berbs first sub just incase vdv doesent play.

    is this right need some verifercation

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  3. applebonkers
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    having a poo in a second. upstairs or downstairs toilet?

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    1. Marknlard
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Under those circs it's got to be the closest closet.

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    2. Raccoon
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Try and do both. (Guarantees you 3BP.)

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      1. Tommy J
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Hope there are no BP's

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        1. Tommy J
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 10 months ago

          * Bladder Problems!

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    3. gatzi
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      :):):) upstairs, take a book

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      1. Attila the Bum
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        +1
        The Gentlemans shit.

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        1. Evil Frost
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 10 months ago

          B-)

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    4. njfsdkffslkf
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      2 toilets .....fancy!

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      1. Tommy J
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Only 2?

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    5. applebonkers
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      bottled it and went outside ๐Ÿ™

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      1. Attila the Bum
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        ๐Ÿ˜†

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  4. Well you know, Triffic
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Peter Odemwingie to score 3 or more goals in the Gameweek 7/1 - On it.

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  5. gatzi
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    You lot on a Saturday morning are pathetic! Listen to yourselves!!!!! ๐Ÿ˜›

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  6. Fred
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Play Rooney or teves?

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  7. Torres76
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    See my long post on page 2 if you want VDV advice.

    Just checked the ticker. I am keeping VDV for this Gamweek but Cahill and Ashley Young have great fixtures in next 6 games..so do the Arsenal so RVP, Fabs and Theo will stay for mee.

    Long term options are:

    Villa - Walker, Ash Young
    Eve - Coleman, Baines, Cahil..

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  8. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Last thing to do on WC is decide on either:

    1) Szczesny, Begovic & Carr or
    2) Foster, Harper & Djourou

    I currently have the second group of 3 players but thinking of switching to the first lot. Bit worried that Djourou won't start both games but Szczesny looks a cert.

    What ya reckon? Stick or twist?

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    1. Bedknobs and Boomsticks
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      1 with Harper? Worried that Begovic is insecure, so did that myself last night.

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      1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Yeah i had a look at that too. Oh feck it i think i'll just stick with Foster and hope Djourou plays.

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  9. Twelve years a slave
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    he Scot must be wary of Blackpool's fine away form, but the possible absence of Charlie Adam from Ian Holloway's side, together with the return from Asian Cup duty of Tim Cahill, will be a boost for the home side.

    Whats this all about? Is adm injured?

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    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Last week! Adam is playing villa and then spurs!!

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  10. tsharma
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Hiya,

    Who to start, Brunt or DJ? (have Adam)

    Cheers

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    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Brunt

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      1. tsharma
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers. I'd say yes to below question if its a free

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  11. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Berbs out for Odim yes or no?

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    1. Marknlard
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      No.

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      1. denial
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks. I'm screwing about this GW.

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    2. Akers
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      I'd be shocked if Berbatov doesn't play today.

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      1. denial
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        It's more about if he'll do anything though and Odim has 2 fixtures. I have a feeling about Berbs today though.

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  12. HuttonDressedasLahm
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Sorry guys but on my iPhone, therefore these busy messages are making it too hard for me. So good luck everybody, I'm sticking this week as originally planned, so I can do two or three next week if needed.

    Foster/(begovic)
    Djourou/huth/ridgewell/(walker/Coleman)
    Fabc(c)/young/vdv/Adam/(Nani)
    Rvp/Tevez/Odem

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  13. villian-ty
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    who is essential this gw

    Walcott or ODemwingie

    Already have Fabs, Djorou, RVP and Brunt

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  14. Back on the horse
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Am I right in thinking ManU only have a double next week if Chels lose to Eve(?) in the fa cup?

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    1. Damo.
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Yep, congrats too man

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      1. Back on the horse
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers. I'm sure he will be the demise of my team!

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  15. MediocreMagician
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Tevez or Huth guys?

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  16. Nailer
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Should I change who's on my bench?

    Foster
    Djourou, Kelly, Simpson
    Nani, Adam, Cesc, Barton, VDV,
    Tevez, RVP

    Begovic, Berb, Coleman, Murphy.?

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  17. Catastrophe
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    hi guys,

    who to bench out of TCahill/Barton/Adam/Berbatov/Tevez?

    who to bench out of Rafael/Coleman/Huth?

    cheers!

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  18. Chimpy
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Is Bosingwa likely to start, i would assume not? Any word from press conf?

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  19. Le Limpar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Do we think Kelly will play?

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    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      I reckon so yes.

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  20. alberto_gunners
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    who to start this gameweek of Nani and VdV? Considering VdV will most likely start blackpool away?

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    1. MediocreMagician
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Well I'm playing Nani and transfered out VDV but my season hasn't really been a success story

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    2. Bedknobs and Boomsticks
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      vdv

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  21. Boggins
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    VDV to Lennon or Brunt
    Baird to Huth or R. Johnson

    I'm thinking Brunt as Lennon is only good for this gameweek.

    Also I'd have to transfer out Johnson after this GW but those two home fixtures are swinging it for me.

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  22. Zinedine
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Shall i do Huth -> R Johnson (bham) anybody please??

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    1. Safety First
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      No. Have both

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    2. Captain Remorse
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      YES! Huth might not get any CS.

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  23. TOP 20K
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Will begovic get a ban for missing the international I wonder... Relying on him for nxt wk!

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    1. Tommy J
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Any precedent?

      Why didn't he just say he had flu-has been done before!

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  24. @FuzzyWarbles
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    currently tevez in berbs out. this story about tevez's daughter's fingers (ood talking point no doubt), and Carlos being distraught over it, is this reason to change my mind? Will he be mentally fit?

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    1. Retro
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      I don't think things like that affect sportsmen on the pitch. They're wired differently.

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  25. Torres76
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Repost for all:

    Right boys heres my thought on VDV

    I have played him with Nani as 1st Sub. I would sell him for 8.6m and he is 9.1m to buy (may drop later)..but he should be back for Blackpool. Champ league 4th is the target for Arry.

    Who can you replace him with

    1. Nolan
    2. Barton – both playing vs two tight home defences
    3. Cahill – could start vs Bolton up front but Bolton could easily beat them
    4. Dempsey – vs motivated Chelsea and Luis at the back. Stuck out left mid at the mo…
    5. Merieles – could get good score vs Wigan…sketchy fixtures ahead but Kenny has a revolution going there.
    6. Lennon – without Modric, VDV, Bale I cant see him providing Ronaldoesque performances. Doesnt take pens or set pieces.
    7. Ash young - great fixtures and on set pieces/pens.

    For me the options are Cahill, Ash Young and Merieles. Cahill and Young have way better fixtures…so they are the standout candidates. The Cahill doubler could be outweighed by Young being on pens and set pieces.

    Question is for this GW 27 who will score more:

    VDV – vs Blackpool
    Cahill vs Bolton…remember Everton have lost Saha, Pienaar, Rodwell…so I am not sure…
    Ash Young - vs weak Blackpool defence

    Anyway the info is there
    Torres

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    1. Bedknobs and Boomsticks
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      GW27, toss up between Young and VDV (assuming he doesn't get injured again in next 10 days). If you want to sell VDV due to GW28, go Young.

      You area aware that you're posting this with 14 mins to go aren't you? ๐Ÿ˜‰

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  26. David Davros
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Well, done my last minute checks to make sure i didn't accidentally transfer in someone like Michael Owen.

    I haven't, so i'm off to play some black ops. Good luck everyone!

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  27. Sepp Blattered
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Quick RMT? ๐Ÿ™‚

    Harper (Begovic)
    Djourou, Dawson, Kelly (Coleman) (Collins)
    Adam, Nani, Barton, Walcott (NZog)
    Odemwingie (c), Tevez, RVP

    4 pt hit this week Torres->Odemwingie and VDV->Barton

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  28. mucka
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Right which 2 should i start out of.
    Nani, Tevez and Albrighton?

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    1. Jonah
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Isn't that really easy? Nani and Tevez.

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  29. Gubborr
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone knows if Aston Villa are going to play 4-4-2 (Gabby, Bent upfront) or 4-2-3-1 (AYoung in the hole and Bent upfront). Guardian have them playing 4-4-2.

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      4-2-3-1 (AYoung in the hole and Bent upfront).

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  30. Hegsmouth
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Need to bench either Nani or Berba. Which one?

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