How underlying statistics can help cut through variance of FPL this season

Holly Shand assesses the key underlying statistics from the first four FPL Gameweeks of the season
| Player | Team | Price | Progress | Tonight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Szoboszlai | LIV | 7.0m | 92.5% | Maybe |
| Petrović | BOU | 4.5m | 87.2% | Unlikely |
| Mainoo | MUN | 4.6m | 83.3% | Unlikely |
| Henderson | CRY | 5.0m | 83.2% | Unlikely |
| Kayode | BRE | 4.5m | 82.3% | Unlikely |
| Alderete | SUN | 4.1m | 74.1% | Unlikely |
| Rodon | LEE | 3.9m | 73.6% | Unlikely |
| Anderson | NFO | 5.5m | 71.5% | Unlikely |
| Thiaw | NEW | 5.1m | 71.9% | Unlikely |
| Gakpo | LIV | 7.3m | 72.8% | Unlikely |
| Leno | FUL | 4.9m | 67.9% | Unlikely |
| Wan-Bissaka | WHU | 4.1m | 66.3% | Unlikely |
| A.Becker | LIV | 5.4m | 67.3% | Unlikely |
| Mitchell | CRY | 5.0m | 63.9% | Unlikely |
| Aït-Nouri | MCI | 5.7m | 61.5% | Unlikely |
| Igor Jesus | NFO | 5.8m | 60.0% | Unlikely |
| Thiago | BRE | 7.3m | 56.5% | Unlikely |
| Frimpong | LIV | 5.7m | 55.9% | Unlikely |
| Justin | LEE | 3.9m | 55.5% | Unlikely |
| Sarr | CRY | 6.3m | 51.4% | Unlikely |
| Kelleher | BRE | 4.8m | 51.1% | Unlikely |
| Cucurella | CHE | 6.0m | 48.3% | Unlikely |
| Damsgaard | BRE | 5.6m | 48.4% | Unlikely |
| Senesi | BOU | 5.1m | 47.2% | Unlikely |
| Aaronson | LEE | 5.4m | 47.4% | Unlikely |
| Bassey | FUL | 4.4m | 45.9% | Unlikely |
| Richards | CRY | 4.4m | 45.2% | Unlikely |
| Shaw | MUN | 4.5m | 42.9% | Unlikely |
| Virgil | LIV | 6.3m | 39.3% | Unlikely |
| Barry | EVE | 5.7m | 39.3% | Unlikely |
| Cunha | MUN | 8.0m | 37.5% | Unlikely |
| Aina | NFO | 4.7m | 38.1% | Unlikely |
| Amad | MUN | 6.2m | 38.2% | Unlikely |
| Gravenberch | LIV | 5.5m | 38.1% | Unlikely |
| Robinson | FUL | 4.9m | 37.7% | Unlikely |
| Saka | ARS | 9.8m | 34.9% | Unlikely |
| O'Reilly | MCI | 5.0m | 31.8% | Unlikely |
| Adli | BOU | 5.4m | 33.9% | Unlikely |
| Ødegaard | ARS | 7.8m | 33.5% | Unlikely |
| Ndiaye | EVE | 6.2m | 33.7% | Unlikely |
| Player | Team | Price | Progress | Tonight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo | CHE | 6.6m | 89.6% | Likely |
| Rogers | AVL | 7.5m | 99.5% | Maybe |
| Lucca | NFO | 5.5m | 99.3% | Maybe |
| Lamadrid | WHU | 5.0m | 84.5% | Unlikely |
| Gvardiol | MCI | 5.9m | 84.0% | Unlikely |
| Ekitiké | LIV | 9.3m | 81.3% | Unlikely |
| Valdimarsson | BRE | 3.9m | 82.8% | Unlikely |
| Strand Larsen | CRY | 6.1m | 81.0% | Unlikely |
| Kevin | FUL | 5.8m | 80.9% | Unlikely |
| Burrowes | AVL | 4.4m | 81.1% | Unlikely |
| Weiss | BUR | 4.3m | 80.2% | Unlikely |
| McAidoo | MCI | 4.5m | 80.0% | Unlikely |
| Spence | TOT | 4.2m | 79.7% | Unlikely |
| Areola | WHU | 4.3m | 78.9% | Unlikely |
| Merino | ARS | 5.4m | 73.4% | Unlikely |
| Longstaff | LEE | 4.8m | 72.9% | Unlikely |
| Travers | EVE | 4.3m | 73.0% | Unlikely |
| Gyökeres | ARS | 8.8m | 74.5% | Unlikely |
| Emenalo | CHE | 4.5m | 72.3% | Unlikely |
| Keane | EVE | 4.6m | 72.7% | Unlikely |
| Piroe | LEE | 4.9m | 71.5% | Unlikely |
| Rayan | BOU | 5.6m | 66.2% | Unlikely |
| Salmon | ARS | 4.0m | 70.9% | Unlikely |
| Trafford | MCI | 4.5m | 67.5% | Unlikely |
| Cullen | BUR | 4.9m | 67.0% | Unlikely |
| Grealish | EVE | 6.3m | 66.8% | Unlikely |
| Gusto | CHE | 4.9m | 66.7% | Unlikely |
| Johnson | CRY | 6.5m | 66.1% | Unlikely |
| Slonina | CHE | 3.9m | 65.5% | Unlikely |
| Trossard | ARS | 6.6m | 63.9% | Unlikely |
| Potts | WHU | 4.4m | 63.3% | Unlikely |
| Mbeumo | MUN | 8.6m | 61.4% | Unlikely |
| Steele | BHA | 4.2m | 62.1% | Unlikely |
| Fabianski | WHU | 4.5m | 60.6% | Unlikely |
| Moore | SUN | 3.9m | 60.2% | Unlikely |
| Reijnders | MCI | 5.0m | 59.9% | Unlikely |
| Milenković | NFO | 5.1m | 59.6% | Unlikely |
| Andrey Santos | CHE | 4.5m | 58.1% | Unlikely |
| Palmer | CHE | 10.6m | 55.2% | Unlikely |
| Saliba | ARS | 6.1m | 52.7% | Unlikely |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | BRE | C | |
| No Change | ARS | B | |
| No Change | AVL | C, Vs | |
| No Change | LEE | C, Vs, £ |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | LIV | B | |
| No Change | ARS | A | |
| No Change | BOU | A, £ | |
| Up | NEW | B | |
| No Change | MCI | A, OoP | |
| No Change | FUL | B | |
| No Change | CRY | C | |
| No Change | BRE | B | |
| No Change | AVL | C, Vs | |
| No Change | LEE | B, Vs, £ |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | MUN | A | |
| Up | CHE | C | |
| Up | NEW | B | |
| No Change | FUL | A | |
| Down | MCI | B | |
| No Change | BRE | B | |
| No Change | AVL | C, Vs | |
| No Change | CRY | B | |
| No Change | ARS | C | |
| No Change | BOU | B, £ | |
| No Change | NFO | B, £ | |
| No Change | LEE | B, Vs, £ |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | MCI | B | |
| No Change | BRE | B | |
| No Change | LIV | B | |
| No Change | CHE | A | |
| No Change | WHU | B | |
| No Change | LEE | C, Vs |

Holly Shand assesses the key underlying statistics from the first four FPL Gameweeks of the season

Three-time top 10k finisher Az looks at the lessons learned from the opening month of the new campaign

Joe, Az and Karam pick the bones out of the first month of the 2020/21 FPL campaign

When each FPL asset is in action during the October international break

Aston Villa 7-2 Liverpool Goals: Ollie Watkins (£5.9m) x3, Jack Grealish (£7.0m) x2, John McGinn (£5.5m), Ross Barkley …