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Moneyball – Marc Wilson

If ever there was a team to scrutinize for a Moneyball piece, it is Stoke. They’re unfashionable and uninspiring with a reported philosophy that is about as far from Fantasy Football as one can get. Such characteristics, though, give us an opportunity to find value, and it is to the Britannia where we’ll turn our attention this week.

Chris Glover Creator of the plfantasy blog, providing a stats focused approach to fantasy football. Exiled to Canada but still prefer my sports played on grass rather than ice. Follow them on Twitter

978 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Mind över Mata
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Captain RVP or Berb?

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    1. The Gambler.
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      why risk?

      RVP

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    2. FPL Mike the Knight
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      RVP!

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    3. roscola
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Berb

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    4. Eddie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Berb

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  2. The Gambler.
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Ruddy (Federici)
    Zabaleta, Baines, Rafael, Clark, Clyne,
    Michu, Hazard, Sterling, Ramirez, Guthrie,
    Van Persie, Suarez, Tevez

    any suggestions? Santi/Gervinho/Nolan?
    open to a 4pt hit max

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    1. HelloSidney
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      I'd get rid of Federici as you don't want to play Ruddy every week

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      1. The Gambler.
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        only keeper i can afford is Begovic and they have MUN this week!

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        1. HelloSidney
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Still, long term that needs sorted. I'd do that, rest of the team is fine.

          Bench Clyne, Ramirez and Guthrie.

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          1. The Gambler.
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            no arsenal cover though!

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            1. HelloSidney
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Wildcard?

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    2. CFC1990
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Ramirez to Nolan?

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  3. Coldplay
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    So Demel looks like he is out, now I have got a dilemma. Play Morrisan against City or Di Santo against Swans. Ridgewell doesn't even need to be mentioned I guess.

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    1. HelloSidney
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Morrison... I'd play Morrison ahead of Demel anyway

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    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      If it makes you feel better, I've got an even bigger dilemma than you:

      Got Gibbs, Demel, Reid and Jenkinson, might end up that none of them are playing..

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      1. TheSteel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Wow that's sh*t luck!

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  4. In Tommy We Trust
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Afternoon all, Thought I plug my stats tables 🙂

    http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/public-stats-tables/view/266/

    Explosiion imminent is designed to look at the player where their stats/performance haven't turned into the FPL points they deserve.

    http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/public-stats-tables/view/186/

    Baines and Friends looks at the fullback who are hot right now.

    http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/public-stats-tables/view/456/

    Up from the back looks at defenders who are getting shots on goal while keeping clean sheets.

    http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/public-stats-tables/view/429/

    Forward thinking looks at the front men who are doing it right now. It takes into account goal rate, shot accuracy and involvement.

    With all of them I will be analysing the success rate of these highlighted players and trying to predict the players who will join these tables in an attempt to predict the next flurry of FPL points.

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    1. In Tommy We Trust
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Didn't think this one worked

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  5. FPL Mike the Knight
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Please Vote:

    A) Fellaini -> Pienaar FT
    B) Fellaini -> Nolan FT
    C) One of the above and Gibbs - Rafael -4PTS
    D) Other

    Team in tatters with 4 injuries and guthrie! Team Linked -HELP! 🙂

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    1. Fantasy-er
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      B. But B + C could potentially be good, can definitely see Utd getting a clean sheet.

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    2. FPL Mike the Knight
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      cant decide Pie or Nolan!

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  6. Lateriser 12
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Join a new club this season FPL xi

    Jussi - Cesar
    Vertonghen - Chico - Lowtown - Cuellar - Collins
    Hazard - Santi - Michu - Ramirez - Kacaniklic
    RVP - Berbatov - Fletcher

    Not a bad team at all.
    Point being, an attacking punt or two at the start of the season is not too bad an idea.

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    1. Billy Gilmore
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Dempsey?! 😯

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      1. Lateriser 12
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Players that have already done decently FPL wise.

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        1. Billy Gilmore
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Ok, that makes sense.

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      2. Coldplay
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Would add Kagawa,Pienaar, Podolski and Michu to that shock list as well.

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        1. Billy Gilmore
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          If you look closely enough you'll find one of them there 😉

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        2. Lateriser 12
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Pienaar would be cheating.
          Michu in there.
          The other three over Podolski for me.

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          1. Billy Gilmore
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            Giroud will be there soon enough 😉

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            1. Lateriser 12
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Goes without saying.

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        3. Coldplay
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Michu is already there, sorry. Kone?

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          1. Lateriser 12
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            Good shout but RVP Berbatov and Fletcher?

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            1. Coldplay
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Well, according to my limited knowledge, Kone has returned more points than Berba. 😉

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              1. Lateriser 12
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                Yes, but this is BERBATOV

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    2. Kendog
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Rooney

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  7. Piggs Boson
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Great article. I'm pleased Boyce got a few mentions 😉

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    1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      If only mentions turned into FPL points eh! 🙂

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      1. Piggs Boson
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        He's a timebomb, and hat-trick and assist is imminent 😉

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        1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          I can see it coming... just that it'll be next season in the Champ 😉

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  8. roscola
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Where the actual hell is the freaking Fulham presser?

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    1. In Tommy We Trust
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      I know. Tell me Berba is fit please Mr Jol

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      1. roscola
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        I'm not nervous exactly, I really think he'll play. It would just be nice to have it confirmed. Is that too much to ask?

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        1. In Tommy We Trust
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Berba transfer made

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          1. roscola
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            (C) ?

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            1. In Tommy We Trust
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              I'm terrible at captains pick so I'm going with the captains poll. Captains are only running at 12% of my total score 😯

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      1. roscola
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        ooh, thanks man

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  9. Kuqi Monster
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    lost on last page - would appreciate some help on this one...

    a) play graham (moore could start)

    or play one of my players currently on bench:

    b) maloney (swa)
    c) demel (SOU) unlikely to start
    d) fonte (whu

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    1. FPL Mike the Knight
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Graham if you have to however can you not transfer out some of the dross?

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      1. Kuqi Monster
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        already made my ft this week - plan to wc next week to clear out all the crap and graham will certainly be leaving!

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  10. In Tommy We Trust
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Afternoon all, Thought I plug the stats table 🙂

    Explosion imminent is designed to look at the player where their stats/performance haven't turned into the FPL points they deserve.

    Baines and Friends looks at the fullback who are hot right now.

    Up from the back looks at defenders who are getting shots on goal while keeping clean sheets.

    Forward thinking looks at the front men who are doing it right now. It takes into account goal rate, shot accuracy and involvement.

    With all of them I will be analysing the success rate of these highlighted players and trying to predict the players who will join these tables in an attempt to predict the next flurry of FPL points.

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    1. Spencer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      I really like your Explosion Imminent table.

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      1. In Tommy We Trust
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers

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  11. blue cheese
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    RDM reports Lampard and Bertrand rejoined the squad for training yesterday and will be available for the Spurs game. #CFC

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    1. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Show me something with #FFC

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    2. Coldplay
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      So typical Chelsea playing fake injuries to drop out of international squad and be ready for the club. Disgrace.

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      1. chel5eachris
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Dont think Lampard faked his injury considering he was guarenteed a start against San Marino and he loves the stats. Bertrand had a cold and would have been third choice LB.

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        1. Funkyav
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          coldplay - bittter much?

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  12. Kuqi Monster
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    bit premature, but with wilshere returning soon, what do we think of him as an option at 6.4m?

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    1. In Tommy We Trust
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Has never really done FPL wise. Will be interesting to see how he plays with Santi

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    2. Funkyav
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      premature
      not really a good FPL pick anyway. Cazorla anytime over him

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    3. Caine & Co.
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      no room for him.

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  13. blue cheese
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    @FulhamFC
    Martin Jol says Bryan Ruiz is a doubt for the Villa match with a groin issue.

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    1. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      aaaaaaaaaaanddddd

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    2. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Berba back

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      1. blue cheese
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Yep, just saw that 🙂

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        1. Lateriser 12
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Lovely.

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    3. blue cheese
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Berbatov due to return.

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      1. Billy Gilmore
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Yay! 😀

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    4. roscola
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Yeah, baby!!

      * joyous rush of blood to head causes armband swap *

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      1. blue cheese
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        😀 Caz to Berba?

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        1. roscola
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Yup. And back again in an hour or so, I expect. But in this glorious moment I'm fully Berbapumped

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    5. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Petric and Berba together.

      Massacre.

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      1. blue cheese
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Yep, plus Kaca and Riise with the service.

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        1. Christina.
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          I dunno about Kaca. I own him.

          Says everything.

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          1. blue cheese
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            I would field him this week.

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            1. Lateriser 12
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              +1

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        2. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          You think Kacaniklic will stay in the team? Thought Rodallega might be shifted out left

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          1. blue cheese
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            Berba, Petric AND Rodallega starting? Doubt that. Possible, though.

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            1. Christina.
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              With my luck probable.

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            2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              No. 🙂

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              1. Christina.
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                What you think?

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            3. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Not all up front you understand.

              Plus i don't really think it's much different to playing the likes of Kaca or Ruiz in midfield. Rodallega seems very defensively aware and disciplined.

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              1. blue cheese
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                Hmm yeah. Possible, SD.

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  14. NATSTER
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Who would you bench?

    Pienaar or Lambert or Sterling

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    1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Sterling

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      1. NATSTER
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Umm.. Tempted to play him against Reading.

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        1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Play him then

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          1. NATSTER
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            And bench who?

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            1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Pienaar.... although i would definitely bench Sterling

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              1. NATSTER
                • 13 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                Thanks SD.. 🙂

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            2. meerlight
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              I have the same three, and for me it's lambert: 1) Lambert, 2) Sterling, 3) Pienaar

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  15. Tmel
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Berba is back!

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  16. viewoftheland
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Really like these Moneyball articles. Thanks. Definitely a lot of food for thought in there.

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    1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      +1

      Best addition to the site

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  17. Gooders
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Hazard -> Bale, yes or no?

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    1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Not this week dude, no

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    2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Yes, imo.

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  18. Avon Barksdale
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Current team
    Friedel
    McCartney/Cuellar/Hangeland
    Sterling/Caz/Kags/hazard
    Torres/Suarez(c)/Tevez
    Bego-pienaar Nelsen gallas

    Help much appreciated!

    Should I save my transfer and go as is?

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    1. Live4pool
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      sterling over pienaar?

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  19. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    "Der Hammer" has signed for Everton ...

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    1. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      .......Berba is back!

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      1. footyjuana
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Fulham press conference? Confirmed?

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    2. Round and Round
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Good news for Fellaini owners

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  20. 1justlookin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    damn it, was hoping this article wouldnt come. He's already nailed on for my transfer after this GW.

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    1. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Any news on Cuellar?

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  21. Piggs Boson
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Suarez->Berba (4pt hit) DONE

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    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Blimey. 😀

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    2. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      😆

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    3. In Tommy We Trust
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      😯

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    4. roscola
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Cripes. Surely you have to (C) to make sure that pays off?

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      1. Piggs Boson
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        It haven't really 😆

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    5. Billy Gilmore
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      lol

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  22. Valar(Keith)
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    when's everton's press conference?

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    1. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Feck knows.

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      1. Billy Gilmore
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Where's Feck then?

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  23. Just_Ty
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Demel out, who to tranfer in for @ 4m?
    Have Cuellar and Gorkss as 4th and 5th, not reassured

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    1. Just_Ty
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      For the record, might go 2 frees next week and get a STK chap

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      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        think I'm going for that one

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    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Will McCartney play for Demel or Reid, or still substitute?

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  24. 3Dog
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Hi All,

    Have had a couple of dodgy gameweeks in the last 3, so have shipped out RVP & Guthrie, for Roon and Nolan (next 2 then Morrison for 2). This has hopefully given me a more balanced squad, even if a bit defence heavy.

    Jussi

    Ivanovic Baines Rafael
    Santi(c) Pienaar Michu Nolan
    Lambert Rooney Ba

    Subs: Bego Ben Arfa Gibbs McAuley

    Aim is obviously to pick 11 for their fixtures each week, using the whole squad, rather than the same benchfodder every week? I may miss out on some massive scores but hoping for some steady 60-pointers over the coming weeks.

    Any thoughts on this strategy, it should mean I'm less exposed to any rotation and associated 1 pointers?

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    1. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Nice rank.

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    2. roscola
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Far too much money sitting on your bench IMO

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      1. 3Dog
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        I know, its worrying me, although I am hoping the upside of that is I can pick players for easier fixtures each week.

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    3. Round and Round
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Good week last week no?

      Interesting idea but would definately have gone for Aguero ahead of Rooney.

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      1. 3Dog
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        I think he or his golfing countryman will be in next week. I should really have gone with Suarez this week but could not bring myself to put him in my team.

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  25. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Captain RVP, Aguero, Ba, Hazard, Pienaar or Michu?

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    1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      RVP, RVP, RVP, RVP, RVP, RVP?

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  26. blue cheese
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Diarra and Petric also back for Fulham.

    There goes the Baird-wagon.

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  27. Coldplay
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    This gameweek is going to be all about a Berba fail. 😛
    *logs out*

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  28. 1justlookin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Christina, Cuellar should be fine, im pretty certain he'll play. Hes been talking up the Derby & Bramble is a doubt anyway

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    1. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Ok, as I need him to replace Demel.

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  29. Round and Round
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Anybody thinking Sagna will start this weekend? Wenger focussed on Wilshere and how he needs one more game to get to fitness but failed to mention Sagna all together. Surely Norwich would be the perfect game to give him 60+ minutes?

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    1. Piggs Boson
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      He has a reserve match Monday, he might be back next week.

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    2. SPorting
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      i have him but i'm afraid he might get 20-30 mins at the end.

      still, i have him for long term anyway.

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  30. chel5eachris
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Ashley Young + RVP = Jackpot. (give it 3-4 weeks tho).

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