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19 October 2012 978 comments
Chris Glover Chris Glover
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If ever there was a team to scrutinize for a Moneyball piece, it is Stoke. They’re unfashionable and uninspiring with a reported philosophy that is about as far from Fantasy Football as one can get. Such characteristics, though, give us an opportunity to find value, and it is to the Britannia where we’ll turn our attention this week.

Chris Glover Creator of the plfantasy blog, providing a stats focused approach to fantasy football. Exiled to Canada but still prefer my sports played on grass rather than ice. Follow them on Twitter

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  1. Mind över Mata
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Captain RVP or Berb?

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    1. The Gambler.
      14 years, 13 days ago

      why risk?

      RVP

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    2. FPL Mike the Knight
      14 years, 13 days ago

      RVP!

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    3. roscola
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Berb

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    4. Eddie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Berb

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  2. The Gambler.
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Ruddy (Federici)
    Zabaleta, Baines, Rafael, Clark, Clyne,
    Michu, Hazard, Sterling, Ramirez, Guthrie,
    Van Persie, Suarez, Tevez

    any suggestions? Santi/Gervinho/Nolan?
    open to a 4pt hit max

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    1. HelloSidney
      14 years, 13 days ago

      I'd get rid of Federici as you don't want to play Ruddy every week

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      1. The Gambler.
        14 years, 13 days ago

        only keeper i can afford is Begovic and they have MUN this week!

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        1. HelloSidney
          14 years, 13 days ago

          Still, long term that needs sorted. I'd do that, rest of the team is fine.

          Bench Clyne, Ramirez and Guthrie.

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          1. The Gambler.
            14 years, 13 days ago

            no arsenal cover though!

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            1. HelloSidney
              14 years, 13 days ago

              Wildcard?

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    2. CFC1990
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Ramirez to Nolan?

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  3. Coldplay
    14 years, 13 days ago

    So Demel looks like he is out, now I have got a dilemma. Play Morrisan against City or Di Santo against Swans. Ridgewell doesn't even need to be mentioned I guess.

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    1. HelloSidney
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Morrison... I'd play Morrison ahead of Demel anyway

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    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      14 years, 13 days ago

      If it makes you feel better, I've got an even bigger dilemma than you:

      Got Gibbs, Demel, Reid and Jenkinson, might end up that none of them are playing..

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      1. TheSteel
        14 years, 13 days ago

        Wow that's sh*t luck!

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  4. In Tommy We Trust
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Afternoon all, Thought I plug my stats tables 🙂

    http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/public-stats-tables/view/266/

    Explosiion imminent is designed to look at the player where their stats/performance haven't turned into the FPL points they deserve.

    http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/public-stats-tables/view/186/

    Baines and Friends looks at the fullback who are hot right now.

    http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/public-stats-tables/view/456/

    Up from the back looks at defenders who are getting shots on goal while keeping clean sheets.

    http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/public-stats-tables/view/429/

    Forward thinking looks at the front men who are doing it right now. It takes into account goal rate, shot accuracy and involvement.

    With all of them I will be analysing the success rate of these highlighted players and trying to predict the players who will join these tables in an attempt to predict the next flurry of FPL points.

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    1. In Tommy We Trust
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Didn't think this one worked

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  5. FPL Mike the Knight
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Please Vote:

    A) Fellaini -> Pienaar FT
    B) Fellaini -> Nolan FT
    C) One of the above and Gibbs - Rafael -4PTS
    D) Other

    Team in tatters with 4 injuries and guthrie! Team Linked -HELP! 🙂

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    1. Fantasy-er
      14 years, 13 days ago

      B. But B + C could potentially be good, can definitely see Utd getting a clean sheet.

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    2. FPL Mike the Knight
      14 years, 13 days ago

      cant decide Pie or Nolan!

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  6. Lateriser 12
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Join a new club this season FPL xi

    Jussi - Cesar
    Vertonghen - Chico - Lowtown - Cuellar - Collins
    Hazard - Santi - Michu - Ramirez - Kacaniklic
    RVP - Berbatov - Fletcher

    Not a bad team at all.
    Point being, an attacking punt or two at the start of the season is not too bad an idea.

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    1. Billy Gilmore
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Dempsey?! 😯

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      1. Lateriser 12
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        14 years, 13 days ago

        Players that have already done decently FPL wise.

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        1. Billy Gilmore
          14 years, 13 days ago

          Ok, that makes sense.

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      2. Coldplay
        14 years, 13 days ago

        Would add Kagawa,Pienaar, Podolski and Michu to that shock list as well.

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        1. Billy Gilmore
          14 years, 13 days ago

          If you look closely enough you'll find one of them there 😉

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        2. Lateriser 12
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          14 years, 13 days ago

          Pienaar would be cheating.
          Michu in there.
          The other three over Podolski for me.

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          1. Billy Gilmore
            14 years, 13 days ago

            Giroud will be there soon enough 😉

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            1. Lateriser 12
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              14 years, 13 days ago

              Goes without saying.

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        3. Coldplay
          14 years, 13 days ago

          Michu is already there, sorry. Kone?

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          1. Lateriser 12
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            14 years, 13 days ago

            Good shout but RVP Berbatov and Fletcher?

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            1. Coldplay
              14 years, 13 days ago

              Well, according to my limited knowledge, Kone has returned more points than Berba. 😉

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              1. Lateriser 12
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                14 years, 13 days ago

                Yes, but this is BERBATOV

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    2. Kendog
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Rooney

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  7. Piggs Boson
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Great article. I'm pleased Boyce got a few mentions 😉

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    1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      14 years, 13 days ago

      If only mentions turned into FPL points eh! 🙂

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      1. Piggs Boson
        14 years, 13 days ago

        He's a timebomb, and hat-trick and assist is imminent 😉

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        1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
          14 years, 13 days ago

          I can see it coming... just that it'll be next season in the Champ 😉

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  8. roscola
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Where the actual hell is the freaking Fulham presser?

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    1. In Tommy We Trust
      14 years, 13 days ago

      I know. Tell me Berba is fit please Mr Jol

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      1. roscola
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        14 years, 13 days ago

        I'm not nervous exactly, I really think he'll play. It would just be nice to have it confirmed. Is that too much to ask?

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        1. In Tommy We Trust
          14 years, 13 days ago

          Berba transfer made

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          1. roscola
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            14 years, 13 days ago

            (C) ?

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            1. In Tommy We Trust
              14 years, 13 days ago

              I'm terrible at captains pick so I'm going with the captains poll. Captains are only running at 12% of my total score 😯

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      1. roscola
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        14 years, 13 days ago

        ooh, thanks man

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  9. Kuqi Monster
    14 years, 13 days ago

    lost on last page - would appreciate some help on this one...

    a) play graham (moore could start)

    or play one of my players currently on bench:

    b) maloney (swa)
    c) demel (SOU) unlikely to start
    d) fonte (whu

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    1. FPL Mike the Knight
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Graham if you have to however can you not transfer out some of the dross?

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      1. Kuqi Monster
        14 years, 13 days ago

        already made my ft this week - plan to wc next week to clear out all the crap and graham will certainly be leaving!

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  10. In Tommy We Trust
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Afternoon all, Thought I plug the stats table 🙂

    Explosion imminent is designed to look at the player where their stats/performance haven't turned into the FPL points they deserve.

    Baines and Friends looks at the fullback who are hot right now.

    Up from the back looks at defenders who are getting shots on goal while keeping clean sheets.

    Forward thinking looks at the front men who are doing it right now. It takes into account goal rate, shot accuracy and involvement.

    With all of them I will be analysing the success rate of these highlighted players and trying to predict the players who will join these tables in an attempt to predict the next flurry of FPL points.

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    1. Spencer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      14 years, 13 days ago

      I really like your Explosion Imminent table.

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      1. In Tommy We Trust
        14 years, 13 days ago

        Cheers

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  11. blue cheese
    14 years, 13 days ago

    RDM reports Lampard and Bertrand rejoined the squad for training yesterday and will be available for the Spurs game. #CFC

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    1. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Show me something with #FFC

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    2. Coldplay
      14 years, 13 days ago

      So typical Chelsea playing fake injuries to drop out of international squad and be ready for the club. Disgrace.

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      1. chel5eachris
        14 years, 13 days ago

        Dont think Lampard faked his injury considering he was guarenteed a start against San Marino and he loves the stats. Bertrand had a cold and would have been third choice LB.

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        1. Funkyav
          14 years, 13 days ago

          coldplay - bittter much?

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  12. Kuqi Monster
    14 years, 13 days ago

    bit premature, but with wilshere returning soon, what do we think of him as an option at 6.4m?

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    1. In Tommy We Trust
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Has never really done FPL wise. Will be interesting to see how he plays with Santi

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    2. Funkyav
      14 years, 13 days ago

      premature
      not really a good FPL pick anyway. Cazorla anytime over him

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    3. Caine & Co.
      14 years, 13 days ago

      no room for him.

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  13. blue cheese
    14 years, 13 days ago

    @FulhamFC
    Martin Jol says Bryan Ruiz is a doubt for the Villa match with a groin issue.

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    1. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      14 years, 13 days ago

      aaaaaaaaaaanddddd

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    2. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Berba back

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      1. blue cheese
        14 years, 13 days ago

        Yep, just saw that 🙂

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        1. Lateriser 12
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          14 years, 13 days ago

          Lovely.

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    3. blue cheese
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Berbatov due to return.

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      1. Billy Gilmore
        14 years, 13 days ago

        Yay! 😀

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    4. roscola
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Yeah, baby!!

      * joyous rush of blood to head causes armband swap *

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      1. blue cheese
        14 years, 13 days ago

        😀 Caz to Berba?

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        1. roscola
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          14 years, 13 days ago

          Yup. And back again in an hour or so, I expect. But in this glorious moment I'm fully Berbapumped

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    5. Christina.
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Petric and Berba together.

      Massacre.

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      1. blue cheese
        14 years, 13 days ago

        Yep, plus Kaca and Riise with the service.

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        1. Christina.
          14 years, 13 days ago

          I dunno about Kaca. I own him.

          Says everything.

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          1. blue cheese
            14 years, 13 days ago

            I would field him this week.

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            1. Lateriser 12
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              14 years, 13 days ago

              +1

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        2. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
          14 years, 13 days ago

          You think Kacaniklic will stay in the team? Thought Rodallega might be shifted out left

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          1. blue cheese
            14 years, 13 days ago

            Berba, Petric AND Rodallega starting? Doubt that. Possible, though.

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            1. Christina.
              14 years, 13 days ago

              With my luck probable.

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            2. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              14 years, 13 days ago

              No. 🙂

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              1. Christina.
                14 years, 13 days ago

                What you think?

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            3. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
              14 years, 13 days ago

              Not all up front you understand.

              Plus i don't really think it's much different to playing the likes of Kaca or Ruiz in midfield. Rodallega seems very defensively aware and disciplined.

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              1. blue cheese
                14 years, 13 days ago

                Hmm yeah. Possible, SD.

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  14. NATSTER
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Who would you bench?

    Pienaar or Lambert or Sterling

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    1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Sterling

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      1. NATSTER
        14 years, 13 days ago

        Umm.. Tempted to play him against Reading.

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        1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
          14 years, 13 days ago

          Play him then

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          1. NATSTER
            14 years, 13 days ago

            And bench who?

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            1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
              14 years, 13 days ago

              Pienaar.... although i would definitely bench Sterling

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              1. NATSTER
                14 years, 13 days ago

                Thanks SD.. 🙂

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            2. meerlight
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              14 years, 13 days ago

              I have the same three, and for me it's lambert: 1) Lambert, 2) Sterling, 3) Pienaar

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  15. Tmel
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Berba is back!

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  16. viewoftheland
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Really like these Moneyball articles. Thanks. Definitely a lot of food for thought in there.

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    1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      14 years, 13 days ago

      +1

      Best addition to the site

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  17. Gooders
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Hazard -> Bale, yes or no?

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    1. The Farke Side Gallery
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Not this week dude, no

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    2. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Yes, imo.

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  18. Avon Barksdale
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Current team
    Friedel
    McCartney/Cuellar/Hangeland
    Sterling/Caz/Kags/hazard
    Torres/Suarez(c)/Tevez
    Bego-pienaar Nelsen gallas

    Help much appreciated!

    Should I save my transfer and go as is?

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    1. Live4pool
      14 years, 13 days ago

      sterling over pienaar?

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  19. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    14 years, 13 days ago

    "Der Hammer" has signed for Everton ...

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    1. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      14 years, 13 days ago

      .......Berba is back!

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      1. footyjuana
        14 years, 13 days ago

        Fulham press conference? Confirmed?

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    2. Round and Round
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Good news for Fellaini owners

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  20. 1justlookin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    14 years, 13 days ago

    damn it, was hoping this article wouldnt come. He's already nailed on for my transfer after this GW.

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    1. Christina.
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Any news on Cuellar?

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  21. Piggs Boson
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Suarez->Berba (4pt hit) DONE

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    1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Blimey. 😀

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    2. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      14 years, 13 days ago

      😆

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    3. In Tommy We Trust
      14 years, 13 days ago

      😯

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    4. roscola
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Cripes. Surely you have to (C) to make sure that pays off?

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      1. Piggs Boson
        14 years, 13 days ago

        It haven't really 😆

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    5. Billy Gilmore
      14 years, 13 days ago

      lol

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  22. Valar(Keith)
    14 years, 13 days ago

    when's everton's press conference?

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    1. Christina.
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Feck knows.

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      1. Billy Gilmore
        14 years, 13 days ago

        Where's Feck then?

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  23. Just_Ty
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Demel out, who to tranfer in for @ 4m?
    Have Cuellar and Gorkss as 4th and 5th, not reassured

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    1. Just_Ty
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      14 years, 13 days ago

      For the record, might go 2 frees next week and get a STK chap

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      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        14 years, 13 days ago

        think I'm going for that one

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    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Will McCartney play for Demel or Reid, or still substitute?

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  24. 3Dog
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Hi All,

    Have had a couple of dodgy gameweeks in the last 3, so have shipped out RVP & Guthrie, for Roon and Nolan (next 2 then Morrison for 2). This has hopefully given me a more balanced squad, even if a bit defence heavy.

    Jussi

    Ivanovic Baines Rafael
    Santi(c) Pienaar Michu Nolan
    Lambert Rooney Ba

    Subs: Bego Ben Arfa Gibbs McAuley

    Aim is obviously to pick 11 for their fixtures each week, using the whole squad, rather than the same benchfodder every week? I may miss out on some massive scores but hoping for some steady 60-pointers over the coming weeks.

    Any thoughts on this strategy, it should mean I'm less exposed to any rotation and associated 1 pointers?

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    1. Christina.
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Nice rank.

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    2. roscola
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Far too much money sitting on your bench IMO

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      1. 3Dog
        14 years, 13 days ago

        I know, its worrying me, although I am hoping the upside of that is I can pick players for easier fixtures each week.

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    3. Round and Round
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Good week last week no?

      Interesting idea but would definately have gone for Aguero ahead of Rooney.

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      1. 3Dog
        14 years, 13 days ago

        I think he or his golfing countryman will be in next week. I should really have gone with Suarez this week but could not bring myself to put him in my team.

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  25. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Captain RVP, Aguero, Ba, Hazard, Pienaar or Michu?

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    1. The Farke Side Gallery
      14 years, 13 days ago

      RVP, RVP, RVP, RVP, RVP, RVP?

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  26. blue cheese
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Diarra and Petric also back for Fulham.

    There goes the Baird-wagon.

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  27. Coldplay
    14 years, 13 days ago

    This gameweek is going to be all about a Berba fail. 😛
    *logs out*

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  28. 1justlookin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Christina, Cuellar should be fine, im pretty certain he'll play. Hes been talking up the Derby & Bramble is a doubt anyway

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    1. Christina.
      14 years, 13 days ago

      Ok, as I need him to replace Demel.

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  29. Round and Round
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Anybody thinking Sagna will start this weekend? Wenger focussed on Wilshere and how he needs one more game to get to fitness but failed to mention Sagna all together. Surely Norwich would be the perfect game to give him 60+ minutes?

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    1. Piggs Boson
      14 years, 13 days ago

      He has a reserve match Monday, he might be back next week.

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    2. SPorting
      14 years, 13 days ago

      i have him but i'm afraid he might get 20-30 mins at the end.

      still, i have him for long term anyway.

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  30. chel5eachris
    14 years, 13 days ago

    Ashley Young + RVP = Jackpot. (give it 3-4 weeks tho).

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