Moneyball – Jason Puncheon
Filed under: Members - Posted by: Chris Glover
This series has generally been engaged in looking for the “next prospect”, the unheralded and the unfashionable. This week, we’re going to go in a slightly different direction and re-examine someone who was first mentioned in these pages back in Gameweek 6, after which he was promptly benched to seemingly slip back into obscurity. As last weekend’s performance at QPR demonstrated, however, the underlying potential of Jason Puncheon was never in doubt: pitch-time looks to be the key factor in his prosperity as a Fantasy asset.
Share This Story
About The Author
“Creator of the plfantasy blog, providing a stats focused approach to fantasy football. Exiled to Canada but still prefer my sports played on grass rather than ice.”
Chris Glover @plfantasy
Commenting is now closed for this post.
Scout Picks
For Gameweek 38
- Boruc
- Zabaleta
- Vertonghen
- Johnson
- Walcott
- Michu
- Coutinho
- Bale
- van Persie
- Carroll
- Sturridge
- Rangel
- Nolan
- Rodriguez
Recent Comments
-
The internet is a strange place! » -
Who am I? 2/5 ( GreenWind Mill 1 point) I recently retired. I have played for 9 clubs during my career including… » -
1-10 all stay 11 Martinez 12 Pelligrini 13 Mourinho » -
1) Benteke - Spurs 2) Bale - Stay 3) Fellaini - Man United 4) Baines - Stay 5) Higuain - Arsenal 6) Cavani - Man… » -
Wow, so he was. My memory is faulty! » -
No, he played five times »
-
-
Clue...all three of these are goalies. »
-
-
:p Still makes for an interesting read, the article. »
Next Six Ticker
The Watchlist
Goalkeepers
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | Hart | MCI | B, Vs |
| Up | Cech | CHE | B, Vs |
| Up | Robles | WIG | C, Vs, £ |
| No Change | Lloris | TOT | C, Vs |
| No Change | Foster | WBA | C, Vs |
| No Change | Vorm | SWA | C, Vs |
| No Change | Mignolet | SUN | B, Vs |
| No Change | De Gea | MUN | A |
| Up | Boruc | SOT | B, Vs, £ |
| No Change | Jääskeläinen | WHM | A |
| No Change | Begovic | STO | C |
| No Change | Howard | EVE | A |
Defenders
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | Kompany | MCI | B, Vs, Rest |
| No Change | Vertonghen | TOT | A, Vs, Rest |
| Up | Luiz | CHE | A, Vs, Rest |
| No Change | Baines | EVE | A |
| Up | Boyce | WIG | C, Vs, OoP |
| Down | Bassong | NOR | B, Vs |
| Up | McAuley | WBA | C, Vs |
| Down | Johnson | LIV | B |
| Up | Jones | MUN | A |
| No Change | Sagna | ARS | B |
| Up | Huth | STO | C |
| No Change | Cuéllar | SUN | B, Vs, £ |
| No Change | Rangel | SWA | C, Vs |
| Up | Clyne | SOT | B, Vs, £ |
Midfielders
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Up | Bale | TOT | A, Vs |
| No Change | Mata | CHE | C, Vs, Rest |
| Up | Walcott | ARS | C, OoP |
| Up | Hazard | CHE | B, Vs, Rest, Inj |
| Up | Maloney | WIG | B, Vs, £ |
| No Change | Y Touré | MCI | B, Vs |
| No Change | Silva | MCI | B, Vs, Inj |
| No Change | Fellaini | EVE | C |
| No Change | Coutinho | LIV | B |
| Up | Morrison | WBA | C, Vs |
| Down | Cazorla | ARS | C |
| No Change | Snodgrass | NOR | B |
| Up | Kagawa | MUN | B, Rest |
| Up | Walters | STO | B |
| Down | Lallana | SOT | C, Vs |
| Down | Sissoko | NEW | C |
Forwards
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Up | Tevez | MCI | A, Vs, Rest |
| Up | Koné | WIG | B, Vs, £ |
| Down | van Persie | MUN | A, Vs |
| Up | Sturridge | LIV | B |
| Up | Lukaku | WBA | B, Vs, Rest |
| Up | Benteke | AVL | A |
| Down | Aguero | MCI | B, Vs, Inj |
| Up | Rodriguez | SOT | A, Vs, £ |
| Up | Defoe | TOT | B, Vs, Rest |
| Down | Lambert | SOT | C, Vs |
| Down | Rooney | MUN | C |
| Up | Carroll | WHM | A, VsX |
| Up | Ba | CHE | C, Vs, Rest |
| Down | Berbatov | FUL | C |
| Up | Cissé | NEW | B |
| Down | Remy | QPR | B |
Selection Factors
| A, B, C | Current Form |
|---|---|
| Vs | Favourable Fixtures |
| VsX | Unfavourable Fixtures |
| Rest | Rotation Risk |
| Inj | Injured/Returning from Injury |
| OoP | Out of Position |
| £ | Potential Bargain |
| Sus | Suspended/Near Suspension |
“I love to attack and I love to go up front...It is a little more difficult than when you are playing centre-back. If you play the way that I want to play, I think my influence is better as a left-back. For the team, it is best that I play as a centre-back. I like to bring the ball out. You need to move the game quickly, and that is one of my qualities as well.”
Jan Vertonghen outlines what he feels is his best position for Andre Villas-Boas
-
Mark @FFScout_Mark
-
Paul @ffscout_paul
-
greek fan @FFScout_Greekf
-
Andy @ffscout_andy
-
G-G-Granville @FFScout_Granny
-
Akers @FFScout_Akers
-
Big Dunc @FFScout_Dunc
November 23 at 4:59 pm
Malcolm Tucker for England Manager says:
No comments is a bit harsh. I thought it was a great article
November 23 at 5:09 pm
In Tommy We Trust says:
Hello?
November 23 at 5:09 pm
Everything I touch turns to dust. says:
I’ll give you that 1.
November 23 at 5:09 pm
Everything I touch turns to dust. says:
Walcott definitely out?
November 23 at 5:11 pm
magic.inside says:
yep
November 23 at 5:09 pm
Spoiler says:
current team., midfield crises help!
Begovic
Baines | Cameron | Rafael | Cuellar | Nelsen
Hazard | Michu
RVP | Berba | Ba
Foster, Walcott, Guthrie, Fellaini
November 23 at 5:12 pm
Reply Fail says:
Got money, free transfers, girlfriend? Anything that my help?
November 23 at 5:14 pm
Spoiler says:
1 freebie
November 23 at 5:22 pm
Reply Fail says:
Tough situation Spoiler. Best thing I can think of is Foster-> cheap goalie and Walcott to Bale / Cazorla.
November 23 at 5:10 pm
In Tommy We Trust says:
I look at those stats and think Lallana
November 23 at 5:13 pm
JKisthe1 - Los Colchoneros 2 - The Revenge says:
I look at my team and see Ramirez
November 23 at 5:16 pm
In Tommy We Trust says:
It’ll be interesting in the next couple of weeks which Southampton asset comes out on top.
November 23 at 5:17 pm
JKisthe1 - Los Colchoneros 2 - The Revenge says:
well guy in my ML who is 3 points ahead has Lallana, so I’ll be in a good position to find out.
November 23 at 5:19 pm
In Tommy We Trust says:
I have Lallana so I know who am routing for. #TeamLallana
November 23 at 5:24 pm
Christian says:
#TeamMorrison
November 23 at 5:10 pm
Jonty says:
Another great moneyball idea.
November 23 at 5:10 pm
MikeyMitz says:
Comedy football column my buddy does- pretty funny stuff
http://rated90.com/post/the-pullspin/
November 23 at 5:11 pm
Giggs Boson says:
Please come back to Plymouth Puncheon. We’re not going bankrupt anymore!
November 23 at 5:13 pm
MikeyMitz says:
That is the best plea for a player ever
November 23 at 5:14 pm
Giggs Boson says:
November 23 at 5:18 pm
Eunuch Jelly says:
There was a time when the plea would have been “we have a place to play football now”.
November 23 at 5:23 pm
Giggs Boson says:
True. I’m very grateful the club survived, it was very close! So much for the 5 year plan to get in the Premiership
November 23 at 5:28 pm
Eunuch Jelly says:
When I was in Plymouth Paul Sturrock looked like the messiah. That seems kind of silly now.
November 23 at 5:12 pm
reekster says:
I agree. It’s certainly given me food for thought.
(Although the number of thoughts I’m having at the moment has left me feeling a bit like Mr Creosote!)
A six-week punt with Sterling, for 10.0, is very, very tempting…
November 23 at 5:13 pm
reekster says:
Oops! Reply to Malcolm Tucker.
November 23 at 5:12 pm
GOONER says:
McCarthy Begovic
Wilkinson Davies Demel Clyne Baines
Silva Valencia Mata Michu Sterling
Giroud Ba Van Persie
1FT:
A) Do Wilkinson to Garrido
B) Baines to Enrique.
November 23 at 5:14 pm
living the dream says:
A by a mile
November 23 at 5:16 pm
Edwardo T. Durkan says:
Can you do Demel or Davies to Garrido instead of Wilkinson ?
November 23 at 5:22 pm
living the dream says:
Isnt Wilkinson injured though?
November 23 at 5:12 pm
Sleep Talk says:
A direct HBA -> Valencia for my 2nd FT is a no-brainer right?
November 23 at 5:14 pm
living the dream says:
Depends who your other midfielders are
November 23 at 5:18 pm
Sleep Talk says:
Was originally planning on playing HBA along with Cazorla, Michu and Pienaar this week. I still have Kightly, but since his price is staying pretty steady I’ll afford to keep him at least one more GW before he starts falling in price.
Want to get in both a Sunderland and a Southampton midfielder at some point soon, so that’s my other alternative. Pienaar and Kightly will both soon be sacrificed for these transfers if I do the HBA-> Valencia transfer.
November 23 at 5:20 pm
living the dream says:
As you already have RVP I would go for A Johnson instead
November 23 at 5:15 pm
In Tommy We Trust says:
How about a downgrade to Lallana/Ramirez/Morrison to upgrade Pienaar to Silva midweek?
November 23 at 5:19 pm
Sleep Talk says:
Silva is definitely in my sight, and I was wondering whether or not to do it sooner or to wait until the Reading-match.
November 23 at 5:21 pm
In Tommy We Trust says:
He could ripe it up at the DW followed by two home games where city are unbeaten in 35. Get on board as soon as I would recommend
November 23 at 5:22 pm
In Tommy We Trust says:
*rip
November 23 at 5:15 pm
Stern John Terry Wilson Palacios says:
AJ’s a better option imo.
November 23 at 5:15 pm
Edwardo T. Durkan says:
No. What’s the attraction in Valencia? He blows hot and cold. Plenty of better options.
November 23 at 5:20 pm
Sleep Talk says:
No form I agree, it would only have been a try to get even more points from tomorrows match against QPR which I believe will be quite the goalfest.
November 23 at 5:24 pm
Sleep Talk says:
Thanks for the great replies folks! Think I’ll hold off on this decision for a little longer. A Sunderland or Southampton mid might grace my team this weekend already after all.
November 23 at 5:14 pm
Edwardo T. Durkan says:
Play Cameron or Ridgewell, if I already have Bego in goal:?:
November 23 at 5:16 pm
MikeyMitz says:
Ridgewell I’d say. WBA are impressive under Stevey C
November 23 at 5:17 pm
In Tommy We Trust says:
Had this dilemma myself. Went with double Stoke. Was pointed in the direction that WBA haven’t kept a clean sheet away all season while Stoke have only conceded 1 at home.
November 23 at 5:28 pm
Edwardo T. Durkan says:
Cheers lads
November 23 at 5:16 pm
agarthered says:
Ruddy or Jaask? Leaning towards Ruddy…
Also any sites that show you up to date most added for gameweeks? Or is the most added on the actual FFPL: site pretty bang on?
November 23 at 5:16 pm
viewoftheland says:
Fantastic article. Already got myself a bit of Lambert, so no Punch for me just yet, but a downgrade of one of my mids at some point to make a Lambert a Suarez or the like seems a viable route.
November 23 at 5:17 pm
JKisthe1 - Los Colchoneros 2 - The Revenge says:
still can’t decide between Morrison and Sterling for this week. Not bothered by the fact that I’m playing Migs but Sunderland are generally tight at home I’m not sure there will be many goals in that one.
November 23 at 5:18 pm
Jonty says:
I think Sterling out of the two. Swansea more likely to concede…which is more than likely going to mean Suarez goal, Sterling assist. Sunderland are tighter than a knat’s chuff at home, so benching Morrison would seem sensible.
November 23 at 5:20 pm
JKisthe1 - Los Colchoneros 2 - The Revenge says:
yeah that is my thought, I got Sterling in to try and cover off some of the damage rival’s Suarez is doing to me and to free up a striker spot to acquire Aguero
November 23 at 5:18 pm
All Up On The Interwebs says:
berba to fletcher…… is that a punt or worthwhile? for next 5 or 6 fixtures then berba back in
November 23 at 5:27 pm
Hybrid.power says:
Yes.
November 23 at 5:18 pm
Giggs Boson says:
My Chelsea XI
…………….Cech
Ivanovic Cahill Terry Cole
………Lampard Mikel
Oscar…… Mata……Hazard
……………Moses
November 23 at 5:21 pm
Sleep Talk says:
This will certainly bring them all the way to The Promised Land.
November 23 at 5:22 pm
Malcolm Tucker for England Manager says:
That’ll be Rafa’s one week in every 21. Rotating git
November 23 at 5:23 pm
Edwardo T. Durkan says:
Mine would be:
………………….Cech…………..
…Azpilicueta Ivanovic Terry Bertrand….
…………..Romeu Luiz………..
….Hazard….Piazon…..Mata…..
…………..Moses………..
November 23 at 5:27 pm
Edwardo T. Durkan says:
I appreciate the role Mikel does, but I just don’t think he does it well enough. Luiz at CB is a walking disaster, but I’d like to see how he’d fare as a defensive midfielder. Need Ivanovic at CB, because Cahill is out of form. Piazon deserves a chance too. I hate the way we never give our youngsters a fair chance, and he’s better than Oscar imo
November 23 at 5:30 pm
Santiagounreal - proud owner of garrido says:
Did you write this on a tablet?
Badum tish!
November 23 at 5:18 pm
royals forever says:
Who is the best option to play for GW13
Fonte or Saylor
Any help would be appreciated
November 23 at 5:22 pm
Sleep Talk says:
Southampton cannot be trusted defensively, and with Tiote back, Newcastle might stat to tighten up in the back. Saylor imo.
November 23 at 5:24 pm
In Tommy We Trust says:
I’m predicting 3-2 Southampton so go with attacking threat and pick Fonte. Both will probably be 2 pointers
November 23 at 5:19 pm
Evs says:
Any thoughts on my lot (team on link)
Thinking saving the trade, or maybe sell Nolan to fund silva in for Felliani?
November 23 at 5:21 pm
rvp786 says:
losing 2 top value goal scorings. hmm wouldnt advise that.
i would wait on silva until after chelsea game. monitor him carefully. still not convinced with him espically if it means losing afro
November 23 at 5:21 pm
rvp786 says:
* goal scorers
November 23 at 5:24 pm
Evs says:
That’s my thinking, altho I am happy to sell Felliani given Evertons games… Saying that WHM are stinking too
!
November 23 at 5:27 pm
rvp786 says:
what games? arsenal and spurs at home i think he will score well. man city away is tough i agree. but over the season he will be a bargain at that price
November 23 at 5:19 pm
Malcolm Tucker for England Manager says:
How’s this for this week? No cash but a free transfer in the bank.
Begovic
Rafael Baines Davies
Valencia Pienaar bale Silva
RVP jelly crouch
ruddy;Maloney;Gorkss;nelsen
November 23 at 5:31 pm
Reply Fail says:
Go to go, don’t like Crouch too much but could work out.
November 23 at 5:19 pm
miggy says:
done.. ben arfa -> puncheon
November 23 at 5:21 pm
Giggs Boson says:
Rotating Sterling and Puncheon sounds like a great tactic to me. I wish i had an extra transfer or two injected into my account this week…
November 23 at 5:20 pm
Ⓕⓘⓝⓐⓛ Ⓕⓛⓐⓢⓗ says:
so i have a dilemma. i have no arsenal or city coverage and i’m looking to get one or the other after this gw. i have enough cash to do either maloney -> walcott or berba -> aguero. i’m leaning towards the first one cause berba is still great value and is still in good form. my other mids and forwards are:
bale, mata, fellaini, sterling
rvp, suarez
so i should do the walcott trade rather than the berba one right?
November 23 at 5:28 pm
Ⓕⓘⓝⓐⓛ Ⓕⓛⓐⓢⓗ says:
this is also for next gw (when we will know more about walcott’s injury)
November 23 at 5:21 pm
VanaRooney-(formerly Mr. Paul With the ICE-CREAM) says:
Migno,Fed
baines.riise,olsson,cameron,gorkss
michu silva nolan mata,Kacka
ba berba rvp
1 ft and 1.0m in the bank.
shall i save the transfer or, upgrade federici ?
or riise to enrique?
Suggestions?
November 23 at 5:22 pm
Ferris Bueller's Rotation Risk says:
Bego
Baines Cuellar Mertesacker
Mata Michu Maloney Noble
RVP(c) Berba Tevez(vc)
Subs: Jussi McAuley Demel Fellaini
Subs correct and in the right order? Mert or McA to start?
Cheers
November 23 at 5:30 pm
Eunuch Jelly says:
All looks good. Definitely Mert.
November 23 at 5:22 pm
yanky says:
hey all, any advice on how to use my free double transfer? 2.3 in bank.
I am thinking Tevez Gerrard Gjohnson > RVP Ajohnson Rafael for -4pt hit. I need to get RVP and need to downgrade Gerrard to do that. However, my defense also needs work because clyne plays ba, GJ plays michu and i dont think staylor will get a cleanie…
Foster – Federici
Baines – GJohnson – STaylor – Clyne – Baird
Santi – Michu – Gerrard – Taarabt – Fellani
Tevez – Ba – Crouch
November 23 at 5:24 pm
ManTree(v2!) or just JAY! says:
Hey folks
I have 2 FT and £1.5m in the bank.
Foster, Begovic
Baines, Davies, Demel, Cuellar, Gorkks
Nolan, Michu, Bale, Fellaini, Sterling
Ba, RVP, Aguero
Pick one of these:
1. Foster and Davies out for Ruddy and Jose Enrique.
2. Foster to Ruddy to free up funds and save FT.
3. Foster to Mignolet and save FT
Thoughts please?!
Thank you
November 23 at 5:38 pm
Misery likes Kompany says:
perhaps get rid of demel instead and hold for news of foster?
November 23 at 5:25 pm
Eunuch Jelly says:
Given that Fellaini will not play this week, and I also have Michu and Suarez, I have decided to convert one of my useless bench fodder to a scoring player. My two options are:
Nelsen to Enrique
or
Britton to Puncheon
Thoughts?
November 23 at 5:27 pm
Ⓕⓘⓝⓐⓛ Ⓕⓛⓐⓢⓗ says:
britton to puncheon. if harry gets qpr job, they should tighten up at the back
November 23 at 5:28 pm
heco87 says:
Britton to Puncheon and save the cash looks better to me.
November 23 at 5:35 pm
Eunuch Jelly says:
Thanks. I will prentend the small sample size is irrelevant and take that as a unanimous Puncheon.
November 23 at 5:27 pm
Reply Fail says:
What is all this Rafael rotation thing I read a lot on FFS?
November 23 at 5:31 pm
the Penman says:
There’s a danger that Rafael gets rotated with Smalling – or maybe even Jones – when they’re back fit. And since Rafael played in Europe, he could be prone.
So far, it’s not happened.
November 23 at 5:32 pm
In Tommy We Trust says:
this^^^ stopped me bringing him in.
November 23 at 5:31 pm
Jonty says:
Speculation based on him playing midweek, three games coming up very quickly and Jones and Smalling back from injury to cover the RB berth. I can’t see him playing all three of the next three.
November 23 at 5:33 pm
isacki - losing makes winning sweeter says:
I’d even wonder about Valencia moving backwards to RB to cover for him, particularly given Val’s not beating too many defenders. But there’s no one else right now to cover Val at RW and the absence of Kagawa means they can’t switch formation naturally.
November 23 at 5:37 pm
Reply Fail says:
Hmm, thx for all the insights guys!
November 23 at 5:27 pm
JamesT2525 says:
Please RMT for this gameweek:
Bego
Baines-Vermaelan-ShawX
Hazard-Caz-Michu-Sterling
Ba(vc)-Suarez(c)-Berbs
Subs: Gazzinga, Cuellar,Demel,Fellani
Thanks!
November 23 at 5:29 pm
Ⓕⓘⓝⓐⓛ Ⓕⓛⓐⓢⓗ says:
not having rvp this week might finally hurt the non rvp owners
November 23 at 5:29 pm
isacki - losing makes winning sweeter says:
Given everyone appears to be feeling punty, what was your last punt that came off?
Mine was Suarez GW6 hattrick and assist v Norwich.
I sold him two GWs later and missed out on 37 points since then.
And numerous failed punts.
November 23 at 5:34 pm
Eunuch Jelly says:
Same one for me. My most recent punt that did NOT come off was Mata to Valencia for a hit when Mata was ruled out after Capital One and MUN were playing a wounded Arsenal. Valencia got 3 while Gorkss, who would have played had I left it, scored 11 on the bench.
November 23 at 5:39 pm
isacki - losing makes winning sweeter says:
Usually works out like that, someone else you could have played ends up scoring more than the replacement. I thought I’d narrowly profited from an 8 point hit for GW9 involving Rangel, Michu & Suarez > Richards, Mata and Berb but then Cuellar went and got a CS on my bench.
November 23 at 5:34 pm
Edwardo T. Durkan says:
This season
Best punt – Jelavic GW6, got 16 points just back from injury
Worst – Not really a ‘punt’ per say, but captained Cazorla 2 GWs in a row, and he got 2 points in each game
I captained Adebayor in a game last season where he go 2goals and 3assists. That massive points haul is why I think I came second in the GW4 global league last season
November 23 at 5:40 pm
isacki - losing makes winning sweeter says:
Yeah nice one alright, to finish 80k starting GW4 is commendable and makes you wonder what you could have done if you’d gone from the start.
Any recommendations this week?
November 23 at 5:46 pm
Edwardo T. Durkan says:
Ya, shame it only shows the overall rank. My only recommendation is RVP (C). That’s all you need
November 23 at 5:29 pm
Kamikaze says:
2 FT, 0.1 in the bank.
Begovic Tremmel
Baines Cuellar McCartney Gorkss Williamson
Bale Mata Fellaini Michu Maloney
RVP Tevez Ba
Anything to do?