[sbu_large_image] Scout Picks
27 September 2013 1880 comments
Paul Paul
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For Fantasy managers, the past few days have posed plenty of problems as injuries hit hard across the premium bracket. Christian Benteke and Theo Walcott have already been ruled out, while Sergio Aguero’s omission for City’s trip to Villa plays a part in this week’s Picks. Robin Van Persie may be back for United’s home clash with West Brom but David Moyes’ ”whether we use him or whether we don’t” statement has hardly filled us with confidence:

A home game against struggling Palace sees Artur Boruc get the nod between the sticks. Having registered a clean sheet against Liverpool last week, the Saints stopper has now conceded just twice in the first five Gameweeks and looks a superb budget option for tomorrow’s St Mary’s showdown.

Top scoring player in the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) game thus far, Leighton Baines welcomes Newcastle to Goodison on Monday evening. Everton have yet to concede in front of their own fans this season, suggesting the chances of a clean sheet are strong, while Baines’ pair of free-kicks against West Ham last week served a reminder of his attacking potential.

Nemanja Vidic gets the nod at the back as United prepare for the visit of West Brom. Rested for the midweek cup win over Liverpool, the Red Devils skipper will surely return to the starting XI against a Baggies side with just four goals to their name this season – Vidic’s aerial threat in the box could come to fruition, while his propensity for picking up bonus has already delivered a maximum haul in the home match against Chelsea in Gameweek 2.

With Christian Benteke stuck on the sidelines, Villa’s prospects of breaching the City backline have been somewhat diminished. We call upon Vincent Kompany, then, as Manuel Pellegrini’s side look to continue a run which has seen them concede just once in the last three Gameweeks. Down to 6.3 in FPL, the Belgian now offers a cheaper route into the City defence than 6.4 priced Pablo Zabaleta.

Marc Wilson is our fourth defender as Stoke prepare for the visit of Norwich. Shifted to a central midfield role under Mark Hughes, the 4.5 priced defender looks a strong budget option this weekend against a Canaries side that have yet to find the net in their two road trips so far.

We’re backing Michu to maintain his recent return to form as Swansea entertain Arsenal at the Liberty. The Swans’ home encounters with United and Liverpool have been open, high-scoring affairs and we reckon goals are on the agenda once again tomorrow – with strikes in each of his last three in all competition, the Spaniard is impossible to ignore.

Arsenal’s playmaker supreme Mesut Ozil is another player whose form makes him an obvious contender for this week’s Picks. With Theo Walcott injured and Aaron Ramsey a doubt, the German’s contribution will be crucial if the Gunners are to emerge from Wales with a result – four assists in two games attests to his instant impact on north London.

While the focus is on a certain Uruguayan for Liverpool’s trip to Sunderland, we’re opting for Victor Moses as a route into Brendan Rodgers’ side. The midweek Capital One Cup clash with United saw Liverpool line up in a 3-5-2 formation with Moses handed the role in “the hole” behind Luis Suarez and Daniel Sturridge – at just 6.3 in FPL, he’s already picked up double figures on his previous road trip for the Reds.

Rickie Lambert has struggled to find the net this term but we’re backing the Saints forward to deliver at home to Crystal Palace. The 7.5 priced forward has just one converted spot-kick to his name thus far but he could well be set to find form tomorrow – the Eagles have conceded twice in both away games so far and are without the influential Damien Delaney at the back for the St Mary’s match.

Goals in back-to-back league matches earn Wayne Rooney a spot in the Scout Picks once again. Rooney has been subject to a substantial bandwagon across the Fantasy games this week and seems to have rediscovered his hunger and self-belief under David Moyes after a poor last season – runaway leader of this week’s Captain Poll, he looks a big armband favourite for tomorrow’s home game with West Brom.

We were all set to roll out Sergio Aguero after his double in the Manchester derby but the Argentine’s omission from the City squad has slightly altered our plans. Instead, we give Alvaro Negredo his Scout Picks debut after a recent string of impressive displays – the Spaniard has quietly risen to fifth in the FPL forward standings and could be primed to pick up further returns against Paul Lambert’s unconvincing rearguard.

A home game against Cardiff sees Sascha Riether welcomed to the Picks squad this weekend. The Bluebirds have scored just once in the last three Gameweeks, suggesting a clean sheet for the Cottagers could be on the cards, while the right-back’s attacking intent harvested a goal and six assists in the season gone by.

Stoke’s Marko Arnautovic gets the nod as Norwich roll up to the Britannia. The Potters midfielder has provided an assist in each of the last two matches in all competitions and adds a real touch of class to Mark Hughes’ side – at 5.5 in FPL with an ownership under 1%, he’s a strong mid-price differential heading into tomorrow’s deadline.

Romelu Lukaku is also in our thoughts as Everton prepare to welcome Newcastle to Goodison. Emerging from the bench to grab the winner against West Ham last week, he looks poised for a first league start as the Toffees look to extend the last unbeaten record in the Premier League.

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  1. Agbonlahorse
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    ...........................Boruc..........Daniels.......................

    Wilson.....Dawson.......Baines......Mertsacker........BTurner

    Morrison........Michu.....Ozil.......Yaya...........Barkley

    ......Suarez........Rooney........Lukaku

    Good to go?

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    1. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Not.......bad......

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    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      ......looks.......good

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    3. Captain Robert Hatch
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      could be the one.

      may you never make a transfer again

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  2. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Can i get a RMWCT please

    Boruc • Myhill.....rotate great
    Evra • wilson • coleman • chico • burner.....allows me to play 3-4-3 or 4-3-3 based on fix
    Michu • Ozil • Erikson • brady • morrison...just concerned about morrison gametime
    Giroud • Sturridge • Rooney

    Decent team i think...really want suarez though
    A: leave as it is
    B:morrison + Ozil + sturridge >> miralas + ramsey + suarez

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    1. Champ
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Nice but try to use some money from fwds on Morrison. Would you risk Lukaku

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    2. La Vida Latte
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      A. Leave it!

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    3. Raddy
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Think i actually prefer B.

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  3. isacki: full casual
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Just looked at the 'home effect' on attacking and defensive performances for all teams.

    Calculated shots in box made/conceded per game for home games and away games, then took the difference.

    The correlations between shots in box made/conceded and goals scored/conceded are already pretty good after 5 games, btw, so this is a good predictor of goals.

    Hull, Stoke and Newcastle defenders are backed up there as good budget rotators. Norwich and Everton surprisingly leaky at home, see if that evens out over more games. Also a surprise to see Arsenal attack so much less at home, though of course with only 5 games gone fixtures are still a big influence.

    Team Extra shots conceded per home game (Lower rank ≡ more solid at home)
    EVE 6.33
    SWA 3.83
    NOR 2.17
    CAR 1.50
    TOT -0.67
    MCI -1.17
    ARS -1.33
    FUL -1.33
    LIV -1.67
    SOT -2.00
    AVL -2.17
    SUN -2.17
    CPL -2.50
    WHM -4.33
    CHE -4.50
    WBA -4.67
    MUN -5.17
    HUL -6.33
    STO -6.83
    NEW -7.00

    Team Extra shots made per home game (Higher rank ≡ More attacking at home)
    SOT 5.17
    MCI 4.33
    SWA 4.33
    NEW 4.17
    NOR 4.00
    FUL 3.33
    WBA 3.00
    SUN 2.83
    EVE 2.50
    LIV 2.33
    CHE 2.00
    MUN 2.00
    WHM 1.83
    HUL 1.50
    AVL 0.67
    TOT 0.67
    STO 0.17
    CAR -0.50
    CPL -1.67
    ARS -3.33

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    1. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Spurs look nice and consistent.

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      1. isacki: full casual
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah with -0.67 shots in box conceded and 0.67 shots in box made they're almost in the middle. You can see how strong the home effect is there because the median (10th and 11th teams) are way off 0 in both tables. ie. there is a strong tendency for teams to have more chances and concede less chances at home.

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    2. FridayNightFail
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Doesn't look good for Arsenal!

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      1. isacki: full casual
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 5 months ago

        Might well have been skewed by playing Spurs & Stoke as well as going down to 10 men against Villa at home, against playing Fulham and Sunderland away both of which were 3-1 wins over dodgy defences. More data needed as ever.

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  4. bdyo
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    quick question, i transfered in lambert as free transfer and confirmed it, Later changed my mind and replaced lambert with remy. if i transfer lambert back do i loose more points????

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    1. CarelessGenius©
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Think so.....ouch!

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    2. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      😆

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    3. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Hell yeah. -8!

      Good ide to make your mind up properly first dude!

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    4. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Joker.

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    5. La Vida Latte
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Yep, you will! Sorry!

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    6. Captain Robert Hatch
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      points and a hex on your team, good work

      may Lambert rock your world

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  5. teej
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Hows this front 8?

    Yaya, Oscar, Ozil, Eriksen (Colback)
    Roo, Lukaku, Bent

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    1. A.T
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Bent

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    2. Agbonlahorse
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      For me...

      Eriksen to Barkley

      Bent to Giroud/Sturridge

      If you have the funds!

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    3. Captain Robert Hatch
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      solid

      I'd like to see a wee bit more 'set piece' takers in there

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  6. ThatAsianGuy
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    I need a 5m defender any suggestions? and brady or arnautovic?

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    1. - DC -
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Davies?

      Brady. Arnautovic long term.

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    2. Poseidon. Not arrogant, jus…
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Riether.

      Arny.

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  7. HarryS
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Which to play from:

    Collins
    Turner
    Morrison

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    1. La Vida Latte
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Collins

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  8. Pinturicchio
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Only one scout pick. Primed to be my best week yet.

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  9. - DC -
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Giroud captain anyone.....anyone.....anyone?

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    1. Wirtzle Gummidge
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Still to score outside London am I right?

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      1. The Machine
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah, Sunderland play in London

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        1. Poseidon. Not arrogant, jus…
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 5 months ago

          As do all the teams he scored against while plying his trade in France.

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      2. Oflow
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 5 months ago

        So very wrong.

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    2. The Machine
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      60-40 b/w him and Baines, in his favour atm

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    3. FridayNightFail
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      No, Ozil.

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  10. TheBabyfacedAssassin
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Team all set? http://oi41.tinypic.com/2r5cazc.jpg

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    1. La Vida Latte
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Solid!

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  11. Lao Tzu
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Berbatov (c) 😎

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    1. TheBabyfacedAssassin
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      bookmark that?

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    2. get_in
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      You haven't the balls

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  12. ThorntonReed
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Should I take a hit to get Ozil in for Silva now before another rise, or leave it a week and hope Noble + 4 outscores him?

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    1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Hit and get in Ozil

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      1. ThorntonReed
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks - is that based more on the price rise or the chance of big returns this week?

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        1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 5 months ago

          Returns. Try not to get hung up on Prices too much. Ozil will stay with you all season

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    2. Carrick Doesn't Deserv…
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      leave it a week. tough game swansea

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      1. FridayNightFail
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 5 months ago

        Ozil will tear Swansea apart. You've heard it here first.

        Wishful thinking, yes. But after last GW I'm due a cracker of a game!

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    3. La Vida Latte
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      I think it is worth a hit!

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      1. ThorntonReed
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks everyone, I make that 3-1 in favour of a hit. I've taken a lot this season already but hey, one more can't hurt.

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  13. Dr Dream
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Post for the scouts or members who make their own tables...I've tried a couple of times, on and off, to make my own implosion imminent table (inspired by ITMT's explosion imminent table)...Using stats such as duels lost...errors..chances conceded...all that stuff..but i can't get it to mean anything because it's always skewed by figures for full backs who get forward...What i really need to do is make a table that only looks at figures in the first third of the pitch...any ideas how i can do it ?...or does somebody have a ready made one ?

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    1. Dr Dream
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      * by team not players...

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  14. Fischermens Friend
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Any predictions for who will get a rise tonight?

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    1. Del Monte
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      ozil, yaya, shelvey, giroud

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  15. Access
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Who is the best midfielder to replace Walcot. My current MD michu,ben arfa,moses,barkley

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    1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Can you afford Ozil?

      If not, what about Eriksen, or Oscar?

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    2. MJ6987
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Ozil. If not, Paulinho and bank the cash.

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    3. Access
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      I cant afford ozil

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  16. rozzo
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Ok, hows this??

    mignolet , davis
    coleman , zabaleta , ivanovic (b turner , faye)
    ozil , michu , ramsey , barkley (ravel)
    giroud , rooney , sturridge

    Barkley or brady is the burning question??

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    1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Good team Roz. Should get some big points

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      1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 5 months ago

        Oh, I'd go with Brady

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        1. FridayNightFail
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 5 months ago

          Isn't he a doubt for this GW?

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    2. CarelessGenius©
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      A few (c) options there too....
      Barkley for me.

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  17. Mojo Rojo
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    GW7 FT proposal:
    A) JWP > Barkley (Whittingham 5th mid)
    or
    B) Whittingham > Arnautović (JWP 5th mid)

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    1. Ray In Bruges.
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      You'll see this week!

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  18. stumanchuu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    so I keep picking the wrong one to play between Brouc and Mingolet

    I'm playing Boruc this week as he is at home and I also have K Toure

    Sound reasonable?

    thanks

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    1. Pepin - RIP Absinthe
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      I'd play Boruc this week too but generally not an ideal rotation to have...

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    2. joinho
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Same here I'm going with Mingolet

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    3. The Machine
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Since you keep picking the wrong one, and you're planning on playing Boruc, Play Mignolet

      So simple

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      1. stumanchuu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 5 months ago

        Ha perfect...thanks

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  19. Pepin - RIP Absinthe
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Brace yourselves...the only and only time Luis Suarez will be on the 'Spot the Differentials' article all season.

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    1. MJ6987
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Maybe RVP as well!

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      1. Pepin - RIP Absinthe
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 5 months ago

        At a cool 38% ownership, I don't think he counts 😀

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    2. get_in
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Hah, yeah, his price will go completely apeshit if he scores

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      1. Captain Robert Hatch
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 5 months ago

        i've got funds locked and loaded to nab him

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        1. get_in
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 5 months ago

          Likewise

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  20. weaver93
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Last min check.

    GK Boruc (Lewis)

    Def -Vidic,Nastasic,Fonte, (Rosenior .Faye)

    Mid - Ozil, Michu, Paulinho, Ramsey (Morrison)

    Att Rooney(C),Suarez, Giroud.

    Good to go???

    Cheers

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  21. Kieranduru
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    I transfer in Boruc for Jaskelainen? I already have Wilson for Stoke cover

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    1. TheBabyfacedAssassin
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      what?

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    2. La Vida Latte
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Did you mean Begovic?

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  22. ccc
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Moses or Ramsey?

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    1. MJ6987
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Moses

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    2. nadman89
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      jesus

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      1. Christina.
        • 16 Years
        12 years, 5 months ago

        Angel

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    3. Kevin Twine
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Moses.

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    4. ccc
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      cheers. i agree

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    5. La Vida Latte
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Wasn´t Aaron Moses brother?

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  23. CHANCING PUNT
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Oscar or Eriksen?

    Eriksen more of an unknown quantity, but with better fixtures.

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    1. ccc
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      eriksen imo

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  24. John Nerdelbaum
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Last two spots on WC.

    Boruc K.Davis
    Baines Vidic ___ Clyne B.Turner
    Ozil Michu ___ Barkley Ravel
    Suarez Giroud Rooney

    A) Conservative - Ramsey + Williams
    B) Solid - Moses + Wilson + 0.2
    C) Punty - Arnau + Nasty

    Leaning towards B. Not sure about Arnau as a 3rd mid option atm.

    Any thoughts much appreciated 🙂

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    1. Ray In Bruges.
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      C!

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    2. ccc
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      I'd suggest getting some sort of Liverpool defense. I prefer B. Moses plays a more attacking role.

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    3. John Nerdelbaum
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Thanks guys. One for C and one for B. Deciding vote anyone?

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  25. ccc
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    A. Sturridge & Baines
    B. Suarez & Coleman

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    1. Kevin Twine
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      A.

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    2. La Vida Latte
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      A

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    3. G11gsy
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      B

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  26. Shane Ferguson 4.0
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    I will share some interesting link with you and I just need a simple answer. Who to bench?

    Brady(WHU), Ben Arfa(eve) or Ericsen(CHE)?

    Thanks a lot and here is a interesting link for you...

    http://www.boredpanda.com/fun-maps-they-didnt-teach-you-in-school/

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    1. nadman89
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      ben arfa

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  27. Dynamic
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Would you do RVP -> Rooney for -4?

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    1. r0nh
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      😆

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    2. Mojo Rojo
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Not for a hit mate. Stick with RVP this week

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    3. FridayNightFail
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Isn't RvP playing this week?

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  28. nadman89
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    Bold Predictions of the WEEK : Rvp starts and scores , rooney plays 22 minutes in the second half

    Suarez will get a yellow card and his teeth will be caught offside twice , sunderland shutout liverpool

    michu scores against arsenal

    highest scoring player of the week SOLDADO

    AM I CRAZY?

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    1. The one who has a knock
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Only slightly

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  29. King Kohli
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    WC team. Any criticisms?

    Mignolet / Lewis
    Dawson / Ferdinand / Baines / Turner / Clyne
    Whittingham / Michu / Özil / Brady / Barkley
    Rooney / Giroud / Suárez

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  30. AK ⭐
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 5 months ago

    So RVP will be involved 'somewhere'. Don't know what I'd make of that. Who all are losing him for a hit then?

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    1. Access
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 5 months ago

      Are u going to start him. Having the same dilemma

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