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Top 5 Career Hall of Fame – Gameweek 29 Review

Gameweek 29 was an excellent set of fixtures for the top five managers in the career Hall of Fame, especially the  four who captained Everton’s in-form Belgian Romelu Lukaku.

Ville Ronka and Peter Kouwenberg achieved season-high FPL ranks for the fourth Gameweek in a row as their fine run of form continues. They both have nine green arrows in the past ten Gameweeks.

Ville broke into the top 10,000 for the first time this season, a considerable reversal of fortune given that the career HoF number one was outside the top 100K as recently as Gameweek 20.

Peter’s surge up the rankings means he is now only 11 points off the top 1,000 with an overall rank of 1,611. After finishes of 289 and 129 in the past two seasons, a hat-trick of three digit finishes would be a magnificent feat. Something not even the great Ville has achieved.

Steve Poulsom attained his best rank since Gameweek 5, as he edges ever closer to the top 100K. Languishing as low as 845,911 in Gameweek 17, entry into the top 100,000 would represent an impressive turnaround. Following overall ranks of 121 and 49 in the past two seasons, this year has undoubtedly been a huge disappointment. Yet with a total squad value of £106 and £7.3 in the bank, a respectable five digit rank is the very least this consummate FPL manager will be aiming for.

This article focuses on the moves and strategies employed by the five elite managers who grace the upper echelons of this site’s Career Hall of Fame. Members can see the latest top five via our Live Hall of Fame update.

To help out I have also deployed Fusen’s FPL Statistico tool to gain an extra insight into their thinking.

Before we look at their teams in more detail, here’s why they are the best FPL managers:

Lowest rank in the last three seasons for any of the top five4,324
Highest rank in the last three seasons for any of the top five49

POINTS & RANK

ManagerVilleMarlenPeterSteveDavid
GW29 points7365887788
In the bank£5.1£1.4£3.3£7.3£0.7

 

Name & HoF rankFPL IDPoint after GW29FPL rank GW29Best FPL rank 16/17*Worst FPL rank 16/17*
Ville #1303271,6668,6378,637 (GW29)135,324 (GW19)
Marlen #2600811,58680,72613,561 (GW20)101,648 (GW27)
Peter #367461,7131,6111,611 (GW29)243,702 (GW07)
Steve #439111,565128,139128,139 (GW29)845,911 (GW17)
David #5457551,65014,5645,615 (GW21)73,858 (GW09)

*from GW6 onwards

Only one of this quintet qualified for the cup (David #5), he went out in GW19.

They all still have their wildcards, all apart from David Meechan have played their Triple Captain chip, and three have also played their AOA chip.

With a joint highest Gameweek score of 88, David  is now only 12 points off the top 10,000. It has been a remarkably consistent season, his lowest rank since Gameweek 6 is only 73,858. Should he finish inside the top 10,000 it would be the seventh time he has done so in seven seasons. Only Ville has more consecutive top 10,000 finishes.

CAPTAIN

Screen Shot 2017-03-23 at 12.10.07

Marlen Rattiner was the only manager not to captain Lukaku. This no doubt seemed like a good decision with a quarter of an hour to go in Everton’s match against Hull. Yet Everton’s talisman has turned a corner this season and has well and truly cast off his Trollkaku moniker.

So it ended up being a good week but not a great week for Marlen. The number two in the career HoF must have been pulling his hair out as both his City players, Sergio Aguero and Raheem Sterling, missed very presentable chances in their pulsating encounter with Liverpool. He was also left to rue the injury to his captain Alexis Sanchez. The Chilean may well have gone on to inflict more damage on the Baggies had he stayed at 100%.

Over the season Sanchez has been picked as captain 31% of the time, averaging 15pts when chosen. Aguero follows in popularity having been handed the armband 27% of the time, averaging 15.9pts as captain or triple captain, with Lukaku chosen 12% of the time averaging a mighty 21.8pts.

CAPTAIN POINTS

ManagerVilleMarlenPeterSteveDavidAve. (c) pointsAs % of score
GW (c) Points32183232322937
Total (c) Points42940346536339241025

One reason Peter is currently the best performing manager out of the Top Five is his ability to pick the right captain. Peter also leads the way in immediate transfer success however the difference is less pronounced (see below).

While you need to own the right players in order to captain them, if one metric alone determins Fantasy success it would be this one. Make sure you read YMA’s Form and Fixtures analysis together with the Captain Sensible articles.

TRANSFERS – Gameweek 29

ManagerVilleMarlenPeterSteveDavid
Players InCostaCostaKing
Players OutKaneBarnesStanislas

A calm week in transfer market compared to the previous two. Chelsea’s Diego Costa came into both Ville’s and Peter’s teams, while David swapped Cherries with Josh King ousting Junior Stanislas in his side. A move he must wish he’d made a week earlier as in Gameweek 28 the Norwegian midfielder racked up an 18 point haul.

Although Chelsea’s combative frontman disappointed against Stoke, both his new suitors will be hoping he gets the better of an improved Crystal Palace defence when they travel to Stamford Bridge in Gameweek 30. A consistent rather than explosive option, he must be considered the most reliable attacker the Blues have as they march towards the title.

Only Marlen owns Sanchez and it was notable that the other four managers decided an appealing fixture against West Brom wasn’t worth transferring him in for. The uncertainty surrounding Arsenal clearly affecting their decision to invest in such a premium asset. A fixture against Manchester City following a trip to South America perhaps contributing to their decision to overlook the Chilean.

TRANSFER SUCCESS

ManagerVilleMarlenPeterSteveDavidAverage
GW29 Transfers101011
GW29 Points Hits000000
GW29 Immediate Points Gained from Transfers10-1082
Minus Points Hits10-1082

Torn between saving his transfer and splashing out Costa, Peter would have earned an extra point had he held back. Ashley Barnes’s two points narrowly bettering the Blues striker’s solitary point.

As ever Peter was kind enough to share his transfer plans ahead of the deadline. If you’d followed his advice since I started tracking this elite quintet you’d be in pretty good shape. Even taking hits into account, Peter has mustered more immediate transfer points than any of his fellow bosses at the HoF’s top table.

NameVilleMarlenPeterSteveDavidAverage
Total Transfers293647424039
Total Points Hits84080645249
Total Immediate Points Gained from Transfers165201288247219224
Minus Points Hits157161208183167175
Total Benched Points267131214221153197
£ Value (GW29)104.5103.7108.1106.0104.6105.4

The contrasting way the game can be played is highlighted in the table above. Perhaps surprisingly the number of transfers made does not appear to be a significant factor in determining success. Peter and Ville are currently the best performing managers overall and yet Peter has taken 80 points in hits compared to Ville’s paltry 8 points.

FORMATION

Three teams3-4-3 formation
Two teams3-5-2 formation

This week saw three teams going with the standard 3-4-3 formation. Over the course of the season 3-4-3 has been favoured 59% of the time by the career HoF Top Five, with 3-5-2 second with 21%. 4-4-2 is the third most popular on 10%.

The only player to truly buck this trend is David, who has favoured 3-5-2. David has averaged 62 points on the 14 occasions he’s used this formation. When comparing average points for each manager’s favoured formation, David comes out on top.

MangerVilleMarlenPeterSteveDavid
Favoured Formation3-4-33-4-33-4-33-4-33-5-2
Times chosen2324171314
Average pts.5856.460.451.762

David’s decision to deviate from the standard 3-4-3 and have such a consistently good season, reflects how well “false nine” and attacking midfielders have done. Especially early on when forwards such as Zlatan Ibrahimovic and Harry Kane took a while to get going.

It remains to be seen if it will continue to be such a profitable formation as we head into the final gameweeks. With injuries and suspensions to key assets in both areas raising more questions than answers. Sanchez, Hazard, Ibrahimovic, Kane, Gabbiadini too perhaps – who will we have to find room for in our starting eleven?

PLAYERS – GW29

Players in 5 teamsLukaku, Mané
Players in 4 teamsAlonso
Players in 3 teamsLlorente, Eriksen, Sigurdsson, King, Coleman, Brunt, McAuley, Foster, Heaton, Pickford
Attacking players under 6mKing x3, Snodgrass x2, Barnes, Anichebe, Fletcher

Josh King is now the popular option in the sub 6.0 category. Robert Snodgrass remains in Ville and Marlen’s teams; they purchased him back in Gameweek 25 when it appeared he was about to assume the role of West Ham’s talisman from the departed Dimitry Payet. It hasn’t worked out that way for him so far and it will be interesting to see how long he remains in their teams.

TEMPLATE – GW29

Goalkeepers – Foster / Heaton / Pickford

Defenders – Alonso, Coleman, Brunt, McAuley, (Chambers)

Midfielders – Mané, Eriksen, Sigurdsson, King, (Coutinho/Snodgrass)

Forwards – Lukaku, Llorente, (Aguero/Costa)

The Double Gameweek will surely alter the template over the coming weeks, and the question of when to wildcard will also be on the minds our elite quintet. However with two managers saving a transfer last week it is unlikely to happen over the international break.

An upcoming Gameweek 34 blank for popular West Brom pair Chris Brunt and Gareth McAuley, puts their place in the template under threat. Their cause not helped by a tricky set of fixtures.

Manchester United’s Antonio Valencia, already in Peter’s team, would appear an attractive replacement with appealing fixtures and a double gameweek ahead.

For now the form of Romelu Lukaku should keep him in the template. Though expectations won’t be too high with away matches at Anfield and Old Trafford in the next two.

With decent fixtures despite not having a Double Gameweek 34, Tottenham’s Christian Eriksen seems certain to hold onto a midfield slot, perhaps until the end of the season.

Leicester’s assets must also be knocking on the door; Messrs Vardy and Mahrez emerging as potential captain choices for Gameweek 30.

I hope these articles are useful in helping you make decisions. One thing I’ve noticed is how quickly fortunes can change for better or worse. With nine Gameweeks to go, including a possible three Double Gameweeks, Bench Boost and Wildcards to play, there’s every chance this quintet will finish the season very strongly.

TopMarx Fan of Fantasy Football and Monty Python. "Archimedes out to Socrates, Socrates back to Archimedes, Archimedes out to Heraclitus, he beats Hegel. Heraclitus a little flick, here he comes on the far post, Socrates is there, Socrates heads it in! Socrates has scored! The Greeks are going mad, the Greeks are going mad! Socrates scores, got a beautiful cross from Archimedes. The Germans are disputing it. Hegel is arguing that the reality is merely an a priori adjunct of non-naturalistic ethics, Kant via the categorical imperative is holding that ontologically it exists only in the imagination, and Marx is claiming it was offside. Follow them on Twitter

35 Comments Post a Comment
  1. J0E
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Thanks for this...fascinating to see how different many of the new live HoF top ten are to these stalwarts.

    1. Costa's Counsellor
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Will there be an article comparing the two articles that compare the two sets of HoF players?

      1. J0E
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Maybe something to consider.

        While there are some overlap with Ville, Peter and David there are key differences.

        One are those that have a good track record but are excelling this season.

        The other group have in the main struggled at times this season....but this presents an added interest as TopMarx tracks how they attempt to turn it around.

        1. TopMarx
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 1 month ago

          Thank you again for your work editing the article, and for the two Live HoF articles, really good reads, thank you.

          Things change so quickly, look at Marlen who was doing ok in GW20 with a rank of 13,561 at a time when Ville was outside the top 100K. In the 9 Gameweeks since positions have reversed. Marlen has been unlucky, he seems to place his faith in premium assets such as Sanchez and Aguero, who simply haven't delivered. He had a couple of awful gameweeks in 23 & 24, with ranks over 3 million in both. Lukaku came into his team after that. He had King at the start of his good run which has helped, but it's the captain decisions that have let him down. Overlooking Lukaku for Mané in GW28 and for Sanchez in GW29. Not bad captain choices but he was going against the captain poll and as YMA's recent article has highlighted the captain poll has improved as the season has progressed. Was he thinking - I need to make gains against the crowd, I'll pick less popular choices?

          I imagine he will keep faith with Sanchez and Aguero, who knows in three or four weeks he might be back in the top 10,000 (perfectly possible) after they both explode. 6-5 the scoreline this weekend anyone?

          Steve really has struggled this season compared to his last two, which were both phenomenal. He commented in the GW24 review article (username Diggers) that he had captained Alli that week as a bit of a punt. To be honest he was unlucky, only Peter captained Lukaku that week for his four goals against the Cherries. Nonetheless it perhaps gives an insight that he is trying more leftfield options to get back to the top. I certainly think he will climb the OR before the end of the season.

          He's been very stubborn with Firmino who hasn't repaid his faith often enough. But Liverpool have a good run of fixtures and if Firmino can reproduce his early season form as false nine Steve will do well.

          So Steve has Firmino and Marlen has Aguero and Sanchez, not bad differentials to have! As I've been saying captain points are huge - it's a risk to go against the flow, but if it pays off you could be rewarded handsomely. Or is it enough simply to have a couple of differentials in your team?

          As we enter the final gameweeks it will be fascinating to see the approach these guys take.

  2. ScotDougie
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Wow what detail and great reading thanks

    1. TopMarx
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      you're welcome, hope it is useful

  3. My Pretty Pony
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Cheers as always, TM. Ears were burning, although there was a hefty article about the HoF yesterday, so didn't know this would be coming too. Good read as usual.

    I guess for 3 of us the priority may well be Coleman out, poor chap. Oddly enough, although I'm supposedly in better shape than several for DGW34 (with Chambers - if fit - and Valencia - if not rotated) I'm not sold by the options at all and am definitely not going to be planning my transfers around it.

    At the moment, I'd like to make no transfers this week. Coleman to Walker/ Rose would seem the best option, but going to a Saints defender or Holegate frees up more money for the attacking transfers I want to do, so I may have to grin and bear all the Spurs' clean sheets.

    That's off the top of my head, but cheers for the info as always.

    1. AK ⭐
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Really like your playing style a lot, MPP. Way more aggressive than the likes of Ronka.

      Have you always been an aggressive manager, or is it something you've added to your game this season?

      1. My Pretty Pony
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers, AK. I'd love to say that I've always been a fearless gunslinger (FPL points wise!), or even that this was a cunning tweak which I made this season after exhaustive research and tactical analysis. However...

        In general, I think hits are a sign that your first instinct was wrong, or that you lack patience, or simply that you've been unlucky with injuries and bans etc. Certainly, that was the case with most of my hits early in the season and, to an extent, the more recent ones (e.g. scared by Man City's double). I do think this is a season where hits have paid off more, though, so I've got away with it to a greater extent than I would have done in other seasons.

        Pretty boring answer. More John Smith than John Wayne, but that's honestly where I am this season.

        1. AK ⭐
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 1 month ago

          It's working well for you, so you're doing eveything right. 😉

          Your captaincy score really has been amazing. Are you going in with Costa (c) this week? Is it safe to say that you brought him in with an eye on that fixture this week? Aren't many inspiring captaincy choices this week.

          1. My Pretty Pony
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 1 month ago

            It's absolutely right that I bought Costa in with an eye on this week, so I'm burying my head in the sand as far as Big Sam's, sorry Crystal Palace's new found defensive solidity. Currently (C)osta with (VC)arroll but I'm always prone to the odd last minute switch.

            1. AK ⭐
              • 11 Years
              7 years, 1 month ago

              Thanks for the insight, MPP. We are going to be on opposing sides with Costa, I won't be having him this week.

              Good luck for the season! Would be nice to have a poster as HOF #1

              1. My Pretty Pony
                • 10 Years
                7 years, 1 month ago

                Cheers, AK, don't see that happening but fun to try.

                Who are you skippering?

                1. AK ⭐
                  • 11 Years
                  7 years, 1 month ago

                  I don't have Costa or Vardy, so it's all up in the air at the moment.

                  I am thinking of Sanchez currently if I do decide to go without either of the above strikers. Although Mane and Siggy are at home too. Alexis has just been a bit more consistent for the armband, although he hasn't done too well in the big games, except for that Chelsea game at home early in the season.

            2. Philman
              • 14 Years
              7 years, 1 month ago

              Bagging a 3rd Top 1k in a row would be something else mate. Very impressive, especially given the different types of season we have had. Good luck to you on that one, I am sure we are all rooting for you.

              I too got Costa in for GW29, with an eye on GW30, but more due to his consistency and lack of options, as I had to sell Kane.

              I am going maverick in capping Alonso instead though - I think he is the player with the highest points potential, and Palace aren't scoring goals - queue Alonso 1 pointer 🙂

              1. AK ⭐
                • 11 Years
                7 years, 1 month ago

                Wow, that's some shout and I do agree with you, he could be gold this week. I am just a bit wary of Palace away from home, they have been performing better away than home and are an in form team, could nick a goal.

                But then again, its a favourable fixture and if you have the cohones to go with him, I would support you!

                1. Philman
                  • 14 Years
                  7 years, 1 month ago

                  I have gone frequently with the Poll leader this year, mostly as I have agreed with it. I have successfully capped the likes of Ashley Cole, Baines and Zabaleta in the past, so I do like the odd Defender captain punt.

                  1. My Pretty Pony
                    • 10 Years
                    7 years, 1 month ago

                    Interesting thoughts, gents. Yeah, no stand out captain this week, but sod's law one of the 'obvious' choices (Costa, Aguero, Lukaku) bags a hat full. I have been considering a left field call like Alonso or Valencia but doubt I'll do it 🙂

                    1. AK ⭐
                      • 11 Years
                      7 years, 1 month ago

                      If I had Costa, I'd be all over him for the captaincy. Same with Vardy.

                    2. TopMarx
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • Has Moderation Rights
                      • 11 Years
                      7 years, 1 month ago

                      Yes tricky captain choice this week, I would have thought Siggy might be getting more of a look in. A fairly must win fixture against Middlesborough. Is he doing it for any of you?

                      MPP, interesting that with your SV you are thinking of getting a cheap defender to free up money for attacking transfers, you'll have a Galactico line-up! Going for a strong front 8?

                      My dilemmas this week, I have 1FT:

                      1) Coleman > Valencia or Bertrand or do nothing (hope Olsson plays)
                      2) Coutinho > Sanchez
                      3) Rondon > Vardy
                      4) save FT

                      Foster / Pickford
                      Alonso / Baines / Coleman / Olsson / 3.9
                      Mané / Coutinho / Siggy / Eriksen / King
                      Lukaku / Llorente / Rondon

                      Don't ask why Rondon is still in my team! He's my first sub 😉 Vardy feels like a good captain choice this week, though I'm worried he could be over-performing. Also I could save the slot for Ibra, Kane, or Gabbiadini... but Vardy feels like an exciting option for the next two.

                      Sanchez if he comes back from South America in good shape must be in my team surely for the run-in, and offers a good captain choice each week.

                      Valencia has to be a good option despite the risk of rotation, got to be the most obvious option to replace Coleman. Bertrand appeals too as does a cheaper Saint.

                      Sorry for all the questions, not such a predictable set of fixtures this week. Thank you.

                      1. My Pretty Pony
                        • 10 Years
                        7 years, 1 month ago

                        Great stuff, gents.

                        TM, my choice of Costa over Vardy last week was another classic case of going the wrong way on a 50-50% (actually, I think a third name was also involved) in the short term at least, as it cost me points and also a slightly lower Team Value. A cheap defender will indeed enable a stellar midfield, whilst allowing me to retain Costa for Bournemouth away in a few weeks. Could all change, of course!

                        From your options, I would go for 1 or 3, although as usual Sanchez could go mad – that said Coutinho hosts Bournemouth next week. My reasoning is also that you are presumably already one defender down (£3.9m?) and Coleman’s injury leaves you more exposed – I guess I am too with Chambers currently out! Personally, I’m taking the risk of Valencia’s rotation on the chin as I think the benefits outweigh that reality. I had Rondon for a bit – my word that didn’t work out! I guess as he’s your first sub it’s not really an issue, but that would be another one for the chop for me.

                        Again, though, we’re all in the same boat making predictions and captain hindsight remains the only person who can guarantee a good call. Not much help I know!

                      2. TopMarx
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • Has Moderation Rights
                        • 11 Years
                        7 years, 1 month ago

                        Very helpful, thank you. Coleman and Rondon are certainly the ones that need fixing, and as you point out Liverpool's fixtures are a reason for keeping Coutinho for now.

                        I have a non-playing 5th defender, I haven't really needed my 5th defender so far and having a 3.9 def frees up more cash. But, yes, I am more exposed to injuries to my other four defenders, feeling pretty exposed right now!

                        Good luck with your benching decisions with a strong front 8, though no doubt a nice problem to have 🙂

                        If you know Captain Hindsight have a word and see if he fancies posting, it would be much appreciated. Ta.

                      3. AK ⭐
                        • 11 Years
                        7 years, 1 month ago

                        I am tempted by Vardy too and find myself in the same boat of dilemmas.

                        Personally, I havev a 3-5-2 setup at the moment with Lukaku and Llorente. Llorente to Vardy is possible for me too, but I am thinking about Ibra and Gabiaddini more atm and Vardy, as good as a punt he is, will be a very short term move which I probably can't allow myself given I don't have the second WC remaining.

                        I would be more flexible if I had the WC, and probably would have got him in. Next 2 and then an away trip to Palace don't look too bad for Vardy in the next 4.

                      4. TopMarx
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • Has Moderation Rights
                        • 11 Years
                        7 years, 29 days ago

                        Vardy is getting more tempting with the next three fixtures looking appealing now that poor Everton have lost another defender. I actually think Palace in four gameweeks will be the hardest fixture of the next four. Although Vardy is expensive at least that means it's not too much of a push to upgrade him to Ibra for the DGW.

                        Looking at my team I'm also a little concerned about Josh Kings fixtures after Southampton this week - Liverpool (A), Chelsea (H), Spurs (A). Possibly Liverpool away he could get something, their first match this season was such a goal fest I wouldn't bet against this one being the same. However he's certainly benched for the two after that, and he doesn't have a DGW to look forward to. Although he has MID in GW34 and from then on it's a decent run, so he might be worth keeping until the end of the season regardless. I could, however, if I don't get Vardy do King to Sanchez the following week, which is tempting.

                        I also have two Swansea players for next week when they host Spurs, so I will bench one of them. I definitely want Sanchez in for GW31. I'd rather not sell a Liverpool mid but I would have to sell Mane if I get Vardy and Valencia...

                        Plus getting Vardy means I will likely bench Coutinho this week, I feel slightly uncomfortable doing that. I could also get a cheaper defender to replace Coleman to give me more options when it comes to upgrading attackers. Valencia seems to have too many pluses though. Still plenty to ponder before the deadline 🙂

                      5. AK ⭐
                        • 11 Years
                        7 years, 29 days ago

                        This is the thing about this week, there are no clear choices, apart from Valencia maybe. The lack of captaincy options this week is annoying.

                        Gotta think rationally and make a decision which would be good for the team in the long term too.

                        Good luck TM! 🙂

    2. Geoff
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Ah, weird to read this article with my name in it now.

      Coleman has to go for me. I can't decide between Valencia Walker and doing something different to finally get Alonso in.

      I'm not totally sold on Alonso's fixtures but as the other 9 in the top 10 have him I probably just need to dive in.

      I'm not sold on Southampton either. Maybe a midfield punt instead of defence?

      1. AK ⭐
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        It's raining HOFers here! 😀

        1. Geoff
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 1 month ago

          😀

      2. TopMarx
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Congrats on your impressive rank!

        Your midfield looks in pretty good nick to me, apart from your sub, though I'm not sure which defender I would go for... I'm amazed you've done so well without Alonso! Will he continue to do well? I hope so because he's in my team, but Benteke could finally take one of his chances this weekend, Palace are improving...

        Look forward to hearing what you do, at this stage I'm likely to get Valencia, especially if there is any indication he won't be rotated. Definitely a tricky choice.

  4. AK ⭐
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Also, thanks for the article, TopMarx!

    I am sure witht he detailed analysis that you do, you must have learned a thing or two yourself. Sharing is caring! 😉

    1. TopMarx
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      I hope so, trying to get into the top 10,000 for the first time this season, currently at 28K.

      I've learnt that the top managers are also human, there's been the odd rage transfer this season! but in general they are very good at picking players and captains.

      At the end of the season I want to look more into Loss Aversion, an idea in Economics that people hate a loss and will hold onto underperforming stock for longer because they don't want to admit a mistake. In FPL managers can hold onto underperforming players for ages. For instance Firmino and Aguero, both show great promise but haven't delivered value for their managers. Also earlier in the season Ville had Benteke for far too long, perhaps he didn't want to take a hit on him and perhaps he thought Tekkers could turn it around. I think it is hard knowing when an underperforming player will start to perform. MPP/Peter has done much better in this regard, especially in the second half of the season. Here's an article on the subject http://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/09/your-money/overcoming-an-aversion-to-loss.html I will see if it can be related to FPL - there might be something in it, there might not be!

      1. AK ⭐
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        That's interesting cause I was reading about the Gambler's Fallacy just a few days back and realized that I had been a victim of the theory when it comes to FPL. My persistence in Firmino when Coutinho was out is something that fits into both the theories.

        Good luck for the season, I'd definitely be upbeat about my chances of finishing in the top 10k if I had 2 more chips left and if I had your rank.

        1. TopMarx
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 29 days ago

          Good luck to you too! I think the psychology side to FPL is fascinating. I enjoyed this community article last year from Ludo http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2016/05/26/the-psychology-of-fantasy-football/ he didn't touch on Loss Aversion but covered most biases.

  5. Philman
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    I love these articles - a great read. Thanks for putting in the time and effort on this TM. I think it is appreciated by many.

    1. TopMarx
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      You're welcome, I enjoy it, and congrats on your top 10 entry in the Live HoF!

      Alonso captain? you are a brave man! You have me thinking...