Each week we are reviewing the aggregated predictions on Superbru’s Premier League Predictor game, using the collective Wisdom of the Crowd predictions to guide our fantasy football thinking.
Please join the FFS league here and add your own predictions to the data – the more there are, the more accurate the crowd should be (in theory).
Gameweek 10 Review
A defeat for Watford was the biggest upset of Gameweek 10, showing how far their stock has risen, and disappointing for those who put their faith in Richarlison at Vicarage Road.
Wins for Liverpool, Chelsea, Manchester City and Arsenal were widely expected, even if the manner of their victories was somewhat surprising, with the Sky Blues winning 3-2 and Liverpool prevailing in spite of a penalty miss from Reds winger Mohamed Salah.
Here are the Gameweek 10 results in descending order of predictability:
Well done to Adam Bonynge from Australia for winning the Yellow Cap in the FFS pool, correctly predicting every match except that Watford defeat. Mr Crowd Wisdom – using the aggregated predictions of the crowd – had a reasonable week, dropping 5 places but remaining inside the top 50 out of over 400 players in the pool.
After nine rounds, the Crowd Wisdom user is in the top 8% of all players in the UK and the top 12% of over 63,000 players around the world
The aggregated predictions of the community are making better predictions than most individual players in the game, suggesting that there is credibility in the Wisdom of the Crowd concept.
Gameweek 11 Preview
Here is the Expected Goals chart for each fixture in GW11:
And here is the ranking of teams in order of Expected Goals Scored and Conceded:
For the first time in a while, Manchester City are not top of the Predicted Goals chart, by virtue of their tougher fixture against Arsenal.
Instead, Tottenham lead the way as they host Crystal Palace. If they can put three goals past Real Madrid, surely they can do the same against Palace?
Spurs talisman Harry Kane is fit again and looks a great captaincy option, while both Dele Alli and Christian Eriksen were on the scoresheet in midweek, and look set to profit this weekend.
Overall, it looks set to be a slightly lower-scoring weekend, with four of the top five teams playing each other. Perhaps defence is where we should concentrate.
In particular the crowd clearly feel that Jose Mourinho’s ‘bus parking’ tactics will be utilised for Manchester United’s visit to Chelsea. They predict a low scoring encounter at Stamford Bridge.
Spurs look good for defensive returns, with a clean sheet predicted at Wembley, while Newcastle, Huddersfield, Southampton and Liverpool are also predicted to keep things pretty tight at the back.
Here are the aggregated predictions that we’ll enter into the game for Mr Crowd Wisdom in the FFS pool.
Is there anything else that catches your eye in these crowd predictions?
Don’t forget to join the FFS league on Superbru and make your predictions each week so that they are included in these data – the more knowledgeable people there are, the more accurate they should be in theory.
Good luck!
6 years, 6 months agoLooking good for Spurs attackers...and possibly for those with Jones.