Wisdom of the Crowd – Gameweek 27

Each week we are reviewing the aggregated predictions on Superbru’s Premier League Predictor game, using the collective Wisdom of the Crowd predictions to guide our fantasy football thinking.

Please join the FFS league here and add your own predictions to the data – the more there are, the more accurate the crowd should be (in theory).

And don’t forget there is £20,000 on offer every week if you get a full house of predictions.

GAMEWEEK 26 REVIEW

The wheels seem to be coming off at Chelsea, as a 4-1 defeat at Watford would attest, whilst Manchester City also faltered with a 1-1 draw at Burnley – these two results were predicted by just 4% and 5% respectively.

Here are the Gameweek 26 results in descending order of predictability:

Well done to The Capello Index from the UK for winning the Yellow Cap in Round 25, with three exact score picks, including the Burnley and Manchester City draw.

It was another strong week for Mr Crowd Wisdom – using the aggregated predictions of the crowd – who climbed another 12 places up to 22nd in the FFS pool, out of 460 people.

The aggregated predictions of the community are making better predictions than most individual players in the game, suggesting that there is credibility in the Wisdom of the Crowd concept.

The crowd’s average picks have now taken the Crowd Wisdom user into the top 4% on the global leaderboard.

GAMEWEEK 27 PREVIEW

Here is the Expected Goals chart for each fixture in Gameweek 27:

And here is the ranking of teams in order of Expected Goals Scored and Conceded:

The crowd is clearly starting to lose faith in Chelsea – despite their kind-looking home fixture with West Brom, they are only ranked fourth on the predicted goals table.

Manchester City are at the top again, with Liverpool and Man United tucked in just behind them.  Those disappointed by Sky Blues striker Sergio Aguero in Round 26 might like to give him a second chance this week, whilst Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah is also likely to be a strong option.

The North London Derby at Wembley looks to be full of goals, according to the crowd. They are predicting that Tottenham and Arsenal will both find the net, with the home side the likelier victor.

In defence, Chelsea is predicted to keep a clean sheet, with Bournemouth, Everton, Stoke and Swansea looking like the pick of the budget options.

Is there anything that catches your eye in these predictions?

Good luck!