[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
4 March 2011 1134 comments
Big Dunc Big Dunc
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After last week’s missing games for Arsenal, Spurs and Birmingham, most Fantasy Managers will have been looking forward to finally having a full squad to pick from this week. Alas, with so many injuries recently, it looks like our detailed transfer plans might need to be shelved for now while we put out some fires instead.

With just ten weeks of the season left, unless you’re sat at the top of all your mini-leagues there is less incentive to go with the tried and tested replacement, and a wisely chosen differential could be the difference between making a late charge to the top and sinking into mid-table obscurity. After dropping yet another place in the Scout league, frankly I’m willing to try anything…..

David Luiz

While Chelsea fans were emphatically celebrating the arrival of Fernando Torres, David Luiz’s deadline day signing almost went unnoticed, despite the £23 million price tag. There is no doubt who has had the biggest impact so far however; Luiz’s high energy, powerful performances have put the sulky Spaniard to shame, and at just 6.1m, he looks the much better Fantasy prospect right now.

Chelsea will always be good for clean sheets and with his added attacking threat, he should score well. In his two and a bit appearances so far he has been all over the pitch; pushing forwards, popping up on the wing, beating players (for a centre-back his close control is excellent), and generally being a nuisance. There’s an obvious risk of the odd card here and there, but there is also the chance of goals and plenty of Bonus Points, and with him joining so late in the season there is little risk of a suspension for accumulating yellow cards.

Luiz goes into this weekend’s game as a doubt after picking up a hamstring problem, but Ancelotti is hopeful he will be fit to start. A further consideration is the return of Alex who is due to return from his knee injury soon and Ancelotti has already threatened to rotate his back line, stating that even Captain John Terry is at risk. Luiz’s ineligibility for the Champions League should see him get the priority in League matches however.

With Chelsea’s fixtures now easing up, and a double fixture in gameweek 33, 6.1m looks a potential bargain. His current ownership of 1.6% is bound to rocket after last week’s performance, so with a trip to a Blackpool side still without Charlie Adam up next, if he can shrug off his injury then it looks a good time to climb aboard.

Joleon Lescott

As an Everton fan it is hard to take Joleon Lescott seriously any more, but even I have to admit that he looks like a real prospect again now that Kolo Toure is facing a lengthy ban. Lescott’s form over the last couple of games were enough to suggest he could have done well anyway, but this latest news make him a cast iron starter and a huge differential considering his ownership is currently just 1.4%.

At 6.3m, he isn’t cheap but you have to take into account the potential for attacking points as well as clean sheet points and with City’s upcoming fixtures he looks good for both. In the 2007/2008 season Lescott scored 10 goals from central defense for a massive 196 points, and his following season was almost as good with 172, despite playing out of position at left-back.

City play Wigan at home this weekend, a side that have scored just 11 times on the road this season, so if Kompany and De Jong do end up playing a part as suggested by Mancini then a clean sheet looks a pretty safe bet.

Thomas Hitzlsperger

With a nickname like ‘Der Hammer’ Thomas Hitzlsperger was always going to be a hit at West Ham, it just took a lot longer than he would have hoped. Despite arriving in the summer, he didn’t make his debut until the FA cup game against Burnley two weeks ago after being sidelined with a serious thigh muscle injury, but looks to have slotted straight into the side alongside Scott Parker in midfield, and could play a big part in their relegation battle between now and the end of the season. His man of the match performance in that game, topped by a stunning long-range goal put him firmly on our radar, but it was his performance in their 3-1 victory over Liverpool that really showed his potential as a Fantasy investment.

He managed an assist and a Bonus Point for a total of 6 points against Liverpool, but the OPTA stats available to members show he could have had a lot more; he had four attempts on goal (two on target), as well as making three key passes. If he can maintain that sort of performance we can expect to see plenty of goals and assists as well as bonus, so for just 5.0m he looks a bargain. Fixtures tighten up considerably after this week, but with Stoke at home this weekend, he is still worthy of serious consideration.  Hitzlsperger is currently owned by just 0.4% of all FPL managers, fellow Scout Andy being one of those who jumped on the wagon early.

Louis Saha

A risky pick this one, but despite Everton’s recent Jekyll and Hyde performances, having a couple of Everton players looks pretty essential going into their double gameweek and with so few reliable options, I’ve gone for the player I feel has the best chance to score big this week.

The obvious drawback with Saha is his injury record; he has only started three league games in a row once this season so bringing him in for Everton’s double gameweek could be asking for trouble. That said, with Cahill and Fellaini both sidelined through injury he will be the key to Everton’s attacking play, and if he can stay fit for both games and get anywhere near the level of performance he managed at Blackpool, then his owners could be celebrating a huge points score.

While Jermaine Beckford offers a cheap route into the Everton attack, Louis Saha is clearly the class act in the team and his four goals against Blackpool show just how clinical he can be in front of goal when his confidence is high. Without Fellaini and Cahill, David Moyes is likely to go 4-4-2, with Saha and Beckford up front, while Bilayletdinov and Anichebe drop to the bench. Saha clearly revels in the space he is given as a result of Beckford pulling the defenders out of position so that partnership will be key to his chances of a big score. Saha is available for 7.7m, and is currently owned by just 3.2% of all FPL managers.

Best of the Rest

Leon Osman is not an obvious fantasy pick, but his recent form suggest he could do well for Everton’s double. With Cahill managing just 18 minutes against Sunderland last week, Osman was drifting from the left to a position just behind the striker and managed 5 shots on goal and 3 key passes in that game. Birmingham’s double makes them worthy of a serious look, and with Scott Dann out for the season, Martin Jiranek looks set to play both games and could be a bargain short term pick at just 4.5m. Finally, Nicklas Bendtner looks set for a starting role against Sunderland, and his midweek hat-trick will see him going into that game with even more confidence than normal.

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  1. Riff Raff
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Who to captain - Zigic or Tevez?

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    1. si
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Tev.

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      1. Riff Raff
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Your wisdom has swayed me.

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  2. Seal
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    ok so if i follow the pack, saha + arteta or spread it out and have saha + lampard?

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    1. everyday, i'm shufflin…
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      I'd like to spread it out..

      Everton actually just out of the cup to make this double GW.

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  3. Jugsy
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    My team, thoughts please?

    Hart

    Carr Coleman Evra Djourou

    Meireles Silva Nani

    Tevez Berba Saha

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  4. Only one Di Matteo
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Foster
    Djourou Hangeland R.Johnson Coleman
    Silva Nani Barton Nasri
    Tevez (c) Zigic
    Subs: Begovic Young Rafael RVP
    Is this the correct team? I don't want to leave young out but I think everybody else will score more points than him.

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    1. gooner dave
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      That's fine, maybe he'll come on anyway for Barton.

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    2. The relentless pursuit of p…
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      thumbs up

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    3. Back on the horse
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Silva is going to nail is for us, Jack!

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    4. Gavin - Gers in turmoil!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Barton over young I don't know about but looking good apart from that

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  5. For Fuchs Sake
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Morning!!
    Wildcard team for DGW and longer term. Comments welcome:

    Foster
    Djourou Baines Carr
    Nasri Young Nani Arteta
    Tevez(C) Rooney Zigic

    Subs: Barton Simpson Walker

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    1. The relentless pursuit of p…
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Very nice, I have something very similar 🙂

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      1. For Fuchs Sake
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Have you used your Wildcard too? I think it covers future fixtures. Shame RVP and Fabs are out, feel I'll need to get them in soon, but same for others I guess. Who are you captaining?

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        1. The relentless pursuit of p…
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          Yes already used WC, RVP & Fabs can wait 🙂 Captaining Tevez I think

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          1. For Fuchs Sake
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            Yeah I'm thinking go with the flow captain wise and let the rest of the team do the talking.

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    2. threeputt
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      no chelsea ?

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  6. gooner dave
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    So saha or zigic? Which is the more popular choice?

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    1. Back on the horse
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      I went Saha, Dave. I sense more on here went Ziggy.

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    2. FPLord
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      If price was not important I'd go Saha. I got Zigic as I have Baines and Coleman and didn't want to tripple up on EVE + makes it easier to get Chelsea coverage later on.

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    3. The relentless pursuit of p…
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Zigic here, was also thinking Saha... coin toss really

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    4. Effe
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      I looked at those two and opted for Zigic in the end.

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      1. gooner dave
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers all. Think I'll go Saha, and instantly regret it when the inevitable injury happens.

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    5. Gavin - Gers in turmoil!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Zigic here as well as have coleman and Baines

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  7. Utterly Fabregasted
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Team has been dessimated by injury. Already taken 4 point hit
    Still only Ten playing at best (if berbs plays)
    Thinking kelly -> djourou or vidic -> liuz(longterm options)
    Next week : Berbs -> Rooney
    Any advice appreciated

    Foster
    Hughes, Coleman, walker (vidic, Kelly)
    Nasri, Dempsey, nani (VDV, Adam)
    Berbs, tevez, Saha

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    1. villian-ty
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      wouldnt take a hit for a def. I will play the 10 as it seems like u have a strong team next gw

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      1. Utterly Fabregasted
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks. Thing is, Kelly is scuppered. If I buy djourou and he gets 2 or 6 points, I'll have him back in my team at a cost of +2 or -2...
        Keep vidic you say? What about luiz? Could get him in for Hughes perhaps at some point later on..

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        1. villian-ty
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          i would go djourou considring berbs is a high risk.

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  8. For Fuchs Sake
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Morning all!!
    Wildcard team for DGW and longer term. Comments welcome:

    Foster
    Djourou Baines Carr
    Nasri Young Nani Arteta
    Tevez(C) Rooney Zigic

    Subs: Barton Simpson Walker

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    1. FoundinFPL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      2nd GK? Team is similar to mine (and includes some others I'm consdering bringing in) so happy to see this as a possible WC team. I take it you can't afford stronger BIR defender (Johnson/Ridgewell)? I have Carr but he doesn't offer much attacking points potential.

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  9. keith
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Why is Stockdale in TotalFPL picks is Schwarzer out?

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  10. villian-ty
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    bit of advice needed pls

    Should i do Fab-> Lampard? Already done a 4 hit point so far

    Rival has played their WC this GW

    FOSTER (Bergovic)
    COLEMAN Huth Simpson (Kelly, Rafael)
    Nani Fab Nasri BRunt (Adam)
    ZIGIC Tevez(C) Berbatov

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  11. EGIAL10
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    this gameweek is getting on my nerves before it's even began, i've been staring at my team for an hour not having a clue what i should do so in the end i just took odemwingie out and put Ba in just for the hell of it. I have a feeling not having an arsenal or chelsea player is going to hurt me this week any suggestions?

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  12. Barney Stinson
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Righto lads,

    Just hit the W/C button to rid myself of the red, the yellow and the useless - RVP, VDV, Cesc, Kelly, Odemwinginator.

    My final transfers rest on this pivotal decision:

    1)Lampard, Dempsey + Stiker for 6.0
    2)Or Arteta, Torres + O'hara

    (I would only play two of the three this week anyway)

    Any thought, opinions, insults, racy photo's of ex-girlfriends would be much appreciated!

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    1. FoundinFPL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      I'd go 1) but it's close to a coin toss.

      Arteta and Torres are in poor form so I am not keen on them. Lampard and Dempsey are doing ok altho Lampard is too expensive for me.

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  13. Art Vandelay
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Posted above but forgot the subs..

    I have settled on this team. Any obvious mistakes re: bench. I am still tempted by Saha for Captain but have a 30+ lead in my league so probably an unnecessary gamble. Cheers

    Foster

    RJ Colmean Distin Koralov (Huth)

    Bentley Nasri Nani (Barton Young)

    Saha Rooney Tevez

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  14. The relentless pursuit of p…
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Good morning all 🙂

    Foster
    R.Johnson/Terry/Coleman/Djourou
    Nani/Downing/Silva
    Tevez(C)/Zigic/Rooney

    Subs:Hart/Etherington/Barton/Jara

    How do you guys like this team? Worth a -4 point hit?
    Or should I take a -8 point hit and also get Arteta or Nasri in?

    .

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  15. FoundinFPL
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Can't decide whether to make a 2nd transfer for a 4 point hit. I'm fielding a solid 11 with 3 double GW players.

    Foster
    Carr, Djourou, Simpson, Coleman
    Nasri, Young, Nani, Silva
    Rooney, Tevez (c)

    Bench: Begovic, Odem, Ethers, Huth

    Transfer I'm considering is Odem -> Zigic but then I'll need to bring Zigic off the bench for someone in my starting 11.

    I am leading my mini-league and rivals have taken point hits.

    Should I bring Zigic in for 4 pt hit? And if so, who should I bench? Thoughts appreciated.

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    1. skully
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      juz do it..
      change it and click..save..
      and after that u juz need to wait for the match tonight..
      😉

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  16. skully
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    will BIRMIGHAM play sebastian larsson??

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  17. matiakez
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Who would you take out for Saha, Berba or Bent?

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    1. matiakez
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Also who to bench: Collocinni, Jarvis, Raul or YaYa?

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    2. mir
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      saha to betn is what i'm thinking for a 4 point hit.

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      1. DickFranDyke
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        The thing with Saha is that he gets injured while standing still but can escape a crash in his Ferrari unhurt. Just not sure on him yet on if he's worth the 4 point hit.

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  18. bazhef
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    who to play:
    walker, cleverly or rafael?

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    1. comeonspurs
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Walker - I want him really but dont want a second 4 point hit

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  19. shiner__
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Have played my wildcard and I cant believe i'am left with a 5-2-3 formation? whhat am I thinking?

    Foster (Szczesy)
    Huth Luiz Coleman Djourou Hughes
    Nasri Nani (O'Hara, VDV, Adam)
    Zigic Tevez(c) Rooney

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    1. comeonspurs
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      You need a cheaper 2nd goalkeeper, spend the money elsewhere

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      1. shiner__
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        ive had foster from the start, and cant drop him with his doubles coming up.

        who is a good option and a second keeper cheaper than 4.6?

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        1. Gavin - Gers in turmoil!!!
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          I like your keeper options

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          1. shiner__
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            and the remainaing options?

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  20. comeonspurs
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Last decision Odenwingie(dropped?) or Etherington(inj?) to start

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  21. drughi
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    how does this look ?

    foster

    coleman, huth, kolarov ( smalling, walker)

    silva, meireles, lampard(C), ferguson (barton)

    zigic, tevez, rooney

    0.7 in the bank, would you do any changes for a 4 point hit ?
    i'm a bit concern about ferguson only playing one game, maybe i should go for barton ?

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    1. comeonspurs
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Barton , Ferguson & Meirreles are all doubts - As ferguson only really gets 3/4 points max, i would get rid of him

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  22. comeonspurs
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Last decision Odenwingie(dropped?) or Etherington(inj?) to start...........and who to captain Arteta / Baines or Tevez

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    1. comeonspurs
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      advice anyone

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      1. skully
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        BRAVE!! = (C)Baines

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        1. comeonspurs
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          I keep thinking that....I'm Leading my mini league by 50 points theres 70 of us.....a lot of money is at stake ..do i risk it

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          1. Gavin - Gers in turmoil!!!
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            safe option then = Tevez

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  23. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    taken a hit to do
    CAhill to Nasri, Kelly to Baines
    Do i take another to do
    A)Gordon to Foster
    B)RVP to Zigic/Saha
    C)Leave my team as is

    Begovic
    Johnson COleman Baines Simpson KOlarov
    Nasri A.Young Nani Barton
    Tevez

    Gordon Brunt Berbatov RVP

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    1. comeonspurs
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      I would play another striker in place of Simpson, Berbatov has had his rest and is due a score

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      1. Valar(Keith)
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        hmmm.. berbs.. thought he's just not in favor anymore

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  24. comeonspurs
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Last decision Odenwingie(dropped?) or Etherington(inj?) to start………..and who to captain Arteta / Baines or Tevez...any ideas

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    1. Gavin - Gers in turmoil!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      If your doing ok in minleague go Tevez if playing catchup take a gamble on one of the other 2, Arteta on pens prob

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  25. drughi
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    should i play walker or huth ?

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  26. drughi
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    meireles and huth out for djourou and arteta worth a 8 point hit ?

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  27. Gavin - Gers in turmoil!!!
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    I'm well happy with my team this week and still have 3.1mil in bank.

    Hart (Szczesny)
    Baines, Coleman, Luiz, Jiranek, (Bardsley)
    Nani, Nasri, Dempsey, (Adam, Meireles)
    Tevez (C), Rooney, Zigic.

    I'm thinking Dempsey and Meireles out for VDV and Young next gameweek.

    I'm feeling confident about the weeks ahead (mmmm heard that before)

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  28. duncansarmy
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Lads need some help!

    Already done Cahill > Nasri and Wingie > Zigic for 4 pts.

    Is it worth getting Barton out for artetta or someone else for 8 pts?

    Team is:

    Foster
    djourou  Coleman  Huth  Bardsley
    Nani  VDV  Cahill 
    Tevez(c)  Berbs  zigic

    Subs: Dorrans, Barton, Rafael, Al habsi

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    1. Gavin - Gers in turmoil!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      No point taking another hit m8 IMO

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    2. kitier katba
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Maybe another hit is worth it---Cahill is out

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  29. Gunner win the premiership …
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    who to bench?

    barton,odemwinge,nani,jarvis???

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  30. Nath88
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Captaining Foster... am I mad!?

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