[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
4 March 2011 1134 comments
Big Dunc Big Dunc
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After last week’s missing games for Arsenal, Spurs and Birmingham, most Fantasy Managers will have been looking forward to finally having a full squad to pick from this week. Alas, with so many injuries recently, it looks like our detailed transfer plans might need to be shelved for now while we put out some fires instead.

With just ten weeks of the season left, unless you’re sat at the top of all your mini-leagues there is less incentive to go with the tried and tested replacement, and a wisely chosen differential could be the difference between making a late charge to the top and sinking into mid-table obscurity. After dropping yet another place in the Scout league, frankly I’m willing to try anything…..

David Luiz

While Chelsea fans were emphatically celebrating the arrival of Fernando Torres, David Luiz’s deadline day signing almost went unnoticed, despite the £23 million price tag. There is no doubt who has had the biggest impact so far however; Luiz’s high energy, powerful performances have put the sulky Spaniard to shame, and at just 6.1m, he looks the much better Fantasy prospect right now.

Chelsea will always be good for clean sheets and with his added attacking threat, he should score well. In his two and a bit appearances so far he has been all over the pitch; pushing forwards, popping up on the wing, beating players (for a centre-back his close control is excellent), and generally being a nuisance. There’s an obvious risk of the odd card here and there, but there is also the chance of goals and plenty of Bonus Points, and with him joining so late in the season there is little risk of a suspension for accumulating yellow cards.

Luiz goes into this weekend’s game as a doubt after picking up a hamstring problem, but Ancelotti is hopeful he will be fit to start. A further consideration is the return of Alex who is due to return from his knee injury soon and Ancelotti has already threatened to rotate his back line, stating that even Captain John Terry is at risk. Luiz’s ineligibility for the Champions League should see him get the priority in League matches however.

With Chelsea’s fixtures now easing up, and a double fixture in gameweek 33, 6.1m looks a potential bargain. His current ownership of 1.6% is bound to rocket after last week’s performance, so with a trip to a Blackpool side still without Charlie Adam up next, if he can shrug off his injury then it looks a good time to climb aboard.

Joleon Lescott

As an Everton fan it is hard to take Joleon Lescott seriously any more, but even I have to admit that he looks like a real prospect again now that Kolo Toure is facing a lengthy ban. Lescott’s form over the last couple of games were enough to suggest he could have done well anyway, but this latest news make him a cast iron starter and a huge differential considering his ownership is currently just 1.4%.

At 6.3m, he isn’t cheap but you have to take into account the potential for attacking points as well as clean sheet points and with City’s upcoming fixtures he looks good for both. In the 2007/2008 season Lescott scored 10 goals from central defense for a massive 196 points, and his following season was almost as good with 172, despite playing out of position at left-back.

City play Wigan at home this weekend, a side that have scored just 11 times on the road this season, so if Kompany and De Jong do end up playing a part as suggested by Mancini then a clean sheet looks a pretty safe bet.

Thomas Hitzlsperger

With a nickname like ‘Der Hammer’ Thomas Hitzlsperger was always going to be a hit at West Ham, it just took a lot longer than he would have hoped. Despite arriving in the summer, he didn’t make his debut until the FA cup game against Burnley two weeks ago after being sidelined with a serious thigh muscle injury, but looks to have slotted straight into the side alongside Scott Parker in midfield, and could play a big part in their relegation battle between now and the end of the season. His man of the match performance in that game, topped by a stunning long-range goal put him firmly on our radar, but it was his performance in their 3-1 victory over Liverpool that really showed his potential as a Fantasy investment.

He managed an assist and a Bonus Point for a total of 6 points against Liverpool, but the OPTA stats available to members show he could have had a lot more; he had four attempts on goal (two on target), as well as making three key passes. If he can maintain that sort of performance we can expect to see plenty of goals and assists as well as bonus, so for just 5.0m he looks a bargain. Fixtures tighten up considerably after this week, but with Stoke at home this weekend, he is still worthy of serious consideration.  Hitzlsperger is currently owned by just 0.4% of all FPL managers, fellow Scout Andy being one of those who jumped on the wagon early.

Louis Saha

A risky pick this one, but despite Everton’s recent Jekyll and Hyde performances, having a couple of Everton players looks pretty essential going into their double gameweek and with so few reliable options, I’ve gone for the player I feel has the best chance to score big this week.

The obvious drawback with Saha is his injury record; he has only started three league games in a row once this season so bringing him in for Everton’s double gameweek could be asking for trouble. That said, with Cahill and Fellaini both sidelined through injury he will be the key to Everton’s attacking play, and if he can stay fit for both games and get anywhere near the level of performance he managed at Blackpool, then his owners could be celebrating a huge points score.

While Jermaine Beckford offers a cheap route into the Everton attack, Louis Saha is clearly the class act in the team and his four goals against Blackpool show just how clinical he can be in front of goal when his confidence is high. Without Fellaini and Cahill, David Moyes is likely to go 4-4-2, with Saha and Beckford up front, while Bilayletdinov and Anichebe drop to the bench. Saha clearly revels in the space he is given as a result of Beckford pulling the defenders out of position so that partnership will be key to his chances of a big score. Saha is available for 7.7m, and is currently owned by just 3.2% of all FPL managers.

Best of the Rest

Leon Osman is not an obvious fantasy pick, but his recent form suggest he could do well for Everton’s double. With Cahill managing just 18 minutes against Sunderland last week, Osman was drifting from the left to a position just behind the striker and managed 5 shots on goal and 3 key passes in that game. Birmingham’s double makes them worthy of a serious look, and with Scott Dann out for the season, Martin Jiranek looks set to play both games and could be a bargain short term pick at just 4.5m. Finally, Nicklas Bendtner looks set for a starting role against Sunderland, and his midweek hat-trick will see him going into that game with even more confidence than normal.

Big Dunc If you're going to get sent off, make sure its for something worthwhile... Follow them on Twitter

  1. Viper
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    My team looks very unusual with a spine of Brum players! Can't wait to ship Bentley for a fit VDV!

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  2. Boom!!!
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Welcome Arteta and Baines to my team 😛

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    1. Back on the horse
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      4pt hit?

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      1. Boom!!!
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Yep...may just bring torres/drog before the deadline to make it a 8pt. hit...

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        1. Back on the horse
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          I went 8pts. All the cool kids are.

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  3. Back on the horse
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Wouldnt it be great if Saha went on a goal rampage again and I had him capt.

    Ah FPL dreams.

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  4. Michael
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Could This 8 Point Hit Pay Off im thinking of bringing in ballotelli , nasri and saha in for berba , barton and r.v.p

    or should I go for saha and torres for berba and r.v.p

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    1. RevsFC
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Def go nasri at least.

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  5. imtheboss
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    A lot of big hits this week! Hope the league leader takes a hit or 2 so I can finally overtake! Paced this season immensely I must say 😉

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    1. Locarno
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Paced mine terribly. A long-time 40-point-plus lead in my cash league is now a 2-point deficit and my team looks in worse shape than Ann Widdecombe.

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      1. Shipstontrev
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Or Charlton Athletic for that matter 😆

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        1. Locarno
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          Groan. Don't you ever sleep?

          We're lulling everyone into a false sense of security before embarking on a late-seas...

          Feck it. We've been shite for a fortnight. Exeter? Carlisle?

          Depressed. 🙁

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          1. Shipstontrev
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            Chins

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            1. Locarno
              • 15 Years
              15 years, 1 month ago

              Your boys should be okay tomorrow. Oldham aren't all that.

              And tell ya what, if Rochdale beat MK Dons, their 14-1 to go up is looking juicy odds.

              I'm sure we'll produce a heroic score draw with struggling Tranmere.

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              1. Shipstontrev
                • 16 Years
                15 years, 1 month ago

                Good point about Rochdale, their ground is sh1t but they are on a really good run. I just hope we can keep winning away, as the home form is a bit patchy atm,

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  6. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Tomorrow I'm going to avoid this site, facebook, twitter and the internet in general and just watch motd in the evening to see how my team did.

    Last time I did that I had Nasri and Tevez and captained Tevez, Nasri outscored him. Going with Tevez again, hopefully lightning won't strike twice.

    motd entertainment levels get quite a bit higher when you aren't sure how your team has done, very tense indeed!

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    1. Gavin - Gers in turmoil!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      far too hard to do (for me anyway) lol

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    2. Spoiler
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      i wish i could do that, temptation gets the better of me

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      1. andy85wsm
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Last time was just to see how it went, and temptation was hard to resist. This time I need to get some uni work done so kind of forcing myself. Will be on a computer all day writing an assignment so it will be hard not to check!

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    3. SkyBlueArmy
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      +1

      I love a bit of motd when i don't know the results!

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  7. Zizou
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    foster(begovic)
    kolarov coleman r.johnson
    nani VDV arteta(c) nasri
    tevez rooney zigic
    (meireles, huth kelly)

    i know vdv prob wont play but just in case, huth or meireles 1st choice substitute

    who for capt arteta at mo

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  8. Fudge
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Is VDV definitely out, because i'd rather play him in my first XI than Odem or Barton if he's fit.

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    1. Spoiler
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      not defo out but highly unlikely, even if fit would he be risked with a big game on weds?

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      1. Fudge
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        fair enough, Odem it is, but he better not play and go ape, or i'm holding you accountable 😉

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  9. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    AB - is there still time to get involved and if so how?

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    1. Cheggers
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      You've missed the deadline, you need to sacrifice a goat at full noon

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      1. andy85wsm
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Okie doke, any kind of goat? (is there even different kinds?)

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        1. Boom!!!
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          no there is still 3 mins. to go.

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        2. Cheggers
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          nah any, that one off that video would be good.

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          1. andy85wsm
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            LL Cool J?

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        3. Attila the Bum
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          This goat ^^
          (see my link)

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    2. applebonkers
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      just give me a team name, your surname (guessing your name is andy?) and pick 3 strikers from the list in my link. you can either email them for uber-privacy or just post them here.

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      1. andy85wsm
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        I emailed just then. use the same crappy team name as I use on here

        "Andys Allstars" - OH YEAH, original!

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        1. applebonkers
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          hate to be anal but you want the apostrophe right? 😛

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          1. andy85wsm
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            Yeah I guess 😉

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      2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Is there still time for a little one?

        Carlton Cole
        Sylvan Ebanks-Blake
        Jermaine Beckford

        😀

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        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          Any Old Irons?

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          1. applebonkers
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            cool, i'll add you

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        2. applebonkers
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          team name?

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          1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            Any Old Irons? Thank you! 🙂

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            1. applebonkers
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 1 month ago

              only person to have carlton cole. if i was playing i'd have gone cole, ba and pavlyuchenko

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              1. andy85wsm
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 15 Years
                15 years, 1 month ago

                Why aren't you playing?

                And yes my name is Andy 🙂

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                1. applebonkers
                  • Has Moderation Rights
                  • 16 Years
                  15 years, 1 month ago

                  don't want there to be any chance of bias in the multipliers, also i get to see everyones picks so i could pick tactically if i was playing

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                  1. Shipstontrev
                    • 16 Years
                    15 years, 1 month ago

                    Have to say the multiplier for Heskey was a bit mean, 100 would have been more like it 😆

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          2. Attila the Bum
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            Can I change my team name to Gozzing Goats in honour of my new favourite character?

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            1. applebonkers
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 1 month ago

              done

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              1. Attila the Bum
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 15 Years
                15 years, 1 month ago

                Blaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaar
                Cheers. 🙂

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              2. Locarno
                • 15 Years
                15 years, 1 month ago

                Just saw this - no problems if it's too late.

                Zigic
                Ba
                Kamara

                Team name: Fifth place

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                1. Shipstontrev
                  • 16 Years
                  15 years, 1 month ago

                  I went
                  Sturridge
                  Ba
                  Best
                  but hopefully you;ve already got my mail.

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                2. Seanigula
                  • 16 Years
                  15 years, 1 month ago

                  me too...I'll give it a shot

                  Zigic
                  Crouch
                  Bendtner

                  Team Name: 2 Girls, 1 Kop

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                  1. Gargamel
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 16 Years
                    15 years, 1 month ago

                    You're all waaaaaay off the mark here, can't see you beating me on this

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        3. andy85wsm
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          Nice picks! I did mine quick to try and beat the deadline.

          Went

          Torres
          Bendtner
          Zigic

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          1. Attila the Bum
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            Meh
            Meh
            Snap. 🙂

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    3. applebonkers
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      got a team name you want?

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      1. 1966 was a great year for E…
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Can I join?

        Dave
        Ruud Boys
        Tevez, Bendtner, Beckford

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  10. Twisted Saltergater
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Transfer Kelly for a DGW defender (for a 4 point hit) or sell him in later weeks?

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    1. Gavin - Gers in turmoil!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      do you have 11 players playing without the hit??

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      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Yep, I'd have to drop one of Huth or Djourou if I played Kelly's replacement.

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  11. Bojaninho
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    this potential week missing for ars has me thinking....

    bringing in nasri to see him miss a gw. hmmmmm....

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  12. WillK
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Huth or Bent and why?

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  13. Spoiler
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    have a bad feeling coleman wont start tommorow..

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    1. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Why?

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      1. Spoiler
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        hasnt been doing all that good recently, + ive read hes a doubt on the guardian

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  14. La Di Da
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Hart Harper
    Kelly Vidic Huth Simpson RJohnson
    Nani Adam Mereiles Nzog Young
    Odem RVP Tevez

    Thinking a 12 point hit. No real hits all season but my team is a joke!

    Kelly > Coleman
    Mereiles > Lampard
    Nzog > Nasri
    RVP > Zigic

    Trying to think double + Long term! Worth it?

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    1. Spoiler
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      your 93rd and doing a 12 point hit?

      brave

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      1. La Di Da
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Ya but my team is in the horrors.. I know I gotta take some sort of hit but not sure how much...? Figure if i'm taking 4 or 8 mights as well clean out the rubbish and go the whole hog??

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  15. For Fuchs Sake
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    How's this for my WC team? Long term and for the DGW:

    Foster
    Djourou Baines Carr
    Nasri Young Nani Arteta
    Tevez(C) Rooney Zigic

    Subs:Bergovic Barton Simpson Walker

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    1. Bigo1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Well close to mine, i like that you got rid of Coleman, think it is a good idea

      Foster Mignolet
      Luiz Coleman Jiranek Djourou (Walker)
      Nani Arteta Lamps Nasri (VdV)
      Zigic Tevez (c) (Gyan)

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  16. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    4 point hit and play 4-3-3 or 8 pointer and play 3-4-3?

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  17. AceOfSpades
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    playing my wild card please help if possible

    foster (begovic
    kolarov coleman baines r johnson (djorou)
    arteta nasri nani a young (vdv)
    tezez (c) _ _

    need 2 strikers. have 13. 8 mill please help!

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    1. For Fuchs Sake
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Check my WC team above too, pretty similar.

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  18. Drakey
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    last decision to make, who to bench out of luiz, djourou and hughes?

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      luiz

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  19. Fudge
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    COME ON NASRI! RISE!

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    1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Gonna be close.

      Wanna know something weird? I'm pretty sure i went to the same school as you, if you're FPL link is right that is.

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      1. Fudge
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Haha how weird 😛 When did you leave?

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        1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          2000 mate. What year are you in at the mo?

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          1. Fudge
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            Year 11, GCSE's. This has become my distraction 😛

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            1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 1 month ago

              so 5th year right? I wonder if any of my old teachers are still there. Who's head of sixth form now?

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              1. Locarno
                • 15 Years
                15 years, 1 month ago

                Sigh. My head of sixth form had better breasts than Kelly Brook.

                Thinking that she's now 60-plus makes me want to top myself...

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                1. Locarno
                  • 15 Years
                  15 years, 1 month ago

                  *50-plus. 🙄

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    2. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      How likely is that?

      I may as well bring him in before 1 if hes going to rise.

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      1. Fudge
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        He's at 92% on totalfpl.com

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    3. More Cowbell
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      I've just got him if that helps!

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  20. The Rock
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Planning on bringing in Saha but his record is really worrying, he rarely plays 90 mins and will always be rested, maybe not so much now with all the injuries but it's still a worry, tricky one but i don't think there are many better strikers out there at the moment. What are peoples thoughts on him?

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    1. kitier katba
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      same as yours...

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    2. CravenA
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      One of the best, as you say, but fragile - its a gamble, simple as that.

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  21. @FPLStrategist
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    I'm weighing up the possibility of a major hit this week. Which, if any of these transfers is worth a 4 point hit, given that the players coming in are long term choices...

    A - Odemwingiw to Ba
    B - Brunt to Dempsey

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    1. The Rock
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      B

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      1. Fudge
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        B, as much as it pains me to say to not get Ba, B is obviously the better option with Fulham's fixtures.

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        1. Bedknobs and Boomsticks
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          B, coming from someone who has never owned dempsey.

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  22. Twisted Saltergater
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    How has Roger Johnson shaken off his calf injury?? They take a couple of weeks at best whenver I've pulled mine!

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    1. Fudge
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Because he is a lion made of steel.

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      1. Shipstontrev
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Because he was probably fitter than you before he got the injury.

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  23. jjesus
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    foster
    kolarov, baines, coleman
    nani, arteta, young, bentley
    tevez(c) rooney, zigic
    (begovic,huth,barton,zubar)
    perdiction 83pts...
    Sounds good?

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  24. AceOfSpades
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    jamboken 77 looks good, what strikers do u think i should bring in

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    1. For Fuchs Sake
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Same as mine? How much money have you got?

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  25. tbhogal
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Guys – Who to sign this week??
    Szczceny,(Begovic)
    Huth,Johnson,Kolarov,Coleman (Kelly)
    Brunt,Nani,Barton, Young (Adam)
    Tevez, Rooney,(Odemwinge)

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  26. Bedknobs and Boomsticks
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    My team has a hexagon of blue shirts surrounding two red shirts. Just thought I'd share. 😉

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  27. Drip Doctor
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Here it is: 0 point hit.
    Foster
    Baines Coleman Kolarov
    Nani Arteta Young Silva
    Rooney Tevez(c) Zigic

    Bit worries Kolarov may not start tommorrow and my other two defenders are injured but such is life. Good luck to you all 😀

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    1. Drip Doctor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      worried*

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  28. Zizou
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    arteta or zigic capt

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  29. AceOfSpades
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    13.8 million. need 2

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  30. NLB
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Hm anyone now going for Lamps over Nasri because of this possibly missed fixture news?

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