[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
18 March 2011 1124 comments
Big Dunc Big Dunc
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With just nine gameweeks remaining, many of you will be looking at your mini league table and desperately searching for a way to claw back the 50 or so points that stand between you and that git from the office. Playing it safe might keep you in second spot, but why settle for that when you can wipe the smug grin off his face with a transfer of Hitzlsperger-esque proportions? Before you press the button on the obvious Rooney or Lampard move then, cast your eye over our pick of this week’s differentials…..

Chris Smalling

A string of defensive injuries means United are expected to field a makeshift back four of Fabio, Wes Brown, Chris Smalling and Patrice Evra against Bolton. Tough break for United, but it could be a great chance for Smalling to get a run of games under his belt and at just 4.4m he looks great value. While Vidic’s injury is more short term, Ferdinand has already missed nine games through injury, and Ferguson believes he is unlikely to make a comeback anytime soon….

“I’m sure Vidic will be back after the international break, but Rio hasn’t started training yet and we’ll be lucky to maybe get him back for part of the season”

United’s next three fixtures see them host Bolton and Fulham and travel to West Ham, so despite the worrying lack of back up in defense they still look good for clean sheets. Fixtures are not so great after this though, they miss Gameweek 33, then face Everton, Arsenal and Chelsea. You’ll need to invest this week if you are considering him then, but at just 4.4m he should be an easy swap in and out of your side.

Stephane Sessegnon

With all the noise in the media surrounding the departure of Darren Bent for £18 million, many will have overlooked the arrival of Sulley Muntari and Stephane Sessegnon at Sunderland in the January window. Despite all the moaning, Niall Quinn looks to have done very well in the transfer market this year; Asamoah Gyan is getting better every game, and Stephan Sessegnon looks to be worth every penny of the £6 million Sunderland paid for him.

The 26 year old Benin international, has been plying his trade in the French leagues for the last five years, and has plenty of experience in a variety of positions. A skilful and fleet footed winger, Sessegnon was used as a central playmaker in his first season at Paris St Germain, before moving to his more natural role on the wing. He can play on either flank, and likes to run at players as well as shoot from distance whenever he gets the chance, so should pick up a couple of goals at least before the season is through.

A quick glance over the OPTA stats show he has managed 11 shots over the last four weeks, with six of those on target. That puts him up there with the likes of Nani, Kuyt and Lampard in terms of shots so when you consider he also managed five key passes in those games, he looks like a real bargain at just 6.0m.

Sunderland are without a league victory since the end of January, but they are definitely coming back into form, and the return from injury of Lee Cattermole and Danny Welbeck will give them an added boost. Fixtures look great for the run in, with just one of their final seven games coming against a side in the top half of the table, so goals should be on the cards and when they come, Sessegnon has a great chance of being involved.

Sessegnon is currently owned by 0.1% of all FPL managers and has been brought in by just 152 people this week. He is a true differential then, but one that we are expecting big things from.

Victor Moses

Even more of a wildcard pick than Sessegnon is young Victor Moses at Wigan, who has been brought in by just 25 people this week. Despite being classed as a midfielder in the FPL game, Moses has been playing as the main striker in a 4-3-3 formation and is available for just 4.5m, so with fixtures easing up considerably he could be a decent differential alternative as a fifth midfielder.

Moses has struggled to hold down a regular place this season, but he has now started Wigan’s last four league games, and with his confidence growing every game, he is beginning to show some of the potential that made him the hottest property in the 2009/10 January transfer window. Although more of a link up player than an out and out striker, Moses is still capable of scoring some spectacular goals, and his all round play should see him pick up the odd assist and bonus point too.

Wigan’s form has been terrible of late and they have managed just one goal in their last three games, but that was against Liverpool, United and Man City, teams you would expect them to struggle to score against. Home games in the next four against Birmingham, Tottenham and a trip to Blackpool is an entirely different prospect, and with Martinez is refusing to give up on the attacking ethos he has instilled in his young players, we should see them start getting on the scoresheet again. A couple more 4-3 ding dongs like the game against Blackburn would be a nice payback for investors in the likes of Charles Nzogbia or Victor Moses.

Junior Hoilett

After being picked out previously in Gameweek 24, Hoilett went on to hit nine points against West Brom and again looked lively the following week against Spurs, but at the time he was under threat from the arrival of Roque Santa Cruz and the return to fitness of Jason Roberts, so was only floated as a short term punt. A few weeks later and things look a little clearer; Instead of losing his place, it seems Hoilett has been moved out to the wing instead. With his pace and willingness to cut inside and run at defenders, this shouldn’t affect his attacking returns too much and a look at the OPTA stats available to members backs this up; he managed three assist attempts, and six successful dribbles on top of his goal against Fulham.

With a home tie against Blackpool up next, Blackburn will be hoping to score at least a couple so his incredibly low price of 4.0m and ownership of just 0.9% make him worthy of a punt this week, even if your intention is just to use him to free up some funds to spend elsewhere.

Best of the Rest

Danny Welbeck should start against Liverpool on Sunday, and is another strong option from the Sunderland lineup. Priced at just 4.6m, he represents fantastic value as a third striker and is currently owned by just 0.8% of all FPL managers. Jermaine Defoe also looks like a strong option after finally getting his first two league goals of the season against Wolves, and with a Home game against West Ham he will be looking to get on the score sheet again, although is a little pricey at 8.5m. Finally, Phil Jones is expected to return for Blackburn after making a miraculous recovery from a serious knee injury, although it is unlikely he will last the full 90 minutes. He is definitely one to keep an eye on for the future, after dropping to just 4.2m.

Big Dunc If you're going to get sent off, make sure its for something worthwhile... Follow them on Twitter

  1. Manamongst
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    How long before the match do they put out the line-ups?

    And is there a site that publishes them first?

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    1. Jax
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      not til about 14.15

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    2. gooner dave
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      I'd say this site is generally the best place for line ups.

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    3. $hahriyar
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      45 mins. best source is twitter.

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      1. $hahriyar
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        love your grav btw. I'M RICK JAMES BITCH!!! 😆

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  2. Hegsmouth
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Do you think this is worth an 8 point hit?

    OUT: Tevez, Berbatov, Arteta
    IN: Van Persie, Rooney, VDV

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    1. kennethrhcp
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      id go with a 4 point hit tevez& arteta to vp & vdv? dont know ur situation tho as ur team isnt linked

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      1. Hegsmouth
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        My current team is:

        Harper/Foster
        Kolarov/Simpson/Coleman/Foley/Vidic
        Barton/Nani/A.Young/Adam/Arteta
        Tevez/Zigic/Berbatov

        My team has gone right down the shitter over the past few weeks dude to injuries and suspensions.

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        1. kennethrhcp
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 23 days ago

          ur link takes me to my team, u have to go to history (top right under ur player name,kit, points ranking)its the link from there u use (digits on the end). from above u could go:

          foster
          vidic(hope fit) coleman(has to start)kolorov or simpson
          nani a.young adam barton (hope fit) "vdv"

          "vp" (capt.) berb

          if vidic doesnt play simpson subs in
          if barton doesnt play zigic subs in (if he plays)
          my advise could well backfire on saying dont do an extra 4 point hit on rooney in for berb but its ur call! i know ppl on here hate point hits on defenders but if vidic is out maybe get luiz/a.cole in for the long run (good fixtures after today & a double in 33? hope it works out

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  3. Connor's Calling
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Anyone think Valencia might start over Nani today?
    Can't decide whether to (c) Nani or VdV.
    Bookies have VdV as more likely to score!

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    1. Jax
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      nah, valencia is only back from a good few months out. fergie won't push him straight back in.

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    2. Manamongst
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      and they usually put him opposite of Nani don't they? I would think Giggs would be more of a rotation risk.

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  4. Mole
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    kolarov or johnson?

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    1. grapesland
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      playing kolarov myself

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    2. kennethrhcp
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      im between kolorov or simpson 🙂 id prefer 2b in ur boat! @ the moment im sticking with kolorov

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  5. grapesland
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Is there any doubt at all about van der Vaart starting today? Its been quite a few days since that milan match were he startet, so if nothing has struck him since then, he must be nailed and ready to fire?

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    1. Jax
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      he'll probably start, but it's always a worry with him as he has niggly injuries which keep coming back.

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    2. kennethrhcp
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      he should start today but with real coming up he (& bale) will surely be rested in the league due to their injuries of late

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  6. BoobyZ
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Just noticed that I currently have 5 outfield players who miss GW33 - Kolarov, Huth, Nani, O'Hara & Tevez. Surely I should be start selling them one by one to set myself up decently for GW33?

    How does the following plan sound:
    GW30: Kolarov->Walker
    GW31: Huth->Luiz
    GW32: Tevez->Expensive, in-form forward
    GW33: O'Hara->Adam

    Problem is that for this GW I have Kelly injured and Zigic doubtful. Also need to offload my Liverpool stock looking at their fixtures.

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    1. Jax
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      it's hard to say as there could be a few more injuries to some of those players. gw33 is in 4 weeks so there's a lot of time between now and then...

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      1. jimski
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        Also some of the matches (though not Man City) may be rearranged within that same gameweek.

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  7. donners
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Do or die for my defense today:

    Begovic
    Huth Coleman Baines

    Here's to the double up!

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    1. jayzico
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      me too. who's your captain? Im going lamps

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      1. donners
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        Brave!

        Mine has been jumping between RVP and Rooney all day. Looking like Roon I think.

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    2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      +42! 🙂

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      1. jayzico
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        yeah think i'll prob wimp out and go roonster too

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  8. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Cant understand why luiz is in the scout picks surely city will score they have point to prove?
    I brought luiz in for Djourou in anticipation for easy run of fixtures after this game but I have him as second sub. Adam first sub clark suspended.

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    1. Manamongst
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      I'm just hoping he takes Tevez down in the box.

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  9. $hahriyar
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Captain choice.RVP, nani or VDV?

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    1. Jax
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      nani

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      1. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        Nani only back from injury and looks rusty frosty. I would say RVP he is used to coming back from injury!

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        1. $hahriyar
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 23 days ago

          frosty? oh my.... lol

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        2. Jax
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 23 days ago

          have you not seen his home points though? madness.

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          1. $hahriyar
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 23 days ago

            that's the temptation although I'm leaning toward RVP rite now. nani just isn't convincing me and also seems to have fallen out of favour of the bp judges.

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            1. kennethrhcp
              • 15 Years
              15 years, 23 days ago

              if nani isnt convincing you then why put him in as 1 of ur opions as capt 🙂

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              1. kennethrhcp
                • 15 Years
                15 years, 23 days ago

                *options

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        3. Manamongst
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 23 days ago

          Not to mention RVP looks rusty, no Fabs.

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  10. Only one Di Matteo
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Is
    Silva and Rafael out
    Lampard and Walker in
    worth a 4 point hit?

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    1. Jax
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      yes.

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  11. Suarezchomper
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Is there a Phillip knight on here?

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  12. Dave Bauer
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Same old question...but Tevez out for RVP for 4 points?

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    1. Jax
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      go with your instinct. it's not up to us.

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    2. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Toying with the same idea. Would you captain him if so? If so, a marginal yes for me.

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      1. donners
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        Ya I think that would swing it for me too.

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    3. gooner dave
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Do it........now if only I could take the plunge so easily with my team!!! (still debating same transfer myself)

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      1. Dave Bauer
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        I'm in if you are...!

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    4. donners
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Consensus is to do it, having read the last few pages. I'm not so sure though.

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    5. Manamongst
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Somebody from Chelsea will take Carlos down in the box...

      Guts says Luiz, but I think the John Terry love/benefit of the doubt is over.

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  13. Random_Guy
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Is it really worth bringing in Lampard for Chelsea's sweet run of games? I can't really afford him. Is David Luiz enough for Chelsea coverage?

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    1. Manamongst
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      1-yes
      2-probably, but at least for that "sweet run of games". Alex is almost fit, but can Alex actual defend? Never really thought of that.

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  14. villian-ty
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Quick poll pls
    A or B

    A. Brunt -> Bale
    B. Tevez -> RVP

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    1. 4skins
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      b

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    2. Eddy
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      A

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    3. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      I would go A,Bale should be raring to go.So on MY current form you can safely go B. 🙂

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    4. Manamongst
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      A- play it safe do some spring cleaning and wait for a fuk strength Arsenal.

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  15. 4skins
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    dempsey or saha?

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    1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Neither

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    2. Jax
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      saha v former team = goal at least

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  16. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Are berba owners sticking or ditching?

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    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Sticking.

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    2. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      i'm bringing in berba 🙂

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      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        Go Boom! 🙂

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    3. lightspeed
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      sticking as ditching would be for rooney

      for me that seems pointless atm

      berbs has a decent shout today i reckon - too risky to give him the armband tho

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  17. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    I am actually picking bent as captain not sure if that's mad considering the RVP nani love in here

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    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Good choice, but I have Lampard too ...

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  18. The Gambler.
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    2 boring "forced" transfers so far, 4 point hit:-

    Arteta, Djourou to Smalling, O'Hara

    worth another for Tevez > RVP ??

    fixtures over next few weeks not great for MCY, but will RVP outscore Tevez by 4 points?

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    1. The Gambler.
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      still got more stressing probs with Kelly/Fabs/Odem

      Foster Begovic
      Kelly Coleman Smalling Walker Simpson
      Young A Nani O'Hara Fabregas Van der Vaart
      Odemwingie Tevez Rooney

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    2. lightspeed
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      looking at the same situation

      for me it is not if rvp outscores tevez today but whether he outscores tevez over the next few GW's

      the answer is almost certainly (if he remains fit of course)

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    3. villian-ty
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      think do it. Chelsea have only let in 9 goals at the Bridge. Only them and Man U have let in the least goals at home.

      Last year City score cos Hilario was in goal.

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    4. gooner dave
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      The thing that makes it interesting for me is rvp has good fixtures, a double when tevez has blank gw.
      Downside arsenals recent form and rvp away on international duty. 50/50 call, then throw into the mix tevez could explode at any moment. Gut feeling time I reckon, everyone (including myself) should just go with what they feel is right.

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  19. BoobyZ
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Nasri, Young or Bent?

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    1. badker
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      all 3

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    2. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      i like young 😉

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      1. $hahriyar
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        i like em young too.... oh never mind 😛

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  20. badker
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    kolarov or johnson?

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    1. everyday, i'm shufflin…
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      I like this logic given by someone here..

      If u don't play Foster or other BIR, RJ.
      Otherwise, Kola.

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  21. jayzico
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    is captaining lamps insane? should i just take safe rooney option?

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    1. lightspeed
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      if i had roonster, i would capt him

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    2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Lampard for me! 🙂

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      1. jayzico
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        you going lamps michael. had the band on him all week, just gave it to rooney with 2 hours to go. arghhhhh... lamps rooney lamps rooney???

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  22. Eddy
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Worth an 8 pointer....
    Odemwingie, Cahill & Szczensy >> Rooney, O'Hara & Gomes

    My other keeper is Gordon.

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    1. BoobyZ
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Not worth it

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  23. The Artist
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    been some disparaging talk about rjohnson...

    but benching him in order to start kolarov? is that a bridge too far?

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    1. jimski
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      this is perhaps the hardest question of the gw - no definitive consensus

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    2. badker
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      your right. Johnson can score from set pieces and bp favour him

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  24. Retro
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Morning All. Could everyone please take an 8 point hit to balance mine. Many thanks, Retro.

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    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Sos. Just a four-pointer ... 😉

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      1. Boom!!!
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        12 point hit 8)

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        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 23 days ago

          Mad bugger! 😀

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          1. Boom!!!
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 23 days ago

            16 point hit now 😉

            p.s. time to use wc 🙂

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            1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 23 days ago

              Ha, ha, ha ... 😉

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        2. $hahriyar
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 23 days ago

          you too can basically have an entire conversation by just using smileys, not too shabby eh lol.

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          1. Boom!!!
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 23 days ago

            :mrgreen:

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    2. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      I wasn't going to,but because you asked so nicely.

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  25. Fabtastic
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Out of Silvs > Lamps or Tevez > RVP, which would you do for a 4 point hit?

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    1. Eddy
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Tevez

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  26. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Captain berba anyone???? Could be a 3-5 goal haul again as he will have a point to prove

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    1. Dave Bauer
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      90% chance of 2 points
      5% chance of 4 points
      5% chance of 16-34 points

      So depends if you need a crazy gamble...

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  27. villian-ty
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Note. Man City last away win was back at boxing day

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  28. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    My big dilemma of the day.

    (A) Arteta & Berbatov -> Adam & RVP

    or

    (B) Arteta & Tevez -> Adam & RVP

    Current team is

    Foster
    Baines, Coleman, Kolarov
    Nani, VDV, Nasri, A Young
    Tevez, Berbatov, Zigic

    Subs: Stockdale, Arteta, Djourou, Kelly

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    1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      B as berba should start n has a easier game compared to tevez

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      1. Jinswick
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        Any reason why Berbatov should start over Hernandez?

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  29. donners
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Wow, Malouda and Drogba are still 3rd top FPL scorers for their respective positions. Seems like eons ago since they were viable picks.

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  30. Declan
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    I need a 5.6m or lower striker to replace Wingie, who would you guys recommend, thinking Welbeck, Doyle or a punt on Hoilett?

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    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Beckford, Welbeck, Doyle - in that order ...

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      1. Declan
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        Thanks MMW, I think Doyle is probably the only guarenteed starter..

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