[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
18 March 2011 1124 comments
Big Dunc Big Dunc
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With just nine gameweeks remaining, many of you will be looking at your mini league table and desperately searching for a way to claw back the 50 or so points that stand between you and that git from the office. Playing it safe might keep you in second spot, but why settle for that when you can wipe the smug grin off his face with a transfer of Hitzlsperger-esque proportions? Before you press the button on the obvious Rooney or Lampard move then, cast your eye over our pick of this week’s differentials…..

Chris Smalling

A string of defensive injuries means United are expected to field a makeshift back four of Fabio, Wes Brown, Chris Smalling and Patrice Evra against Bolton. Tough break for United, but it could be a great chance for Smalling to get a run of games under his belt and at just 4.4m he looks great value. While Vidic’s injury is more short term, Ferdinand has already missed nine games through injury, and Ferguson believes he is unlikely to make a comeback anytime soon….

“I’m sure Vidic will be back after the international break, but Rio hasn’t started training yet and we’ll be lucky to maybe get him back for part of the season”

United’s next three fixtures see them host Bolton and Fulham and travel to West Ham, so despite the worrying lack of back up in defense they still look good for clean sheets. Fixtures are not so great after this though, they miss Gameweek 33, then face Everton, Arsenal and Chelsea. You’ll need to invest this week if you are considering him then, but at just 4.4m he should be an easy swap in and out of your side.

Stephane Sessegnon

With all the noise in the media surrounding the departure of Darren Bent for £18 million, many will have overlooked the arrival of Sulley Muntari and Stephane Sessegnon at Sunderland in the January window. Despite all the moaning, Niall Quinn looks to have done very well in the transfer market this year; Asamoah Gyan is getting better every game, and Stephan Sessegnon looks to be worth every penny of the £6 million Sunderland paid for him.

The 26 year old Benin international, has been plying his trade in the French leagues for the last five years, and has plenty of experience in a variety of positions. A skilful and fleet footed winger, Sessegnon was used as a central playmaker in his first season at Paris St Germain, before moving to his more natural role on the wing. He can play on either flank, and likes to run at players as well as shoot from distance whenever he gets the chance, so should pick up a couple of goals at least before the season is through.

A quick glance over the OPTA stats show he has managed 11 shots over the last four weeks, with six of those on target. That puts him up there with the likes of Nani, Kuyt and Lampard in terms of shots so when you consider he also managed five key passes in those games, he looks like a real bargain at just 6.0m.

Sunderland are without a league victory since the end of January, but they are definitely coming back into form, and the return from injury of Lee Cattermole and Danny Welbeck will give them an added boost. Fixtures look great for the run in, with just one of their final seven games coming against a side in the top half of the table, so goals should be on the cards and when they come, Sessegnon has a great chance of being involved.

Sessegnon is currently owned by 0.1% of all FPL managers and has been brought in by just 152 people this week. He is a true differential then, but one that we are expecting big things from.

Victor Moses

Even more of a wildcard pick than Sessegnon is young Victor Moses at Wigan, who has been brought in by just 25 people this week. Despite being classed as a midfielder in the FPL game, Moses has been playing as the main striker in a 4-3-3 formation and is available for just 4.5m, so with fixtures easing up considerably he could be a decent differential alternative as a fifth midfielder.

Moses has struggled to hold down a regular place this season, but he has now started Wigan’s last four league games, and with his confidence growing every game, he is beginning to show some of the potential that made him the hottest property in the 2009/10 January transfer window. Although more of a link up player than an out and out striker, Moses is still capable of scoring some spectacular goals, and his all round play should see him pick up the odd assist and bonus point too.

Wigan’s form has been terrible of late and they have managed just one goal in their last three games, but that was against Liverpool, United and Man City, teams you would expect them to struggle to score against. Home games in the next four against Birmingham, Tottenham and a trip to Blackpool is an entirely different prospect, and with Martinez is refusing to give up on the attacking ethos he has instilled in his young players, we should see them start getting on the scoresheet again. A couple more 4-3 ding dongs like the game against Blackburn would be a nice payback for investors in the likes of Charles Nzogbia or Victor Moses.

Junior Hoilett

After being picked out previously in Gameweek 24, Hoilett went on to hit nine points against West Brom and again looked lively the following week against Spurs, but at the time he was under threat from the arrival of Roque Santa Cruz and the return to fitness of Jason Roberts, so was only floated as a short term punt. A few weeks later and things look a little clearer; Instead of losing his place, it seems Hoilett has been moved out to the wing instead. With his pace and willingness to cut inside and run at defenders, this shouldn’t affect his attacking returns too much and a look at the OPTA stats available to members backs this up; he managed three assist attempts, and six successful dribbles on top of his goal against Fulham.

With a home tie against Blackpool up next, Blackburn will be hoping to score at least a couple so his incredibly low price of 4.0m and ownership of just 0.9% make him worthy of a punt this week, even if your intention is just to use him to free up some funds to spend elsewhere.

Best of the Rest

Danny Welbeck should start against Liverpool on Sunday, and is another strong option from the Sunderland lineup. Priced at just 4.6m, he represents fantastic value as a third striker and is currently owned by just 0.8% of all FPL managers. Jermaine Defoe also looks like a strong option after finally getting his first two league goals of the season against Wolves, and with a Home game against West Ham he will be looking to get on the score sheet again, although is a little pricey at 8.5m. Finally, Phil Jones is expected to return for Blackburn after making a miraculous recovery from a serious knee injury, although it is unlikely he will last the full 90 minutes. He is definitely one to keep an eye on for the future, after dropping to just 4.2m.

Big Dunc If you're going to get sent off, make sure its for something worthwhile... Follow them on Twitter

  1. HuttonDressedasLahm
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Quick poll....
    Begovic huth or
    Foster huth

    Cap??
    Young
    Vdv
    Nani
    Rooney
    Rvp
    Saha

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    1. manu4life99
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Rvp

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      1. Kingston
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        Begovic huth and rooney

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        1. jayzico
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 23 days ago

          +1

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    2. Anti-Ipswich
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Foster Huth. The risk is a little too great with Huth and Begovic. And captain Rooney

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      1. donners
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        No, forget about Huth and make the call between Foster and Begovic on their own merits.

        Bookies say Begovic.

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        1. Jax
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 23 days ago

          begovic will start

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          1. Kingston
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 23 days ago

            Eh, how do you know? Is your name tony pulis? No...

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            1. Jax
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 23 days ago

              he starts all their league games you twat.

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              1. Kingston
                • 15 Years
                15 years, 23 days ago

                Ha ha. Now you're showing yourself up. Begovic has made a couple of gaffes in his last few games and his place is under threat. Now calm down little boy

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                1. Jax
                  • 16 Years
                  15 years, 23 days ago

                  eh, no i'm not. he was great v west brom. so what if he made a mistake v stoke? why don't you lay off for a while eh?

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                  1. Kingston
                    • 15 Years
                    15 years, 23 days ago

                    Begovic WILL start and begovic starts all league games. 2 stupid statements

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                  2. Jax
                    • 16 Years
                    15 years, 23 days ago

                    how are they stupid statements? you really are a tool

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      2. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        To bear in mind.. I'm over 100 ahead of my nearest rival, and want to go for the top 1000 this year, so thinking doubling up could be the only way or I'll just tread water??
        Cap is on Rooney at the mo, but tempted by young or vdv too

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        1. Kingston
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 23 days ago

          Begovic might not even play so that decision may be taken out of your hands

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        2. donners
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 23 days ago

          Yes, don't be swayed by the double-up naysayers - it's a myth (for single-GW decisions, long term is different). Always go for maximum possible points, in this case the odds say Stoke cleanie over Brum.

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          1. HuttonDressedasLahm
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 23 days ago

            Ok done deal, thanks for the advice....Come on Stoke!!

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  2. manu4life99
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Have I chosen the right starting 11?

    Vds
    Evra Coleman baines walker
    Nani vdv nasri young
    Rvp(C) Odemwingie

    Subs: Nolan, zigic, djorou, foster

    Thanks

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    1. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      No

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      1. manu4life99
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        Really helpful, thanks

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      2. jimski
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        play nolan instead of a defender

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        1. Manamongst
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 23 days ago

          +1

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      3. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        Not sure about doubling on Manu at the moment?? Play foster or play nolan instead if evra??

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        1. Chrissy Waddle - 2025/26
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 23 days ago

          +1

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  3. Anti-Ipswich
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Morning all.

    Feel like this could be another crazy gameweek with loads of goals like we did earlier this year. Planning to do Vidic->Baines and Tevez->Defoe for this week for a 4 point hit. Worth it or should I just keep the trade and do just Baines?

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    1. donners
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      How about taking this oppurtunity to cheapen your defense and raise funds for Lampard? Will be hard to find a spare transfer if you want to shift Baines later on.

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    2. greghammer95
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Great weekend for Norwich last time out. More of the same would be nice ay? Reckon you can knick top spot of QPR?

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    3. Louis Van Balls
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      I was thinking Defoe as well but he's just too risky imo.

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  4. badker
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    well Barton or Odewingie? will woy start him and is barton fit?

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    1. SaintMatt
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Odem that's what I'm doing. Could cause arsenal's defence problems you never know.

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  5. 4-4-who?
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Villa 1-3 Wolves. You read it here first...

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      u are mad.u read it here first... 😉

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      1. Manamongst
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        +1, read it here second.

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    2. Jax
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      other way round mate.

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    3. donners
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Ooh I like that, O'Hara goal assist + 3 BPs with that?

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  6. Chrissy Waddle - 2025/26
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Ok - what to do, what to do... here's the gen.

    Already taken 4 point hit for Rafael -> Walker, Zigic -> Carroll.

    Should I do Barton -> VDV for 8 points? I want him anyway but should I wait till after the international break?

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  7. Mani 05
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    young or nani for captain?

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    1. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Are you serious? Ashley Young? Villa have a second rate defence and Wolves are flying; I don't see Villa getting more than a draw, but fancy Wolves for the upset

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      1. villian-ty
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        as a villa fan dont see villa getting much with the def being
        Walker Cuellar Baker Herd.

        Cuellar just come back from injury, Baker is a rookie. Herd is out of position. The amount of recovering the midfield will have to do will limit Villa.

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        1. Jax
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 23 days ago

          villa will play 5 in midfield.

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          1. Mani 05
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 23 days ago

            nani or young for captian?

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      2. Mani 05
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        Bolton are not great at the back either...utd scored 4 against them last year at home

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      3. Louis Van Balls
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        The teams near the bottom are fighting for their EPL lives so anything's possible.

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  8. 4-4-who?
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Not sure VdV will start and certainly not on form given his lay-off. Stick with Barton imo

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  9. villian-ty
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    ok decided one the Tevez -> RVP

    Factors.
    1. Chelsea have only let him 9 goals at home.
    2. Man City last won away at boxing day
    3. Tevez last scored away from home on 2nd Feb
    4. Las year result was due to Hilaro in goal and City had Bellamy who also scored 2

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    1. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Logical argument. I'm now tempted but will leave me with 8.2 in the bank!!!!

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      1. Hect.OR 98th
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        Doesn't matter. If you're happy with your team, that's a great fund to have when one of your players gets injured/suspended. Would help you afford pretty much anyone.

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  10. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Berba or Tevez -> RVP(c) for 4 points this week?

    Seems very 50:50 so far...quick vote people (with reasons if u can be bothered... 😉 )

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    1. jimski
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      It's risky for a hit, but I'd be tempted. Probably Berbatov out, as he's less certain to play many minutes than Tevez.

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    2. Louis Van Balls
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      You need players who start games and Berba just isn't getting the playing time.

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  11. matiakez
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Whats the news on Enrique?? suddenly flagged a yellow? this would leave me without a starting XI? Change things?

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    1. matiakez
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Ps would not be Jose i'd take out but Djourou for Smalling or Dawson or Luiz

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    2. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Been a big doubt all week apparently

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      1. matiakez
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        Time to call in Titus early then..

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  12. Random_Guy
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    RVP or Nani for captain?

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  13. Eddy
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Who is more likely to start...Bale or VDV?

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    1. Louis Van Balls
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      I would think both would start since there is an int. break coming up. After that could be rotation risks.

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  14. MannionUK
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Thinking this as my starting 11... Would anyone change??

    Foster
    Johnson Walker Kolarov Coleman
    Nani VDV Lampard
    Tevez Bent Saha

    I'm worried I don't have Rooney!!

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    1. Eatspressure
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      kolarov wont start why does so many ppl have him in first 11?

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      1. MannionUK
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        How do you know he won't start? He's a mega earner with set pieces!

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      2. Jax
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        eh, how do you know? is your name roberto mancini? no.

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        1. Eatspressure
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 23 days ago

          he wont start, actually he wont even play

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          1. Jax
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 23 days ago

            seriously, how do you know? source? didn't think so...

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        2. MannionUK
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 23 days ago

          I bet you've got him in an hoping for a bit of a differential?

          "Rooney definitely won't start lads.. I can't understand why so many people have him captain!"

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          1. Jax
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 23 days ago

            haha

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            1. Bolivian Seaman
              • 15 Years
              15 years, 23 days ago

              kolarov will start because zabaleta is out, he's attending his dad who is critically ill

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          2. Manamongst
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 23 days ago

            You're a funny one aren't you...

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    2. Louis Van Balls
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      I'd switch Tevez for Roon. Tevez is exhausted and the goals have dried up.

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  15. Eatspressure
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Torres or Tevez ---> Rooney , whoever I keep will be out for rvp next week.

    would you ratgher have Torres or Tevez this week?

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  16. 4skins
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    who to bench?

    A - Saha
    B - Dempsey

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    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Saha, for sure

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      1. Louis Van Balls
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        I'm playing both but I'd play Saha - always go with the home team.

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  17. jayzico
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Another very boring panic post > should i transfer out baines and sturridge for rvp and walker??? ive a feeling sturridge gona score today

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    1. Eatspressure
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      no chance

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      1. jayzico
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        no chance what? transfers or sturridge scoring??? if the latter is the former profitable?

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    2. Manamongst
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      don't do it. Sturridge and Elmander will give Brown and Smaling problems.

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  18. matiakez
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    To bench Jarvis or Raul?

    Liverpool seem incapable on the road and Sunderland particularly the Ghanians will be fired up tday.

    Wolves who knows what you'll get but can anyone really see Villa really keeping a cleansheet?

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  19. bds
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Does anyone believe Downing can match the returns of Ashley Young? Can only afford the former.

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    1. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Quite possibly. Downing has been quality this season.

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    2. matiakez
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      I'd say Downing you'll get more consistent returns..

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      1. bds
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        Thanks!

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        1. Hect.OR 98th
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 23 days ago

          Possibly 2,2,2,2,2......

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          1. bds
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 23 days ago

            Hehe, I actually ignored that plan altogether. Got Lampard in instead.

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            1. HuttonDressedasLahm
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 23 days ago

              Not enough funds for Young, so you got lampard??!!

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              1. bds
                • 16 Years
                15 years, 23 days ago

                Nah, had two different routes to go. Did three transfers in total.

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  20. greghammer95
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Evra -> Dawson/Smalling/Someone in this price range.

    And

    Saha -> RVP

    8 point hit, not worth it is it?

    Already done Tevez -> Rooney.

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  21. ManTree(v2!) or just JAY!
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Adam or Tevez to bench?

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    1. Manamongst
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      tough one. cold calculated says bench Tevez, live for the moment and potential windfall say go with bench Adam. I personally think that Tevez and or Silva will be brought down in the box.

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  22. Caine & Co.
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    I could do Tevez --> Rooney, but I would want Tevez back in GW34 so I decided that I would hold on to Tevez and save myself 2 transfers (8 points). But if ManU have a midweek match in GW33 that would change things because I would like to have Rooney for 4 gameweeks rather than Tevez for 3 gameweeks + 8 points.

    What do you think, is there a good possibility that ManU have a match in GW33?

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    1. greghammer95
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      I only want Tevez back for GW35 (Blimey, were almost finished :'( ) Blackburn (A), and then Rooney has West Ham (A) rather than Sunderland (H) which imo, is an easier fixture.

      Idk about that possibility, someone else will though.

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      1. Caine & Co.
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        Cheers, I guess the rational decision would be to go for Rooney. If I hang on to Tevez I would just be crossing my fingers and hoping Rooney to do nothing. Tevez needs to go now, it's sad though since he is the only player I have had all season =(

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        1. greghammer95
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 23 days ago

          Fair dos for having him all season, I do not have one player I have had all season. Kept VDV since GW8 though 🙂

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  23. jimski
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Will Coleman actually play this week?

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    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      he'd better!!

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  24. teddy.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    What do you reckon:

    Is Silva OUT VDV IN worth 4 points?

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  25. Eddy
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Can't decide...

    A) Odemwingie & Cahill > Rooney & O'Hara (4 points)
    B) Odemwingie & Cahill & Tevez > Rooney & Bale & RVP (8 points)

    Help would be appreciated

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    1. greghammer95
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      I'd go for the 8 point hit myself.

      What about a 4 point hit to do Tevez -> Rooney and Cahill -> VDV ?? Leave RVP until next week? I am doing that. Just a suggestion.

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      1. Eddy
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        Yeah cheers, that could be an option....how long do you think VDV will play?

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        1. greghammer95
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 23 days ago

          It all depends really, if Spurs are cruising (Hopefully not) then he will be bought off at around 60/70, if not then he'll stay on imo.

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    2. Louis Van Balls
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Go with B - it'll be worth it!

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  26. Blue Pelican
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    chelsea vs man city will be a 0-0. neither team can win this one. i have a big bet on this one.

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    1. g-doo
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      i hope not ive put money on over 2.5 goals.

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    2. greghammer95
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      What do you know that we don't? Some sort of match fixing going on?

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      1. g-doo
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        im hoping for a 2-1, i think its definatley a possibility!?

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    3. Bolivian Seaman
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      i think it will be 2-0

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      1. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        Ill go 0-0 too, which is making me doubt benching Kolarov!!

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        1. Jax
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 23 days ago

          chelsea will hardly draw 0-0 twice in 4 days...

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          1. jayzico
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 23 days ago

            +1 there was massive scoring in last years fixture. it's both team's biggest league game of the season. NO WAY will there be no goals

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  27. Robbo_The_Yobbo
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Begovic
    Coleman, Koscielny, Huth
    Adam, Nani, Nolan, Meireles, Nasri
    Rooney(C),Van Persie

    Bench: Foster, Tevez, Carr, Walker

    Thoughts on best combination?

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    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Wouldnt bench a 12 mil striker over ...in order, Adam, Meireiles, Nolan

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      1. Robbo_The_Yobbo
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        Cheers!

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  28. DJFootball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    Team for this week is:-

    Begovic

    Huth R Johnson Coleman

    Lampard Adam Nani VDV

    Saha RVP Rooney (cpt)

    Subs:- Foster, Nolan, Williamson, Evatt

    Took a 4 point hit to get RVP, and Lampard in. Should I swap a defender too for -8, or wait a week??

    Should Foster or Nolan play?

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    1. donners
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Wait a week.

      Your bench is fine.

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      1. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 23 days ago

        Hell no, your team is strong. Like your strike force...same as mine

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  29. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    If all your subs are injured and your starting 11 is as follows, is it too much of a risk to just do Tevez -> RVP(c) and keep a bench full of cripples? I'm thinking RVP's potential to score big makes it worth the risk of only fielding potentially 10....

    Foster
    Kolarov, Baines, Coleman
    Nani, VDV, Nasri, A Young
    Berbatov, Zigic, Tevez

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    1. donners
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 23 days ago

      Hmmm, you could potentially find yourself with only 7 starters from the above 11...

      (Kolarov Coleman Berba Zigic)

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  30. Squerly4568
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 23 days ago

    who to start n'zogbia or o'hara?

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