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The Numbers Game – Goal Threat On A Budget

4 November 2011 462 comments
Mark Mark
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In this latest Members article, we investigate the low-to-mid price striker market, examining those forwards available for 7.5 or less in the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) game. We put creativity and assists to one side, focusing solely on goal threat to examine shots per minute and shots on target per minute data, comparing the popular budget strikers to the performance of the heavy-hitters – Robin Van Persie, Luis Suarez, Wayne Rooney and Sergio Aguero.

The article helps to identify the prime long-term targets within the sub 7.5 price bracket and those who perhaps represent a sound short-term punt in the coming weeks.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

462 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Super Drenthe
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Two Questions
    1.Which two shall I play out of Pilkington(avl),Eagles(STO),Graham(liv) leaning towards Graham and Eagles,but you never know with Pilks.

    2.What do you think of my team.

    Vorm Ruddy
    P Jones Enrique Simpson Tierney Naylor
    Nani Silva VDV Pilkington Eagles
    Rooney RVP Graham
    0.3m in the bank

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    1. Johnny Unitas
      14 years, 11 months ago

      I would play Eagles and Pilkington actually, but Graham is on pens, I just see Villa having more chance of conceding than Liverpool, but it really is toss of the coin stuff.

      Nice team bar Nani and Rooney, one is enough, and if Nani finds form again I think it would be him.

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      1. eugtan
        14 years, 11 months ago

        Graham is on pens? How did Sinclair score?

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    2. Le Bluff
      14 years, 11 months ago

      How long have you had Eagles? Looking at maybe getting him in and was wondering if you'd followed any of his performances?

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    3. Shakhtar Senseless
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Hey man, I'd go for Pilkington and Eagles personally. I don't see Graham doing that well this weekend, and Pilkington and Eagles pose more of a goal threat from open play. Nice time, good to see someone else sticking with Roonpig.

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  2. Kings of Lyon ★
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Epic read Mark thanks! This is what I was looking for. It's confirmed the two mid range strikers i'm looking at

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    1. tosey
      14 years, 11 months ago

      its got me considering saha if i can come up with a transfer plan where i always have 2 freebies incase he gets injured

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      1. Kings of Lyon ★
        14 years, 11 months ago

        I was thinking that too, but trebling on everton could be risky with Jags and Drenthe certs for my team.

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        1. tosey
          14 years, 11 months ago

          i dont like the pick of jagielka myself, either hibbert or baines id go for

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          1. Kings of Lyon ★
            14 years, 11 months ago

            Why you not too keen on Jags? I don't know too much about him but hibbert has never score a goal in his career, or so i'm told

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            1. tosey
              14 years, 11 months ago

              jags doesnt really, for the extra money i doubt youll get much if anything more than hibbert would get u

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              1. colin1201
                14 years, 11 months ago

                yup, hibbert is hardly a goal threat.
                although he is MUCH cheaper

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                1. Henry Hill
                  14 years, 11 months ago

                  Is Hibbert a regular? Baines is priced way too high to be considered an option in my opinion

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  3. blip
    14 years, 11 months ago

    I’d be eternally grateful to anyone who could help me catch my boss in my company league!

    Current Team is:

    Al-Habsi (Vorm)
    Clichy, Jagielka, Shawcross (Bosingwa, Hughes)
    Wright-Phillips, Ramires, Cabaye, Modric (Faurlin)
    Rooney, Agbonlahor, Dzeko

    3.1m in bank, 2 GW transfers

    A lot of ill-advised choices there, I know. Hence why I need to play catch-up. I need a reserve defender really with Bos and Hughes injured and Shawcross doubtful. So I might grab Jones?

    Also thinking of Rooney > RvP, and Modric > Silva/VdV.

    Those 3 for a 4-point hit? Or can anyone see any better options for me?

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    1. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Jayus!
      Wildcard

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    2. Johnny Unitas
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Hughes OUT Jones IN
      Rooney OUT RVP IN
      Modric OUT VDV IN

      Are all worth a 4 point hit in my view. Silva is slightly doubtful so no point in going for him, Rooney is more than likely going to be played in midfield at least for this weekend anyway in my view and RVP is on fire, and Modric just doesn't do enough in fantasy terms to warrant inclusion, VDV is the man.

      Go for the Dutch courage!

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      1. blip
        14 years, 11 months ago

        Jones definitely? I was also looking at Enrique, though he does have a trickier run of fixtures after this weekend...

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  4. Freshy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Bos is injured???

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    1. Kostja
      14 years, 11 months ago

      What what?

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    2. Hect.OR 98th
      14 years, 11 months ago

      I don't think he is

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    3. blip
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Sorry, typo (ish). Just generally doubtful, I’m led to believe…

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    4. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      14 years, 11 months ago

      blip says:
      I need a reserve defender really with Bos and Hughes injured and Shawcross doubtful.
      new to me

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    5. Kostja
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Any links guys?

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      1. Hect.OR 98th
        14 years, 11 months ago

        He is only doubtful because he's been crap and there's a risk of him being dropped. Hope not because my two spare defenders are Kompany and Fitz Hall so no back-up this week.

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        1. Kostja
          14 years, 11 months ago

          GD damn I wished he was that would have solved my dilemma between Komp or Bos out.

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  5. JoeySamSam
    14 years, 11 months ago

    What do you think of my team for the week? Any of the subs should be starting?

    Given
    RTaylor Jones Richards
    Ramsey VDV Petrov Drenthe Silva
    Adebayor RVP

    Vorm Balotelli Simpson DeLaet

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    1. blip
      14 years, 11 months ago

      For some reason I reckon Balotelli's good for this weekend, but you only need look at my team above to realise you shouldn't be taking my advice!

      Still... Super Mario!

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      1. JoeySamSam
        14 years, 11 months ago

        really? he played midweek for city and played the full 90, surely aguero and dzeko will play?

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  6. Christina.
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Now if I can just open FPL...

    😕

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  7. RottenTroll
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Best combination of GKs for 8.5M - thinking Kenny & Ruddy?

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    1. RottenTroll
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Anyone prepared to beat Kenny&Ruddy for best £8.5M Gk combination?

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  8. jimnastics
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Ba, Sturridge and Graham are the only 3 I'd ever consider out of that bunch. The rest just stink of 8, 2, 2, 1, 2, 2, 6 throughout the season... I don't need that kind of inconsistency in my team. Ba and Graham only after their difficult fixtures.

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  9. kaz 96
    14 years, 11 months ago

    team for this week
    schwarzer
    ward,bosingwa,warnock(kom,naylor)
    shd i bring in jones for bos/kompany or save the transfer?

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  10. RD
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Is richards nailed on??

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    1. Hect.OR 98th
      14 years, 11 months ago

      no

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    2. zoltar74
      14 years, 11 months ago

      for sure, especially with no Komp

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  11. kaz 96
    14 years, 11 months ago

    is evra injured?

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    1. heco87
      14 years, 11 months ago

      No, but his brother just died I think

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    2. Kostja
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Hell miss one game, because hes attending hes brothers funeral

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      1. UnitedAdelaide
        14 years, 11 months ago

        that's an assumption

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        1. Kostja
          14 years, 11 months ago

          well yes to be fair, but based on the reports that have been coming out.

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          1. UnitedAdelaide
            14 years, 11 months ago

            yeah i guess so

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  12. 4toon31
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Can I ask why this team of mine is doing so poorly?

    Al-habsi Given
    Shawcross Kompany Simpson Enrique Bosingwa
    VDV Silva Larsson Ramsey Petrov
    Aguero Sturride Agbonlahor

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    1. UnitedAdelaide
      14 years, 11 months ago

      define 'poorly' ?

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      1. UnitedAdelaide
        14 years, 11 months ago

        my mate said he wasnt happy with his team yet he was top 75k :-s

        so different people have different ideas of poorly

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    2. Optimus.
      14 years, 11 months ago

      no rvp thats why

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    3. tosey
      14 years, 11 months ago

      5 of your back 7 cost over £5m. downgrade a couple n upgrade the attack

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    4. King Nil Miss ✩
      14 years, 11 months ago

      If you have that team for some time i don´t know how you´re doing badly..although that pair of strikers haven´t deliver much lately but overall looks good..maybe try and trade a defender for a cheaper one to stiff your front line.

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  13. woodenarmadillo
    14 years, 11 months ago

    How comes I cant go to the members area ^^

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    1. Optimus.
      14 years, 11 months ago

      are you a member???

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      1. UnitedAdelaide
        14 years, 11 months ago

        lol

        how come i cant use the TV?
        is it switched on?

        😉

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        1. King Nil Miss ✩
          14 years, 11 months ago

          How come I can´t use my blu-ray?
          Is it because I sold my TV to buy it?

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          1. UnitedAdelaide
            14 years, 11 months ago

            lol
            😉

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          2. Fratboy
            14 years, 11 months ago

            How come I can't view Sky One HD?
            My TV says it's HD ready?

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            1. woodenarmadillo
              14 years, 11 months ago

              I was actually once called out to somebodies home who had just gotten internet but didnt have a computer and wanted to get his tv hooked up to view all the free movies etc (this was back in the 90s)... sigh

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              1. UnitedAdelaide
                14 years, 11 months ago

                oh dear

                were they billed for that call out?
                lol

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                1. woodenarmadillo
                  14 years, 11 months ago

                  fek yeah.. although I dont think he quite knew wat the itnernetss was

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                  1. Fratboy
                    14 years, 11 months ago

                    Lol 🙂

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      2. Scroobius Mac
        14 years, 11 months ago

        Obvious answer seeks obvious question 😀

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      3. woodenarmadillo
        14 years, 11 months ago

        heh yes... its fine now 😀

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  14. bmb100
    14 years, 11 months ago

    AJ or Graham, really struggling to choose who is the better option in the mid-term.

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    1. Kostja
      14 years, 11 months ago

      AJ, Swanseas fixtures are really poor, if you can afford it, give Hoylett or Yakubu a look.

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    2. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Swans have a much better schedule

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      1. Kostja
        14 years, 11 months ago

        Really over the next 6 swans have 3 tough oppositions, BBurn have 2 and Chelsea arent really that solid in the back. And Hoilett is on pens where as Graham wont get near set pieces

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    3. UnitedAdelaide
      14 years, 11 months ago

      lol
      well there's some conflicting answers for you 😉

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  15. shiffo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Hey guys.. problem with my defence for the next 2 gw, help appreciated.

    Bosingwa, Kompany, Simpson, de Laet and N Taylor.. I've already made a transfer and currently thinking about paying 4 pts as my back line is weak for this gw (and next): Bos (doubt), Simpson, Taylor (away to Liverpool)..

    Would you pay and if so get Evans for Bosingwa or Wilkinson for de Laet? Thanks

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    1. 4toon31
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Jones for Kompany standard

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  16. Michael Jordan - call me MJ
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Stat attack: 25 years ago, Alex Ferguson took charge of Man Utd. The bottom four that day were Man Utd, Chelsea, Man City and Newcastle. The top 4 this day are the exact same!

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    1. Scroobius Mac
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Thats brilliant!

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    2. Fratboy
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Beautiful! Frickin' love stats like these 🙂

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    3. adams_6
      14 years, 11 months ago

      If that is true it's stat GOLD and you instantly go to the top of the John Motson Stat board

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  17. Scroobius Mac
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Really tempted to do Sturridge > Aguero (-4)

    Pros - Aguero should outscore Sturridge but by 4 or not I'm not sure. Aguero has a much higher ceiling.

    Cons - my defence is good this week (relatively) but needs sorting in the long-run - should I use the excess cash while I have it to get Jones in?
    Aguero has international fixtures followed by a champs league game - could be rested in the next game.
    Lots here think Adebayor has gone off the boil and could be the one to be dropped.

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    1. jamsiep
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Would get rid of Sturridge or Adebayor, even for Aguero.

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      1. jamsiep
        14 years, 11 months ago

        Wouldn't

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      2. Scroobius Mac
        14 years, 11 months ago

        No that is the thing. All my players who are potentially shippable this week have good fixtures. My back for for example have Brown and Kompany who aren't going to play but are good for the future, Simpson who is average this week but is cheap and combines well with brown and then Warnock and Ward who are crap but have great fixture.

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  18. jamsiep
    14 years, 11 months ago

    <------

    Can't wait for 5:30 tomorrow.

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  19. Henry Hill
    14 years, 11 months ago

    I know who is going to be in scout picks this week:
    -Demba Ba
    -Luis Suarez
    -Van Persie
    -Van der Vaart
    -Jamie O'Hara

    Guess how I know?

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    1. UnitedAdelaide
      14 years, 11 months ago

      i give up

      goooo onnnnn, tell me, the suspense is killing me

      lol

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      1. Henry Hill
        14 years, 11 months ago

        Paddy Power specials give the game away, some good bets there

        http://www.paddypower.com/football/football-specials/fantasy-scout-specials

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        1. UnitedAdelaide
          14 years, 11 months ago

          lol
          whats your Paddy Power employee number?
          😉

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    2. JoeySamSam
      14 years, 11 months ago

      how?

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  20. Forest4Life
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Song a good option??

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    1. King Nil Miss ✩
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Wait for it...wait...

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    2. Fratboy
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Aye not bad man, for a defensive mid he always seems to find himself in the right position, whether it be a decisive pass or a rebound effort.

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      1. King Nil Miss ✩
        14 years, 11 months ago

        here it is! 😉

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        1. Fratboy
          14 years, 11 months ago

          Don't think Doosra is on so thought I'd fill in haha

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          1. King Nil Miss ✩
            14 years, 11 months ago

            😉

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    3. hmmm
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Over Ramsey?

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      1. Forest4Life
        14 years, 11 months ago

        No with and with RVP

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  21. @FuzzyWarbles
    14 years, 11 months ago

    ok, terrific

    did kompany->evans. Probably will kick myself for not going jones instead, but im a miser.

    Krul

    Enrique, Shawcross, R Taylor, Evans

    VDV, Silva, Petrov

    RVP(C), Suarez, A Johnson

    (Sessegnon, Dyer, Boyata) 5.8 in bank

    After two great GWs, this team is a mess right? 4 point hit in order? Dyer->Nani, Mata? Or roll as is and pray silva and/or shawcross play?

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    1. Fratboy
      14 years, 11 months ago

      You had that much cash and you avoided Jones?!

      For some reason Hebrew springs to mind...

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      1. @FuzzyWarbles
        14 years, 11 months ago

        want to bring in whatever heavy hitter i want after the break. so would you spend 4 points now instead with all the current doubts?

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        1. Fratboy
          14 years, 11 months ago

          I'd wait until after the break Fuzzy, Evans should start this weekend I think. You have a good enough team this week.

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  22. Binman_UK
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Ok my defence isn't looking good for this week. Currently consists of:

    Given
    Brown Simpson Wilkinson
    Petrov VDV Silva Nani
    RVP(c) Sturridge Suarez(v)

    Bench: Vorm Moses Kompany Senderos
    Bank: £0.0m

    Which transfers look best?

    Kompany --> Jones (no hit)
    Kompany --> JEvans, Petrov --> Walters (4pt hit)
    Brown --> JEvans (no hit)

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  23. Screaming Midget
    14 years, 11 months ago

    So who's going for De Gea + Evans? 🙂

    I've gone for Jones as:
    a) I think Evans will start being rotated a lot more than Jones, due to simply not being as good and better players coming back.
    b) Krul and Vorm rotation can do as well vs playing De Gea pretty much every game with Vorm mainly as sub.

    However I think De Gea will be great value during United's run. I just hope Jones can be better.

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    1. Kuqi Monster
      14 years, 11 months ago

      I brought in jones this week, worth the extra over evans imo

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    2. adams_6
      14 years, 11 months ago

      I just can't bring myself to put Evans in. He's SHIT

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  24. Flubber
    14 years, 11 months ago

    I need some help with my team too many players who might not be involved.

    Krul (Vorm)
    Simpson , Brown , Bosingwa (De laet, Kompany)
    Modric, Vaart , Walters, Silva (Dyer)
    Sturridge, RVP, Suarez

    1.4m in Bank

    Thinking of taking 4 point hit

    1 Defender and 1 Midfielder

    Any Ideas ?

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  25. Super Drenthe
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Wickham as a differential anyone????

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    1. eviemonkey
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Bruce was saying something about reverting to 4-5-1 so Wickham would be benched again in that scenario.

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    2. Christina.
      14 years, 11 months ago

      A differential only works if he has very low ownership AND he scores a ton of points while others with high ownership(RVP/Suarez/Ba) don't. So no.

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  26. Da Kril
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Need help with last bit of selection...
    Which of these two to start this weekend — B Johnson at Villa, or Brunt at Arsenal?
    Who will do you reckon will do better? Thanks in advance.

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  27. Scroobius Mac
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Wayne Rooney should be restored to a more advanced role tomorrow after his game in central midfield in midweek, with Darren Fletcher likely to be back in that position and Danny Welbeck among those hoping for a recall.

    Anders Lindegaard could also play in goal as Ferguson is mindful of the Dane's status as second choice for his country, meaning that he might not have a game for a fortnight.

    Opinion only but worth a thought.
    http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/2011/nov/04/jonny-evans-manchester-united-derby?CMP=twt_gu

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  28. woodenarmadillo
    14 years, 11 months ago

    This article makes me want to do the sturridge to suarez move even more! 🙁

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  29. Freshy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    14 years, 11 months ago

    jamsiep when will it be fair to drop some blame on AVB?

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    1. King Nil Miss ✩
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Blame on what precisely?

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  30. woodenarmadillo
    14 years, 11 months ago

    So follow up question

    a. Sturridge > Suarez
    b. M.Petrov > Ramsey
    c. M.Petrov > Walcott
    d. M.Petrov > Drenthe
    e. Just calm the fek down

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    1. Christina.
      14 years, 11 months ago

      f. Link your team.

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