[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
16 March 2012 1198 comments
Big Dunc Big Dunc
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With Wayne Rooney and Robin Van Persie quickly becoming the strike force of choice, the budget-busting duo has had many fantasy managers frantically searching for ways to free up some cash.

Third striker options have been our hot topic this week, but as we’ve already brought you detailed analysis in our member’s articles here and here and discussed at length in the weekly podcast, for this week’s Differential picks we’ve ignored the safe options and opted for three hot prospects right at the beginning of a potential hot streak.

As always, our Differential picks carry a fair amount of risk, but that just increases the satisfaction should they come good; with average ownership of just 0.1% in the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) game, each has the potential to earn you the ultimate bragging rights should they go on a Sigurdsson-esque run of points. Yep, Andy is still going on about that one…

Andreas Weimann

After featuring the talents of Gary Gardner a couple of weeks ago, we’re turning our attention to another exciting young player to come through the ranks at Aston Villa, in Austrian U21 International Andreas Weimann. After scoring two hat-tricks for the reserves earlier in the season, many Villa fans had been calling for the young star to get a chance in the first team, and his late winner against Fulham last weekend has made the 20-year-old striker a big hit with the home crowd already.

With Darren Bent ruled out for three months after ankle surgery, Weimann now has a great chance to nail down a first team place and although he should still be considered a risky choice, he is widely expected to get his first start against Bolton and could provide a great differential return if you’re willing to jump on the wagon early. His goal against Fulham saw his ownership more than double this week but that isn’t saying much, he only had 86 owners in the first place. Of 2.5 million players in the FPL game, that is not even enough to be rounded up from 0.0%.

Marc-Antoine Fortune

Last week’s blip at Old Trafford aside, West Brom have been the form side of recent weeks and the likes of Peter Odemwingie, Marc-Antoine Fortune and James Morrison have been racking up the points. Although his overall returns in the four weeks previous have been overshadowed by Odemwingie’s goal scoring frenzy, Fortune still ranks well statistically, while West Brom’s away form is also worth mentioning here; 21 of their 35 points and 20 of their 34 goals have come on the road. This weekend’s trip to Wigan should have West Brom’s attacking players licking their lips in anticipation.

After slipping down the pecking order and being farmed out on loan earlier in the season, not many people expected Fortune to even be at the club in February, never mind be playing a key role in the side for the run in. Shane Long returned to fitness a few weeks ago and is an obvious threat to his place in the side but he’s playing so well, that looks pretty unlikely. Hodgson has been full of praise for his rejuvenated striker and with Odemwingie also a major doubt for this weekend’s game, Fortune looks assured of a starting role once again. With an ownership of 0.1% and priced at just 5.2, Fortune looks a decent punt for the next couple, then and provides yet another strong differential option for that third striker spot with 0.1% ownership.

Nikija Jelavic

David Moyes is renowned for introducing his new signings and injury returnees gradually but after Moyes’ grafters failed to make any kind of impact at Anfield, the more creative talents of Osman and Jelavic now look essential if Everton are to make a final push towards the last European spot. Jelavic’s stunning winner against Tottenham may have come against the run of play, but the Croatian striker was good value for his goal and looked a threat throughout the game, so it’s hard to believe that his bench role last time out was for anything other than a lack of full match fitness.

Everton’s biggest weakness has been their scoring record, but that’s more to do with a lack of end product than an ability to create chances – the signing of Jelavic in January was an obvious one then; a tall target man that can hold the ball up as well as finish should slot straight into the side considering the pace and crossing ability of the players around him.

A quick look over the history for Jelavic gives some pretty promising stats; another three goals this season and he will have hit 20 goals in each of his last three campaigns, something that Everton have achieved from a player only once since the days of Peter Beardsley and Tony Cottee. Although much has been made of the difference between the SPL and the Premier League, Jelavic looks more than capable of stepping up and priced at just 5.9 and with an ownership of 0.2%, he could be a cracking choice as a third striker for the run in.

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  1. Mattymo23
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Brunt to play tommorow?

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  2. Hazard267
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    where are the fixtures for that cup i eneterned yestday...?

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    1. GreenWindmill
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      First round is qualification - no opponent, highest scores qualify.

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      1. Hazard267
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        oh ok

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  3. gruffyboy
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Taarabt to....

    Siggy or Morrison???

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    1. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      Morrison.

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  4. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Granted the Poll picks Rooney as Captain for most people but will he rdgurn higher than Rvp, Dempsey or Bale this wk?

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  5. Nibbsy
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Should I do Skrtel - BAE? Already got Enrique so would avoid doubling on Liverpool defs or playing Simpson. Team is:

    Schwarzer Mignolet
    Skrtel Enrique Evans Simpson Caulker
    Bale Dempsey Young Siggy Miyaichi
    RVP Rooney Suarez
    0.2 1FT

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    1. gruffyboy
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      I don't trust Spurs defence at the moment...

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      1. Nibbsy
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        I know what you mean, but Stoke at home is a nicer fixture than they've had recently. Plus I'm going to want him for the run in and he's going up tonight.

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        1. Belli2007
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 23 days ago

          Away at Chelsea the following week

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          1. Nibbsy
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 23 days ago

            Good point, but could always bench him and play Enrique, Evans, Caulker?

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  6. fc_gorbachev
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Moses or Enrique to start? apologies comment was lost on last page.

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    1. Just One More Thing
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      Enrique

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  7. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    I am looking at RVP's history despite his big points hauls he does have a tendency to do nothing every couple of games.
    Since Dec 27 he has scored 2 points four times. That is four times in eleven games he has done nothing.
    Plus it was not against difficult teams either:
    Wolves (H),Fulham (A), Bolton (A) and Sunderland (A).
    This always captain RVP is a myth.

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    1. The3rdTurd
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      I think it's more a case of: when in doubt captain RvP

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    2. Blue-Ghosts
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      thats why u always captain him! because most ppl captain him against them but few captain him against teams like chelsea and liverpool where he hit 19 and 13! most ppl would agree they'd be better off if they left it on rvp all year

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      1. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        Maybe so but I brought him in week 11. So the only double figure big haul I missed was the Liverpool game.
        Feels like your robbed when he gets ONLY 2.
        Ah maybe I am just sore because I backed Arsenal to beat Fulham a while back. I was convinced put on a big bet and lost. I might be somewhat biased!

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  8. fredwestham
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    I'm down to what is proving to be a difficult choice for many this week...Sigurdsson or McClean for that final spot?Cheers.

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    1. Just One More Thing
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      McClean

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    2. Ivor
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      Same dilemma here, I'll be playing Sigurdsson.

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    3. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      McClean. Blackburn concede for fun.

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      1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        Didn't you see our water tight defence keep out that potent Wolves attack? 😉

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  9. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Have Nani and 1 free transfer - do I:

    a) keep him
    b) -> Young
    c) -> Bale
    d) something else

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    1. Just One More Thing
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      a

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    2. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      Keep. So D.

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      1. Jinswick
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        He's not appearing in any of the predicted line ups for MUN this w/e though - concerning.

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        1. Nomar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 23 days ago

          He is starting on Guardian squad sheets.

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          1. CABAYE4
            • 14 Years
            14 years, 23 days ago

            Possible the most unreliable and random line ups predictions in general, wouldn't take any notice of them.

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  10. GreenWindmill
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Any chance Nani plays this week? Can't believe he's still out 🙁

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  11. rasher
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    bale captain for me..

    suprised he's 5th in the poll

    spurs will bounce back this week..

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    1. For Fuchs Sake
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      FA Cup game this weekend, so anything could happen and tiredness

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      1. rasher
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        just remembered after i wrtoe that..

        your dead right

        im gonna put it on ba. risky but hes due some goals and a gome v norwich gives him a good chance

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  12. Guinney
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Rooney 75% chance of playing 🙁
    I also have Simpson at 50% & Raylor at 25%

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    1. Shipstontrev
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      He's my captain too. Surely Fergie will play him, he wants Man U to be 4 points ahead of City before they play Chelsea.

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    2. Jax
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      raylor is out 100%

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  13. Hazard267
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    is no one captaining pog like me and im VC dempsey

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    1. Just One More Thing
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      Haven't got him. Rooney (c), Dempsey (vc). Makes sense to have a VC on a player that is not affected by the FA Cup games.

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      1. Hazard267
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        Ive gone for given on VC instead

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        1. Jax
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 23 days ago

          bolton will score in a 1-1 draw

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    2. Mull
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      Risky but if it come off then your rank will go up by a lot due to him being a differential.

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    3. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      Pavel Pogrebnyak is my vice captain...I think I managed to spell it right.
      Wayne Rooney Captain.
      But I don't have Dempsey I felt it was Fulham overkill.
      A Dempsey is not for Christmas just for home games.

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  14. Parm
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    For all the Nani owners keep and play him, but make sure you have a good 1st sub.

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    1. Hazard267
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      Mata for me

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    2. Just One More Thing
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      I've got Simpson at the moment; then Graham - coverage enough I reckon. But a no-show this week will force my hand.

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    3. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      That's my concern - my bench is horrible

      Surman (new), Caulker (ful) and Shotton (che)

      Worth doing Nani -> Bale or Young for free?. Nani doesn't appear to be in any of the predicted line ups....

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      1. Parm
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        The Guardian has faith in him.........

        http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/2012/mar/16/squad-sheets-wolves-manchester-united

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        1. little_wizard123
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 23 days ago

          Yeah but they have Young on the right so they'll be wrong.

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        2. GREENDREAMS11
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 23 days ago

          haven't they got Ashley Young on the wrong side of the pitch though !!!

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    4. Nibbsy
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      Miyaichi or Enrique first sub? Also have Skrtel.

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  15. Hazard267
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Begging nani plays my only man u cover

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  16. Blue-Ghosts
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    2 big questions and i need answers!
    (1- Nani to Dempsey (no hit)
    (2- Rooney or RVP captain?

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    1. gruffyboy
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      Yes and Shrek

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      1. Blue-Ghosts
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        cheers pal

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  17. WhoIsRonaldo
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Guys if you havent Rooney who would you captain? I have also problem with which defense to play from caulker simpson or shawcross as I have vorm in goal and considering Dempsey as captain but seems silly captaining him with vorm and caulker thoughts appreciated please

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    1. Blue-Ghosts
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      captain rvp mate

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      1. WhoIsRonaldo
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        I have doubts for RVP though away to Everton looked through his recent away stats Liverpool aside may not get that big of points

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        1. Blue-Ghosts
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 23 days ago

          yea but thing is bale has fa cup this week so he's not an option. Dempsey is a good shout alright but everton have fa cup this weekend too while rvp gets a break so i'd have to fancy a fresh rvp againest everton on wednesday

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          1. WhoIsRonaldo
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 23 days ago

            Thanks mate good thinking

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    2. Shipstontrev
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      My VC is RVP at a tired Everton. Normally I'd play Simpson, but Shawcross could get a surprise cleanie .

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      1. WhoIsRonaldo
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        I benched caulker last week trying to be smart but kelly played and i lost a potential 7 points so reluctant to bench him 2 weeks running

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        1. Shipstontrev
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 23 days ago

          But Swansea don't travel well and Fulbam are usually very good at home

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      2. Jax
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        at a tired everton??? eh what?

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        1. Shipstontrev
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 23 days ago

          Everton playing 3 games in 7 days, they'll be knackered by the middle of next week.

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          1. Jax
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 23 days ago

            they're professional footballers. they should be fit and raring to go. plus, moyes changes his team around a lot. low scoring game v arsenal beckons.

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  18. Ferris Bueller
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Which two to play alongside Evans in defence?
    A) Kelly (SWA)
    B) Skrtel (qpr)
    C) Williamson (NOR)

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    1. Eoin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      Kelly and Skrtel imo. I'm doing the same and benching Simpson.

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      1. Just One More Thing
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        +1

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    2. Just One More Thing
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      A & B

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    3. gruffyboy
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      Tough but C

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    4. Jax
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      wolves will score imo

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  19. blind faith
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Worth keeping the armband on rooney (thinkin if he doesn't start then he's not guna come on as sub)
    So vc to who? Ba - rvp - bale?

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    1. Blue-Ghosts
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      rvp

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    2. blind faith
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      Or dempsey?

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      1. fredwestham
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        Yes...Dempsey, he has been rolling in points at craven cottage!

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  20. Eoin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Al Habsi

    Evans - Skrtel - Kelly

    Silva - Bale - Sigurdsson - Valencia

    Ba - Rooney (C) - RVP (VC)

    Subs: Vorm - 1. McClean 2. Simpson 3. Caulker

    Ready to go?

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    1. Blue-Ghosts
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      yep looks good! maybe mcclean over siggy

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      1. Eoin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        Can see where you're coming from but Siggy always saves his best for those away days!

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  21. GreenWindmill
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Not sure the last time I owned a player in the differentials - I appear to be quite a boring manager 😕

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    1. Parm
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      Most of them are only one week punts.

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  22. 1966 was a great year for E…
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Does it make sense to just go for Walcott over Valencia this week, and get Valencia in later?

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    1. blind faith
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      Perfect sense!

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      1. 1966 was a great year for E…
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        Good, good!

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    2. odannyboys
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      yes

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  23. sozopol
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Anybody think Suarez + 4 = Rooney this week?

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    1. Blue-Ghosts
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      if rooney plays he should beat suarez by more than 4

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    2. WhoIsRonaldo
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      Dont take a hit to get in a player thats doubtful

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    3. Belli2007
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      no, think liverpool might get a couple at QPR

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      1. Jax
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        QPR are dead and buried. suarez to get a goal or two...

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  24. Chris_White
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Ben Arfa or Morrison

    Gamble or play it safe

    Tempted by HBA, so much potential and he should get decent minutes if he keeps up

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    1. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      keeps it up*

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      1. NATSTER
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        Same decision for me to transfer Taarabt out.. But I also consider Valencia in frame too.

        HBA .. fixture is tempted. also in good form.
        Morrison .. in good form too with so much praised on here. any effect by Odem's injury?
        Valencia .. fit or not? will he play?

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        1. CABAYE4
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 23 days ago

          I'm in the same situation. Really want to get Valencia in coz I think he'll score points over the next few weeks (and Sunday if he plays). Trying to convince myself to gamble and do it atm!

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    2. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      I'd go safe and pick Morrison.

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      1. Belli2007
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        I agree, valencia in next week.

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  25. Park the bus
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    anyone that brought Suarez in last week... have you kept or sold? i am considering transferring out for Rooney but my midfield is pretty weak and would leave me with Walters Surman and Drenthe. i could do Walters to Young if people think this would make sense?

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    1. Just One More Thing
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      I got rid of Suarez the night he got his double figure haul, only because I didn't have the funds to get in Rooney any later.

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    2. WhoIsRonaldo
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      Cant sell him without a hit and dont think rooney will beat suarez +4

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      1. Park the bus
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        my thoughts exactly. so get young as MU cover. someone has to assist rooney's goals you would hope!! with Gerrard back I can see Suarez scoring highly.

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      2. Belli2007
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 23 days ago

        keeping him as couple of ok fixtures, shipping ade out for roo instead myself

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    3. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      He's in for QPR and Wigan at least for me.... although i already have Rooney so it's obviously an easier decision

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  26. Hazard267
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    4 point hit to get nani out and put young or walcott in...?

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  27. Southampton_fan
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Hello ~

    can you rate my team, please. Help is much appreciate.

    Schwarzer (SWA)
    Evans J (wol) Assou-Ekotto (STO) Skrtel (qpr)
    Dempsey (SWA) Bale (STO) Morrison (wig) McClean (bla)
    Rooney (wol) Van Persie (eve) Pogrebnyak (SWA)

    Mignolet (bla) Jose Enrique (qpr) Sigurdsson (ful) Caulker (ful)

    Is my line up okay? A few advises would be kind.

    Have a good weekend and best of luck for all

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  28. ReinaMan
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Pick one of: Siggy, Surman, Simpson & Richards

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    1. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      Simpson if he is your only NEW cover defensively, Siggy if not

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    2. Ivor
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      Sigurdsson

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  29. Barry
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    Who for captain from Pogrebnyak, Ba, RVP?

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  30. rasher
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 23 days ago

    forgot about spurs fa cup tie

    gonna take a risk on ba for captain..

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    1. Jax
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 23 days ago

      he got 2 away to norwich so you never know

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