[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting

Paddy Says…Gameweek Three

30 August 2013 1182 comments
Money Mike Money Mike
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The only thing more shocking than Miley Cyrus’ VMA performance this week was that Fraizer Campbell scored a brace against City and notched up a huge points haul. That result raised more eyebrows than Miley ever could. Luckily for managers with City men littered throughout their squads, it really should be business as usual this week.

Anytime Goalscorer Odds – Gameweek 3

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCY1.5
DzekoMCY1.83
NegredoMCY1.83
Van PersieMUN2.0
SilvaMCY2.2
JoveticMCY2.29
AnelkaWBA2.5
GiroudARS2.5
RemyNEW2.7
LambertSOU2.7
MichuSWA2.7
ToureMCY2.87
SturridgeLIV2.87
CisseNEW2.87
JelavicEVE2.87
Van WolfswinkelNOR2.87
OsvaldoSOU2.87
WalcottARS2.87

According to Paddy Power’s odds, five of the six most likely players to score over the Gameweek wear City’s sky blue. Great news if you can get a couple of them in your squad, but bleak reading if you’re without City cover, or, indeed a Hull City Tigers fan.

Sergio Aguero is the hot favourite at 1/2 with Paddy to find the net at anytime. He’s likely to be partnered by Edin Dzeko, who is 5/6 to notch: the duo have already opened their Premier League accounts and appear to be Manuel Pellegrini’s favored strike partnership, with Alvaro Negredo is kept on the leash, at least for now.

Robin van Persie disappointed many after drawing a blank against Chelsea but that will quickly be forgiven if he scores against Liverpool on Sunday: an anytime goal is evens with Paddy. It’s also worth noting that Paddy are refunding losing bets (First Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer, Correct Score and Scorecast singles) if the Anfield clash ends all-square.

Either side of Van Persie in the betting we find further City players. David Silva has a goal and an assist to his name already this season and is 6/5 to find the net at anytime against Hull – the top ranked midfielder on show in the Gameweek. The aforementioned Negredo has played just 31 minutes of Premier League football but opened his account at Cardiff and is odds-on at 5/6 with Paddy Power to register again on Saturday.

Olivier Giroud has notched two goals in consecutive league outings this season and makes the list of top 10 most likely players to score. All 13 of his Premier League goals have come in London and, if you follow that bizarre trend, Giroud at 6/4 with Paddy to score at anytime against Spurs looks decent. If that derby ends in a draw, Paddy Power will also refund your losing bets (First Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer, Correct Score and Scorecast singles).

Behind Silva, Swansea’s Michu is the most fancied anytime scorer from midfield with Paddy offering 17/10 on a strike at the Hawthorns. Arsenal’s Theo Walcott is at 21/10 to register against Spurs, with West Ham’s Kevin Nolan just behind the Gunners man and Yaya Toure at 9/4 to get on the scoresheet against the Potters.

Clean Sheet Odds – Gameweek 3

TeamOdds
Man City1.66
West Ham2.4
Newcastle2.8
Everton2.87
Crystal Palace3.0
Arsenal3.1
Southampton3.1
Sunderland3.25
West Brom3.25
Liverpool3.4

Hull are yet to score from open play this season and Manchester City had the best defensive record at home in the top flight last term. That, in a nutshell, is all you need to know when it comes to picking out a likely clean sheet this weekend. If you’re nursing any City defenders in your squad after Sunday’s setback, at least you’ll be confident in them keeping a shut-out this time around; they’re at 4/6 with Paddy Power.

West Ham are hard to break down at Upton Park, and they square up to a Stoke side that scored just 13 on the road last term. The Hammers are 7/5 to keep Mark Hughes’ men out on Saturday afternoon in what looks set to be a muscular war of attrition.

The biggest revelation on show in these odds is perhaps Newcastle and Crystal Palace being amongst the top five. The pair have just one Premier League point between them but are 9/5 and 2/1 respectively with Paddy Power to record a shut-out in the Gameweek. The Toon Army welcome Fulham to St James’ Park and Palace host a Sunderland side that have won just one of the last eight league games on their travels.

1,182 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. OPTA FPL
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Clyne or Brady first sub?

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    1. Acquafresca
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Mid. Always.

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      1. OPTA FPL
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Though Noriwich even couldnt score against 10 men Hull last week

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        1. Acquafresca
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          Mid first... don't matter.

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          1. jimski
            • 15 Years
            12 years, 6 months ago

            I disagree (with the general point). Especially in these days of extra baps for defenders. Last week I had Jedinak third sub, behind Reid and Toure. None came on, but it proved the right decision.

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    2. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      brady

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    3. Super John McGinn-
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Really hope Lamela is between 8-9m then I will feel better about not having Soldado in my forwards 😀

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      1. Super John McGinn-
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Fail, but Brady 😀

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      2. OPTA FPL
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        LOL

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  2. super zlatan
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Walcott or silva for (c) ????

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    1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Walcott (c)

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    2. Poseidon. Not arrogant, jus…
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Silva for me. Expecting City to make mince meat of Hull and Silva's looked pretty integral to everything they've done offensively so far. Plus check out goalscorer odds. The bookies agree.

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  3. SPorting
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Why are there never any real flair bets on here?

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    1. The Light Knight
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      The bookie doesn't want you to make money

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    2. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      anelka to qualify for winter olympics 160:1

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    3. Bedok
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      I am not sure what you mean. Selecting fringe players you think will come good or betting money? 1) it's too early 2) betting money is always a loser unless you are the house.

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  4. Met Eish
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    I think Dzeko(c) will have lots of people on here losing their minds when the team sheets are released. Going for the safe bet of Theodore!

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  5. MJ6987
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Odds confirm that a Man City striker is the captain option to go for.

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    1. Met Eish
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Aguero is the one! if you don't have Aguero, why take the risk of captaining Dzeko

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    2. Kostja
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Odds mostly show the popularity of players being bet on, not a very good indication on potential scorers. All odds should be taken with a grain of salt as bookies look to get equal amount of cash on both sides of a 2 or 3 way bet so they make a nice safe 10% on juice. People obviously think Hull will get trashed, and Bookies adjust to that, they dont know much more than you do

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  6. Frazek
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Poor book this Paddy Power, missed Soldo?

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    1. Frazek
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      And 2x Studge, different odds? Perhaps one is meant to be Soldo?

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    2. Alan The Llama
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Soldado 2/1 (3.0) on their website

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      1. Frazek
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Ta Marouannie. Looks long but then I'm biased.

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        1. Mark
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 19 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          Yep, he's outside of our list, currently.

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          1. Frazek
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            12 years, 6 months ago

            Yeah, fair dos Mark, thanks. I didn't mean to sound critical, merely surprised, but then... as I wrote earlier, I'm biased.

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        2. In Tommy We Trust
          • 15 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          Looks good odds to me 😉

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          1. Frazek
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            12 years, 6 months ago

            And what does that tell us Tommy? Sadly that Soldo bashing the Gooners in his debut derby might not happen, which is a worry.

            Ah, what do bookmakers know... ? 🙂

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  7. The Mighty I
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Currently my defense looks like this

    Ivan - Zab - Rat - Burner - Chester

    Already made my FT this week, I'm not normally a fan of taking hits for defenders but looking at Fulham's next six (and the worry of starting Chester vs. City) is it worth bringing in Hangeland for Rat?

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    1. Super John McGinn-
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Rat will start this week, your def is fine

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      1. The Mighty I
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks for the response, have you got a source?

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  8. @FuzzyWarbles
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Fuzzy XI: Szczesny; Ward, Coleman, Zabaleta; Barkley, Mirallas, Coutinho, Walcott, Silva(C); Bony, Soldado

    Subs: Burner, Toure, Benteke -4 points

    Outlook? Good? Bad? Ugly?

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  9. Super John McGinn-
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Really hope Lamela is between 8-9m then I will feel better about not having Soldado in my forwards

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  10. charliec1903
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Will Richards threaten Zab once fit again?

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    1. The Milkman
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Like, "I'll stab you in the legs if you don't start playing shit"?

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      1. Kingston
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Zab will have retired by then

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  11. olidooley
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Silva or Walcott for captn lads?....Help??

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    1. randompunter
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      silva for me

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    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Silva the obvious and Walcott the ballsy choice.

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    3. svgcr
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      I'm going silva. If their teams score lots of goals, both are likely to be involved in most.

      Which team is more likely to score lots of goals?

      I consider history but if the north london derby finishes 1-0, no betting company is going broke.

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  12. waltzingmatildas
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Vorm or boruc as replacement for foster? 2nd keeper is Harper 🙁

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  13. randompunter
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Happy with my team but can't decide which budget mid (£5m), who's your choice and why.
    Kasami , Whittingham or Brady?

    Thanks muchly.

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    1. Frazek
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      I've got Kim (CAR). Waiting and watching on that one.

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      1. Noisy Neighbour
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Same here. After watching them last week, I'm really wishing I'd gone with Whittingham instead. Hopefully Kim will come good in the long run.

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        1. Frazek
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          Tomorrow's the good game to judge, at home against a team they could beat.

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    2. Jacketts Potatoes
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      I've got kasami but looking to downgrade defence to upgrade next GW

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    3. Poseidon. Not arrogant, jus…
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Brady is on set pieces, pens and is OOP. For me he stands alone as the out and out budget midfielder now. I love him.

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      1. randompunter
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        so is Whittingham + i've already got Chester for Hull and they are playing ManC!

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        1. saata
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          I didn't know you're asking for this GW.. if so, then Wittingham maybe..

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    4. saata
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      I'd take Brady or Redmond..

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  14. lazybones18
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    1/4 of my team value is benched for next GW.. madness ????

    Mignolet
    Collins / Fonte / Chester / Turner
    Kim / Walcott (c) / Mirallas / Silva
    Dzeko (vc) / Soldado

    K. Davis / Hazard / Ivanovic / Benteke - BENCHED!!!!

    am i missing something here

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  15. MJ6987
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    I had both Aguero and Dzeko since last weekend. My plan was always to captain Dzeko last week (which I did) and Aguero this week. Still the right choice?

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    1. lazybones18
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      both are rotation risk.. i dont know man

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    2. Poseidon. Not arrogant, jus…
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Yes, I'm more confident of Aguero starting.

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    3. @ImpressiveTackl
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      No. It was the wrong choice. You should have captained Aguero both weeks.

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      1. MJ6987
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Dzeko got more points last week so it was the right decision!

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      2. Sánchez
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        How can you be wrong even in hindsight. 🙂

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    4. Met Eish
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Indeed! great choice to have both of them. Feel kinda stupid for not doing the same.

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    5. LOCO ABREU
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      yep

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  16. Thomass
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    A) Collins or Reid for Dawson or Ivanovic

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    1. LOCO ABREU
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      collins for ivan

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    2. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      I'd go with A 😉

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  17. Jacketts Potatoes
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Is that right looking at the odds? Liverpool clean sheet more likely than a Man U clean sheet???

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    1. theotherguy
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Liverpool have a decent defensive record, especially at home. I wouldn't be surprised if the game was low scoring.

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    2. Mark
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 19 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Indeed...3.4 compared to 3.6 for United, currently.

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    3. Jacketts Potatoes
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Interesting. I think it'll be low scoring but fancy Utd

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  18. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Ooh Sturridge picked twice, is that an omen.
    Just got 15/1 on Bale staying, mwu ha ha.

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  19. duncansarmy
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    To play?

    Toure/Brayford
    Mirallas/Kim

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    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Toure Mirallas & Kim will play

      Brayford still behind Connolly; will not play

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      1. Heels_Over_Head
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Toure may or may not play - sorry

        bad groin pull... I'd expect him off the bench if Liverpool keep it close

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  20. theotherguy
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Thoughts from Ravel Morrison holders? Holding on or shipping out?

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    1. Absinthe Minded
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      holding, if he was 4.5 I would consider shipping but the drop forces me to keep until WC

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    2. Jacketts Potatoes
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Gonna ship him or kasami next GW for a better mid.

      God knows who to ship

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  21. 7shadesofsmoke
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    So, this PLAYON, who's in?

    What are your top three tips on selecting a team?

    Just registered and selected but ill be going Cisse on it for the first week at least. Need some confidence in what im doing to put up the beans.

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    1. Kingston
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      I play it and have made a small profit.
      Pick players that get minutes.
      Look out for stand out bargains.
      Make money from challenging the likes of les Ferdinand and then use that money to enter multi player games

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      1. 7shadesofsmoke
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        hmm, sounds like you have yourself a winning strategy there.

        Points duly noted. Thanks

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  22. Guinney
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Worth a hit? Hazard to Silva

    Have to start my cheap midfielder Colback, would prefer get someone better in.

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    1. theotherguy
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      If: (1) you're going to captain him and you think he will score more than 2 points for your next captain option (combined 4 points which would pay for transfer), and (2) you'd rather have him in your team longer term, then go for it.

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      1. Riazor
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        great reply, have an upvote! this would be the answer i'd be looking for had I asked the above question.

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  23. Jacketts Potatoes
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Ok... Need to claw some extra cash to upgrade midfield.

    Thinking of losing BAINES at 7.5m and replacing with someone else. Thinking Man City but rotation concerns me...... Any City experts who can advise who's nailed on?

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    1. Assisting you all day
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      get coleman

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      1. Jacketts Potatoes
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Already got him lol. Heart says keep baines. Head says my midfield is shite

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    2. theotherguy
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Coleman is a good shout. I'm also lining up Vidic and Terry, but more for the long term. Man City I would go Zabaletta, hands down.

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      1. Jacketts Potatoes
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Yeah I like Zab. But at 6.2 I'm only clawing back 1.3. When I add it to my bank I have 1.9 to upgrade my mids.

        My mid has been criticised and to be fair I've dropped a bo**ock and invested too heavily elsewhere...... Damn you RVP.

        My main concern is storming my works league which I'm currently topping comfortably at present but I'm not convinced the team will hold out long term

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  24. Assisting you all day
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Odds suggest michu is a good buy

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    1. Sly Fly
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      I read that as 'Odds suggest michu is a good boy'. 🙂

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  25. EAGLES (0 Chelsea players)
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    To be quite honest. I think Walcott is just as risky--if not more--a captain choice as Dzeko and Silva. Now, granted....Walcott is sure to start, but the main thing to think about is will your captain score/assist?

    In terms of nailedonness, it goes: Walcott, Silva, and then Dzeko....
    In terms of who could score well, I think that's when Dzeko moves ahead of the both of them.

    Let me know what you guys think

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    1. Kingston
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      But Dzeko's chances of starting greatly effect his chances of scoring.

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    2. Kostja
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Dzeko also posesses a 45% chance of a 1 pointer which would kill you

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      1. EAGLES (0 Chelsea players)
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        I agree, that's why I'm saying they're all actually a similar risk.

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        1. Kostja
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          Not really Walcott pretty much quarantees you 4 points and he is probably the player most due a goal, looking at all those shots on target. Arsenal vs Tott average about 4 goals per game if im not mistaken so there will be a chance for him I think. Especially as both teams had midweek games

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          1. GREENDREAMS11
            • 16 Years
            12 years, 6 months ago

            As I mentioned last night, The last few derbys between Arsenal and Spurs had players like Van Persie, Bale, Van der Vaart etc. guys who pretty much scored for fun. Spurs seem to be much tighter so I dont think it will be the usual goal fest.

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        2. Kingston
          • 15 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          I'd much rather captain a player who's near enough guaranteed a start and who is a proven fpl scorer in a decent scoring fixture than a player who is not guaranteed to even start.

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    3. svgcr
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      They are all usually involved in their team's goals.

      Who's team is more likely to score more goals"?

      Who is more nailed on from that team?

      There you go

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  26. Acquafresca
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Sunderland have agreed a fee with Qatari club El Jaish for the transfer of midfielder Stephane Sessegnon.

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    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      yesterday's news

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    2. Egg noodle
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Wasnt he arrested this week? Are you allowed to be sold whilst in a holding cell?

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  27. hnmfm
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    I'm having an mri tomorrow to check if I have claustrophobia.. wish me luck m8s

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    1. EAGLES (0 Chelsea players)
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Lol ummm

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      1. EAGLES (0 Chelsea players)
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        MRI scanners are very tight spaces....lol I hope this was a joke, cuz its a good one. If not, good luck

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        1. hnmfm
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          lol its a joke

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    2. Acquafresca
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      luck m8

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  28. ccc
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Mirallas? Just another failed preseason bandwagon? I still have him and if he blanks again, he is gone. What is your opinion?

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    1. lazybones18
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      i agree... i went for the bandwagon.. fail pick

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    2. EAGLES (0 Chelsea players)
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      2 games into the season
      New manager
      No other mids are really taking the world by storm either

      Bit harsh on him, I think we're all being

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      1. ccc
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        I agree, but for another 0.6 we could have Lampard, a Chelsea player on free kicks and pens.

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        1. EAGLES (0 Chelsea players)
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          .6? Did Mirallas drop or Lampard rise?

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          1. RoyaleBlue
            • 14 Years
            12 years, 6 months ago

            Lampard rose a while back

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          2. ccc
            • 13 Years
            12 years, 6 months ago

            lamps, into the blank

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    3. Gravy_Davey
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Yh I'm gonna get Nolan in for him if its another blank this week.

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      1. Noisy Neighbour
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Problem with that move is you will have already missed the best part of Nolan's schedule. It gets pretty wretched after GW4.

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        1. Noisy Neighbour
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          Oops, nevermind. He's good until after GW6. Was looking at the ticker and didn't realize I had advance it some.

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    4. Noisy Neighbour
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      He'll be out for me as well, unless of course a more pressing issue presents itself. Here's hoping he does something this weekend so I don't have to worry about it.

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  29. RoyaleBlue
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Thoughts on this team ?

    Mig

    Coleman Zab Reid

    Silva (VC) Barkley Nolan Mirallas Jarvis

    Soldado Aguero (C)

    Bench: Boruc Shaw Toure Tekkers

    1.2 mil in the bank already used my FT

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  30. Egg noodle
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Any gamblers out here putting the (C) on Mirallas? We all know he's gonna score

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    1. footy4life
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      ambitious that

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