634x258 Spot the Differential
17 January 2014 3364 comments
Paul Paul
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A fit-again front-man is this week’s headline act as our regular Saturday morning article gets shifted to Friday evening. Also under analysis are a couple of wingers across the price ranges as we assess some overlooked alternatives for your perusal once again:

Andy Carroll

Finally free of the heel injury that has kept him in the West Ham treatment room for the first few months of the season, the big centre-forward made an immediate impression off the bench at Cardiff last week. Carroll was handed just 14 minutes as a late sub but still found the time to tee up Mark Noble for the visitors’ second and take the pressure off under-fire Sam Allardyce.

A look back at the last few months of 2012/13 highlights Carroll’s capabilities. After a stuttering start, he ended the season in fine form, producing six goals and four assists in his final 14 appearances for the Hammers. With Big Sam’s side tailored to the target man’s talents up front, regular service from out wide can be expected as Carroll’s aerial abilities look set to wreak havoc amongst top-flight backlines once again.

It’s not yet certain he’ll start against former club Newcastle tomorrow but his cameo against the Bluebirds may well persuade his manager to take a punt. With an eye-catching run of four home fixtures in six (SWA, avl, NOR, SOU, eve, HUL) from Gameweek 24 onwards, canny Fantasy managers may be looking to draft in Carroll (7.2 in Fantasy Premier League, 8.1 in the Sky Sports game and 3.0 in the Sun Dream Team) before the potential bandwagon begins.

Jesus Navas

An injury to Samir Nasri in last week’s win at Newcastle looks set to boost the Spaniard’s chances of regular starts on the City right flank. With Nasri expected to be sidelined for up to eight weeks after being stretchered off at St James’ Park, Navas offers an intriguing route into Manuel Pellegrini’s free-scoring side ahead of four home fixtures in the next six Gameweeks.

At the Etihad, in particular, the summer signing from Sevilla has shone. Across his last seven home appearances, Navas has produced two goals, six assists and seven bonus points – delving further into his data, the winger has produced 43 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) points in five starts in front of his own fans.

With Cardiff, Chelsea, Sunderland and Stoke all paying visit between now and Gameweek 27, Navas – who also has a trip to Norwich on his agenda – may prove a canny investment for those looking for an alternative to the template-friendly Yaya Toure. At 8.3 in FPL, 7.6 in the Sky Sports game and 4.0 in the Sun Dream Team he’s cheaper than the Ivorian (10.1) and David Silva (9.3) and, as his home displays have demonstrated, is more than capable of delivering for Pellegrini’s side.

Adam Johnson

The Sunderland wide-man was far from Fantasy radars heading into last week’s trip to Fulham. It’s understandable, though – Johnson had started just one of the previous eight league matches under Gus Poyet and had looked no more than a peripheral figure in the Black Cats’ battle for survival.

Handed a start on the right of a 4-3-3 at Craven Cottage, Johnson served up a 22-point FPL haul, courtesy of three goals, an assist and maximum bonus points to announce himself as a definite name to consider. With Poyet altering his tactical approach in order to get the most out of Johnson’s talents, the former Man City winger seems poised to play a significant role over the remainder of the season.

Coming in at 6.4 in FPL (7.4 in the Sky Sports game and 3.5 in the Sun Dream Team), Johnson’s mid-price appeal may well persuade some to take a punt over site-favourite Ki Sung-Yeung (4.8). With three home games (SOU, STO, HUL) and a trip to neighbours Newcastle in the next four, the schedule certainly looks kind for Johnson and Poyet as the in-form Wearsiders look to scramble their way out the drop zone.

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  1. FPL Emu
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    I don't understand the British betting system. If Paddypower is giving 11/8 on Silva anytime goalscorer, and Evens on Özil anytime goalscorer, does that mean they are projecting Özil as the more likely?

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    1. ADucksBehind
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      yea

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    2. Trigg ⭐️
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Yes.

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    3. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Yes

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    4. Declan
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Yes, as Ozil is supposedly on pens with Arteta out.

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    5. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      I just switch it to the decimal system. Much easier.

      But nah, it means Silva is more likely.

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      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 11 months ago

        Ooops. See this is why I switch it to decimal.

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        1. The Bandit
          • 15 Years
          11 years, 11 months ago

          😆

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    6. DaveZubie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Divide the left by the right and the smaller the number the shorter odds

      11/8 = 1.375
      1/1 = 1

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    7. FPL Emu
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Thanks everyone!

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    8. Gargamel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Yep

      You can switch to decimal at almost every gambling website fortunately, so that you don't have to bother with the useless fractional system

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  2. Declan
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    Kun up to 90%

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    1. super zlatan
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Will def rise tonight

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    2. Valar(Keith)
      • 16 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      He is going up.. i'm shutting down totalfpl and going to sleep 🙂

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  3. super zlatan
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    How many players does everyone have from the top 4 teams?

    I have 3 arsenal, 3 city, 1 Chelsea , 1 Liverpool

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    1. FPL Mike the Knight
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      3 city, 2 pool, 2 ars, 1 chelsea

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    2. The ginger cafu
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      3, 2, 1, 1

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    3. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      3 arsenal

      2 city

      2 chelsea

      1 liverpool

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    4. rvp786
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Same as me but i think we have pretty similar teams

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    5. ADucksBehind
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      exact same 🙂

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    6. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      1 3 1 2

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      1. super zlatan
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 11 months ago

        Most anyone has is 8 players then from top 4.

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        1. The Bandit
          • 15 Years
          11 years, 11 months ago

          Seems that way

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    7. Parm
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      2, 3, 1, 2.

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    8. Twisted Saltergater
      • 16 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      3 City
      3 Arsenal
      2 Southampton
      1 Chelsea
      1 Liverpool
      1 Man Utd
      1 Everton
      1 Newcastle
      1 Sunderland
      1 Cardiff

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    9. Cheeseoid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      2,1,1,1

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    10. Mr Smith
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      9 for me, 3 Ars, 3 City, 2 Chel, 1 Pool

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  4. FPL Mike the Knight
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    Ageuro moved to 90% - 3.2% increase!

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  5. FPL Mike the Knight
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    this is driving me mad:

    A) Hazard, Ki, SILVA, OZIL, JANUJAZ
    B) Hazard, Ki, YAYA, ERIKSEN, CABAYE/LALLANA

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    1. Parm
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      B with a view to Lallana.Eriksen to Ramsey in a week or so.

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      1. FPL Mike the Knight
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 11 months ago

        that is exactly what I was thinking but I would be shitting myself about not having arsenal attacking cover this week!! front line is Saurez, Aguero, Sturridge

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  6. In Moyes We Thrust #freeshi…
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    Any transfer ideas or save it?

    Mannone (Marshall)
    Coleman, Koscielny, Ward (Chester, Burner)
    Hazard, Ozil, Silva, Gerrard (Januzaj)
    Suarez, Adebayor, J-Rod
    1.0m in da bank

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  7. Elniñorules
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    It's almost as if Kun's being brought in for a one week punt 😉

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  8. Zizou
    • 16 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    whats up with wilshere

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    1. FPL Mike the Knight
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      apparently he didn't train from physioroom. No more details today

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    2. The Rock
      • 16 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Did not train today so is a doubt. Still likely to play IMO.

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  9. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    Lol, people panicking that Aguero might rise are buying him and making him rise 😀

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    1. Declan
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      😎

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  10. Trigg ⭐️
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    I'm not getting Coleman in on my WC.

    6.8 for a defender that I wouldn't play in 3 of the next 6? No thanks.

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    1. FPL Mike the Knight
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      good job I bought him for 5.3

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      1. Jake Donahue
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 11 months ago

        Or even 5.0

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      2. Trigg ⭐️
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 11 months ago

        Yeah, I'd keep him if I had him. But missed the boat now. Pretty bad value at that price.

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        1. FPL Mike the Knight
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 11 months ago

          I agree that he's too much to buy at this point, mert is the same

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      3. ADucksBehind
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 11 months ago

        Had him from day 1 🙂

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  11. Jake Donahue
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    All this talk regarding if Aguero is rising or not, and how long will he get doesn't really matter the main issue is cold hard POINTS.

    As a non owner I could handle 5/6 points

    How many points would you want to Kun to get or not get?

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    1. Parm
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      More than everyone other than Suarez.

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    2. Ludo
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Fewer than Negredo.

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  12. Zod
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    Ozil and Oscar

    or

    Hazard and Lallana + £1m?

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    1. FPL Mike the Knight
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      B - hazard=essential

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      1. Zod
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 11 months ago

        Is Hazard essential?

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        1. FPL Mike the Knight
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 11 months ago

          ay

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        2. FPL Mike the Knight
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 11 months ago

          I think he is the only really Chelsea option, don't go with the Oscar love

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    2. Evans
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      OO

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  13. The Japanager: Roberto Newm…
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    Big Wildcard questions:

    Get kun now, or wait a week?

    Studge or Giroud?

    Lallana and Eriksen or Ozil and Gnabry/Noone rotation?

    Jagielka and Whittingham or Clyne and Williamson (already have Kolarov and Kosc, this is for the third defender spot)

    Thanks in advance!

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    1. Elniñorules
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Aguerooooooooooooooooooooooo

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      1. The Japanager: Roberto Newm…
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 11 months ago

        Well, thats one of my questions.

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        1. Elniñorules
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 11 months ago

          Move over to the previous post 😆

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    2. Chucky
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Wait and see if he starts .

      Giroud

      Lallana and Eriksen

      Clyne and williamson

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      1. The Japanager: Roberto Newm…
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks man!

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  14. rvp786
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    those who chose kolorov over zabaleta - is it a short term punt or do you plan on keeping him long term??

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    1. ADucksBehind
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      It's a see how he plays and then make a call

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  15. Tim Canterbury
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    What's your funny feeling Friday?

    Eriksen brace

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    1. Parm
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Tottenham will beat Swansea, United will beat Chelsea and Fulham will get a draw

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    2. Elniñorules
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Super Oscar Babyyy hat-trick

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    3. Chucky
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      http://i.imgur.com/4PnHmcB.gif

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  16. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    How many of the top 1K will have Kun do you think?

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    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      I think a lot will have Negredo but the majority will have Aguero. Or both

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      1. Evans
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 11 months ago

        This

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      2. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 11 months ago

        Both for me, pity about my rank. 🙁

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    2. Jake Donahue
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      600 have 400 dont

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  17. andres
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    Giroud or studge?

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  18. gers23
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    Silva and Wilshire

    or

    Navas and Cabaye

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    1. Chucky
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      A

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  19. Rhinos
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    I'd so love Aguero to get a one point cameo just to remind people that this game is about point scoring not price rises!

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    1. Trigg ⭐️
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      But it's about getting him now, while he is affordable.

      Even if he does get 1 point tomorrow, he could get 40 in the next 3.

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    2. Mr Smith
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Is so love Aguero to start and score a hattie, punishment for those that don't believe.

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  20. Chucky
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    Hi peeps 🙂

    Good to go?

    Speroni
    Koscienly Bane Ward
    Hazard Ozil Silva Eriksen
    Suarez(C) Adebayor JRod

    Bench : Mannone Azpilicueta Whittingham Chester

    FT available

    All set? or should i use my FT? cheers 🙂

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  21. stephenl15
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    Mignolet (AVL) or Krul (whu) ?

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    1. An Púca
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      are you really asking that?

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      1. kalmoffit
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 11 months ago

        Seems reasonable to assume that Villa will score?

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  22. MikeTHFC
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    Doing my first wildcard of the season and can't afford any of the sides posted on here. Really don't understand why????

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    1. FPL Mike the Knight
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      what is your team value?

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      1. MikeTHFC
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 11 months ago

        When I untick every player, I have £97.8m in the bank.

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        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          11 years, 11 months ago

          Team ID?

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          1. MikeTHFC
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 11 months ago

            How do I check that? Sorry.

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        2. FPL Mike the Knight
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 11 months ago

          that isn't much at all, I have 106.8, thats an extra 9m!!

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          1. MikeTHFC
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 11 months ago

            So what am I doing wrong? I always do my transfers Sat morning.

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    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Getting players cheap is probably half the reason. i.e. Suarez

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      1. MikeTHFC
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 11 months ago

        Had Suarez since September. Does this mean I should have played my wildcard earlier? Haven't played one yet this season.

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        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          11 years, 11 months ago

          Rank will probably tell the answer.

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          1. MikeTHFC
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 11 months ago

            Having a poor year. 1,170 points. Usually much better. I do my transfers either Friday night or Sat morning.

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  23. Enzo the Baker
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    Which midfielder do I bench this week ?

    Ozil Yaya Hazard Oscar Eriksen

    Will play all 3 strikers - Suarez Sturridge Lukaku

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    1. Evans
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Dunno but would love to see your defence

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  24. super zlatan
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    Why were all my comments deleted from previous page?

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    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      They brought down the tone of the site.

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  25. dan717
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    Activating my wildcard once GW23 starts and can't decide between Aguero or Silva until then? Only have Yaya from MCI

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  26. rvp786
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    those who bought in ageuro this week.... are u expecting him to start or happy with a 30min cameo??

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    1. Barry Woj
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Was expecting him to start until Manuel's comments today. I think he'll score regardless though.

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  27. fatherted
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    Did have enough for Lukaku to Aguero and Barkley to a 5.2 mid. Rises and falls now mean I can now only afford 5.0 mid. Cupboards a bit bare. Not owned Aguero before injury and am now thinking if this is spoiling my team. Essentially I have 17m to spend on 2 players

    MF Toure Hazard Lallana Whittingham ???
    For Suarez Barn door ??

    Could really do with a few thoughts

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  28. wolves_simmo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    Best midfielder for £4.8 and under?

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    1. Amateur Pundit Zan
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Ki

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    2. FPL Mike the Knight
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      ki

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    3. Chucky
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Pozuelo
      Ki

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    4. super zlatan
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 11 months ago

      Ki?

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  29. Amateur Pundit Zan
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 11 months ago

    Last WC decision, I have to do at least one as preferred team is 0.4 over budget
    A) Terry > kolorov
    B) coleman > kolorov
    C) ki > gnabry
    D)A/B+C and silva > ozil
    E) something else to save 0.4

    Boruc, Davis
    Terry, Coleman, kos, ward, Chester
    Haz, silva, eriksen, lallana, ki
    Suarez, aguero, sturridge

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