[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
20 September 2014 1905 comments
Swanny14 Swanny14
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Our Saturday morning regular comes around again as we roll out a trio of overlooked alternatives for your perusal. We place our faith in a couple of in-form budget midfielders and also have high hopes for the Swans top scorer of 2013/14 to get his account up and running.

WILFRIED BONY

A second half substitute appearance in last weekend’s 4-2 defeat to Chelsea saw the Ivorian pick up his first attacking returns of the season. Rested to the Swansea bench due to midweek international duties, Bony grabbed an assist at the Bridge though it would be fair to say that he’s still failing to draw much attention, with only just over 3,000 managers acquiring his services this week (a similar total to, for example, Carlton Cole) ahead of a home clash with Southampton.

It’s not been the start many had forecast for the 8.4 priced forward. Having flirted with a move away from the Liberty in August, he has eventually settled back in in South Wales, though his performances have still been far from his best and, with Bafetimibi Gomis also competing for pitch time, Bony is yet to complete 90 minutes for the Swans in the league this campaign.

However, his underlying stats do suggest that Fantasy managers shouldn’t write the striker off just yet. Bony has fired in 11 attempts so far this season, equal with Emmanuel Adebayor, despite having played over a 100 minutes less than the Spurs’ frontman. This afternoon’s meeting with Southampton will be no easy task for Garry Monk’s team, but should Bony finally rediscover the form that bagged 17 goals in his debut season, Fantasy attention may begin to pick up as the Swans face a kind run of fixtures in the following four (sun, NEW, sto, LEI).

SCOTT ARFIELD

It could have all been so different if Julian Speroni had dived left rather than right last weekend. Had Arfield converted his spot-kick against Palace, he’d have taken his tally to two strikes in the opening four Gameweeks, after opening his account against Chelsea in the opening Gameweek of the season. As it stands, the Burnley midfielder remains far from Fantasy radars and, despite a kind price tag of 5.0 in FPL, currently resides in 0.5% of sides.

A look at the statistics suggests Arfield could be a real “Moneyball” midfield option this term if he can start to convert his chances. After four rounds of fixtures, Arfield has registered 17 touches in the box – fourth amongst midfielders and more than then likes of Aaron Ramsey and Raheem Sterling, with 16 apiece. Furthermore, he’s matched the Liverpool wide man – the most popular midfielder in the FPL game – for attempts on goal (10) and shots inside the box, with seven so far. Indeed, only one midfielder – Nacer Chadli – has registered more close-range efforts than The Clarets’ man.

This bodes well, then, as Arfield prepares for a home encounter with Sunderland later today. With Danny Ings ruled, the Scot is likely to remain on spot kick duties and with trips to West Brom and Leicester, as well as a home fixture against West Ham to come in their next four, this could be the moment Dyche’s side hit their stride.

STEWART DOWNING

As highlighted in this week’s Scout Mission, the former Liverpool winger has played an essential role in West Ham’s more attacking line-up this season, and has already chalked up a goal and an assist in his first four appearances.

Downing’s underlying stats are even more impressive, with 11 attempts on goal ranked fourth amongst midfielders, whilst an eye-catching 13 chances created is bettered only by Chelsea duo Cesc Fabregas and Eden Hazard thus far. What’s more, with a price tag of just 5.5, Downing is offering superb value right now, though is still sitting on an ownership of just 2%.

Fantasy managers are naturally wary of Downing, who managed a meagre total of one goal and two assists in over 2500 minutes of pitch time for the Hammers in their last league campaign, and experienced a paltry spell during his time with Liverpool in the preceding years. However, when his former employers roll up to Upton Park this evening, the winger will be hoping to carry through his significant goal threat and creativity from the last few Gameweeks and perhaps deliver a sucker punch to Brendan Rogers, the manager who saw him as surplus when he took over the reins at Anfield. With QPR and Burnley also amongst his next four fixtures, he’s certainly one to consider.

  1. MountainBeach
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Captain Costa, Falcao or Sterling?

    1. boredjames
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      My dilema. I think we have to go Costa. But I would go Falcao if we knew he was starting

    2. KISSES
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      I think BFS will play like villa did against Liverpool, solid defence then hit on break. I'd look at either Costa or Falcao.

  2. SMOOTH
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    do i have to bench hazard?

    hazard fab sterling siggy rambo
    costa naismith wellbeck

    brought in welbeck this week.

    1. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      I would. The others have better fixtures and there's no point benching someone who you just brought in.

    2. Mahesh_Kumar
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Sell Hazard. Too many Blues

  3. KISSES
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Another captain question for you all 🙂

    A. Costa
    B. Siggy
    C. Pelle

    1. ClassAct
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      A

    2. Clay Davis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Siggy

    3. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Costa from those three

    4. Lord John Marbury
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Costa

    5. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Costa.

  4. Bakeyournoodle23
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Costa, ADM Or Sterling Cap?

  5. ClassAct
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Thinking Ivan -> Wilson and Ramsey -> Di Maria, thoughts?

    1. ClassAct
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      for -4

      1. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        defo not IMO

    2. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
      • 16 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      you'll want Ivan back though

    3. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Ramsey to Di Maria isn't a certain upgrade. Both have potential to score highly. Over the next 6 weeks, Ivanovic will get more points than Wilson.

    4. Home Run Baker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      God no

  6. aapoman
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Who is the best midfielder for 5.1m? Currently on a WC and really can't decide.

    1. Pork Pie Sausage Roll
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Would probably just got for boyd at 4.4

      1. ClassAct
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        +1

    2. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Ward-Prowse? Southampton look good and have good fixtures.

      1. Whazza
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        He's been dropped

      2. Mahesh_Kumar
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Not nailed on now that Mane is there

  7. Colonel Shoe 肝池
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    good luck to the belgians........... have a bun on me

    1. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      The Belgians are going down 😉

      1. Birds of Prey
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Belgians are the stuff. 16-1 was a great WC punt.

        Waffles, beer, and now studs left and right on the pitch?

  8. beric
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    *
    Bego
    Cahill - pva - collo
    Mata - ramsey - siggy - sterling
    Rooney(c) - costa - welbeck

    (Aluko, naughton, hutton)

    1ft left, 1.3 itb.

    Cahill to baines?

    Or save the transfer?

    1. Clay Davis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Wouldn't surprise me if Chelsea spring a clean sheet against City.

      Baines has a great fixture this week. But then next 2 gws don't look great.

      Stay strong and save FT.

      1. beric
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks clay, sound advice

    2. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Save

    3. Arvin-ation
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Cahill to Baines looks very very good for free. I can see a haul this week, and contrary to popular belief I reckon he's got two nice fixtures for attacking returns in the next 2. Merseyside derby + leaky united defence.

      Do it. Loving how Mata's still in your team.

      1. beric
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Interesting, but i think im gunna save

        1. Arvin-ation
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          You'll regret it 😉

          Good luck either way! non-owner here.

  9. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
    • 16 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Which two to play from these three?

    A. Ivanovic (Man City - AWAY)
    B. Hutton (Arsenal - HOME)
    C. Wisdom (Spurs - AWAY)

    Or use the FT to ship one out?

    1. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Wisdom -> Duff

    2. fitzy
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Ivan and hutton imo.Just don't be expecting any CS.

    3. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      With Hutton, you are putting all your hopes on a CS. Villa will struggle for goals so few attacking returns on offer.

      Ivanovic offers attacking potential and I wouldn't bet against a Chelsea CS.

      Wisdom is probably your worst bet. I fancy Spurs to get a few at home today.

      I'd go A and B.

  10. villafan89
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    who would you rather have?:

    Shawcross and Naylor

    Kaboul and Williams

    1. Clay Davis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Shawcross and Naylor

  11. m-kitch
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    I'm stuck between Costa and Rooney for my captain this weekend. Who would you go for

  12. Point Magnets
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Been tempted all week to do

    Balotelli > Adebayor..

    or do i Keep Balotelli and get 2FTs nxt gw?

    Spurs vs West Brom looks tempting.

    1. beric
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Save imo

    2. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Save

    3. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      save give ballo a chance

    4. Mak_Gold
        11 years, 6 months ago

        I would keep Balo, but it's up to you.

      • GREENDREAMS11
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        looked at this myself, decided to stick especially after Mario scoring the other night, could be well pumped for this one.

      • Lord John Marbury
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Stick with Mario

    5. Elfman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Is Dzeko going to start? 4pt hit to Pelle?

      1. Birds of Prey
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        3-5-2

      2. Colonel Shoe 肝池
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        do it

      3. Clay Davis
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Don't take a hit. If Dzeko only gets 2 points, Pelle will need to get 6 just for you to break even.

        1. Elfman
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Exactly my thinking

      4. ClassAct
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Dzeko not going to start, City not going to play 4-4-2 and let Chelsea have a 3v2 in midfield

      5. Mahesh_Kumar
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        City will play with lone striker (Kun)

        1. si
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Have City ever played 1 striker at home? Ever.

          1. Mahesh_Kumar
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            Yes. Lots of times.

      6. Whazza
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Yes, Dzeko unlikely to start and he is doubtful injury wise as well

    6. Blue Moon Rising
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Is Dzeko to Rooney the way forward?

      Feel like I'd end up transferring Rooney in a couple of weeks.

      Have we got any indication from Van Gaal on when/if he'll move Rooney into midfield?

      Would Balotelli be a better choice?

      1. Birds of Prey
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        of course he will--nervous Mata owner

        1. Blue Moon Rising
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Balotelli then?

      2. Mahesh_Kumar
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Rooney is nailed on 100%. Will play as a striker or in the hole behind the strikers

      3. ClassAct
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Rooney will play as a No. 9 or No.10, he won't drop into midfield

    7. Willis.
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Bad luck Port

    8. Defcons are for Kinnear
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Anyone managed to work out price changes yet?
      Looks like there won't be many double risers in a week

    9. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Trying to make up lost ground in my mini leagues.

      Begovic
      Collocini; Duff; Moreno
      Ramsey; Sterling; Tadic; Chadli; Sigurdson
      Costa; Balotelli

      Fabianski; Naismith; Clyne; Terry

      Who to bench? Who to captain? 0.3 itb and no FT.

      1. Mak_Gold
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Naismith over Tadic.

          Captain Costa.

          1. HearMeRoar
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            Cheers mate. Rest of team good to go?

      2. Jaffalicious! #SomosCubanos
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Morning all!

        Almost there, who to captain:

        A) Costa

        B) Aguero

        1. Willis.
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          A

        2. Lord John Marbury
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          B (he's at home)

      3. red beard
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        A front 8 of sterling, dimaria, siggy, fabregas. Ramsey, pelle,

        Costa & Naismith

        Currently on benching pelle, but not liking it...anyone see a way in?

      4. Takedog1
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Hopes of a hazard explosion today!!!

        1. Home Run Baker
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          His underlying numbers suggest it. May not be this GW however.

        2. MarkyMarkovic
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          similarly agree that the opponent may be too strong for any one player to explode in that game

      5. Railwayman
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        I activated my wildcard this week, play Naismith this GW and then buy Pelle, or to play Pelle either way ?

      6. HellasLEAF
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        is captaining Naismith madness?

        1. Home Run Baker
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          No. Good choice.

        2. The Mandalorian
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Go for it 😉

      7. junitrules
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Best striker for this week only, then kun next week?

        1. Willis.
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Jutkiewicz

          1. junitrules
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            Brilliant

      8. McSauce
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Adebayor captain here! Who is with me??

      9. Home Run Baker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Anyone else had Bony from the start?
        I think he may reward our faith in him this GW.

      10. neopaint2005
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Krul or Green both at home? Thanks

        1. Mílanista
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Green

        2. Home Run Baker
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Krul

        3. neopaint2005
          • 16 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          now its a tie ..... lol

        4. Whazza
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Green

      11. Matakuko
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Any reason not to do Terry > Ntaylor to allow Rooney/Mata to Aguero/Silva next week?

      12. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Guzan or Krul today?

        1. neopaint2005
          • 16 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Do you have Villa def other than Guzan? of yes go for Krul other than that I think Villa will keep clean sheet.

        2. Birds of Prey
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          just shoot yourself

      13. fatherted
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        I don't own him (don't think many non casuals do) but I have this sneaky feeling ya ya will lift off today.