[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
26 September 2015 1801 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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We turn to a trio of midfielders this morning, in our usual search for some overlooked alternatives ahead of the 11.45 deadline.

Theo Walcott looks in line for a fourth successive start as Arsenal head to Leicester, whilst Juan Mata and Victor Moses seem in fine form for plum home clashes against Sunderland and Norwich.

Victor Moses

Many expected Victor Moses to struggle for pitch time in light of Michail Antonio’s arrival at West Ham, yet the Chelsea loanee has been excellent since his summer switch, tallying one goal and assist in his two starts. While the Nigeria international is still a rotation threat, his budget 5.3 price tag limits the risk of riding his current form.

Although Dimitri Payet has garnered the recent attention, it’s worth noting that over the past two Gameweeks, Moses ranks top among the Hammers midfielders for attempts (five), shots inside the box (four) and penalty-box touches (eight). In addition, only three midfielders completed more successful dribbles (seven) than the Crystal Palace academy product, demonstrating his prowess in one-on-one situations.

Ultimately, Moses represents an enticing route into an Irons outfit that ranks joint-top for goals scored (13) this campaign. Their chances of enjoying similar success at home to Norwich today are increased by the revelation that only Stoke (18) have conceded more big chances in away matches (seven), while the Canaries rank fourth for shots conceded inside the box (35). With Sunderland, Palace and Watford also in the next five, the schedule is very much on the Hammers’ side over the upcoming month or so.

Theo Walcott

Arsene Wenger has refrained from rotating his forwards of late, handing Theo Walcott three successive starts in the league ahead of Olivier Giroud. The France international spearheaded the Gunners attack for their midweek League Cup win over Tottenham but failed to impress on the night – fashioning two shots (one on target) throughout the match – strengthening Walcott’s grip on the lone-striker berth.

Walcott netted one goal in those previous three outings but could have bagged a handful. No midfielder tallied more shots inside the box (12) or on target (seven) over that stretch, while only Jesus Navas (22) amassed more penalty-box touches – illustrating the wealth of scoring opportunities that have been presented to the jet-heeled forward.

Priced at 8.5, Walcott comes in at 2.5 cheaper than the out-of-form Alexis Sanchez. Although Arsenal’s partly goal output (five) might deter the recruitment of their attacking assets, the fact that they rank top for attempts (121), shots inside the box (83) and big chances (18) suggests that an improvement in their finishing could promote an influx of goals.

Arsenal’s next test is a trip to Leicester on Saturday. The Foxes have excelled on the attacking front this term – and rank joint-top for goals scored (13) – but Claudio Ranieri’s troops have struggled at the back and are yet to register a clean sheet. Furthermore, the likes of Walcott will be encouraged by the fact that only five sides have conceded more shots inside the box than Leicester (24) in their home matches.

Juan Mata

Anthony Martial’s rise to prominence has overshadowed Juan Mata’s strong start to the campaign; the former Chelsea midfielder boasts two goals and a pair assists in five matches and has recorded just two blanks across six appearances. With Manchester United the top scorers (six) over the last two Gameweeks, Mata offers a stable route into their form attack.

Although Memphis Depay is the most prolific shooter among the Red Devils’ midfielders, Mata (8.7) leads his team-mates with regards to shots inside the box (nine). His accuracy (35.7%) is almost double that of Depay’s (19%), which somewhat explains the latter’s inability to open his account. Coupled to this, Ander Herrera (five key passes) is the closest to Mata in terms of distribution (13), underlining how pivotal he is to the Red Devils’ build-up play.

Man United coverage could prove highly profitable heading into a home tie against Sunderland later today. The Wearsiders place top for goals conceded (13) this season and have failed to register a single clean sheet in six matches.

1,801 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. KOLASINA(C)
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Gomis or Ayew?

    1. Pochecinno
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Ayew

    2. trequartista
      11 years, 23 days ago

      To play or bring in?

      1. KOLASINA(C)
        11 years, 23 days ago

        To play, I'm going to sell one of them after this GW.

    3. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Play gomis as on pens

    4. samaael
      11 years, 23 days ago

      ayew

    5. zencro 42
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Ayew

    6. @FPLMason
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Ayew

  2. zencro 42
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Tekkers to

    A) Pelle
    B) Ighalo

    Have Wilson and Kun currently. If I get Ighalo, having both a Watford & Bournemouth striker is a little unnerving. But that guy looks like a pure goal scorer.

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      A if money not needed elsewhere

      1. zencro 42
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Yeah, money is not an issue

    2. samaael
      11 years, 23 days ago

      martial

      1. King Kav. QC at law
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Aguero.

    3. trequartista
      11 years, 23 days ago

      I went for A

    4. King Kav. QC at law
      11 years, 23 days ago

      B

    5. Pochecinno
      11 years, 23 days ago

      A

    6. Patio Kev
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      B, will give you something to look forward to tomorrow when everybody else has no players left.

  3. trequartista
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Who do I put the armband on this week?

    Aguero / KdB / Alexis / Pelle ?

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Finding it tough this week but think I'm sticking with aguero

      1. trequartista
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Just been let down too many times by him. Time for a cheeky KdB punt?

        1. Pat Bonner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          11 years, 23 days ago

          I'm tempted as well. Go with your gut

    2. King Kav. QC at law
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Aguero.

    3. Pochecinno
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Kun

    4. Patio Kev
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Kun for sure from those

      1. trequartista
        11 years, 23 days ago

        wow. 4-0 in favor of Kun

    5. Game...Blouses
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Going Sanchez myself

    6. @FPLMason
      11 years, 23 days ago

      10 goals in 7 games says a lot

  4. Patio Kev
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 23 days ago

    I like love this article, very informative and always 'watchlist' the players.

    However I think Mata with 14.1% ownership is somewhat firmly not a 'differential'

  5. Pat Bonner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Anything worth a hit in my defence? Might pay off long term....Gomez to Evans?

    Butland (McCarthy)
    Kol darmian Richards (Gomez ward)

    1. trequartista
      11 years, 23 days ago

      I'd play Richards this week and transfer out Gomez next week for a FT.

      1. Patio Kev
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Agreed, Gomez has a chance of playing this week but you wouldn't want him next week anyway with those fixtures. You should get 3 defenders out this week at least.

    2. Pochecinno
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Never take a hit for defence

      1. Pat Bonner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Cheers guys. I know a hit for a defender isn't a good idea but just thinking long term it could pay off but will stick for now

    3. samaael
      11 years, 23 days ago

      play richards

  6. VT9
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Good to go?

    Begovic

    Darmian - Sagna - Gomez

    Sanchez - Payet (vc) - Yaya - Mahrez

    Aguero (C) - Gomis - Rondon
    ______________________________________

    BENCH: (McCarthy) - Williams - Richards - Westwood

    1FT
    1.3 itb

    Was thinking about trading Gomis for Martial, but not sure if its smart to trade Gomis, or even Yaya to KDB. Also not sure on the captain choice. Any advice appreciated!

    Cheers!

    1. Grand Thibauto
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Gomez amy not fine. Otherwise its cool. Yaya to Kdb is smarter than Gomis to Martial atm.

    2. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Looks good, would play Willian's or Richards over Gomez as he could come on for a cameo. I would do gomis to martial for free

  7. Grand Thibauto
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Wildcarded this week. Deciding for Cap is a sweet nightmare. Still if you have to choose one, who would it be

    Martial
    Hazard
    Aguero
    KDB
    Payet
    Ighalo

    1. Pochecinno
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Kun

      1. Grand Thibauto
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Was thinking hazard

    2. Kevtheotter
      11 years, 23 days ago

      If I had Hazard I would be putting the armband on him.

      1. Grand Thibauto
        11 years, 23 days ago

        I think i will too

  8. Who Ate All Depays?
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Need some advice guys with 1 FT & 2.4m itb?

    Mccarthy
    Kolarov / Darmian / Williams
    Sanchez / Payet / Mahrez / KDB
    Aguero / Wilson / Gomis
    (Butland / Targett / Richards / Westwood)

    A) Save FT
    B) Gomis -> Ighalo or Bojan
    C) any other suggestion

    1. trequartista
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Save IMO. Targett > Evans next week.

    2. Grand Thibauto
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Play Butland. And save FT.

    3. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Save, team looks good

  9. sinik
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 23 days ago

    wrong post earlier lol...I'll take 100 please and thanks!

    ........................Butland
    ........Darmian - Kolarov - Richards
    Sanchez - Mahrez - Payet - De Bruyne
    .........Aguero - Martial(c) - Wilson

    McCarthy; Sinclair, Williams, Gomez

    no hits, 0.9m itb, Gomez out next week unless Sanchez blanks

    1. Grand Thibauto
      11 years, 23 days ago

      g2g

  10. Eden Hazardous
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Considering we play 4 men in defence each week (including GK) , what is dream back 4? This is mine-

    Chelsea / Arsenal / Man City / West Brom

    1. Pochecinno
      11 years, 23 days ago

      template

    2. Grand Thibauto
      11 years, 23 days ago

      West Brom/Chelsea/West Brom/Man City

      Current one:
      Chelsea/ West Brom/West Brom/Man City

    3. King Kav. QC at law
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Man City x 3, Man U.

  11. Buck The Trent
    11 years, 23 days ago

    A or B ?

    A Myhill, Zouma
    B Bego, Dawson/Evans

    1. Pochecinno
      11 years, 23 days ago

      A - Baps

    2. @FPLMason
      11 years, 23 days ago

      A

    3. Grand Thibauto
      11 years, 23 days ago

      B. Safer

      1. Pochecinno
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Yes B is definitely the safe dullard option 😉

        1. Grand Thibauto
          11 years, 23 days ago

          I went for B thats why

  12. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Who to bring in this week?

    Pedro or Wally

    1. trequartista
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Pedro

    2. King Kav. QC at law
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Walcott.

    3. OPTA FPL
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Wally

    4. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Pedro

    5. Chinu
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Even I am tempted by Wally but feel Pedro is the way to go, specially with Chelsea starting to find some form

      1. Jinswick
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 23 days ago

        I'm actually tempted to bite the bullet and do an 8 pointer:

        Silva, Sinclair & Benteke -> Pedro, Walcott & Ighalo

        Thoughts?

        1. Chinu
          11 years, 23 days ago

          The move looks good on paper but at this stage I would refrain from taking a -8. Just bring in Ighlao and one of those mids.

    6. OPTA FPL
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Walcott

    7. Syd.
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Pedro

    8. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Wow. Closer than a Kun's nunt

  13. Chinu
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Really tempted by Ramsey to Walcott? Should I pull the trigger?

  14. AusBest11
    11 years, 23 days ago

    GW7 Team

    Myill
    Targett Kolarov Darmian (Gomez, Oxford)
    Sanchez, Yaya Toure, Payet Mahrez (Ayew)
    Wilson, Aguero(C), Martial

    A) Play Targett and hope he plays 60min and gets a CS
    B) Play All Out Atack which will garrantee atleast 2pts from Ayew.
    C) Play Ayew or Mahrez if no AOA is used.
    D) Caption Aguero, Martial or Payet?

    Already used 2 transfers (-4)

    1. Pochecinno
      11 years, 23 days ago

      I'm reluctantly benching Ayew if that helps

      Captain Kun

      1. AusBest11
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Thanks. Undecided if i should play AOA to play Kolarov and Darmian in defence. No confidence in Targett to play 60min. Speculation that Gomez is benched and Oxford isnt getting game time lately. Should i wait for AOA for a double game week?

        1. Pochecinno
          11 years, 23 days ago

          AOA is a pretty lame chip tbh. Use it if the need presents itself

          1. AusBest11
            11 years, 23 days ago

            Thanks again. Will AOA due to no garrantees Targett or gomez will get a game this week.

    2. Chinu
      11 years, 23 days ago

      B

  15. @FPLMason
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Butland- McCarthy
    Ward- Gomez - Kolarov - Prodl - Richards
    Silva - Pedro - Mahrez - Sanchez
    Gomis - Aguero - Wilson

    1 Ft 1 Itb
    Thinking about Silva ---> Payet. Thoughts?

    1. OPTA FPL
      11 years, 23 days ago

      yes

    2. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Very similar team to me and I did silva to kdb in the end. Was toss of a coin between him and payet but knew I wanted 3 man city long term with their fixtures so saves a transfer down the line

  16. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Which trio?

    A) Pedro, Wally & Pelle
    B) Pedro, KDB & Ighalo
    C) Wally, KDB & Pelle

    1. OPTA FPL
      11 years, 23 days ago

      A

    2. Grand Thibauto
      11 years, 23 days ago

      B

    3. King Kav. QC at law
      11 years, 23 days ago

      B

    4. La Roja
      11 years, 23 days ago

      B

    5. Pochecinno
      11 years, 23 days ago

      B

    6. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      B

    7. @FPLMason
      11 years, 23 days ago

      B or A

    8. Eden Hazardous
      11 years, 23 days ago

      C

      1. Eden Hazardous
        11 years, 23 days ago

        A is better

    9. Syd.
      11 years, 23 days ago

      B

    10. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Thanks all. Currently on A. All about that goal threat!

  17. Pochecinno
    11 years, 23 days ago

    The recent interest in Walcott surprises me. Is he nailed on now?

    1. King Kav. QC at law
      11 years, 23 days ago

      No.

      1. Pochecinno
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Then why the resurgence in interest?

        1. King Kav. QC at law
          11 years, 23 days ago

          Likely to start more than Giroud due to Giroud's poor form and adrenal looking lacklustre with him in the team. Wenger said he's no longer first choice.

          1. Pochecinno
            11 years, 23 days ago

            When did he say this?

            So he basically said Walcott is number 1?

            1. King Kav. QC at law
              11 years, 23 days ago

              About a week ago. He said they're both in competition for the place and it's based on form. Not nailed but in pole position.

              1. Pochecinno
                11 years, 23 days ago

                Cool thanks. TBH though he said something similar at the beginning of the season - that he would rotate the two depending on the opposition.

                So the new thing is form - which puts Walcott first?

          2. @persecuted_by_mods
            11 years, 23 days ago

            A bit misleading, his point was that neither of them are first choice. He is likely to start more than usual obviously but Giroud will play more overall imo

    2. Grand Thibauto
      11 years, 23 days ago

      kindof. Not for 70+ mins I guess

    3. Syd.
      11 years, 23 days ago

      No

  18. HerbyCR
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Amigos!

    Bench: a) Ayew or b) Sanchéz

    Play with: a) 5 midfielders and bench Wilson or b) 4 midfielders and use Wilson, Agüero and Martial?

    Thanks amigos!

    1. Root
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Carlos Sanchez, I assume. Bench him.

      B

      1. HerbyCR
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Sorry mate, I ment Alexis Sanchéz

    2. Grand Thibauto
      11 years, 23 days ago

      If you really have to. Then Ayew.

    3. Denis Tueart on the wing
      11 years, 23 days ago

      I think, bench Ayew - front 3 are good, on paper

  19. VT9
    11 years, 23 days ago

    A) Gomis to Martial
    B) Yaya to KDB
    C) Save the FT and have 2 next week (1.3 itb)

    Cheers!

    1. Grand Thibauto
      11 years, 23 days ago

      B

    2. Pochecinno
      11 years, 23 days ago

      C

  20. MMN
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Ighalo or Sakho? And why?

    1. Syd.
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Sakho - Fixtures

    2. Grand Thibauto
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Ighalo, Form

    3. OPTA FPL
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Ighalo

  21. Bojan Horsemack
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Anyone know a good anti drunk-transfer app?

    A time-travel app would work too I guess

    1. Grand Thibauto
      11 years, 23 days ago

      what did you do

      1. Bojan Horsemack
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Planned to do Martial and Azpi. Ended up with Bojan, Pedro and YYT for a minus 8.

        "AOA BURRRRRRRRRP SHE'LL BE ALRIGHT"

    2. King Kav. QC at law
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Drunk lock for phones. Hide computers.

      1. Bojan Horsemack
        11 years, 23 days ago

        If you've got somewhere to hide a computer then your place is bigger than mine. Could sell it I suppose.More money for mojitos.

        1. King Kav. QC at law
          11 years, 23 days ago

          Ask someone you live with to hide it for you, or give it to a neighbour at 3 am when you're pasted.

  22. Mr Q
    11 years, 23 days ago

    I see comments about saving bench boost and 3x csptain to double game weeks, but will there be any double game weeks this season? I cant see it in the fixtures...so when is the best time to play benchboost? Wait until late season and build up value and get the big hitters?

    1. Grand Thibauto
      11 years, 23 days ago

      later when fa cup starts. Capital one cup final as well.

      1. Mr Q
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Thnx! After some googling i found this, http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2015/08/20/advance-double-gameweek-planning/
        (If there are more of the likes of me out there 😉 )

    2. ​
      11 years, 23 days ago

      minimum of 3 DGWs I believe:

      Week after League Cup Final
      Week or two after FA Cup Quarters
      Week or two after FA Cup Semis

      1. OPTA FPL
        11 years, 23 days ago

        so what time is earliest?

        1. Grand Thibauto
          11 years, 23 days ago

          league cup final

          1. OPTA FPL
            11 years, 23 days ago

            which gw?

            1. Rhinos
              11 years, 23 days ago

              Don't forget inclement weather, tube strikes, war, apocalypse, pigs heads on the pitch etc

  23. Scotty B
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Butland
    Clyne Reid Targett
    Mahrez Coutinho Yaya Sanchez
    Aguero Gomis Martial(c)

    Good to go?

    1. King Kav. QC at law
      11 years, 23 days ago

      No.

    2. Pochecinno
      11 years, 23 days ago

      yep

  24. 420king
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Morning guys. Who to bench of out this lot?

    Yaya, Depay, Payet, Mahrez, Ayew

    Aguero, Wilson, Martial

    thinking Ayew or Wilson....

    1. Pochecinno
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Not Wilson

  25. Exotica
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Butland (Guzan)
    Nyom - Kompany - Gomez (Yoshida, Richard)
    Pedro - Barkley - Ayew - Mahrez (YYT)
    Ighalo - Aguero - Gomis

    1) Who to cap
    2) Should i put YYT on bench or bench others

    THXS!!

    1. Pochecinno
      11 years, 23 days ago

      1) Kun
      2) Barkley

    2. Concrete
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Aguero
      No, bench Ayew

  26. Who Ate All Depays?
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Captain?
    A) Aguero
    B) Sanchez
    C) Payet

    1. OPTA FPL
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Snahcez

  27. sunny_arsenal
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Pick Captain? Aguero, Payet or Mahrez?

    1. Pochecinno
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Kun

    2. OPTA FPL
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Mahrez

    3. Paanmonkey
      11 years, 23 days ago

      that's it ! I'm done with Kun..Martial please don't let me down..I give you the armband !

    4. King Kav. QC at law
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Cun

  28. Kevtheotter
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Hey lads what you think

    Butland
    Kolarov Darmian Gomez
    Marhez Sanchez Yaya Pedro(c)
    Kun Gomis Wilson

    McCarthy Richards Huth Westwood 1.5 ITB 1FT

    A)Gomez to Azlipuceta
    B) Gomez to Dawson/Evans
    C) Gomis to Martial
    D) Yaya to Hazard
    E) Yaya to KDB

    Cheers

    1. OPTA FPL
      11 years, 23 days ago

      D

    2. Kevtheotter
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Just realised I can't do D

      1. OPTA FPL
        11 years, 23 days ago

        A

    3. Chinu
      11 years, 23 days ago

      B

  29. Eden Hazardous
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Newcastle first team lost to Sheffield Wednesday's reserve team
    Spurs have kept 2 CS in a row and have been resilient at the back

    1. OPTA FPL
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Hazard (c) locked

    2. OPTA FPL
      11 years, 23 days ago

      3 cs in a row for Spurs

    3. Grand Thibauto
      11 years, 23 days ago

      yes im capping you

    4. Rhinos
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Thanks for that

  30. Godfather Bandit 42
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Get Cresswell or Zouma?

    1. Grand Thibauto
      11 years, 23 days ago

      cresswel