[sbu_large_image] Preamble
31 October 2015 2063 comments
Mark Mark
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Everton’s incredible schedule up until the New Year has given me an opportunity dig up an old argument.

“Form or Fixtures” is a hackneyed and tired debate amongst these pages and Fantasy Football managers – so, if I’m going to revive it, I’m going to have to try and inject it with new life.

Let’s start by saying that, in my view, tracking and speculating on fixtures provides the platform for those who aspire to “maverick” management.

Similarly, when we become over-reliant on form to guide our decisions, seeking comfort in proven trends rather than attempting to seek out and exploit new patterns, we are, by that description, favouring the “dullard” management style.

Despite the fact that studying fixtures involves scanning spreadsheets and schedules, I therefore see it as the “sexy” and “aspirational” option.

Fixtures can provide some basis of logic to fuel speculative and risky decisions. Those decisions may backfire and that’s how form gets widely established as the most reliable and effective factor behind winning at Fantasy Football.

However, without some influence of fixtures and the thinking they promote, Fantasy Football management can become a turgid and repetitive experience.

I look to Andy at this point, riding high at the top of our contributors league and placed in the top 150 overall.

When he signed Harry Kane in Gameweek 9, he wasn’t basing that decision on his form. Kane had just a single goal to his name and yet, with the luxury of a strong rank, Andy made the decision to draft him in and was rewarded with his Gameweek 10 hat-trick.

I imagine Kane’s fixtures – the trip to Bournemouth and now four home matches in the next six – played some part in reassuring Andy’s maverick urges.

I now look to the top transferred-in players this week and note that Jamie Vardy sits just behind Kane. The Leicester man has struck goals in seven consecutive Gameweeks and is in the form of his life.

The decision made by those 140,000 FPL managers is clearly based on Vardy’s current form and yet, there’s an argument to say that Romelu Lukaku could outscore Vardy over the next eight Gameweeks.

There can be no question that the Vardy transfer is more logical. As such, we can also associate such a decision with typical “dullard” behaviour.

Is Vardy the better option? Our Watchlist says so and I find it difficult to argue against every team requiring the Foxes striker. However, I also think there’s every chance that Vardy’s output will regress and that Lukaku will exploit Everton’s schedule and outscore him.

It would take close scrutiny of the Toffees’ schedule to arrive at that theory; it would also take a brave Fantasy Football manager to back it.

I’m not sure on Andy’s methods but, as a Fantasy Football manager that loves to speculate – that enjoys seeking out the 30-yard Hollywood ball rather than opt to keep possession with sideways pass – I realise that I put too much stock in fixtures.

At this point it’s normally appropriate to say that there is no wrong or right approach. However, I think that’s nonsense.

Form is so often the most important factor – consider player form, then team form and only then bring fixtures into the equation.

However, I like to think that the really successful Fantasy Football managers need more than that basic framework to play this game.

Studying fixtures allows us to branch out – it’s the comfort blanket that we cling to when we make a transfer that walks on the wild side.

Those transfers make Fantasy Football worth playing and the highs you get from those trades so often outweigh the satisfaction gained from another Vardy goal.

I like to consider form as my cosy and reliable local. Then, every so often, I willingly allow the fixture list to tempt me into more exciting venues, where lady luck perches at the bar, seductively flicking through pictures of Lukaku’s goal celebrations.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. Gianfranco Zola
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Play

    A) Dawson
    B) Mahrez (AOA)

    1. zon
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      B

      1. Gianfranco Zola
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks

    2. Carcetti
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Dawson

    3. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Dawson.

  2. LeicesterA
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Sterling or Mane for a two week punt? First to three wins!

    1. Pointsonthebench
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Mane

    2. zon
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Man€

    3. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Mane.

    4. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Mane

    5. LeicesterA
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Done. Thanks all.

  3. Pedram
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Play Mahrez or Wijnaldum ? quick

    1. Up the tics
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      wijnaldum

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Wij

      1. SomewhatPleasing
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        No. Mahrez

    3. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Wij.

  4. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Think I'll just be a dullard and captain KDB over Mane 🙁

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Logical move

      City have been running riot at home lately and Norwich are conceding loads away

    2. Costa in Wengerland
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      No its not Dullard
      both are really good Choices

    3. Arvin-ation
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Dullard.

  5. Ch3ckNorriZ
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Raheem gonna play, or get Rihad in- what u guys think on that on?

  6. Gregor
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    I've answered a lot of questions, anyone want to have a go at mine?

    Play Mertesacker, Nyom or take a hit and get Bellerin?

    Thanks.

    1. super zlatan
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Play mert

      1. redbull0011
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Mert might not play 🙂

    2. redbull0011
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I would play Nyom 😉

    3. zon
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Merte

    4. Carcetti
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Play Merts

      1. SomewhatPleasing
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Id start Mert, central positions should hopefully become clear over the next few games

    5. Up the tics
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Mert

    6. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Thanks all.

    7. Springbank
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Mert

    8. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Mert

      Nyom is also good, no need for a hit

    9. Gussy
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      mert

      1. Gregor
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers.

  7. redbull0011
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    who to bench out of this:

    Mahrez Sanchez Wijnaldum Payet KDB
    Vardy Pelle Ighalo

    I am thinking bench Mahrez because got Vardy, but still I feel I need something like Lukaku, Mane, Kane, Giroud, Bony any thoughts??? cheers.

  8. super zlatan
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    KDB or Kane for captain?

    1. Costa in Wengerland
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Kdb

    2. Óró Sé…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      KDB

      1. super zlatan
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers

    3. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Could go either way, Kane for me.

    4. Futbol Heritage
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Hurricane.

  9. Óró Sé…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Would you play Soares or Janmaat (I have Elliot)

    Soares and Elliot
    Janmaat and Elliot
    Janmaat and Butland

    GTG?

    Elliot

    Kolorov, Dawson, Janmaat
    KDB, Sanchez, Payet, Mane
    Pelle, Mitrovic, Vardy

    Butland, Johnson, Soares, Moreno

    1. Costa in Wengerland
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Janmat

  10. tm370
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Is it madness to bring in Lukaku for -4 (for Gomis) and then to bench Mahrez to play him? I'm not planning to start Lukaku next week either.. but my Jones and Lukaku for Soare and Gomis plan is dependent on no price rises.

    1. King Kav. QC at law
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah

      1. tm370
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers

  11. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    repost
    nothing conclusive so far

    bench whom-
    mahrez
    martial
    vardy
    AOA?

    defence-kola/toby/nyom/bassong/francis

  12. ☆Khaz
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Should I:

    1. Start Dawson and bench Mahrez

    2. Use AoA = play Mahrez + bench Dawson

    Any help would be appreciated.

    1. Buck The Trent
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      2

      1. ☆Khaz
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        cheers

    2. Óró Sé…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      1

      1. ☆Khaz
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        cheers

  13. Up the tics
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    DDG
    VVD / Sagna / Alder
    Mata / Sanchez / Payet / Wijnaldum
    Pelle / Bony (c) / Vardy

    Myhill / Mahrez / Naughton / Richards

    Good to go yah? High scoring week I can feel it already

  14. ppp
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    If shopping for a city defender, is Kompany worth 1M over sagna?
    Worried about kolarov's rotation risk..

    1. Shrimp On The Barb
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Zaba back after International break

    2. Stephen - Robot Daniels
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Not really no. Kompany loves a YC too...

  15. Nemanja Vidic
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Play
    Ighalo or Mahrez?

    1. Shrimp On The Barb
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Mahrez

    2. Springbank
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      same situation here.I'm playing Marhez with Ighalo first sub for now

  16. rdamjan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Last call for Costa. Any news? :S Or take a hit ---> Lukaka

    1. Kolarov Fpl Legend
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I would take that hit

  17. Kolarov Fpl Legend
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Quick Pelle or Mane for C ?

    1. King Kav. QC at law
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Either.

      1. Kolarov Fpl Legend
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        not helping

        1. King Kav. QC at law
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          Help yourself.

    2. guillermo
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Rooney (c)

      1. KOLASINA(C)
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        bookmarked, he can be Nostradamus

    3. Springbank
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Mane.Midfield playing as striker + rested midweek

  18. JogaSemmedo
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Bony captainers are you confident in your selection?

    1. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Nope. Excitedly nervous though.

      1. JogaSemmedo
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        I think that describes it well! Just having last minute doubts about KDB & Pelle!

    2. Shrimp On The Barb
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      No, but yes. 😀

    3. Debauchy
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Fairly so

  19. allenmac
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Hart,
    Cedric, Bellerin, Smalling
    De Bruyne(c), Mane, Sanchez, Mahrez, Payet
    Vardy, Pelle

    Subs: Ruddy, Graham, Amavi, Huth

    Good to go?

    1. King Kav. QC at law
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Do you have a wildcard?

      1. allenmac
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Yea why haha only 15 mins to deadline tho, who would you change?

  20. Buck The Trent
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    KDB or Bony captain ?

    1. Costa in Wengerland
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Kdb

    2. Shaw must go on
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      same problem....i think i go with Bony...Differential

  21. Chief Break-Everything
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Bench Mahrez or AOA?

    1. King Kav. QC at law
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Bench

    2. Phaze 1
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      bench

    3. Heytch
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      AOA

  22. James101
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Help?!

    Play myhill (lei) or Gomes (whm)

    Both playing at home

  23. Ch3ckNorriZ
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    You guys think Sterling gonna play and get more Points than Mahrez...?!?

    1. Buck The Trent
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      if he plays

    2. King Kav. QC at law
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Yes and no.

  24. Fergietime
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Bench Ighalo or Mahrez?

  25. Thunder Warrior
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Pelle or Kane for C?

    1. guillermo
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Rooney (c)

  26. Jonny HOW SON?
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Start one:
    A) Butland
    B) Myhill

    1. The Tinkerman
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Butland

  27. DameCorp
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    If i transfer Costa out who is on my field for Lukaku (or anyone else), does the replacement automatically take his spot on the field?

    1. DameCorp
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      apposed to the bench?

    2. guillermo
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      No, he dies.

  28. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Mane or KDB??? Who to Cpt? have yaya and pelle already

    1. guillermo
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Rooney (c)

  29. Carcetti
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Play Moreno? Or use AOA Chip and Play Ayoze?

  30. fancy111
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Chances of Firmino starting today?