[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
28 December 2015 2709 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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With just hours remaining until Gameweek 19 is upon us, we turn to a trio of overlooked options for your Monday morning perusal. Chelsea and Southampton’s midfields supply us with a player apiece, whilst Liverpool’s weekend match-winner gets the nod as the Merseysiders roll up to Sunderland.

Christian Benteke

Christian Benteke (8.2) – who replaced the injured Divock Origi at the 38-minute mark against Leicester City – made the most of his opportunity, prodding home from inside the area to claim his fifth goal of the season. As the only fully fit member of the Reds’ attacking contingent, the Belgium frontman looks set to be tasked with leading the line as they embark on a pair of promising road trips (sun, whu).

Despite clocking just 240 minutes over the previous four Gameweeks, Benteke ranks joint-sixth – alongside Harry Kane – for attempts (11) and sixth for penalty-box touches (30), while only a trio of strikers mustered more shots inside the box (10). Liverpool as a whole chalked up eight more key passes (22) than any team last Gameweek, which gives us confidence in Benteke’s supply lines at the Stadium of Light.

In the wake of their 4-1 drubbing at the hands of Manchester City, Sunderland are four clear of the field in terms of goals conceded (37), having recorded just three clean sheets throughout the season. In addition, the Black Cats place top for goals conceded (11), second for shots inside the box conceded (42) and top for big chances allowed (14) during the previous four Gameweeks, highlighting their pitiable defensive form.

Sadio Mane

Prior to last Gameweek, Sadio Mane (7.7) was slipping into the shadows, having accrued just one assist across his previous seven outings. Southampton’s 4-0 mauling of Arsenal on Saturday marked a return to form for both team and player, with the Senegal international bagging his seventh assist of the campaign. Indeed, if Saints can sustain the attacking momentum they generated against the Gunners, you’d fancy Mane to be among the prime beneficiaries.

Although Mane’s shot accuracy (8.3%) has clearly curtailed his attacking output over the last four Gameweeks, the wealth of chances he’s able to fashion bodes well for future fixtures. During that time frame, only three midfielders notched more attempts (12), while Marouane Fellaini (11) was the only counterpart to surpass Mane’s haul of shots inside the box (10). Moreover, the former Red Bull Salzburg wide man ranked third for penalty-box touches (24) among his peers.

Southampton’s favourable quartet of upcoming match-ups (whu, nor, WAT, WBA) provides the greatest incentive to invest in the jet-heeled winger. West Ham United have conceded just four goals in as many league ties, yet no side surrendered more shots inside the box (43) over the stretch – playing right into Mane’s strengths. Beyond that head-to-head, the south-coast outfit collide with a Norwich City side that’s mustered just a single clean sheet.

Willian

Despite being Chelsea’s best player throughout their wretched run of form under Jose Mourinho, Willian (7.0) still went into their home tie against Sunderland off the back of seven successive blanks. The tireless Brazilian has since racked up three assists in two starts, furnishing us with a viable route into the Blues’ midfield. Certainly, with Eden Hazard struggling for rhythm and fitness, and Pedro coming in at a prohibitive 8.9, Willian currently boasts the most upside.

In the two Gameweeks since Mourinho signed off, Willian places joint-fourth among midfielders for attempts (six), which represents a significant increase on his shot frequency (one every 31.5 minutes from 54.9) when compared to the rest of the campaign. The ex-Corinthians recruit also charted joint-sixth for key passes (four), illustrating a capacity for Fantasy returns beyond his set-piece proficiency.

Next on the agenda for Chelsea is a road encounter against Louis van Gaal’s floundering Manchester United outfit. Aside from the fact that the Red Devils are in the midst of a three-match losing streak, the Blues will be emboldened in the knowledge that they rank joint-second for shots inside the box (21) and joint-top for big chances (five) over the last two Gameweeks, underlining their rejuvenation in the final third.

2,709 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Big Dave
    Moreno - Evans - Toby
    KDB - Ozil - Ramsey (C) - Mahrez
    Vardy - Lukaku - Kane

    Elliott, Alli, Wolly, Simpson

    1 FT, 4m ITB. Save FT?

    1. OptimusBlack
      10 years, 10 months ago

      What about Giroud ?

      1. Team Cruel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 10 months ago

        3x Arse would be overkill

    2. tommo75
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Same outfield 10 as me. Also thinking Rambo captain. Can't help wishing I had Giroud. I've got 2FTs and can't see how to use even one with the value tied up in Vardy.

      1. Team Cruel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Same 10 outfielders? Wow. Yeah can't fit in Giroud

  2. villian-ty
    10 years, 10 months ago

    I have 2 FT 4.8 in the bank. What to do?

    A Richards -> Ward, Save FT
    B Vardy-> Aguero, Coutinho -> Ali
    C Kane -> Aguero, Save FT
    D Lukaku -> Aguero

    Butland McCarthy
    Richards Bellerin Huth Moreno Dawson
    KDB Ozil Mahrez Hoolahan Coutinho
    Vardy Kane Lukaku

  3. Jönny
    10 years, 10 months ago

    I've got a really annoying front 8 that keeps leading to benched points. Need to sort it out. Have two frees and 2.6 in the bank... Arsenal players are the obvious thing I'm missing, but who to drop is the problem! Any suggestions?

    Kdb, Mahrez, Delefou, Mane, Wijnaldum
    Vardy, Kane, Lukaku

    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Delofeu to Arsenal mid

      1. Jönny
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Simple but effective, may just do that and bench Wij this week...

    2. twoplustwo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Get some s*** on the bench if it worries you

      1. Jönny
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I need to, I think! Making all the wrong calls this season, have benched about 40 points between Mane and Wijnaldum!

        1. KOLASINA(C)
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Mane->Gosling, problem fixed.

      2. QPR expects... glory!
        10 years, 10 months ago

        This isn't the GW to do that. Probably safer to wait until GW21 to make that move

        1. Jönny
          10 years, 10 months ago

          A very good point...best laid plans may go to pot this week. Having a very frustrating season, so need to hear these little pearls of wisdom from time to time!

    3. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Would drop two of Deulofeu, Mane and Wijnaldum

      1. Jönny
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I thought of rage transferring the three out for Ramsey, Ozil and Stanislas...

    4. BrockLanders
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Ramsey & Coutinho for Wijnaldum & Deulofeu?

      1. Jönny
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Sounds good, but leaves me with a benching dilemma this week. (also not sure I can afford it)

        1. BrockLanders
          10 years, 10 months ago

          I'd bench Vardy

    5. DVassell
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Wijnaldum out for alli

    6. Jönny
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Thanks everyone!

  4. wycombewanderers
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Already playing Hennessey,

    Should I start Ward (Swa h) or Moreno (Sun a)

    Thanking you!

    1. DVassell
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Moreno- spread the risk. Also Palace are actually tighter away

    2. Wave of Mutilation
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Mo

  5. OptimusBlack
    10 years, 10 months ago

    I have Özil & Ramsey and want Giroud in so

    Lukaku & Kola > Giroud + Dnn for free

    Yaay

    Naay

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Not for me

  6. Trust John
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Really struggling with which one of these three to bench today. Thoughts?

    A - Barkley
    B - Vardy
    C - Mahrez

    1. OLEgend
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Vardy

      1. Trust John
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Should I trust advice from a Team India rival? Team Tahiti forever!

    2. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Barkley

  7. OLEgend
    10 years, 10 months ago

    How about this W.C team

    Hennessey (Butland)

    Williams Ward Kos (Toby Wolly)

    Mahrez KDB Ramsey(VC) Ozil (Alli)

    Kane Lukaku(c) Vardy..

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Bang on the template.

      So good if you're winning

    2. Andy1
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Like it
      I havr 11 of them

    3. OLEgend
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Any apt replacements for Toby? I can't see Spurs keeping a cleansheet in the next 3 fixtures.

  8. Kevtheotter
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Help! I can't decide what to do!

    Butland
    Rose Bellerin Evans
    Marhez Winjaldum Ozil KDB
    Kane Lukaku Vardy

    McCarthy Zouma WW Huth 5.5 ITB 2FT

    A) Zouma and Winjaldum to Ward and Ramsey/Wally
    B) Zouma and Vardy to Ward and Kun
    C) Westwood and Zouma to Ramsey/Wally and Ward - bench Wijnaldum

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      A

    2. FDMS All Starz
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Re...ww to Ramsey and bench wiji

      1. Kevtheotter
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers I went with that, Sorry for the spamming

  9. DVassell
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Bench order correct and good to go?

    _______Hennessey______
    Bellerin___Dier____Moreno
    Ozil_Coutinho_Mahrez_KDB
    Kun____Lukaku(c)___Kane

    Subs: DDG, Ward, King, Simpson

    0.2 itb 1FT

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      All good imo

    2. Wave of Mutilation
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Ward v Dier is a coin flip. Very tough cal

      1. Wave of Mutilation
        10 years, 10 months ago

        *call

  10. Robe Wan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Lol @ South Africa

    Am I really doing Ramsey (C)?!

    1. HVT
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I'm close to it-looks guaranteed 90 mins, helps for sure.

      1. Robe Wan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 10 months ago

        It does with doubt over KDB and even kane

  11. Laser314
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    I think Wally should have been on Spot the Differential instead of Willian.

    1. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Costa should be on there

      1. Spectrum-FFS Doubles Champ
        10 years, 10 months ago

        They don't pick suspended players

  12. Forever In Our Shadow
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Captain check?

    I'm on Kun (C) - Ozil (VC)

    1. Vman
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I'm other way around atm

    2. HuttonDressedasLahm
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Theo (c) Ozil (vc)

    3. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Kun (c) , Ramsey (vc)

    4. Nabs Kebabs
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Kun c
      Ramsey vc

    5. ILOVEBAPS
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Özil (C) Lukaku (vc)

  13. Vman
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Bench 1 from these please

    Ozil Mahrez Ali Coutinho Kdb Aguero Ighalo Lukaku

    Looking at Mahrez or Ighalo

    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Fixture says Mahrez, but definitely Alli

      1. Vman
        10 years, 10 months ago

        The form he is in ?

    2. Nabs Kebabs
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Alli

  14. MDK
    10 years, 10 months ago

    If I had the gohones

    Stanislas and Kolarov -> Ramsey and Ward

    Butland
    Moreno Ward
    Ozil Mahrez Ramsey Coutinho KDB
    Kane Vardy Lukaku

    1. HVT
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Why not do it?

      1. MDK
        10 years, 10 months ago

        It would be a -4 and the AOA chip but could be a good time to roll the dice

        1. Vman
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Don't I think. Bit of rotation around so save the -4

  15. HuttonDressedasLahm
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Who's holding a transfer for 1.59 panic?

  16. KOLASINA(C)
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Dear Pulis,

    sort your defence out.

    Sincerely,
    Van Dij(C).

  17. Vote Joke
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Who are the best 3 players to have as bench players? I guess Westwood is no longer one of them....

    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Impossible question

    2. Your Mum's Athletic
      10 years, 10 months ago

      At this point in the season (Xmas) nailed on players is a must

    3. Ha.
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I'd say Simpson is one

  18. Dr. Agabuse
    10 years, 10 months ago

    I'm sorry to repost but need more opinion on this:

    ALukaku BIghalo CKane DAguero

    Whom would you leave out of your Wildcard and why?!

    I'm chasing in my ML and Aguero would represent a welcome differential but is it to early? Should I just leave out Kane or is his form actually back to impressive?

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Aguero

      I love him but he could hurt for weeks before he comes good

    2. Concrete
      10 years, 10 months ago

      A - fixtures turn & slipping stats

    3. HuttonDressedasLahm
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Crazy question.

      Depends on other cover , and money

      I guess if you have Aguero then you'd need Ighalo for fund releasing

      I have ABC in my team now

    4. twoplustwo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Luka, simply as I think the others offer a bit more

    5. Vman
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Who is bighalo I thought he made films

  19. Your Mum's Athletic
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Morning all, still not well 🙁 It got hulked, that's nice of you all 🙂

    Can anyone shed their thoughts on this bunch?

    Butland

    Bellerin Toby Souare

    Ozil Ramsey(c) KDB Mahrez(vc)

    Lukaku Vardy Kane

    Subs: McCarthy Kolarov Gosling Morgan - 2FT 4.0itb

    I'm thinking:

    A) Gosling < Alli - he goes too first bench
    B) Kolarov < Coleman or any suggestible defender

    1. Dr. Agabuse
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Kolarov to Moreno?
      Vardy to Ighalo?!

      1. Your Mum's Athletic
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Moreno gets so far forward! was surprised when i looked at that tbh. Vardy has BOU next, that's my main worry

    2. La Roja
      10 years, 10 months ago

      giggity

      1. Your Mum's Athletic
        10 years, 10 months ago

        😆 i can't just burn a transfer surely?

        1. La Roja
          10 years, 10 months ago

          McCarthy out for Hennessey

          Yawn

    3. FootballGeorge
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Yes good moves but I would do A but then for B I would do Kolarov -> Dawson (wba fixtures)

      Otherwise GTG

    4. OLEgend
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Kolarov > Williams?

  20. shady4revr
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Kolarov news?

    1. Andy1
      10 years, 10 months ago

      He's a legend

    2. HuttonDressedasLahm
      10 years, 10 months ago

      He's on the bench (mine)

      1. FootballGeorge
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Same

    3. The Red Devil
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Probably benched

  21. Scotty B
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Butland
    Clyne Alderwereild McCauley
    Mahrez Ozil KDB Barkley
    Lukaku Vardy Kane
    Subs McCarthy VVD Richards Westwood

    Thinking of doing the below -4 and playing bench boost

    McCarthy & Westwood > Hennesey & Alli

    Sound good?

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Nope. Esp not with Richards there!

  22. ILOVEBAPS
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Shift Zouma or Kolarov first??

    1. La Roja
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Zouma imo

  23. FootballGeorge
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Score prediction for Watford vs Spurs ?
    Thanks

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      10 years, 10 months ago

      1-1

  24. And we all have legs
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Would you play Ivanovic away to Chelsea or Alli away to Watford?

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Alli

    2. And we all have legs
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Away to United obviously. Cheers Robe Wan.

  25. drcooper817
    10 years, 10 months ago

    My WC defence looks like this:

    Butland-Hennessey
    Bellerin-Toby-Ward-Dawson- ( )

    Suggestions for fifth defender? Preferably with fixtures turning good after 2 GWs.
    Thanks!

  26. BrockLanders
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Mark Hughes Stoke did the double over Everton last season. 1nil at Goodison and 3nil at the Britainia. Just in case your considering Lukaku (c)

    1. Andy1
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Everton are better this season

      1. Ryan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        10 years, 10 months ago

        So are Stoke tbf

      2. Absinthe Minded
        10 years, 10 months ago

        So ar Stoke...

  27. BRANISLAV BRANISLIFE
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Best, nailed on Arsenal defender?

    1. Ha.
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Kos

    2. Ryan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Bellerin

    3. FDMS All Starz
      10 years, 10 months ago

      None of them after Saturday

      1. KOLASINA(C)
        10 years, 10 months ago

        It's only one game.

  28. Ryan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Bench is currently Dawson, Jones, Mahrez & Gomes. Would welcome any rotation

    1. Jacques The Lad
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Who are you benching Mahrez for?

      1. Ryan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        10 years, 10 months ago

        its 50/50 between him and Barkley. I get the feeling Mahrez could be rested

        1. Ryan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Don't want to risk a 30min cameo

          1. Jacques The Lad
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Its always tough this time of year, I'm playing Barkley as well as Mahrez but considering benching one of the two for Ighalo

    2. La Roja
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Mahrez benched 😯

  29. villian-ty
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Why are people keeping Kane for next 2 GW? Watford is a tough place to score goals and so is Everton

    1. KOLASINA(C)
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Mahrez disagree with the latter.

  30. Littlefish92
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Who for the armband ?
    1.Ozil vs Bor
    2.Aguero vs Lei
    3.Lukaku vs Stoke
    4.Coutinho Vs Sun

    1. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      3.

      1. najk
        10 years, 10 months ago

        did 3 as well

    2. Andy1
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I think c.
      Or a

    3. BrockLanders
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Mark Hughes has a hoodoo over Martinez. Be careful