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11 March 2016 1466 comments
Paul Paul
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Friday afternoon continues with our usual pre-Gameweek members article, as we cast an eye over the captaincy conundrum ahead of the weekend’s five fixtures. As always, we analyse the Opta data for the main contenders and assess the team statistics and Rate My Team’s reckoning, before rounding off with our opinion on the current poll standings in light of the data analysis, including our view on differential captains.

The Captain Poll

Once again, Sergio Aguero is the clear leader in our poll. After bagging a brace in City’s 4-0 thrashing of Villa, the Argentine has collected over 56% of the votes cast ahead of a trip to a Norwich side that’s shipped 12 goals in their last four at Carrow Road.

Somewhat surprisingly, Harry Kane has been earmarked by just 20% for a trip to Villa. The Tottenham frontman has netted four times in his last quartet of road trips and is now up against a dire defence that’s conceded 15 times in four and have one foot in the Championship.

Below that duo, Riyad Mahrez (7%) and Jamie Vardy (5%) are shaping us as major armband differentials for Leicester’s home encounter with a Newcastle outfit that’s lost six on the bounce away from home. Whilst Vardy has struggled for returns of late, with a goal and assist in five, Mahrez has stepped up his consistency and produced points in five of the last seven Gameweeks, including an 11-point haul at Watford last time out.

Beyond them, the likes of Josh King, Gylfi Sigurdsson, Christian Eriksen, David Silva and Dele Alli are have the potential to spring a surprise, with 2% or less backing so far.

Are these current standings backed by the underlying statistics?

Let’s start breaking down the player and team data for their respective last four matches and shed a little more light on the situation.

Paul Is certain he won't make the same mistakes next season. Follow them on Twitter

  1. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    Need to make a transfer with dgw in mind ???????

    2ft 1m itb

    Butland
    Simpson - Wolly - Kompanu
    Arnie - Mahrez - Alli - Ayew
    Kane - Vardy - Aguero (C)

    McCarthy - Williams - Bellerin - Ozil

    1. fickle
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Wolly or williams to Clyne

  2. Latchmere Wave Machine
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    Is the feeling wijnaldum maybe of some use In the run-in now wally has left the toon?

    Anyone else worth considering?

    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      The reverse. Shelvey.

      1. Nomar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        This

    2. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      I would wait and see what happens.

    3. Latchmere Wave Machine
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Thanks all, I'll keep up the search

  3. Bøwstring The Carp
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    Bottomed sorry

    Kun v Kane

    Basically FPL is about maximising the chance of gain and lowering the chance of blanks. We do this by taking all factors into account and making decisions based on weighing up the information available to us.

    While City haven't been great on the road, Aguero has not only scored well against the weaker teams lately, as the stats and returns demonstrate, he has scored in three of his last 4 away matches. The concern is that Norwich's underlying defensive stats of late will begin to produce more representative results, coupled with Man City's away form.

    For Kane, he is playing in a Tottenham side that genuinely have a rare shot at the title, hence an added hunger. They have shown they can play well on away days, and come up against a deflated Villa side. Villa's defensive stats coupled with Kane's attacking stats just look too good to ignore at the moment.

    Both options have similar factors, but logically, Kane stands out as the better pick. Aguero has a significant negative factor. I would rather go with the logical choice and let chance be the cause of failure than go against it and have the blame on myself. As it says below, "That's just the dark side of probability".

    All will be revealed this weekend, perhaps Mahrez and Vardy captainers will have the last laugh...

    1. Greenbackbøøg…
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Agreed

    2. The Raging Bull
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      The problem is, Kane just seems to miss too many sitters!

      1. Forza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        This. Aguero only needs half a chance.

    3. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Kane's a weird fella though.

      1. The Raging Bull
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        granted he seems to score well against the relegation fodder this season

    4. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Eriksen captainers* 😉

    5. juggos
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Good points, but I just think more people will be captaining Kun. I'm not chasing as I'm topping my leagues so I'll go with him because I want to preserve my rank and keep my lead. If the kane captainers gain ground so be it

    6. superpav
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Being a Spurs fan, I'll nevertheless go with Kun so as not to get double-disappointment in case we / Kane don't turn up against Villa.

    7. John t penguin
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Hooray someone to blame if it goes wrong 🙂

  4. Lizard Lips
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    I can field 11 but should I use my FT (Yaya to Arnie or Ozil to Silva) just in case of another injury or should I save it??

    1. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      I have just 11 and saving.

  5. Heavy Soul
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    FOSTER / MCCARTHY
    Toby / Fuchs / Daniels (MORENO, Richards)
    SANCHEZ / PAYET / Mahrez, Alli / Arnie
    Kun / Kane / Vardy

    2 FT / .9m

    A) Foster > Hart Sanchez > Siggy or Silva
    B) Foster > Butland Moreno > Williams
    C) Something else?

    Thanks!

    1. Emp
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      I like B

      1. Heavy Soul
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        Thank you

  6. Ibracadabra´s Spell
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    A) Play 10
    B) Ozil ----> Silva, Eriksen or Alli (-4)
    C) Azpi ----> Daniels (-4)

    A, B or C?

  7. The Mandalorian
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    Silva has scored only 1 goal in the EPL this season compared to 12 last season. Sterling and KDB must be taking his scoring chances.

    1. Bøwstring The Carp
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Good thing KDB is out and Sterling is fighting for a place atm 😉

    2. KOLASINA(C)
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Biggest disappointment for me this season.

    3. The Raging Bull
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      first 8 games of the season, I thought Silva was progressing well to having his pest PL season then that injury pretty much killed his season. Disappointing.

      1. The Raging Bull
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        *best

  8. Piggs Boson
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    Aguero mins per goal: ..103.2
    Welbeck mins per goal: 106.5

    Arsenal could have won the league with him fit all season 😛

    1. John t penguin
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Wenger would still have benched him

      1. Piggs Boson
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        Yeah... he's only started 2 of the last 4. He deserves to be starting. He does so much more than score goals.

    2. QGOONER
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Easy...

    3. Frank Black
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Not with a defense(and team) that has zero mentality.

  9. mental
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    What's targett chance to start ?

    1. The Handsome Hunk
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      I am also keen to know.

    2. DrCongo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Anyone's guess. Fonte being out will likely cause yoshida to come in. Koeman seems to alter the defence with no notice

  10. John t penguin
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    -4 for a Stoke defender is stupid right?
    Likely score at best is 6 so -4 to gain 2 doesn't seem worth it

    1. madame shelly
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      you got it

    2. Hakuna Juan Mata
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      exactly

    3. Rum Ham
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Correct.

  11. Toby Lerone
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    play arnie or alli?

    1. Emp
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      alli, wish i had your problems!

      1. Sjaugen
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        No you don't. You probably have better players benched

        1. Toby Lerone
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 19 days ago

          my mid at the moment is arnie/alli mahrez silva siggy
          att vardy kane kun

    2. Rum Ham
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Alli.

  12. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    How many players you fielding this GW?

    How many subs you have?

    How many hits?

    11
    0
    0

    1. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      11
      0
      0

    2. The Raging Bull
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      11
      0
      0

    3. Ibracadabra´s Spell
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      10
      0
      0

      OR

      11
      0
      -4

      Not sure yet.

    4. George Sillett
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Ditto

    5. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      11
      1
      0

    6. Optimus.
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      11 but that will include Rose

      No hits but the night is young

      1. George Sillett
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        Good point . Alcohol induced transfers combined with a degree of incompetence have ruined my season.

        1. Optimus.
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 20 days ago

          🙂

    7. SPFC
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      11
      1
      0

    8. John t penguin
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      On 10 at mo thanks to you're
      Expect it to be 8 once unknown benchings happen

    9. Odikostar
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      11
      0
      0
      One ft as well

    10. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      11
      0
      0

      Rose included though

    11. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      11
      0
      saving ft

    12. Bøwstring The Carp
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      11
      1
      0

    13. Rum Ham
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      11
      0
      1

    14. St. Joseph
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      11
      2
      0

    15. KOLASINA(C)
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      11 0 0

    16. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      11
      1
      Saving a FT

    17. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      11
      0
      1

    18. Artorias
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      11
      0
      0

    19. walkman666
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      11
      1
      0

    20. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      11
      0
      0
      Targett included

    21. juggos
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      11
      0
      0

  13. Lisboa 1967
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    sterling or navas ?

    i already have
    Siggy mahrez alli // payet willian

    other suggestions

    planning a -4
    dann -> kompany

    1. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Neither.

      1. VS10_
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        Kompany is a good move.

    2. Rum Ham
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Definitely not Navas.

      1. Lisboa 1967
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        who would be better ? for a -4 need a goalscorer / assist maker
        have 9.3million

        1. Rum Ham
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 20 days ago

          I wouldn't recommend anybody for a -4 to be honest, but if I had to I'd take a punt on Ritchie.

          1. Lisboa 1967
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 20 days ago

            thing is i dont have enough players , 1 may play but is it risky ? targett

  14. marquinhos
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    So is Mahrez(c) still a good shout in light of their new coach?

    1. Odikostar
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Yes (chelsea fan...)

    2. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      I wouldn't, but their defensive players are still the same bunch of sh!te 🙂

    3. Rum Ham
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Don't think there's much change, but still think there are better options.

    4. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      i'd say so

    5. DrCongo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      I doubt Rafa will have enough time to sort them out before the end of the season let alone before Monday

  15. Juventino4life
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    I have 2 FT and want to replace Payet to field 11. 5.4 ITB.

    Suggestions. I was thinking Silva. Yah or nah.

    1. Magic Bean
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Thinking bringing him in too, terrible away form though

    2. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Good.

    3. Rum Ham
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Go for it.

  16. Magic Bean
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    Roll over my transfer to next week and play this team? What you lads think?

    Butland
    Daniels, Williams, Wollscheid,
    Mahrez, Siggy, Alli, Albrighton,
    Aguero, Kane, Vardy

    (Ozil, Bellirin, Dann)

    Cheers in advance!

    1. madame shelly
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      looks good

    2. superpav
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Yep, save transfer.

  17. Emp
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    siggy , arnie or shaq for next couple gw's?. Siggy seems the obvius choice but swans really dont score too many goals at all

    1. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Siggy, Villa next weeks edges it.

    2. Rum Ham
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Siggy.

    3. I Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Gylfi

      1. Emp
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        cheers guys

  18. SPFC
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    Which tactical formation will you this weekend?

    I'm in 4-3-3

    1. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      343

    2. Paganoi
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      4-3-3 thanks to Yaya injury.

    3. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      3-4-3

    4. Rum Ham
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      3-4-3

    5. Artorias
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      343

  19. KingNidge
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    Yaya injury is a serious pain in the arse

    1. JK - Cønt â­
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      totally

      now forced to take a hit ðŸ™

      1. KingNidge
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        My own fault because i could have waited.. i can still play VvD and go with a strong 3-4-3 but i was really wanting to get rid of this AOA chip this week so Yaya > Silva/Sterling is tempting but with the Yaya likely to be back for next game and il bench him for it il just hold

    2. John t penguin
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      * ankle

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        😀

    3. Bøwstring The Carp
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Is the news legit? What link/ source?

      1. JK - Cønt â­
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        scout tweets

      2. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        Straight from the vampire's mouth.

    4. Art Vandelay
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      True dat.

  20. Elijah's Wood
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    Ok to roll a transfer and play with 10?

    Schmeichel
    Williams VVD Wollscheid
    Mahrez Siggy Alli
    Aguero(C) Kane Vardy

    (elliot sanchez payet moreno dawson)

    Cant afford Moreno -> Kompany, and Rose/Bavies is too risky. Sanchez and Payet will be good to hold.

    1. Rum Ham
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      What about Wimmer?

      1. Elijah's Wood
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        Vertonghen back very soon, would want them until GW33 when i wildcard

    2. juggos
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      I'd get Daniels and field 11

      1. Elijah's Wood
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        Daniels has bad fixtures after this week

  21. Earn your Spurs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    When do we expect to hear offically about games rescheduled in week 34 - or can we already work it out ourselves?

    1. Ini
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      We have to wait until the FA cup games are played over the weekend. Not sure when the official announcement will be.

      1. Earn your Spurs
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        Thanks - that makes sense - to know what replays are needed

  22. Ini
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    I want to get rid of Targett given the risk that he may not start this GW and moving forward.

    I need a 4.2 defender that is not from LEI or TOT. Best option for this week?
    - Cameron/Muniesa
    - BOU defender? I have Daniels.

    1. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Not a fan of any of those, would maybe just start Targett and hope he plays.

      1. Ini
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        I need to get rid of regardless, because we're never sure if he will start. I have 2FT so it's perfect timing.

        1. VS10_
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 20 days ago

          Not familiar enough with those Stoke defenders nailedness to recommend either tbh.

    2. Odikostar
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Are cameron and muniesa 4.2?? Defo one of em then

      1. Ini
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        Yup - 4.2 each.

    1. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Good. 🙂

      1. The Raging Bull
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        You finally ditched Walker?!

  23. Sithlord007
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    Evening

    Already done a 8pt hit, to get 9 playing. Would u put affellay in to get 10.

    Cheers

    1. Odikostar
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Hahaha nooo

  24. ZeBestee
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    Alli or Siggy for this gameweek?

    1. mozza
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Play all out attack chip and bench a defender

      1. ZeBestee
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 20 days ago

        i have already used that. I have 2FT one has gone to Kane and the other Alli/Siggy. Alli seems a safe bet given he has racked big points against strugling teams

  25. Chicken-Mandy
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    im sure theres been a lot of talk but ive missed it as ive been in dortmund, so....

    Aguero or Kane captain?

    1. St. Joseph
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Trust your gravatar
      It'll bring u luck

    2. superpav
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      I've gone with Kun.

      Was considering Dortmund for the away game but couldn't go in the end. Now have a home ticket for a match that won't mean anything. Was it good fun anyway?

  26. Recoba
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    Anyone playing MLS fantasy?

  27. ducksfly2gether
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    I don't have a playing goalie or 4th mid this week. I'm also starting Targett as my 3rd Defender

    Please Advise:

    A) Payet & DDG --> Eriksen & Hart

    B) Payet & Hennessey --> Eriksen & Elliott

    C) Payet, Hennessey, Koscielny --> Eriksen, Hart, Williams (-4) (This would give me GK combo of DDG/Hart and .8 ITB)

    D) Payet, DDG, Koscielny --> Eriksen, Hart, Williams (-4) (with 2.4 ITB)

    E) Payet, Hennessey/DDG, Targett --> Eriksen, Elliott/Hart, Williams (-4) (with .2 ITB)

    DDG/Hennessey

    Targett Simpson Daniels Ivanovic Koscielny

    Payet Ozil Mahrez Arnie Siggy

    Kane Aguero Vardy

    1. birdosworld
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      I'd go for B

  28. birdosworld
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    Got 12 starters and still got 2FTs 0.4ITB
    Team is:
    Butland (Rudd)
    Huth, Dier, Daniels, Kompany (Bertrand)
    Arnie, Mahrez, Alli, (Ozil, Sanchez)
    Kun, Kane, Vardy

    What would you do?
    Thinking either Sanchez to Silva but doesn't seem much point.
    Maybe Rudd for DGW goalkeeper e.g Newcastle's Elliot in preparation for using bench boost. Am I right in thinking Newcastle will have 2 DGW?

  29. emyoueffsee
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 20 days ago

    I have 10/11 players playing now Yaya is out. Should I use my FT to bring in a player. I like Eriksen but already have Alli and Kane.

    1. birdosworld
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Yes

    2. Rum Ham
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 20 days ago

      Bring in Eriksen.

      Aston Villa are bad. So so bad.