Scout Betting
9 April 2016 2341 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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With Wildcard tinkering rolling on until deadline, it’s time to sidetrack to assess whether Paddy Power’s latest odds can shape any last minute strategies.

Before we scan the odds for Anytime Goalscorers and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to register an account with Paddy, you can claim one of several enhanced odds offers over the weekend.

This week’s European acca offers odds of 20/1 on wins for PS G (at Guingamp), Man City (vs West Brom), Barcelona (at Real Sociedad) and Juventus (at AC Milan).

Switching to Sunday’s live matches, new customers can get a beefed-up 6/1 on Leicester to maintain their relentless title charge with a win at Sunderland.

Later that day, you can choose to back Leicester’s rivals Spurs with Paddy offering 6/1 odds for a home win over Manchester United at White Hart Lane.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 33

Player Team Odds
Aguero MCI 1.61
Bony MCI 2.00
Kane TOT 2.00
Pelle SOU 2.10
Austin SOU 2.10
Sturridge LIV 2.10
Iheanacho MCI 2.20
De Bruyne MCI 2.20
Giroud ARS 2.29
Sanchez ARS 2.29
Origi LIV 2.29
Firmino LIV 2.29
Lukaku EVE 2.37
Vardy LEI 2.40
Pato CHE 2.40
Toure MCY 2.50
Welbeck ARS 2.50
Long SOU 2.50
Mane SOU 2.50

Despite the fact he failed to score in four of his last six starts, Sergio Aguero (1.61) has been handed the shortest odds by some margin. Although Man City are a more dominant attacking force with Kevin De Bruyne back on the teamsheet, Aguero may just be thwarted by a West Brom defence that conceded just three goals in their previous four road ties. In response to the Sky Blues’ 4-0 win over Bournemouth last weekend, Wilfried Bony (2.00), Kelechi Iheanacho (2.20) and De Bruyne (2.20) also feature in the top echelons of Paddy’s assessment, with the bookmaker clearly backing goals for Manuel Pellegrini’s men.

Considering that he’s the league’s form frontman – having bagged six goals in four outings – it’s perhaps surprising that Harry Kane is pitched as long as 2.00 ahead of Manchester United’s visit to the Lane. Although Spurs chalked up 12 goals across their last five home encounters, the league’s top scorer is their only representative in our table.

Prior to an enticing home clash against Newcastle United, Graziano Pelle and Charlie Austin (both 2.10) place in the top five. The former has notched three goals in as many starts and will relish the prospect of facing a Magpies rearguard that’s conceded 10 goals in their last four road trips.

Daniel Sturridge is also pitched at 2.10 before Liverpool’s contest against Stoke City at Anfield. Having been rested for the Merseysiders’ Europa League meeting with Borussia Dortmund, the England striker looks well place to net for the third start in four. The Potters have just one clean sheet to their name in 10 outings, ensuring that Divock Origi and Roberto Firmino (both 2.29) also feature in the ranks.

In the wake of Arsenal’s resounding victories over Everton and Watford, Olivier Giroud and Alexis Sanchez (both 2.29) are priced keenly for a trip to West Ham United. The latter has recovered from a mid-season slump – notching two goals and three assists in four appearances – and currently ranks fifth for Fantasy Premier League “transfers in” prior to the Gameweek deadline.

While Romelu Lukaku has dominated this week’s Captain Poll ahead of his double Gameweek, Paddy have pitched him mid-table, handing him odds of 2.37 to notch anytime at Watford prior to his midweek visit to Palace.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 33

Team Odds
Manchester City 1.83
Southampton 2.10
Liverpool 2.10
Tottenham 2.37
Crystal Palace 2.50
Chelsea 2.50
Bournemouth 2.50
Leicester City 2.60
Everton 2.75
Arsenal 2.87

Man City (1.83) have conceded just once in their last four outings and are matched up against a Baggies unit that’s drawn successive blanks, prompting Paddy to grant them the shortest clean-sheet odds.

Southampton (2.10) currently place second as they prepare to host a Magpies attack that failed to score in three of their previous five away match-ups. Liverpool have now have identical odds to the Saints having come in from 2.20, although Jugen Klopp’s side will do well to silence a Stoke outfit that’s notched in every match since the beginning of February.

In the capital, Tottenham (2.37) will fancy their chances of repelling a Man United attack that’s carded three goals in four fixtures; Spurs have conceded just once in their last three league outings.

Crystal Palace and Chelsea both come in at the 2.50 mark before mid-afternoon encounters on Saturday. The Eagles haven’t recorded a shut-out in 12 outings but will face a Norwich City side that has posted blanks in four of their last five away trips. Meanwhile, the Blues pay visit to Swansea City, who have netted in all but one of their previous 13 fixtures.

Despite their two recent heavy defeats, Bournemouth are valued at 2.50 as they travel to face an Aston Villa side that is looking to avoid a fifth consecutive blank. Despite claiming four clean sheets in a row, league leaders Leicester (2.60) are handed relatively long odds for their trip to face relegation threatened Sunderland.

2,341 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Snapes on a Plane
    10 years, 6 months ago

    How is this for a WC team?
    GTG?

    Robles(Darlow)
    Delaney-Sakho-Simpson(Bellerin | Smalling)
    Sanchez-Bolasie-KDB-Coutinho-Barkley
    Augero-Lukaku(Martial)

    1. ARKANOIIDE
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Play Bell for attacking points :> Nice team! GL!

    2. Sepp Blattered
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      And GW 35?

    3. Odikostar
      10 years, 6 months ago

      it's not looking good for 35.
      Bolasie>lennon
      Barkley>iwobi
      Darlow>mignolet

  2. Ed
    10 years, 6 months ago

    On WC, already have Firmino.

    A) Jags, KDB & Lanzini
    or
    B) Smalling, Coutinho & Lennon

    1. Eden Azzzar
      10 years, 6 months ago

      B

    2. NissA
      10 years, 6 months ago

      B. Smalling is guaranteed more than Jags in 34, Coutinho will score similarly to KDB and has more DGWs ahead, and Lennon has more dgws than Lanz, but I'm not sure if he'll do any better.

  3. SantiClaus
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Are price changes in the day on a game weekend then? As in after the deadline? I thought they were always overnight. Damn

  4. Teahupo'o
    10 years, 6 months ago

    I think I've settled on my WC team. Exact cash. No Utd def. The only issue left no is whether Bolasie in now instead of Coutinho is worth a hit to remove in gw35 and having to go with Firmino because of money.

    Mignolet Robles
    Bellerin Gabriel Simpson Sakho Delaney
    KDB Payet Coutinho Sanchez Lennon
    Kun Lukaku Martial

    A) Bolasie then Firmino
    B) Coutinho +4

    ??

    1. butt0n1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Exact the same team except I have Darlow instead Robles because I dont have the money. So it looks fine to me! 😀

      I would just go with Coutinho.

      1. Teahupo'o
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers.

  5. _Gunner
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Vardy or Pelle for this week only?

    1. S.Kuqi
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Pelle

    2. Heels_Over_Head
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Jamie

    3. Marcin the Pole
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Pelle

  6. TheEgyptianKing
    10 years, 6 months ago

    FINAL QUESTION

    Simply

    PAYET or COUTINHO

    Then im done for the day 😛

    1. S.Kuqi
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Coutinho

    2. Heels_Over_Head
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Payet

  7. Nicks93
    10 years, 6 months ago

    One last touch, Darmian or Cresswel?

    1. Marcin the Pole
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Cressy

    2. FPL Emu
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Darmian's cheaper, so ...

      1. Nicks93
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Only 0.1 doesnt make much difference

        1. Viper
          10 years, 6 months ago

          0.3

    3. S.Kuqi
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Darmian

    4. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Cresswell.

    5. Nicks93
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Thanks everyone, Darmian it is

  8. FPL Emu
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Which of these downgrades will hurt me the least, you think?

    A) Bellerin -> Gabriel
    B) Coutinho -> Milner
    C) Coleman -> Jagielka and Mignolet -> Darlow

    1. Emp
      10 years, 6 months ago

      C

    2. Eden Azzzar
      10 years, 6 months ago

      C

      1. FPL Emu
        10 years, 6 months ago

        How long will Darlow get to play though? With Robles and Darlow I may be stuck without a keeper

  9. Malcolm Tucker for England …
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 6 months ago

    PaddyPower, bringing you awful odds since 1988!

  10. drughi
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Any thoughts on this wc team ? Bolasie>lanzini next week

    Robles - Darlow

    Gabriel - Bellerin - Clyne - Sakho - Dann

    Sanchez - Coutinho - KDB - Lennon - Bolasie

    Aguero - Lukaku - Mitrovic

    1. S.Kuqi
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Looks good to me. No Mun def is problem imo but you can't have them all

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Lovren is cheaper and probably more nailed than Clyne.

    3. drughi
      10 years, 6 months ago

      cheers

  11. Totally J
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Should I TC Lukaku or wait until week 37.

    What would you do players?

    1. S.Kuqi
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Wait till next gw and TC Sanchez

      1. Totally J
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 6 months ago

        I'm BBing then dude

    2. Viper
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I'm waiting til 37

  12. Sylas
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Bottomed.

    Please pick one :

    A) Bellerin, Koscielny & Darlow
    B) Bellerin, Gabriel & DDG (I already have Smalling)

    1. S.Kuqi
      10 years, 6 months ago

      A

      1. Sylas
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Thank you!

  13. emorybortz
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Should i be benching Payet, Defoe or Firmino this week?

    A bit scared of benching Payet but i have an arsenal defender. Worried about Firmino's minutes and Leicester have to concede some time, right?

  14. dirtypino
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Please help me. Start bellerin or sakho today?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Sakho

    2. S.Kuqi
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Beller

    3. Worzel Gummidge
      10 years, 6 months ago

      sak

  15. decisions
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Is having Countinho and Firmino putting too much faith in Pool attack?

    1. Viper
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I think it could be a great call

      1. decisions
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Im trailing so it might help... Just can't decide

        Would mean:

        Sanchez, payet, firmino, coutinho, bolasie
        Aguero, Lukakau, Martial

        1. Mr. O'Connell
          10 years, 6 months ago

          thats nice. I have defoe over martial tho cos I'm not very good at value

    2. Aiders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I'm going with both so I don't think so

    3. Nomar
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Yes.

      One of them is plenty.

    4. S.Kuqi
      10 years, 6 months ago

      No

    5. NissA
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Certainly better than having too much faith in their defense. I'd go for both if I could, but will have to go with budget option (but on pens) Milner to accompany Couti.

  16. DanLFC1
    10 years, 6 months ago

    I'm so relieved that the wait is almost over and I can't do any more tinkering over WC squad

    1. Nomar
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I have this to come in 3 weeks time!

  17. Viper
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Kurt when I thought I had everything settled, I'm now in a Coutinho vs. Firmino conundrum.

    Firmino is far more explosive and shoots A LOT.

    Anyone else going for him over Coutinho?

    1. :
      10 years, 6 months ago

      o/

    2. Nomar
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Posted a few pages back.

      If Sturridge is fit then I think Coutinho is the better option.

      If Sturridge gets injured tomorrow or midweek, then Firminho becomes the one.

      Couts is in cracking form and he's the one that makes Liverpool tick on offense.

  18. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Who's more nailed on? (Know that neighter is)

    A) Clichy
    B) Mangala

    1. Sepp Blattered
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Mandingo

  19. Tshelby
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Like to hear an A or B of you! 🙂

    A)

    Darlow*, Robles
    Bellerin, Sahko, Klose, Gabriel*, Simpson
    Lingard, Ozil, Payet, Firmino, KdB*
    Kane, Kun, Luk

    B)

    Cech*, Robles
    Bellerin, Sahko, Klose, Darmian*, Simpson
    Lingard, Ozil, Payet, Firmino, Mahrez*
    Kane, Kun, Luk
    GW 35: bring Martial in for one week week for Kane and then shift him out for Kane

    1. Aiders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      B

    2. kalmoffit
      10 years, 6 months ago

      A

    3. Nomar
      10 years, 6 months ago

      B because you have a Utd defender who trumps Cech (too much money on a SGW keeper imo).

      But A has KdB who I think is going to get some serious points over the next 4 GW's.

  20. Emp
    10 years, 6 months ago

    A) Otamendi and rashford
    B) Delaney and mitro
    C) Simpson and mitro

    1. Boz
      10 years, 6 months ago

      B

  21. ILOVEBAPS
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Bottomed

    RmWC. Besides no GK what could be better?

    Robles DDG
    Bellerin Clichy Sakho Simpson Gabriel
    Sanchez Firmino Lennon Payet Mahrez
    Kun Lukaku Mitro

    1. NissA
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Really nice, I've gone with the same keepers. I've gone for Martial instead of Mitrovic, Villa and Palace are porous, way more than City and Swansea.

  22. lightspeed
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Darlow and kdb

    Or

    Migs and payet

    Thanks

    1. Heels_Over_Head
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Migs Payet

    2. Boz
      10 years, 6 months ago

      A

  23. Fergietime
    10 years, 6 months ago

    United have a busy schedule, two games before the DGW one that could potentially be 120 minutes , and a potential fa cup semi final after DGW
    Is there a good reason to be concerned for Martials minutes? Could see him being benched for one.

    1. Nomar
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I don't think he'll be benched.

      I also don't think he's as consisent a goalscoring threat as Kane. There's also the likelihood of Rooney coming back and taing points off him.

      He could fill his boots against Villa but its his sporadic nature, lack of a GW35 and the fact that he's not an established Prem performer yet that makes me more inclined to leave im alone.

  24. BecAuse79
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Guys Vote please

    play
    A)Alli
    B)Deeney

    voter gets a cookies

    1. Boz
      10 years, 6 months ago

      B

    2. George James
      10 years, 6 months ago

      B.

      Nice differential that.

      Thoughts on my team below?

      Be nice

    3. Heels_Over_Head
      10 years, 6 months ago

      B

    4. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      A

    5. BecAuse79
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Cheers , Cookie's

  25. George James
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Finally done.

    Good to go guys?

    Migs-Robles
    Smalling-Delaney-Sakho-Simpson-Gabriel
    Sanchez-Lanzini-KDB-Firminio-Lennon
    Kun-Lukaku-Mitrovic

    1. Boz
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Very nice!

    2. BecAuse79
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Why Delaney not Ward ,

      i was thinking Delaney then changed to ward though maybe easier matches , ward will go attac

    3. George James
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Set peices mate

  26. Boz
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Finally settled:

    Darbles
    Smalling - Gabriel - Clyne - Sakho - Delaney
    Sanchez - KDB - Cout - Payet - Iwobi
    Aguero - Lukaku - Mitrovic

    0.0itb

    10 GW35 players

  27. Tabasco
    10 years, 6 months ago

    A) KDB & Mitrovic
    B) Coutinho & Martial

    1. FPL Emu
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Tough. B I think

  28. kirwy
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Robles, Darlow
    Smalling, Bellerin, Gabriel, Sakho, Simpson
    Sanchez, Coutinho, Payet, Lennon, Bolasie
    Aguero, Lukaku, Mitrovic

    A final wildcard team from me (£2.7m ITB)

    GW33: 4 DGW players
    GW34: 1 FT: Bolasie > Firmino. 14 DGW players. Use BB
    GW35: 1 FT: Lennon > Khazri. Field 11 players
    GW36: Save FT
    GW37: 2 FT: Mitrovic > Defoe & Gabriel > Azpilicueta. 10 DGW players. Use TC

    1. JoeJitzu +42
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Good plan, I've just realised Payet to Lanzini releases funds for KdB!

      1. kirwy
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers!

        ... but do you wanna be Payetless? 🙂

  29. JoeJitzu +42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 6 months ago

    A. Lanzini Firmino KdB (Coutinho Sanchez) + 2.8m
    B. Payet Bolasie Barkley (Coutinho Sanchez) + 0.2m

    1. JoeJitzu +42
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      * money wrong way round!

    2. Give The Todd Some Love
      10 years, 6 months ago

      A

    3. NissA
      10 years, 6 months ago

      B. And upgrade Ballsy to Firmino next week.

  30. Flynny
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Hi...

    Do I play

    Bellerin at hammers....or

    Sakho v stoke

    Thanks!

    1. FPL Emu
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Bellz

    2. NissA
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Bellerín.