Scout Betting
7 May 2016 1478 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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As we furiously attempt to de-code the double Gameweek puzzle, it’s now time to consider yet another set of variables as we trouble Paddy Power for their weekend odds.

Before we analyse their reckoning for Anytime Goalscorers and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’ve yet to grab yourself an account with our bookmaker partners, this weekend is another opportunity to cash in on a raft of enhanced odds offers.

It all starts with Saturday’s Premier League treble which dangles big odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham (vs Swansea), Chelsea (at Sunderland) and Leicester (vs Everton). The Foxes are also covered by their own enhanced bet with Paddy offering 6/1 on a crowning victory for Claudio Ranieri’s boys against suffering Everton.

On Sunday and you can choose to back Southampton’s flourishing form against a deflated Spurs with odds of 14/1 on a Saints win at White Hart Lane.

Paddy have also got another treble covering Sunday’s matches, with 20/1 on wins for Spurs (vs Southampton), Liverpool (vs Watford) and Man City (vs Arsenal).

Finally, if you fancy a individual flutter on that Etihad clash, you can get either 7/1 on a Man City win or 10/1 on an away win for Arsenal.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 37

PlayerTeamOdds
SturridgeLIV1.72
BentekeLIV1.72
CarrollWHU1.90
VardyLEI1.90
AgueroMCI1.90
KaneTOT2.00
FirminoLIV2.25
CisseNEW2.25
MitrovicNEW2.25
LukakuEVE2.25
SakhoWHM2.29
AfobeBOU2.29
CostaCHE2.37
CoutinhoLIV2.40
PayetWHM2.40
MahrezLEI2.40
DefoeSUN2.40
AyozeNEW2.40
WilsonBOU2.40
RashfordMUN2.50
MartialMUN2.50

While Fantasy managers contemplate Jurgen Klopp’s latest shuffled teamsheet, Paddy are very clear in their thinking when it comes to Liverpool’s goal-getting power against Watford at Anfield.

Both Christian Benteke and Daniel Sturridge (1.72) top their current odds reckoning for a Gameweek goal, while Roberto Firmino (2.10) is the highest rank midfielder on show, swiftly followed by team-mate Philippe Coutinho (2.40). In short, if these guys get minutes, Paddy is strongly backing them for goal returns.

Paddy have also been quick to recognise the form of Andy Carroll; the Hammers target man heads up a pack of strikers ranked at 1.90 as he rumbles into a home encounter with Swansea City. Should he get the opportunity, Carroll looks well positioned to terrorise the Swans rearguard once again: the Welshman always struggle to cope with Carroll’s aerial threat, have surrendered seven goals in their last two away clashes and will likely be without skipper Ashley Williams.

Dimitri Payet leads our Captain Poll and is also handed short odds of 2.40 by Paddy – only Firmino ranks higher amongst FPL midfielders.

Jamie Vardy and Sergio Aguero are both also pitched at the 1.90 mark. The former netted three goals in two starts before serving out his suspension and could be set to fill his boots in a celebratory King Power fixture against Everton.

Meanwhile, Aguero’s form (seven goals in five) underlines his continued potential as City head into Sunday’s clash with Arsenal at the Etihad. Manuel Pellegrini’s men could be leg weary following Wednesday’s flat performance in Madrid, although the City boss has stressed that his side now have to prioritise a top four place with United and West Ham still threatening.

Having drawn two blanks in his last four appearances, Harry Kane (2.00) charts in an unfamiliar rank this weekend ahead of a White Hart Lane meeting with in-form Southampton. Kane is looking to keep a grip on the Golden Boot but is part of a Spurs side who could be somewhat demoralised by Monday’s result at Chelsea. Mauricio Pochettino’s outfit could also be knocked out of their stride by the absence of Mousa Dembele who starts a mammoth 6-match suspension following his FA charge for violent conduct. Kane has scored just once in the nine matches that Dembele has missed this season.

Further down the ranks, Newcastle strike duo Papiss Cisse and Aleksandar Mitrovic (both 2.25) will look to profit from Aston Villa’s obliging defence. The Villains have conceded four goals in three of their last eight match-ups, providing the perfect platform for Rafa Bentiez’s side to continue their current form: the Mapgies have scored in each of their last seven matches.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 37

TeamOdds
West Ham2.10
Newcastle2.29
Manchester United2.29
Liverpool2.40
Bournemouth2.60
Crystal Palace2.70
Tottenham2.87
Leicester3.10

Given that Swansea have posted blanks in their previous pair of road ties, it’s no surprise to see that West Ham (2.10) have been pinpointed by Paddy as the team with the most favourable clean-sheet prospects in the Gameweek. Just behind them, Newcastle (2.29) have recorded two shut-outs in four and are pitted against a Villa unit that failed to score in five of their last eight fixtures.

Manchester United are also currently ranked at 2.29 to keep Norwich City out at Carrow Road. While Louis van Gaal’s side have kept just five of their 17 shut-outs away from home, they’re up against a desperate Canaries who are without a goal in their last three league fixtures.

Liverpool come next with odds of 2.40 as they seek to repel the advances of Watford. The Hornets have scored just twice in their previous quartet of road matches, which suggests that Liverpool’s odds have suffered from the threat of Klopp rotation.

Bournemouth (2.60) have conceded the joint-most goals (16) across their last six match-ups, illustrating their poor value for a home tie against West Bromwich Albion. Crystal Palace’s (2.70) home encounter with Stoke City looks more promising, considering that the Potters have notched a solitary goal in their previous trio of fixtures.

Further down the table, Paddy feel that Spurs (2.87) have their work cut out stifling a Southampton attack that has amassed more goals (12) than any team in their last four fixtures. While our bookmaker suggests that Ranieri will relax his approach to the home meeting with Everton – the Foxes are given relatively long odds of 3.10 for a shut-out in today’s late kick-off.

  1. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Simpson to Olsson worth a 4 point hit?

    1. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      No. What about kaboul?

  2. Beavis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    City 2 wins in the last 9 against Arsenal - those were in 2013.

    Sanchez gonna make the benchers pay?

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Could be a great game with loads of goals.

    2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      No, as I am playing BB. 😉

      1. HVT
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Still on noble?

    3. siweltrebor87
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      this is the only week where i'm happy for ramsey, wellbeck and giroud to get the goals and assists
      sanchez can be saved for 38

  3. TheEgyptianKing
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Is Couts/Milner ---> Hazard worth -8 points? Already done -4 but can do this, using tc on Andy carroll

    1. Valar(Keith)
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I really do not see the likes of Milner/Couts/Firm/Sturridge starting more than one game over the next 3.. i'd get rid

    2. Kevtheotter
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Look at each hit individually. The previous hits don't matter

  4. Lizard Lips
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Bellerin Lovren Delaney Gabriel Simpson
    Hazard Payet Lanzini Coutinho Alexis
    Kane Kun Defoe

    What would you do? I'm thinking:

    Kane and Gabriel to Carrol and Smalling (-4) allowing Coutinho to Ozil GW38.

    Anyone got better moves?

    1. No h in Firmino
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Maybe Delaney out instead of Gabriel, and bring in Mane/Tadic for GW38

  5. GK
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Last two decisions, help really appreciated chaps -

    Would you start Milner or Sanchez?

    Would you do Sturridge > Defoe (-4)?

    1. Nascimento
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Milner and no

      1. GK
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        A little concerned Milner might only play the Chelsea game. Then it's a case of Sanchez against City vs Milner again Chelsea

    2. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Sanchez, yes

      1. siweltrebor87
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        A lot of people weren't sure about playing Mane against City, worked out very well.

        Defo go Sanchez over a rotation heavy Liverpool.

    3. Lionel Ronaldo
        9 years, 9 months ago

        In the same boat. I am considering doing Milner -> Firmino for -4 based on the fact that odds favour the latter to do something over the GW.

    4. Scotty B
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Mignolet
      Kaboul Toby Azpi
      Mahrez Sanchez Payet Lingard
      Aguero Carroll Lukaku
      Subs Ward Huth Bellerin Iwobi

      Good to go or do Huth > Cresswell/ Smalling & bench Toby for a - 4?

      So hard to get an answer to a simple question

      1. TheEgyptianKing
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        YES , jeezus

      2. Sess!
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Yes. Cresswell.

      3. Arteta
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Just do it.

    5. KeepCalm
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      What do you guys think of Rooney as an option?

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Not a lot. 🙂

        1. KeepCalm
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Lol. He might surprise you lot

      2. siweltrebor87
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        may play deeper to utilise Rashford and Martial, I'd expect a good performance but maybe not reflected in points.

    6. Kevtheotter
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      2 Questions

      1.Payet or Carroll (TC)?

      2. KDB -> Hazard -4?

    7. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Bench Sanchez or Aguero?
      Leaning towards kun.

      1. Nascimento
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Sanchez

        1. Stats Don\'t Lie
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          This also means I'll play Delaney over bellerin...

      2. EL TANO
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        you sir, are a baboon...babooon! (if you bench kin that is)

        1. EL TANO
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          *kun

    8. TheEgyptianKing
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Little early morning questionnaire

      1) Milner ----> Hazard for -8?

      2) Play Simpson or Bellerin?

      3) Who do you think will wil get promoted: Mid or Brighton?

      4) Brown or Tomato sauce on your breakfast?

      Thanks 😛

      1. Dr Kenneth Noisewater
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        1) Why not
        2) Simpson
        3) Mid
        4) Lea & Perrins

      2. Stats Don\'t Lie
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Yes
        Simpson
        Mid
        Tomato

      3. Diva
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        1. No
        2. Simpson
        3. Dunno
        4. T

      4. LÖrKingMuch
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Yes
        Simpson
        Mid
        Brown

    9. HUMAN TRIPOD
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Yessssss

      1. VS10_
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Who scored?

    10. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      General consensus:

      Play KDB or Sanchez?

      1. Dr Kenneth Noisewater
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        If you have Kun, then Alexis

      2. Sess!
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Sanchez for me

        1. denial
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Thanks

      3. Arteta
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Alexis

    11. Dr Kenneth Noisewater
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      A question a few people will have no doubt

      Sanchez (mci) or Coutinho (WAT)(CHE)

      Likely to both play one game, really can't decide between them.

    12. Scotty B
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      @Overrated yes doesn't really answer my question

      1. TheEgyptianKing
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        You cna click on ym comment and reply to make it easier just saying

        Cresswell has 2 home fixtures and are chasing top 4, one of them agsiant a side with nothing to play for and the manager has said he is resting players (swans) so will get a cleanie and possibly a assist, they will want revenge on man u from the fa cup and last home game at boleyn, so is that better than "yes"

    13. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I'm not ITK and I don't do twitter.But IMO you are all mad considering keeping or buying Liverpool players

      1. Gooner Kebab
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Even keeping is chastised?

        1. RoysCallerAnne
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Complete second 11 Vs Watford and Mignolet/ Lovren only Vs Chels

          1. Gooner Kebab
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            SHould i keep Firmino or Sturridge?

          2. Wings Fan
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            I can buy the first possibility, not the second.

            He's not going to play any of his first XI in GW38 as it's 3 days before the final. So by your reckoning, everyone bar Mignolet and Lovren will have gone 2 weeks without a game before facing Sevilla?

            That wouldn't make them well rested. That would make them rusty.

      2. Sess!
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Yeah still haven't made my transfers, but still considering dumping all three.

        1. RoysCallerAnne
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          I strongly believe it will be complete rotation. I sold Sturridge and Firmino.

          1. Gooner Kebab
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            already on -8....selling both is a bit too far for me

    14. PURPLE-RONNIE
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Start bellerin or Delaney lads?

      1. Diva
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        I think I would go Delaney this week.

    15. Diva
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I've been mulling this over for two hours and I'm getting no closer to a decision. Anything here worth a hit?

      -------------------Robles
      ---Cresswell, Smalling, PVA
      Sanchez, Mahrez, Payet, Milner
      ---------Defoe, Aguero, Kane

      Darlow, Ozil, Simpson, Bellerin

      2.5m ITB

      1. Eden Hazardous
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Yeah , sell Mahrez imo.

        1. Eden Hazardous
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          For Fabregas/Willian maybe?

        2. Diva
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          He's a candidate for sure, but is there a replacement worth -4?

          1. Eden Hazardous
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Many candidates actually.

            Safe options : Fabregas

            Punty : Redmond , Willian , Barkley etc.?

            1. Eden Hazardous
              • 11 Years
              9 years, 9 months ago

              or sell Ozil for Hazard?

              1. Diva
                • 11 Years
                9 years, 9 months ago

                I considered that, but I think I'll want him for AVL next week...

            2. Diva
              • 11 Years
              9 years, 9 months ago

              A cheeky Robbie Brady punt has tempted me...

      2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        No, certainly not. Gtg. Good luck, Diva!

        Mind you, I would play Özil over Mahrez, fwiw. 🙂

        1. Diva
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Thanks Doos. I've toyed with that, but Everton haven't been great defensively recently...

          Good luck to you too Doos!

      3. Hairy Potter
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Maybe bring in Carroll for Aguero or Kane?

        1. Diva
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          The trouble is I like their fixtures the week after...

          1. Hairy Potter
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Fair point. probably best to stick as your team looks pretty good.

      4. HVT
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Kane > Caroll Diva,
        Mahrez > Hazard.

        1. Diva
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Thanks HVT. I want Carroll, but I'm not sure I can justify removing any of that forward line to do it. I need to think about next week as well as this week.

          1. HVT
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Agree, I've shipped Kane for Caroll fwiw and he's getting the armband too, 2 home games to 1 and 9ppg since his comeback is hard to ignore, saying that I understand the 'safety-net' that is Harry Kane, GL mate.

      5. Farnborough's Finest
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Looks good to me. And I'm jealous of that back 3. Pondering hit for Morgan -> PVA myself.

        1. Diva
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Thanks. I'm a little less keen on the Sunderland defence than I was when I brought him in., but PVA does bring that potential of unexpected attacking returns.

      6. Tigers Time
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        My team is very similar - I'm going Carroll for Kane

        1. Diva
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Thanks Tigers Time - good luck!

    16. jimbobmij
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Anyone else feel like Carroll is the safe TC pick rather than Payet? Payet is unlikely to explode, so if he hits points it shouldn't be too much of a dent, whereas Carroll could easily explode and if your rival has TC'd him that's pretty massive

      1. Sess!
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        If we could be certain Carroll will start both games then yes.

      2. VS10_
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Carroll has once scored more than 8 points this season. Great explosiveness compared to payet?

        1. siweltrebor87
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          the game time makes it hard to truly compare.

          1. VS10_
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Payet has been injured a lot too,

      3. Ed
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        I'm leaning towards carroll. But although Payet hasn't pulled it together recently, he does have the potential to explode. He's got quite a few double figure hauls

    17. Lizard Lips
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Valencia or Smalling?

      1. Buck The Trent
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Mike

    18. Waterboyd
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Play Mignolet or Robles?

      Bench one:
      1. Gabriel
      2. Smalling
      3. Bellerin
      4. Simpson

      Bench one:
      A. Sanchez
      B. Hazard
      C. Lanzini
      D. Payet
      E. Coutinho
      F. Defoe
      G. Mitrovic
      H. Kun

      1. Kevtheotter
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Robles

        Gab
        Mitrovic

        Stop wasting our time

    19. Buck The Trent
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      BBing, last defender spot ? (No WHM spot)

      A Smailing (own ddg)
      B Lovren (own Moreno)
      C kirchoff (own pva)
      D Ivanovic

      1. HearMeRoar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        D. Gamble but could be successful at both ends.

    20. AgentRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Play Sanchez over Coutinho?

      1. HearMeRoar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Hm. Coutinho COULD feature in 2 games and they are easier fixtures than Arsenal.

        BUT if Mane can take City apart...

    21. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Finally settled. Look okay?

      Robles*
      Lovren* PvA* Simpson
      Hazard* Willian* Payet* Lanzini*
      Aguero Carroll* Defoe*

      Hart; Sanchez; Bellerin; Gabriel

      1. Gooner Kebab
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        capt?

        1. HearMeRoar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Thinking Carroll; I'm chasing in all my mini leagues.

    22. Gooner Kebab
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Play:

      a) Kane
      b) Alexis
      c) Carroll -4 for Kane

      1. HearMeRoar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        C

    23. Plontoon
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      no hazard on this list??

    24. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Anyone punting on Rashford? He was really a good option last double gw.

      Thoughts? I have low value

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        I have gone for Deeney.

      2. Gooner Kebab
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        he hasn't scored double digits so far...

      3. Park the bus
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Was he? Scored 1 goal. Lvg has said he will rotate. 2 away games. Man U don't score many. What's your budget?

      4. RoysCallerAnne
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        My front 3 is Deeney Rashford Carroll

    25. phantasm
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Current defence:

      Fuchs, Bellerin, Darmian (Gabriel, Sakho)

      A) Darmian > Cresswell (-4)
      B) Sakho > PVA (-4) and bench Bellerin
      C) Leave as is

      1. HearMeRoar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        B

      2. DarsBars94
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        A

    26. VRP
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      De Gea
      Cresswell - Moreno - Smalling
      Hazard - Firmino - Coutinho - Payet (c)
      Rashford - Lukaku - Carroll
      (Darlow - Sanchez - Bellerin - Simpson)

      2 questions:
      1) Should I use Bench Boost or Triple Captain?

      2) Should I take hits to trade out Coutinho and/or Lukaku?

      Thanks guys!

    27. Lizard Lips
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      HELP PLEASE!

      Anyone got better moves?
      (A) Ditch Gabriel for Smalling for a hit (get Ozil in for Coutinho next week) OR
      (B) Ditch Delaney for Smalling for a hit
      (C) Don't take a hit

      Bellerin Lovren Delaney Gabriel Simpson
      Hazard Payet Lanzini Coutinho Alexis
      Kane Kun Defoe

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        C).

    28. Park the bus
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Fabregas or Willian? First to 3 decides it

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Fabregas, imo.

      2. Hairy Potter
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Fab for me