Scout Betting
7 May 2016 1478 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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As we furiously attempt to de-code the double Gameweek puzzle, it’s now time to consider yet another set of variables as we trouble Paddy Power for their weekend odds.

Before we analyse their reckoning for Anytime Goalscorers and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’ve yet to grab yourself an account with our bookmaker partners, this weekend is another opportunity to cash in on a raft of enhanced odds offers.

It all starts with Saturday’s Premier League treble which dangles big odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham (vs Swansea), Chelsea (at Sunderland) and Leicester (vs Everton). The Foxes are also covered by their own enhanced bet with Paddy offering 6/1 on a crowning victory for Claudio Ranieri’s boys against suffering Everton.

On Sunday and you can choose to back Southampton’s flourishing form against a deflated Spurs with odds of 14/1 on a Saints win at White Hart Lane.

Paddy have also got another treble covering Sunday’s matches, with 20/1 on wins for Spurs (vs Southampton), Liverpool (vs Watford) and Man City (vs Arsenal).

Finally, if you fancy a individual flutter on that Etihad clash, you can get either 7/1 on a Man City win or 10/1 on an away win for Arsenal.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 37

PlayerTeamOdds
SturridgeLIV1.72
BentekeLIV1.72
CarrollWHU1.90
VardyLEI1.90
AgueroMCI1.90
KaneTOT2.00
FirminoLIV2.25
CisseNEW2.25
MitrovicNEW2.25
LukakuEVE2.25
SakhoWHM2.29
AfobeBOU2.29
CostaCHE2.37
CoutinhoLIV2.40
PayetWHM2.40
MahrezLEI2.40
DefoeSUN2.40
AyozeNEW2.40
WilsonBOU2.40
RashfordMUN2.50
MartialMUN2.50

While Fantasy managers contemplate Jurgen Klopp’s latest shuffled teamsheet, Paddy are very clear in their thinking when it comes to Liverpool’s goal-getting power against Watford at Anfield.

Both Christian Benteke and Daniel Sturridge (1.72) top their current odds reckoning for a Gameweek goal, while Roberto Firmino (2.10) is the highest rank midfielder on show, swiftly followed by team-mate Philippe Coutinho (2.40). In short, if these guys get minutes, Paddy is strongly backing them for goal returns.

Paddy have also been quick to recognise the form of Andy Carroll; the Hammers target man heads up a pack of strikers ranked at 1.90 as he rumbles into a home encounter with Swansea City. Should he get the opportunity, Carroll looks well positioned to terrorise the Swans rearguard once again: the Welshman always struggle to cope with Carroll’s aerial threat, have surrendered seven goals in their last two away clashes and will likely be without skipper Ashley Williams.

Dimitri Payet leads our Captain Poll and is also handed short odds of 2.40 by Paddy – only Firmino ranks higher amongst FPL midfielders.

Jamie Vardy and Sergio Aguero are both also pitched at the 1.90 mark. The former netted three goals in two starts before serving out his suspension and could be set to fill his boots in a celebratory King Power fixture against Everton.

Meanwhile, Aguero’s form (seven goals in five) underlines his continued potential as City head into Sunday’s clash with Arsenal at the Etihad. Manuel Pellegrini’s men could be leg weary following Wednesday’s flat performance in Madrid, although the City boss has stressed that his side now have to prioritise a top four place with United and West Ham still threatening.

Having drawn two blanks in his last four appearances, Harry Kane (2.00) charts in an unfamiliar rank this weekend ahead of a White Hart Lane meeting with in-form Southampton. Kane is looking to keep a grip on the Golden Boot but is part of a Spurs side who could be somewhat demoralised by Monday’s result at Chelsea. Mauricio Pochettino’s outfit could also be knocked out of their stride by the absence of Mousa Dembele who starts a mammoth 6-match suspension following his FA charge for violent conduct. Kane has scored just once in the nine matches that Dembele has missed this season.

Further down the ranks, Newcastle strike duo Papiss Cisse and Aleksandar Mitrovic (both 2.25) will look to profit from Aston Villa’s obliging defence. The Villains have conceded four goals in three of their last eight match-ups, providing the perfect platform for Rafa Bentiez’s side to continue their current form: the Mapgies have scored in each of their last seven matches.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 37

TeamOdds
West Ham2.10
Newcastle2.29
Manchester United2.29
Liverpool2.40
Bournemouth2.60
Crystal Palace2.70
Tottenham2.87
Leicester3.10

Given that Swansea have posted blanks in their previous pair of road ties, it’s no surprise to see that West Ham (2.10) have been pinpointed by Paddy as the team with the most favourable clean-sheet prospects in the Gameweek. Just behind them, Newcastle (2.29) have recorded two shut-outs in four and are pitted against a Villa unit that failed to score in five of their last eight fixtures.

Manchester United are also currently ranked at 2.29 to keep Norwich City out at Carrow Road. While Louis van Gaal’s side have kept just five of their 17 shut-outs away from home, they’re up against a desperate Canaries who are without a goal in their last three league fixtures.

Liverpool come next with odds of 2.40 as they seek to repel the advances of Watford. The Hornets have scored just twice in their previous quartet of road matches, which suggests that Liverpool’s odds have suffered from the threat of Klopp rotation.

Bournemouth (2.60) have conceded the joint-most goals (16) across their last six match-ups, illustrating their poor value for a home tie against West Bromwich Albion. Crystal Palace’s (2.70) home encounter with Stoke City looks more promising, considering that the Potters have notched a solitary goal in their previous trio of fixtures.

Further down the table, Paddy feel that Spurs (2.87) have their work cut out stifling a Southampton attack that has amassed more goals (12) than any team in their last four fixtures. While our bookmaker suggests that Ranieri will relax his approach to the home meeting with Everton – the Foxes are given relatively long odds of 3.10 for a shut-out in today’s late kick-off.

  1. BigManBakar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    My opinion on the most asked questions here:

    *WHO SHOULD I CAPTAIN?

    Has to be a West Ham asset.

    Take into account that West Ham will be playing a Swansea reserve side. They'll have no incentive to show up as they know Guidolin won't be around next season.

    Compare that to Sunderland who shall be fighting for their lives. Then consider that Chelsea have nothing to play for, while West Ham will try to go all out and make the top 4.

    *WHICH WEST HAM ASSET DO I CAPTAIN?

    It's a tough choice between Carroll and Payet. I'm choosing (CCC)arroll primarily because of his significantly better stats, the absence of Williams and because has a habit of scoring against Swansea. Something like 5 goals and 2 assists against them in his last 4.

    1. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I'd go Carroll if I had him, but TCing Payet.

    2. Chenku╰☆╮
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Seems like you are really scared of hazard... want to lobby so you minimise your risk.

      1. BigManBakar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Scared? I own him.

        1. Chenku╰☆╮
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          of course;-)

      2. zizoo10
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        takes one to know one ay!

    3. sweglet
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      own both, tcing payet because of godlike set pieces and consistent all season

    4. Larry Legend
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I agree with you. I'm just really worried about whether he starts vsv Swansea.

      1. Larry Legend
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Cccarroll that is

      2. BigManBakar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Has to surely. They'll go all out to try and make top 4.

    5. Evs
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Your post is may me change TC from Payet to Andy, are we sure he'll play x2 games?

      1. Larry Legend
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        This

        1. Evs
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          I know, talk about torn

      2. BigManBakar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        The only time he got rested was before the FA Cup replay against United. Even then, he managed to score after coming off the bench. I can't see him being rested now. The Premier League is all they have left to play for.

        *He averages a return of 9 points a game after his return from injury, that's insane!

        1. Larry Legend
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          I think I'm going to do it. I completely agree with you, but there is still a risk.

          For me playing that Swansea game is critical, but I also fancy him vs United. I don't think that United have ever been able to handle him, and they were abysmal at defending set pieces against Leicester.

    6. twoplustwo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Both good options

      Prefer Payet on set pieces, a more points for a goal, and more likely to have more touches etc. for bonus shizzle

  2. il Brutto
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Considering Rooney as a differential to break the top 10k (leading my ML by 100pts so not worried about that). What are peoples views on him? To me he looked good against Leicester and they need to win the following games to steal the 4th spot from City so I'd think he plays all those games.

    1. sweglet
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Don't get him in, rashford and martial far better and much cheaper. Taking a punt on someone who has been bad all season is rank suicide

      1. il Brutto
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Fair enough. Still might get him in though 😀

    2. Woy of the Wovers
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      He'll play but I can't recommend any United attacking assets outside West Ham.

    3. Del Griffiths
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I'm really thinking about him. He's had a few games to get up to speed. I know he's been playing in midfield, but I fancy him to do something.

    4. twoplustwo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      wtf how about Martial

      1. il Brutto
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Rooney is by far the more explosive asset with Mata on the bench he has penalties as well. Rooney was actually in a very good form before his injury.

  3. Blue Gaffer
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Sturridge----Carroll -4 yes or no?

    1. *sigh*
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I wouldnt for a hit

  4. keano
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Best option?
    a)Hazard+Carroll+Reid(whu) =8 pts hit
    b)Harard+Defoe=4 pts hit
    c)Fabregas+Carroll=4 pts hit

    16 pts behind leader in mini league

  5. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    hello folks...testing my thinking

    chasing a 10 point lead in ML...narrowed down to 3 options

    A: reid + hazard + defoe.....start sanchez and bench alli
    B: cresswell + fab + carroll..start sanchez and bench alli
    C: martin + fab + carroll....start coutinho and bench sanchez

    With options B and C...i would have to triple captain a west ham player (payet or carroll)..so is that too many eggs in basket? i.e. payet + TC carroll

    with option A...hazard is the main drawcard...in this case even if i TC payet..i will be diversifying my risk i.e. hazard + TC payet

    Leaning on A based on above...or am i just rationalising to bring in haz?
    Thoughts?

  6. istanbul05
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Play:
    A) Bellerin
    B) TFM

    And

    1) Sanchez
    2) Mahrez

    Cheers guys

    1. *sigh*
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      B2

  7. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Own Kun and Nasri

    a) keep Kun and get Willian for free
    B) sell both and buy hazard and Carroll for a -4

    1. MoFish
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      B

  8. UnitedFan
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Start Coutinho and bench Sanchez?

  9. Obi Wan Elokobi
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    I just can't seem to get rid of Sturridge from my team because of those two home fixtures. I know he probably won't play any minutes with Benteke back as well.

    1. *sigh*
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      On the other hand he could be highest points scorer this game week.

  10. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Sakho to PVA (-4) or

    Start bellerin smalling fuchs (otamendi Sakho bench)

  11. Kasparov
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Sanchez -> Hazard for 1gw worth it? Probably still captaining Payet.

  12. JoeJitzu +42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    FAO Lateriser

    What's your team this week and who would you TC this week?

  13. Blue Gaffer
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Mahrez----Willian/Brady -4 yes or no?

  14. FPLVegard
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Who will score the most points?

    1) Lanzini & Aguero

    or

    2) Hazard & Carroll (-8)

    1. jeppee
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      1

    2. zizoo10
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      1

    3. Dilzy
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      2

    4. Kasparov
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      1

  15. FDMS All Starz
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    For next gw which is better?

    1) aguero(swa A) and king(manu H)
    Or
    2) caroll(stk A) and mane(cry H)

  16. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Are DDG & Smalling nailed

    1. Sjaugen
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      No, rotation risks 😉

  17. Woy of the Wovers
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Play Sanchez or Kane?

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Kane, he the more likely to score

    2. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I sold one and I'm benching the other one

      Could be a massive mistake

  18. rocky7st
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    DDG
    PVA Cresswell Smalling
    Sánchez Milner Lanzini Hazard
    Rashford Carroll (TC) Kun

    Simpson Iwobi Bellerín

    On -4 do I
    a) GTG
    b) Find another DGW midfielder for Iwobi and bench Sánchez?

  19. Blue Gaffer
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Moreno-----Bassong/Ivanovic -4 yes or no?

  20. Apple Payet
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Bring in Firmino or Noble? (money not an issue at this stage)

    1. Torres76
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Noble

      1. Apple Payet
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks

  21. Khal Drogba
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Would Coutinho to Hazard -4 be madness?

    1. Torres76
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      No

  22. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Start Bellerin or Otamendi

    or Bench Both & get PVA for a hit?

    1. Torres76
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Get PVA

  23. 8ball
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    play

    a) lukaku + kane for no hit
    b) carroll + kane -4
    c) carroll + lukaku -4

  24. Torres76
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Would you do the following

    Sturridge + Iwobi OUT for

    1. Defoe + Firmino
    2. Defoe + Mahrez
    3. Defoe + William
    4. Defoe + Fabregas

    Cheers

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      No

    2. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      why so keen on defoe? id go for 4

      1. Torres76
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Benteke back
        Firmino can play up top
        Pool resting players

        1. Epic Fail
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Pool resting players, so you bring Pool players in ? 😀

  25. Alisson WondHaaland
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Bottomed.
    DDG
    Clyne Smalling Clyne
    Townsend Payet(VTC) Haz(TC) Cout
    Lukaku Defoe Deeney

    g2g? or would u swap the triple cap?

  26. JasonG123
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Bench one:

    (A) Sanchez (mci)
    (B) Coutinho (WAT, CHE)
    (C) Kane (SOU)
    (D) Aguero (ARS)

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      A ....that's what I'm doing

  27. Lizard Lips
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    What to do with Simpson:
    (a) Play
    (b) Smalling -4
    (c) Valencia -4 (allows Coutinho to KDB next week)
    (d) PVA -4 (allows Coutinho to KDB next week)

    1. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      b

    2. MoFish
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      a

  28. Gassemannen
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Would appreciate some tips for this team:

    ROBLES (Darlow)
    PVA - REID - ROJO (Simpson - Bellerin)
    PAYET (C) - LANZINI - Mahrez - Sanchez (Ozil)
    STURRIDGE - DEFOE - Kane

    0 FT, 1.2 ITB.

    Leading ML with 16 points. Rival has Carroll (c), Firmino, Hazard, Moreno, Ighalo and Martial as differentials... Should I consider any hits? Have 3 WHM, so cant do Kane -> Carroll

    Kane to Costa (or someone else) worth a -4 hit?

    Rojo or Robles out worth a hit?

  29. Lyonnais
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    -8 for me...

    Robles
    Smalling, van Aanholt, Simpson
    Payet (TC), Firmino, Townsend, Hazard
    Agüero, Defoe, Carroll

    Darlow | Sanchez, Bellerin, Gabriel

    G2G? Play Bellerin over Simpson? or maybe another -4 hit for Simpson ---> Cresswell?

    1. MoFish
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I have similar. Simpson playing, and Bell, and Gabs benched

      1. Lyonnais
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        thanks! good luck!

  30. Park the bus
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    A. Delaney Alli Kane to Cresswell Willian Carroll -8
    B. Delaney Alli Aguero to Cresswell hazard Carroll -8

    Or should I leave Cresswell and play Delaney ?

    Help hugely appreciated!

    Feels a bit mad tripling up on WH and also triple captaining Payet or is it just me?