Scout Betting
7 May 2016 1478 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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As we furiously attempt to de-code the double Gameweek puzzle, it’s now time to consider yet another set of variables as we trouble Paddy Power for their weekend odds.

Before we analyse their reckoning for Anytime Goalscorers and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’ve yet to grab yourself an account with our bookmaker partners, this weekend is another opportunity to cash in on a raft of enhanced odds offers.

It all starts with Saturday’s Premier League treble which dangles big odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham (vs Swansea), Chelsea (at Sunderland) and Leicester (vs Everton). The Foxes are also covered by their own enhanced bet with Paddy offering 6/1 on a crowning victory for Claudio Ranieri’s boys against suffering Everton.

On Sunday and you can choose to back Southampton’s flourishing form against a deflated Spurs with odds of 14/1 on a Saints win at White Hart Lane.

Paddy have also got another treble covering Sunday’s matches, with 20/1 on wins for Spurs (vs Southampton), Liverpool (vs Watford) and Man City (vs Arsenal).

Finally, if you fancy a individual flutter on that Etihad clash, you can get either 7/1 on a Man City win or 10/1 on an away win for Arsenal.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 37

PlayerTeamOdds
SturridgeLIV1.72
BentekeLIV1.72
CarrollWHU1.90
VardyLEI1.90
AgueroMCI1.90
KaneTOT2.00
FirminoLIV2.25
CisseNEW2.25
MitrovicNEW2.25
LukakuEVE2.25
SakhoWHM2.29
AfobeBOU2.29
CostaCHE2.37
CoutinhoLIV2.40
PayetWHM2.40
MahrezLEI2.40
DefoeSUN2.40
AyozeNEW2.40
WilsonBOU2.40
RashfordMUN2.50
MartialMUN2.50

While Fantasy managers contemplate Jurgen Klopp’s latest shuffled teamsheet, Paddy are very clear in their thinking when it comes to Liverpool’s goal-getting power against Watford at Anfield.

Both Christian Benteke and Daniel Sturridge (1.72) top their current odds reckoning for a Gameweek goal, while Roberto Firmino (2.10) is the highest rank midfielder on show, swiftly followed by team-mate Philippe Coutinho (2.40). In short, if these guys get minutes, Paddy is strongly backing them for goal returns.

Paddy have also been quick to recognise the form of Andy Carroll; the Hammers target man heads up a pack of strikers ranked at 1.90 as he rumbles into a home encounter with Swansea City. Should he get the opportunity, Carroll looks well positioned to terrorise the Swans rearguard once again: the Welshman always struggle to cope with Carroll’s aerial threat, have surrendered seven goals in their last two away clashes and will likely be without skipper Ashley Williams.

Dimitri Payet leads our Captain Poll and is also handed short odds of 2.40 by Paddy – only Firmino ranks higher amongst FPL midfielders.

Jamie Vardy and Sergio Aguero are both also pitched at the 1.90 mark. The former netted three goals in two starts before serving out his suspension and could be set to fill his boots in a celebratory King Power fixture against Everton.

Meanwhile, Aguero’s form (seven goals in five) underlines his continued potential as City head into Sunday’s clash with Arsenal at the Etihad. Manuel Pellegrini’s men could be leg weary following Wednesday’s flat performance in Madrid, although the City boss has stressed that his side now have to prioritise a top four place with United and West Ham still threatening.

Having drawn two blanks in his last four appearances, Harry Kane (2.00) charts in an unfamiliar rank this weekend ahead of a White Hart Lane meeting with in-form Southampton. Kane is looking to keep a grip on the Golden Boot but is part of a Spurs side who could be somewhat demoralised by Monday’s result at Chelsea. Mauricio Pochettino’s outfit could also be knocked out of their stride by the absence of Mousa Dembele who starts a mammoth 6-match suspension following his FA charge for violent conduct. Kane has scored just once in the nine matches that Dembele has missed this season.

Further down the ranks, Newcastle strike duo Papiss Cisse and Aleksandar Mitrovic (both 2.25) will look to profit from Aston Villa’s obliging defence. The Villains have conceded four goals in three of their last eight match-ups, providing the perfect platform for Rafa Bentiez’s side to continue their current form: the Mapgies have scored in each of their last seven matches.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 37

TeamOdds
West Ham2.10
Newcastle2.29
Manchester United2.29
Liverpool2.40
Bournemouth2.60
Crystal Palace2.70
Tottenham2.87
Leicester3.10

Given that Swansea have posted blanks in their previous pair of road ties, it’s no surprise to see that West Ham (2.10) have been pinpointed by Paddy as the team with the most favourable clean-sheet prospects in the Gameweek. Just behind them, Newcastle (2.29) have recorded two shut-outs in four and are pitted against a Villa unit that failed to score in five of their last eight fixtures.

Manchester United are also currently ranked at 2.29 to keep Norwich City out at Carrow Road. While Louis van Gaal’s side have kept just five of their 17 shut-outs away from home, they’re up against a desperate Canaries who are without a goal in their last three league fixtures.

Liverpool come next with odds of 2.40 as they seek to repel the advances of Watford. The Hornets have scored just twice in their previous quartet of road matches, which suggests that Liverpool’s odds have suffered from the threat of Klopp rotation.

Bournemouth (2.60) have conceded the joint-most goals (16) across their last six match-ups, illustrating their poor value for a home tie against West Bromwich Albion. Crystal Palace’s (2.70) home encounter with Stoke City looks more promising, considering that the Potters have notched a solitary goal in their previous trio of fixtures.

Further down the table, Paddy feel that Spurs (2.87) have their work cut out stifling a Southampton attack that has amassed more goals (12) than any team in their last four fixtures. While our bookmaker suggests that Ranieri will relax his approach to the home meeting with Everton – the Foxes are given relatively long odds of 3.10 for a shut-out in today’s late kick-off.

  1. Dot Polka Dot
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Bench one:
    A) Milner
    B) Kane
    C) Sanchez

    Rest of team:

    Robles (Cech)
    Cresswell, Morgan, Bellerin (Clichy, Delaney)
    Hazard (c), Payet, Townsend
    Costa, Carroll

  2. Sjaugen
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Panic at the disco yet?

  3. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    How good/bad Coutinho played against Villarreal? I didn't watch the game.

    1. Kryten
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Good but not motm Big Ben and studge could steal the dgw points

    2. gbpearce - AMERICAN DYCHO
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Nothing special

    1. Give The Todd Some Love
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Randall TC

  4. Art Vandelay
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    ML is close to being sewn up (87 lead) so my priority is no OR. I am lucky enough to be 104 so is Carroll (TC) too much of a risk?

    1. Wings Fan
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I'd do it.

      If you slip to 500th will it really bother you that much? Still a great ranking. The gamble of getting a top 100/top 50 finish is well worth the risk imo.

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers, nice way of looking at it.

  5. Wings Fan
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    I've been saying in my ML whatsapp group for agggeeesss that this would be the gameweek I won the title... I've been in second for about 4 months and watched everyone else use WCs and BBs earlier (GW36 and 37 for me)...

    I'm either going to feel very smug, or very embarrassed quite soon.

    Squeaky bum time.

    1. DeadStarComing
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Best of luck! The chips have really shaken things up for mini leagues.

  6. CHI_SPUR
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Really don't think Coutinho will play in both games. -4 for Fabregas/Willian worth it? Worried about end of season rotation with nothing to play for.

  7. Perthite
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    8 point hit ok to do these?

    Kane to Carroll
    Coutinho to Hazard

    1. Perthite
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Or a better option than Carroll (have Defoe & Aguero).

    2. Sunkey
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Iv done Kane>Carroll still not sure about Cout>Hazard

      1. Perthite
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks. Given up on Coutinho with Liverpool through to the final.

    3. Sunkey
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Also have Kun and Defoe

  8. Sunkey
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    DDG
    Bellerin PvA Toby
    Townsend Sanchez Payet Cout
    Kun Defoe Carroll
    Subs: Iwobi Fosu-Mensah Targett Mingolet

    GTG? Or any changes for a -4?
    Who to captain? I'm thinking Payet but considering Carroll?

    1. gunner267
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Captain Payet, I'd start FM over Bellerin because DGW. You could take out Aguero for Sturridge because he didnt look sharp against RM.

  9. For Fuchs Sake
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Start TFM or Simpson? TFM may get at least one of the games??

    1. Mr Sarcastic
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      My problem too.
      First I was playing Simpson, then decided to risk it with Fosu and now tinkering a hit for Creswell 🙂

  10. Lateriser 12
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Hakuna matata

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      It's our problem free philosophy, Hakuna Matata

    2. Sjaugen
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Way too optimistic

  11. il Brutto
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Kane, Coutinho and Mahrez to Rashford, Hazard and Payet worth -8?

    1. Kevtheotter
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Defoe instead of Rashford?

  12. Blue Moon Rising
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Repost - 1FT - Sanchez to Hazard?

    1. Blue Moon Rising
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Only way I can afford Haz and Sanchez and poor SGW fixture.

    2. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I wouldnt - you will want sanchez back next GW

      1. Blue Moon Rising
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Can always bring back if he's essential though

  13. The Wizard of Ozil
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Simpson -> PVA worth a hit?

    1. Sunkey
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Yes

  14. Jazz!
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Benching Clyne so he better not start v Watford ...

  15. Mr Sarcastic
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Toughts?

    a) Simpson

    b) Fosu

    c) Creswell (-4)

    1. Kryten
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Will chillwell take Simpson place
      Fosu prob play once
      cresswell looks good plus plays good fixture gw38

  16. Gassemannen
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Repost

    Kane -> Costa (or someone else?) worth a -4 hit?

  17. gunner267
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Is Sturridge nailed for the 2 games? considering taking out Kane for him for -4

  18. Darth
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Seriously tempted to captain Carroll instead of Payet, he seems to have a higher chance of scoring or assisting, compared to payet who is often dropping deep to get the ball.

    Anyone else with similar thoughts?

    1. BigManBakar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      You're spot on.

    2. Give The Todd Some Love
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Very tempted

  19. Plontoon
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Is hazard on pens and fk's?

  20. Kevtheotter
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    1.Payet or Carroll (TC)?

    2. KDB -> Hazard -4?

    1. BigManBakar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      1) Carroll.

      2) Yes.

  21. Jan Koller
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Rashford to Carroll or leave him in?

  22. chaskirby
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Who are people Triple Captaining ?

    Cant decide between

    A) Carroll
    B) Payet
    C) Cresswell
    D) Martial
    E) Smalling

    1. James101
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      A

    2. Kryten
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      B can't afford carrol

  23. James101
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    A. Simpson (current team)
    B. Valencia -4
    C. Darmian -4
    D. Azpil -4
    E. Baines -4
    F. Someone else?!

    Note. Have 3 WHam already.

    £6.1m budget

    Also have Smalling PVA Bellerin Kosc

    1. James101
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Leaning toward azpil

  24. Jam0sh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Gabriel -> PVA for free?

    1. bigbudgie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      who else can you lose? You ditching a nailed CS in 38 there (some might argue Villa are scoring now but....meh)

      1. Jam0sh
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Delaney

  25. bigbudgie
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Right, transfers done, locked and loaded....someone please give me the positive affirmation I am so desperately seeking

    Robles
    PVA Cresswell Rojo (Bellerin Simpson)
    Milner Payet Fabregas Lanzini (Sanchez)
    Studge Aguero Defoe (c)

    1. Lionel Ronaldo
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Also own Milner, not sure about (i)playing him or Sanchez, (ii)ditching him for Hazard/Firmino for -4 🙁

    2. Ian Davis
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Current team (playing BB)

      DDG/Darlow
      Bellerin/Simpson/PVA/Mensah/Moreno
      Sanchez/Lanzini/Payet/Hazard/Firmino
      Aguero/Defoe/Carroll

      Which one to do?:

      A) Mensah > Smalling (-4)
      B) Mensah > Ivanovic (-4)
      C) Mensah > Baines (-4)
      D) Mansah/Lanzini > Creswell/Fabregas (-8)
      E) Mensah/Lanzini > Cresswell/Willian (-8)
      F) Mensah/Lanzini > Cresswell/??? (-8)

    3. Give The Todd Some Love
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Hazard, Payet, or Carroll for TC?

      It's a 50/50/50

      ...or a 33/33/33

      1. BigManBakar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Carroll for me mate. More of a threat than Payet.

        Take into account that West Ham will be playing a Swansea reserve side. They'll have no incentive to show up as they know Guidolin won't be around next season.

        Compare that to Sunderland who shall be fighting for their lives.

        1. Give The Todd Some Love
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Yeah very true, think it has to be one of the West Ham boys. Last couple of games at Upton Park as well. I'll probably decide on the deadline between Payet and Carroll.

          1. BigManBakar
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Good luck with whatever you decide mate. I'm on Carroll. Primarily because of significantly better stats, the absence of Williams and because has a habit of scoring against Swansea. Something like 5 goals and 2 assists against them in his last 4.

    4. _Gunner
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Which is better?

      A- Play TFM and hope he plays atleast one match.

      B- Play Bellerin

      C- Play Simpson.

      1. MedC
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        A for me.

    5. MedC
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Repost. Hoping for a couple of replies if anyone is willing.

      Bench Kane, Kun or Sanchez?

      Cheers.

      1. Kryten
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Depends who for maybe sanchez

        1. MedC
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Cheers