Scout Betting
7 May 2016 1478 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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As we furiously attempt to de-code the double Gameweek puzzle, it’s now time to consider yet another set of variables as we trouble Paddy Power for their weekend odds.

Before we analyse their reckoning for Anytime Goalscorers and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’ve yet to grab yourself an account with our bookmaker partners, this weekend is another opportunity to cash in on a raft of enhanced odds offers.

It all starts with Saturday’s Premier League treble which dangles big odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham (vs Swansea), Chelsea (at Sunderland) and Leicester (vs Everton). The Foxes are also covered by their own enhanced bet with Paddy offering 6/1 on a crowning victory for Claudio Ranieri’s boys against suffering Everton.

On Sunday and you can choose to back Southampton’s flourishing form against a deflated Spurs with odds of 14/1 on a Saints win at White Hart Lane.

Paddy have also got another treble covering Sunday’s matches, with 20/1 on wins for Spurs (vs Southampton), Liverpool (vs Watford) and Man City (vs Arsenal).

Finally, if you fancy a individual flutter on that Etihad clash, you can get either 7/1 on a Man City win or 10/1 on an away win for Arsenal.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 37

PlayerTeamOdds
SturridgeLIV1.72
BentekeLIV1.72
CarrollWHU1.90
VardyLEI1.90
AgueroMCI1.90
KaneTOT2.00
FirminoLIV2.25
CisseNEW2.25
MitrovicNEW2.25
LukakuEVE2.25
SakhoWHM2.29
AfobeBOU2.29
CostaCHE2.37
CoutinhoLIV2.40
PayetWHM2.40
MahrezLEI2.40
DefoeSUN2.40
AyozeNEW2.40
WilsonBOU2.40
RashfordMUN2.50
MartialMUN2.50

While Fantasy managers contemplate Jurgen Klopp’s latest shuffled teamsheet, Paddy are very clear in their thinking when it comes to Liverpool’s goal-getting power against Watford at Anfield.

Both Christian Benteke and Daniel Sturridge (1.72) top their current odds reckoning for a Gameweek goal, while Roberto Firmino (2.10) is the highest rank midfielder on show, swiftly followed by team-mate Philippe Coutinho (2.40). In short, if these guys get minutes, Paddy is strongly backing them for goal returns.

Paddy have also been quick to recognise the form of Andy Carroll; the Hammers target man heads up a pack of strikers ranked at 1.90 as he rumbles into a home encounter with Swansea City. Should he get the opportunity, Carroll looks well positioned to terrorise the Swans rearguard once again: the Welshman always struggle to cope with Carroll’s aerial threat, have surrendered seven goals in their last two away clashes and will likely be without skipper Ashley Williams.

Dimitri Payet leads our Captain Poll and is also handed short odds of 2.40 by Paddy – only Firmino ranks higher amongst FPL midfielders.

Jamie Vardy and Sergio Aguero are both also pitched at the 1.90 mark. The former netted three goals in two starts before serving out his suspension and could be set to fill his boots in a celebratory King Power fixture against Everton.

Meanwhile, Aguero’s form (seven goals in five) underlines his continued potential as City head into Sunday’s clash with Arsenal at the Etihad. Manuel Pellegrini’s men could be leg weary following Wednesday’s flat performance in Madrid, although the City boss has stressed that his side now have to prioritise a top four place with United and West Ham still threatening.

Having drawn two blanks in his last four appearances, Harry Kane (2.00) charts in an unfamiliar rank this weekend ahead of a White Hart Lane meeting with in-form Southampton. Kane is looking to keep a grip on the Golden Boot but is part of a Spurs side who could be somewhat demoralised by Monday’s result at Chelsea. Mauricio Pochettino’s outfit could also be knocked out of their stride by the absence of Mousa Dembele who starts a mammoth 6-match suspension following his FA charge for violent conduct. Kane has scored just once in the nine matches that Dembele has missed this season.

Further down the ranks, Newcastle strike duo Papiss Cisse and Aleksandar Mitrovic (both 2.25) will look to profit from Aston Villa’s obliging defence. The Villains have conceded four goals in three of their last eight match-ups, providing the perfect platform for Rafa Bentiez’s side to continue their current form: the Mapgies have scored in each of their last seven matches.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 37

TeamOdds
West Ham2.10
Newcastle2.29
Manchester United2.29
Liverpool2.40
Bournemouth2.60
Crystal Palace2.70
Tottenham2.87
Leicester3.10

Given that Swansea have posted blanks in their previous pair of road ties, it’s no surprise to see that West Ham (2.10) have been pinpointed by Paddy as the team with the most favourable clean-sheet prospects in the Gameweek. Just behind them, Newcastle (2.29) have recorded two shut-outs in four and are pitted against a Villa unit that failed to score in five of their last eight fixtures.

Manchester United are also currently ranked at 2.29 to keep Norwich City out at Carrow Road. While Louis van Gaal’s side have kept just five of their 17 shut-outs away from home, they’re up against a desperate Canaries who are without a goal in their last three league fixtures.

Liverpool come next with odds of 2.40 as they seek to repel the advances of Watford. The Hornets have scored just twice in their previous quartet of road matches, which suggests that Liverpool’s odds have suffered from the threat of Klopp rotation.

Bournemouth (2.60) have conceded the joint-most goals (16) across their last six match-ups, illustrating their poor value for a home tie against West Bromwich Albion. Crystal Palace’s (2.70) home encounter with Stoke City looks more promising, considering that the Potters have notched a solitary goal in their previous trio of fixtures.

Further down the table, Paddy feel that Spurs (2.87) have their work cut out stifling a Southampton attack that has amassed more goals (12) than any team in their last four fixtures. While our bookmaker suggests that Ranieri will relax his approach to the home meeting with Everton – the Foxes are given relatively long odds of 3.10 for a shut-out in today’s late kick-off.

  1. karvs155
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Payet or Carrol TC?

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I am on payet

    2. FPLVegard
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      You tell me 😉

    3. Sunkey
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I'm currently in Payet but Carroll does well against Sawnsea. Do we think he'll start?

      1. KISSES
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Course he will

    4. Malkmus
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I'm on Carroll but is there any chance he won't play both games?

    5. SuperMario
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Payet. Consistency.

  2. Tsumo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Should I play Darlow(avl) or Robles(lei/sun) - assuming Robles plays both games?

    1. bigbudgie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      has to be the two games. Leicester to blank 🙂 Too hungover

  3. For Fuchs Sake
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Bench one:
    a)Sanchez
    b)Milner
    c) Mahrez

    1. rab1982
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Milner. Might not play and if he does it'll likely be benteke up front

  4. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Got myself another dilemma. If I go PvA instead of Cresswell. And Iwobi to payet instead of lanzini to payet I would have to bench one of

    Sanchez
    Townsend
    Firmino

    Other wise lanzini to payet and play firmino.

  5. siweltrebor87
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Gosh Andy Carroll has given me such a headache.

    Payet all week long, now I'm undecided, I've read stats to suggest that form and fixtures sides well with Carroll if he gets the minutes

    1. Darth
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Ditto see above 🙂 so difficult

  6. Shrimpy
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Start Fuchs or Bellerin?

    1. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Fuch it.

    2. gunner267
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Fuchs

  7. George Agdgdgwngo
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Struggling a bit guys. Pressure is getting to me!!

    DDG,
    Simpson, bell, PVA (Gabriel, Delaney)
    Sanchez, Payet, coutinho, Lennon (alli)
    Aguero, Sturridge, Kane

    Transfer plans are:-

    A. Coutinho & Sturridge > hazard & Carroll (4 point hit)

    B. Coutinho, sturridge& Delaney > hazard, Carroll & Reid (8 point hit)

    C. Coutinho, Sturridge, Delaney & alli > hazard, Carroll, creswell & Redmond (12 point hit)

    Leading ML by 16 points. Opponent has got creswell in for his FT

  8. Ian Davis
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Current team (playing BB):

    DDG/Darlow
    Bellerin/Simpson/PVA/Mensah/Moreno
    Sanchez/Lanzini/Payet/Hazard/Firmino
    Aguero/Defoe/Carroll

    Which one to do?

    A) Mensah > Smalling (-4)
    B) Mensah > Ivanovic (-4)
    C) Mensah > Baines (-4)
    D) Mansah/Lanzini > Creswell/Fabregas (-8)
    E) Mensah/Lanzini > Cresswell/Willian (-8)
    F) Mensah/Lanzini > Cresswell/??? (-8)

    1. Boss Hogg
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      A.

    2. Kasparov
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I think A.

      1. Ian Davis
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers lads

  9. Boss Hogg
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Ryan Bennett out, Cresswell in. -4

    Yes or no?

    1. MedC
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Yes.

    2. Malkmus
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Hell yes

  10. Grounderz
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Who is your captain?

    1. James101
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Carol

    2. Boss Hogg
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Caroll

      1. Boss Hogg
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        No wait.
        Payet.

        1. Boss Hogg
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Or Caroll.

          1. Boss Hogg
            • 16 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Or Payet.

    3. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Carroll

    4. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Azza

    5. bigbudgie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      No Caroll and Payet doesn't tempt me so probably Defoe. Leaky Chelsea and Everton at home.

    6. BigManBakar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      (CCC)arroll

    7. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Haz

    8. RassDogg
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Defoe

  11. James101
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    A. Simpson (current team)
    B. Valencia -4
    C. Darmian -4
    D. Azpil -4
    E. Baines -4
    F. Someone else?

    Note. Have 3 WHam already.

    £6.1m budget

    Also have Smalling PVA Bellerin Kosc

  12. zizoo10
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    leading ML by 22 pts. i have lanzini, rival has carrol.

    should i get out of my way and take an extra hit to remove lanzini and bring in carrol to cover him, or do my own thing?

    1. Owusu90
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Depends who you can bring in for Lanzini...

  13. Venom Snake
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Any quick thoughts on Defoe TC?

    1. James101
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Better options exist

      1. RassDogg
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Who you thinking?

    2. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Good option

    3. MedC
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Depends on who else you have. Personally, I think there are better options.

      1. RassDogg
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Who you thinking?

    4. Del Griffiths
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I almost, almost captained him that day he got five. He could do it again!

  14. Toonzie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Play Sanchez or Mahrez?

    1. MedC
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Mahrez

  15. MedC
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Bottomed!

    Repost. Hoping for a couple of replies if anyone is willing.

    Bench Kane, Kun or Sanchez?

    Cheers

    1. Kent girl
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I've benched Sanchez but who knows :/

    2. Karan_G14
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Sanchez.
      Only because Kane and Kun are fighting for the golden boot.

    3. MedC
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Thanks both.

  16. Kiwivillan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Milner>Mané -4? 7 goals in 5

  17. rab1982
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Hows my wildcard looking?

    De Gea - Gomes
    Bellerin - Cresswell - Cathcart - Van Aanholt - Francis
    Sanchez - Payet - Tadic - Willian - Mahrez
    Kane - Aguero - Defoe

    Just need to find me a captain?

  18. ppp
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    would you take a hit for either of these?

    1. Fuchs/gabriel to Ivanovic
    2. Mahrez/Firmino to Hazard

    1. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Nope

  19. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Someone scored 200 points in GW34 having took a -16 and used BB. It can work!!

    1. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      178 -16 for me.
      I'm hoping 130 - 12 this time

  20. Art Vandelay
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Rose > Creswell or Ivan or save the hit?

    1. JAC THE CAT
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Cresswell

    2. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Save.

    3. Art Vandelay
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Cheers.

  21. COW
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Kane or Kun to Carroll?

    1. Malkmus
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Kane

  22. Caesar Salahd
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Should I keep Delaney or get Cresswell for a -12?

    1. Perthite
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I would have said Cresswell for a 4pt hit, but not for 12.

  23. Doar1986
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    foes-mensah minutes?

    just realised i was taking a hit for valencia but then realised they may share the games?

  24. JasonG123
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Good to go? Playing the correct people? 0FT, 0ITB.

    Robles
    Smalling Cresswell PvA
    Sanchez Firmino Payet (TC) Lanzini
    Aguero Kane Defoe (vc)

    Bench: Darlow // Coutinho Simpson Bellerin

  25. Boss Hogg
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Play 1:

    a. Coutinho
    b. Bolassie
    c. Bellerin

    1. 1zverGGademN
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      a. Coutinho

      1. Boss Hogg
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks Jesus

  26. Perthite
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Ok - last one...

    Better to get rid of Milner or Coutinho?

    1. Boss Hogg
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Cout

  27. Kasparov
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Re-posting due to rather horrid timing leaving my post languishing unseen at the bottom of the old thread:

    Defending a 38 point lead in my ML and rotations, drug cheats and assaults have caused an inordinate amount of hassle for just trying to see this out! I still have Alli left in my team, along with Targett. I'm going to use my bench boost this week, and my ML opponent will be using his TC this week I'm sure.

    Mignolet (Hennessey)
    Targett Simpson Bellerin Gabriel Lovren
    Mahrez Sanchez Lanzini Alli Firmino
    Kane Carroll Aguero

    I need to get Payet in, as I reckon he's the best to have this week, my ML opponent has him, and I don't want to waste my BB.

    1FT. I have been thinking

    Targett -> Valencia
    Alli -> Payet
    Kane -> Defoe

    which costs me -8. A good chance of everyone playing for BB. Gotta run risk with Liverpool players not being rotated out. Can anyone think of any better moves?

    Also possibly:

    Sanchez->Hazard for 1 GW
    Lanzini->Townsend (nullify ML opponent, but it's a straight -4 as he already has him).

    For the record, my ML opponent's team is:

    Hart (Schwarzer)
    Sagna Fosu-Mensah Monreal Fonte Targett
    Payet Coutinho Mahrez Sanchez Townsend
    Carroll Rashford Aguero

    The only differentials that I feel have the capacity to seriously endanger my lead are Payet and Townsend (who painfully cut the gap between us down by 7 and 10 respectively last week!). The former with I'm definitely dealing with. I'm also suspicious my ML opponent will get Hazard in and TC him, but that's just speculation

    Any thoughts? Much appreciated!

    1. Give The Todd Some Love
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      If you're by that much I probably wouldn't bother getting Payet and would try and get Hazard instead

      1. Kasparov
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        I plan to captain Payet. I might do both. Hopefully Sanchez doesn't punish me.

    2. Del Griffiths
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I've been thinking about Valencia, could be a good differential but I'm worried about the pile of right backs LvG has at his disposal.

      1. Kasparov
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        I think the chance of him getting a CS vs PVA benefitting from a CS or attacking returns is in Valencia's favour, but risk, as you say, is whether he continues getting a game.

  28. Karan_G14
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Got my final team ready !

    DDG
    PVA Cresswell Moreno
    Townsend Payet Firmino Hazard
    Defoe Carrol Costa

    Good to go ?

    Best of luck to everyone !

  29. For Fuchs Sake
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Do we assume Milner will only play one game?

  30. Martin.S
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Start Fosu or Simpson?