Spot the Differential
14 May 2016 1881 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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We head into Gameweek 38 with many mini-leagues still on the line, as Fantasy managers seek some last-minute inspiration. This time around, Liverpool’s midweek goal hero is joined by City’s up-and-coming young striker and Southampton’s Senegal marksman in our quest for differential success.

Christian Benteke

Understandably, Jurgen Klopp is primed to name a second-string side for Liverpool’s trip to West Bromwich Albion, given that Liverpool are schedule to clash with Sevilla in the Europa League final on Wednesday. Daniel Sturridge appears unlikely to play any part at The Hawthorns, which paves the way for Christian Benteke (8.0) to spearhead the Reds’ attack. Despite notching just 180 minutes across his previous five appearances, the Belgian frontman mustered three goals and one assist, with a last-gasp midweek leveler at home to Chelsea sure to boost his confidence.

Although Benteke was only granted a 16-minute cameo against the Blues, he charts joint-third for attempts (nine) and joint-second for shots inside the box (seven) among forwards in his last two outings. Taking the season in its entirety, Benteke’s goal frequency (one every 173 minutes) is only bettered by five counterparts who’ve amassed at least 1000 minutes of pitch time. The same can be said of his shot frequency (26.4), which places sixth under the same parameters.

Liverpool’s concluding match-up pits them against a Baggies outfit that’s recorded just five clean sheets at home all term. In addition, only six teams have conceded more big chances on their own turf (30). Liverpool’s attack on the road also measures up favourably – Tottenham Hotspur are the only team that’s chalked up more attempts (272 vs 252) than Liverpool, underlining their swashbuckling style away from home under Klopp.

Kelechi Iheanacho

In the wake of back-to-back braces against Stoke City and Southampton – which boosted his tally to seven goals (695 minutes) for the season – Kelechi Iheanacho (4.8) shot onto our radar as a tantalising budget forward. Having started each of the last three, the Nigerian marksman will be savouring the prospect of taking on a Swansea outfit that’s missing key first-team regulars such as Ashley Williams, Gylfi Sigurdsson and Lukasz Fabianski.

Razor-sharp finishing has been Iheanacho’s most striking attribute, illustrated by the fact that he ranks top among all forwards for shot-conversion rate (31.3%). Moreover, only Sergio Aguero (98 minutes) lays claim to a superior goal frequency (110.7). Illustrating how central he’s become to the Sky Blues’ attack in recent fixtures, Iheanacho ranks joint-second for touches (181) and second for touches in the final third (95) among forwards since Gameweek 35.

Swansea managed convincing victories over Liverpool and West Ham United in their last pair of outings, yet Man City will be heartened that only three teams shipped more goals (nine) in their previous quartet of league ties. The Swans also surrendered the joint-fourth-most shots inside the box (38) and the second-most big chances (13), obliging defensive form that could play into the hands of the league’s top-scoring attack.

Sadio Mane

Given that Sadio Mane (7.4) has recovered from the virus that forced him off early against Spurs, it would be remiss for us not to shine a spotlight on the 5%-owned winger.

Mane – who netted a three-minute hat-trick in the final home clash of last season – boasts five goals in four starts and next faces a Crystal Palace team that will surely be shuffled ahead of their FA Cup final date with Manchester United next weekend.

Scrutinising the underlying stats, Mane ranked joint-top among midfielders for shots on target (seven) across his previous four appearances. It’s also worth noting that, despite registering just 281 minutes, he accrued three more penalty-box touches (31) than any of his midfield rivals. In home matches, the Senegalese wide man ranks second among midfielders for shots inside the box (35) and joint-second for shots on target (18).

Mane has five double-figure hauls to his name this term, which highlights his potential for explosive returns against an Eagles rearguard that places joint-bottom for shut-outs (two) and fourth for goals conceded (31) since Gameweek 20. Alan Pardew’s men will certainly be tested by a Saints attack that bagged 10 goals in their previous trio of home encounters and placed top for goals (11) across their last four outings.

  1. Les Bleus
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    So who else will start next season with 2 or 3 Chelsea players? No CL and their players might be at a discount.

    1. Backup Dancer
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Bookmarked

      1. Les Bleus
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        😀

        Conte 😉

    2. @FPLMason
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Chelsea defender will be a good asset with Conte.

      1. Les Bleus
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Conte also loves a 3-5-2. Azpi at left wing back anyone?

    3. Jøssy ⭐
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Depends on fixtures

      1. Les Bleus
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        True.

    4. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Definitely a defender, at least.

    5. Milner4eva
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Could be plenty bargains to pick thorough

  2. Bolivian Seaman
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Who is everyone captaining? and transferring in?

    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Kun
      Kun & KDB in. Sturridge and Firmino out.

    2. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Sanchez on both counts

    3. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Mane and Mane

    4. @FPLMason
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Sanchez i think.
      as for transferring in, I'm still confused. Rotates around Kane, Tadic and Long, or a hit to bring in 2 of the 3.

    5. Jøssy ⭐
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Sanchez captain, Tadic in

    6. Respect My Authoritah
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Sanchez captain
      Got in Kun and Tadic

    7. drughi
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Kun and kane

    8. Milner4eva
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Sanchez, Tadic

    9. Les Bleus
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Sanchez and Tadic.

    10. Springbank
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Did Loftus Cheek > Tadic
      Captaining Sanchez

    11. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Captain Sanchez, gona bring in Long.

  3. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Who will score more this week?

    Hazard or Tadic?

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Tadic but hopefully Hazard as I have only Eden

    2. Les Bleus
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      I hope they both bag in hattricks.

      1. Kiwivillan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Hazard hat trick would probably win me my mini league

  4. Mr. Funny Name
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Way ahead in my mini league, thoughts on Payet,Kane,Carroll->Tadic,Long,Deeney for -8?

    1. Pooodle
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      I'd keep Payet. Other two could be ok

      1. Mr. Funny Name
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers

    2. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Not worth a -8. I Don't think any of those three need to go, but if you want to sell one I'd sell Carroll.

  5. Backup Dancer
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    I have Sturridge and Milner to deal with.

    Thoughts on Sturridge to Kane?

    1. @FPLMason
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Good

    2. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      decent move

      just not sure of Tottenham psychology right now... hopefully they're motivated enough to finish ahead of Arsenal for the first time since the age of dinosaurs

      1. Backup Dancer
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah I'll definitely consider it.

  6. Pooodle
    • 17 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    What to do this week?

    A) Fabregas -> Tadic / Mane

    B) Carroll -> Long

    1. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      B of those. Long the only striker you're looking at?

    2. @FPLMason
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      A

  7. Slartibartfast
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Pick one to play:

    a) Azpilicueta (LEI)

    b) Cresswell (sto)

    Can't see either with a clean sheet. Who will concede less? Who has the better chance of attacking returns?

    1. @FPLMason
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Cress

    2. Les Bleus
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      b

    3. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers

      Also playing Payet and Lanzini. Relying too heavily on West Ham..?

      1. Jøssy ⭐
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        When's that ever gone wrong!? 😆

  8. Cordomver
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Play Mahrez or Carroll? Got Defoe as well who I am starting, so if he won't play either of the first two will come on as first sub.

    1. Mr. Funny Name
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Mahrez

    2. @FPLMason
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Carroll.

  9. @FPLMason
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    A) Kane and Defoe
    B) Carroll and Long

    1. Jøssy ⭐
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      B

  10. cruzex
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    sell hazard to get money is bad play?

    1. Jøssy ⭐
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Depends what you want to do with the money, but only one week left so hard to make multiple hits pay off

  11. cruzex
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    milrallas or barkley?

    1. cruzex
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      mirallas*

    2. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      avoid Everton

      end of

  12. Toby Lerone
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Ok decided not to take a hit so which one for FT?

    A) Coutinho > Tadic (bench townsend)
    B) Carrol > Giroud (play townsend)

    1. @FPLMason
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      A def

      1. Toby Lerone
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        cheers

  13. In Like Flynn.
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Any morning news on rested players?

    I've not been around much and this last week is now critical for my ML.

    1. @FPLMason
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Big Sam spoke of playing U21s, so if you have any Sunderland assets, think about shipping them out.

      1. In Like Flynn.
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks for that, let's hope my rivals didn't hear it.

  14. JJeyy
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    RP Please help...

    Forster / Hen
    Targett / Alde/ Fosu-M / Wolly /Huth
    Ozil / Sanchez / Firmino / Iwobi / Noble
    Kane / Sturridge / Aguero
    1FT
    That is my team. I am 30 points off the lead, and have no chips left. I know there is little hope left, but do you guys see any move plausible to try and get me big points?

    1. Fowler23
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Firmino and Sturridge to Long and Mane (c)

      That defence....

      1. JJeyy
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        yep tell me abut it.... huth suspension kind sucked

    2. Wetdream
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Firminho to Mane and stick the armband on him !

      1. JJeyy
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        what about sanchez?

  15. Mickey Tyrion™
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Leading by 78, so need a simple pick here... 1FT 0.2 ITB

    Hard to get a SOU attacker as low on funds to do an obvious swap. What's a decent move with this lot?

    DDG
    Bellerin - Gab - Cresswell
    Payet - KDB - Sanchez - Hazard
    Kun - Deeney - Defoe

    PVA, Simpson, Lanzini, Robles

    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      think i'd play it like that unless you want to take a -4 to get Vardy in up front

      1. Mickey Tyrion™
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        may do that. Cheers!

    2. Your Mum's Athletic
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Defoe to Long work?

      1. Mickey Tyrion™
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Not enough. :/

        1. Your Mum's Athletic
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          leave as is but put Lanzini before Simpson on bench

  16. Rex Lapis
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Lanzini + Firmino to Tadic + KDB for a hit

    Yay or Nay?

    1. @FPLMason
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Def yeay

    2. Your Mum's Athletic
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Just Firmino to Tadic?

      1. Fowler23
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        This

  17. Your Mum's Athletic
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Morning all

  18. Nohzee
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Would appreciate any comments. I'm behind my mini league leader by 3 points!

    Likely starting:
    Gomes
    Aldie Smalling Cresswell
    Iwobi Payet Mahrez Hazard Sanchez
    Aguero Defoe

    Bench:
    Hennessey
    Daniels
    Fuchs
    Carroll

    1FT, 0.6itb.

    Do i...
    A) Cresswell - Koscielny (Free)
    B) Above + Mahrez - Tadic (-4)
    C) Other?

    Thanks!!!!!! Good luck all

  19. cruzex
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    best defender till 4,1?

  20. Alisson WondHaaland
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Top 3 from these?
    a)Tadic
    b)Mane
    c)Arnie
    d)Benteke
    e)Long
    f)Iheanacho

    1. Nohzee
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      a, c, e

    2. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      B, A, F

  21. Kiwivillan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    I was laughing that my leader had 6 injured or doubtful players. Now he's taken -8 hits and only 11pts I feel more worried. What's that all about?

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      *11pts ahead

  22. OptimusBlack
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Who would win the Golden Boot ?

    A- Aguero I have him

    B- Kane

    C- Vardy

    So get Kane or Vardy or Both ?

    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      A or C

      going to be close

    2. Respect My Authoritah
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Aguero I reckon.

      Get Long. Much better option this week

    3. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers

    4. drughi
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      B

  23. James
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone else have an issue with Aguero being voted above Ighalo for strikers of the season. Aguero has scored 6 points more yet cost considerably more than double?!???

    1. Your Mum's Athletic
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      If it was first half of the season, Ighalo would have probably won

  24. sttewwizza
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone think that Walcott could start tommorow...???

    A: 0-25%
    B: 26-50%
    C: 51-75%
    D: 76-100 %

    1. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      c

      1. Slartibartfast
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        (Not an Arsenal fan though)

    2. Respect My Authoritah
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      No.

      Iwobi Ozil Sanchez

      They have to win. 2nd is still possible

    3. Fowler23
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      There are surely better punts than him

    4. _Freddo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      A

  25. _Freddo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Is anyone playing a Leicester defender?

    Seems like many are doubting them seeing the season out like pros.

    Would anyone really be surprised by a 0-1 for Leicester?

    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      not sure why

      they've been pros all season and have the golden boot and golden glove on the line tomorrow

      1. _Freddo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        This is my thoughts too, Chelsea were good in the week but how bad were Liverpool?

        Leicester were brilliant against Everton and only conceded late in the game.

        Can't see many clean sheets this weekend but they look like one of the more solid teams and with Chelsea having no Costa...

  26. Heels_Over_Head
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    None of my players in lineups today !

  27. La Di Da
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Right, I've decided I'm shipping my 2 LIV miss for a -4

    Firmino & Coutinho to:

    A) Mata & Tadic
    B) Mata & Mane
    C) Tadic & Mane

    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      c

    2. Fowler23
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      C. United have one of the worse attacking stats

    3. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      C

    4. Your Mum's Athletic
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      C out of these only because Mata is a poor option

  28. AVIELD949
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    A) Mane and Long
    B) Tadic and Giroud

    1. Mr. Funny Name
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      A

  29. Mr. Funny Name
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    What's the thoughts on a Deeney punt? In form striker playing against a weakened Sunderland side...

    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      good shout, not that excited

  30. Kiwivillan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Kind of wish I had 1 less point and KDB than the hit I took to get Hazard last week