Scout Betting
15 May 2016 1849 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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For the last time this season, we skulk outside Paddy Power’s door in an attempt to extract a final few strands of information to guide our deadline decisions.

Before we scan Paddy’s odds for Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to secure your own Paddy Power account, you can do so today and snap up one of several enhanced new customer offers.

Today’s acca tops the bill with odds of 25/1 on wins for Man City at Swansea, Man United over Bournemouth, Southampton against Crystal Palace and Spurs at Newcastle.

There’s also a final day double which offers the same odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham at Stoke and Liverpool at West Brom.

If you’d rather chance your arm on individual matches, you can get 12/1 on Leicester to win at Chelsea, or 14/1 on a victory for Sunderland at Watford.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.57
SanchezARS1.61
GiroudARS1.61
LukakuEVE1.72
LongSOT1.83
PelleSOT1.83
RooneyMUN1.83
WalcottARS1.90
IwobiARS1.90
KaneTOT1.90
DeeneyWAT2.00
RashfordMUN2.00
MartialMUN2.00
IghaloWAT2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
BentekeLIV2.10
De BruyneMCI2.20
ManeSOT2.20
IheanachoMCI2.20

Paddy have again earmarked Sergio Aguero (1.52) as the most likely scorer in the Gameweek. Given that the former Atletico Madrid marksman has netted in his previous six starts, it’s perhaps no real surprise. He’ll be striving to breach a Swansea City back line that has conceded nine goals in four match-ups but, while Manchester City are looking to stave off United’s challenge for fourth spot, it remains to be seen if Manuel Pellegrini’s men will go for goals or settle for the point they need.

In light of Arsenal’s potentially profitable home encounter against Aston Villa, Alexis Sanchez (1.61), Olivier Giroud (1.61), Theo Walcott (1.90) and Alex Iwobi (1.90) all feature very highly in Paddy’s assessment, with goals expected at the Emirates. Although the Villains’ defensive travails are well documented, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have bagged just six strikes in their last five outings. Nonetheless, Paddy are backing them strongly to rout Eric Black’s relegated side.

Perhaps optimistically, Romelu Lukaku (1.72) ranks fourth before Everton’s Goodison Park meeting with Norwich City. The Belgium international is in the midst of eight successive blanks and is playing for a team that charted third-bottom for key passes (46) across their previous quartet of match-ups.

Southampton’s Shane Long and Graziano Pelle have all been tipped at 1.80 for Crystal Palace’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have notched more goals than any team (11) in their last four fixtures and will face an Eagles squad that is surely focused on next weekend’s FA Cup final. Sadio Mane is also included in Paddy’s top bracket, ranked at 2.20 for an anytime goal – only Arsenal’s cast of options can better those odds amongst midfielders.

Talking of midfielders, having switched to a deeper role for United, it’s surprising to see that Wayne Rooney (1.83) ranked so highly ahead of his meeting with Bournemouth at Old Trafford. Rooney has failed to grace the scoresheet since Gameweek 24 and both Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial (2.00) look stronger prospects.

Harry Kane betters the odds of that United pair ahead of Tottenham’s trip to St James’ Park. Kane has scored an impressive six goals in his last four road trips, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men have the incentive of holding off the challenge of Arsenal for runners-up spot, ensuring that Spurs and Kane should show intent on Tyneside.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

TeamOdds
Arsenal1.61
Southampton1.90
Manchester United2.00
Manchester City2.62
Watford2.75
Tottenham2.80
Everton3.00
Chelsea3.50
West Ham3.60

Aston Villa have drawn blanks in six of their last nine fixtures, ensuring that Arsenal (1.61) are clear favourites for a shut-out at the Emirates with some of the shortest clean sheets odds we’ve seen this term.

Southampton (1.90) claim the silver-medal berth as they attempt to silence a Palace attack that’s registered three blanks in five league ties. The Eagles are expected to field a much-changed side for the south coast trip, while Ronald Koeman’s side are the Premier League’s in-form outfit along with champions Leicester.

Paddy clearly fancy Man United (2.00) to suppress Bournemouth, who have mustered just six goals in their last seven outings. United’s home defence is the best in the league and with David de Gea bidding for the Golden Glove, Louis van Gaal’s men have every incentive to earn a shut-out as they look to claim an unlikely Champions League berth ahead of rivals City.

City (2.62) themselves are ranked next but are some way behind in Paddy’s reckoning. Manuel Pellegrini’s side will do well to see off a Swans attack that has racked up seven goals in their previous two fixtures.

Watford’s odds have crept in from 3.20 to 2.75, no doubt as a result of talk from Sam Allardyce that he plans to play a youthful Sunderland lineup having seen his side secure top flight safety in midweek.

Tottenham (2.80) have conceded the fewest away goals (15) and match up against a Newcastle side that failed to score at Villa, while Everton (3.00) are priced somewhat generously against Norwich when you consider that they’ve managed a solitary shut-out since Gameweek 26.

  1. Kevtheotter
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Darlow
    Bellerin Gabriel PVA
    Lanzini Payet Sanchez(c) Hazard
    Kun Carroll Defoe

    Robles Milner Simpson Delaney 1FT 2.2 ITB

    A) Milner --> Tadic bench Payet
    B) Payet ---> Tadic
    C) Defoe ---> Long

    32 points ahead of Rival

    1. Elijah's Wood
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

  2. Lone Wolf FPL
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Mane or Tadic? And why?

    1. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Mane. Goals.

      1. Jazz!
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        This

      2. Jazz!
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Oh, Sess; do you reckon Defoe will start?

        1. Sess!
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          100% imo

          1. HVT
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Why so many doubts?
            PVA to play?

            1. Jazz!
              • 11 Years
              9 years, 8 months ago

              Well Big Sam said he's gonna play some under 21s

          2. Jazz!
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Thanks. Think PvA will be benched for that Robson lad though? (I think that was his name)

          3. gunees
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            long or defoe ?

        2. Weasel51
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Defoe and PVA out.

    2. Gazj11
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Both

    3. Tsssst
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      tadic on pens

  3. Here's the manager
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I know there'll be lots of similar questions but

    Darlow(Robles)
    Bellerin Gabriel Cresswell (Fosu Mensah, Simpson)
    Tadic Sanchez Townsend Payet Eriksen
    Aguero Kane (Defoe)
    0FT 0.9

    Already on -4.
    A Stick an play Simpson if Defoe doesn't come off bench
    B Payet to Mahrez or similar for -8

  4. Mr. Grv
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Left the game after I messed gw 35 deadline .
    Good Luck to all. Hopefully united gets into ucl

  5. Liastro ⭐️
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Good luck everyone. Would like to think I haven't bombarded yourselves with as many RMTs as previous years. Hope you've all had a successful campaign and won your MLs!

  6. Elijah's Wood
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Manone
    Smalling bellerin rose
    Sanchez hazard payet Townsend
    Aguero Kane Defoe

    Payet > Mane/Tadic is a go.
    Anything worth a hit?
    1) Manone > Forster (Robles backup)
    2) Defoe > Rondon/Long
    3) No hit

  7. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    4 goal keepers going for the golden gloves thing

    Cech, DDG, Hart & Kasper

  8. Jay_
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Mods, Froggy five comp needs to be hulked

      http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/comment/13361171

    • Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      My defence: Smalling Koscielny Cresswell

      Would you play DDG or Forster, this week?

      1. Zizoulicious
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        DDG me thinks

        1. Jazz!
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Cheers

      2. Jay_
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Forster for me

          1. Jazz!
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Hmmm, cheers.

        • Carcetti
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Forster

          1. Jazz!
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Cheers Divock

        • Buck The Trent
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Ddg

          1. Rich_20
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Forster

          2. Jazz!
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Cheers mate.

      3. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Ok, I'm trying to formulate the best move based on the rotation risks, I lead my ML by 3 points only, my team:
        Mignolet, Robles (ouch)
        Bellerin, Gabriel, Smalling) Delaney, Cresswell
        Payet, Firmino, Sanchez(c), Mahrez, Townsend
        Caroll, Kun, Defoe

        Options:
        Payet to--->
        A) KDB (already have aguero)
        B) Mane
        C) Tadic
        ----
        D) one of the above + defoe --> Kane for a hit (In fear that defoe and firmino both get benched + my ML competitor has him)
        E) other

      4. borat
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        which defender out of these to play-
        moreno
        pva
        simpson
        also play defoe as 3rd striker or play hazard as fifth mid

        1. JoJoRed
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Simpson
          Hazard

      5. Carcetti
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Pick 2.

        A) Aguero
        B) Long
        C) Giroud

        1. BB-8
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          A C

      6. BB-8
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Bottomed on previous article. Pick one-

        A. Mane (have Tadic)
        B. Eriksen
        C. Arnie

        1. Carcetti
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          A

      7. Fandogh
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        There are 2 west ham in the second chart

      8. enrico.palazzo
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Has there been any word on Payet's 'Injury'?

        1. Christina.
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          yes, david gold says he is doubtful.

          1. enrico.palazzo
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Thanks, not thinking he'll play then?

        2. boredjames
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Doosra says he is out. So he is out

          1. enrico.palazzo
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            If Doosra says that's good enough for me

      9. 420king
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        (new article repost)
        Was set on my team but now I have some doubts....

        Darlow
        Gabriel Bellerin Smalling
        Sanchez Tadic Hazard Lanzini
        Aguero Defoe Carroll
        (Robles Payet PVA Rose)

        Do I have enough cover for doubtful players or should I -4? (0 FT, 3.1 ITB)

        1. Big Sum
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Play payet, bench lanzini. g2g

      10. Bøwstring The Carp
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        If the Golden Boot scores are tied, Aguero wins by least minutes played right?

        1. Cojiro
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Think it's on assists, so Kane would win

        2. Jazz!
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Don't think it works like that.

        3. JJO
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          No they all get it

        4. Rhinos
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Its shared, has happened before

          1. Bøwstring The Carp
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            I have 20 quid on Aguero top scorer, so how will it be settled if the scores are tied?

            1. enrico.palazzo
              • 13 Years
              9 years, 8 months ago

              Dead heat rule will screw you - layout divided by number of winners

              1. Bøwstring The Carp
                • 14 Years
                9 years, 8 months ago

                Ugh cheers

            2. Jazz!
              • 11 Years
              9 years, 8 months ago

              They all win it

            3. Rhinos
              • 12 Years
              9 years, 8 months ago

              dunno youd have to contact the bookie, may halve the odds

      11. Cojiro
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Who to ditch for mane or Tadic?
        A) Payet
        B) Coutinho

        1. Big Sum
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          B) Coutinho, but wait until 13:59

          1. Cojiro
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Thanks

      12. Scotty B
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        My 2 keepers are Mignolet & Ward.

        Very likely neither will play.

        Is Mignolet > Forster/Howard worth a -4?

        1. P-daddy
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          For me I'd always take the hit, what's with all the Howard love?

      13. Jam0sh
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Morning guys! Good to go or take a hit?

        DDG
        PVA, Smalling, Bellerin
        Payet, Tadic, Hazard, Sanchez
        Carroll, Aguero, Defoe

        Subs: Darlow --- Lanzini, Simpson, Delaney --- 0 FT, 1.0 itb

        A) Stick
        B) Carroll -> Giroud (-4)
        C) Payet -> Özil (-4)
        D) Defoe -> Long (-4)

      14. Buck The Trent
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Pick 2 to sell out of :

        Carroll, Coutinho, Payet

        1. boredjames
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Coutinho and payet wont play, so that's easy

      15. Tsssst
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        protecting a 7 pt lead, pick one:

        1.
        payet > tadic

        2.
        payet > ozil
        mahrez > tadic*

        3.
        payet > davis
        defoe > giroud*

        * = 4pt hit

        1. Rabbinton
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          No hits

        2. Fandogh
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          1

      16. Feed tha Sheep
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        So is Payet more or less definitely out?
        If so is it worth a hit for Sturidge and Payet > KDB and Long or just play Lingard and bench Payet?

        1. boredjames
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          I have this problem.
          Lingard should start v Bournmouth and they will be going for it. Not sure its worth a -4 to get rid

        2. Best for business
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Lingard is useless. play payet

      17. Razmataz
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Who do you think will score more?

        A) Townsend & Aguero

        Or

        B) Hazard & Vardy (4pt hit)

      18. JJO
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Mane certain to start today?

        1. Zizoulicious
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          No, but he's fit to play

          1. JJO
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Is Tadic safer option?

        2. madame shelly
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          as hes been ill, there's a chance he is sub. but that was a week ago

          1. JJO
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Thanks

      19. Lone Wolf FPL
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Chasing in my ML with 28pts behind. Have just one player which my rival has too - Townsend
        A) 10 differentials is enough
        B) take for -4 Arnautovic/Eriksen/Mane (which from those, have Tadic)

        1. madame shelly
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          10 is plenty, if they score better than his 🙂

      20. dreamwarrior
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Re Payet. Remember that Martial was reported as being out of the West Ham game from more credible sources (MEN, Mirror) than some geezer in the club car park. Stories like this about key players are designed to upset the opposition's planning... Think the Hammers are taking a leaf out of the LVG playbook here and wouldn't be at all surprised if Payet starts. David Gold has now kept the social media suspense going by claiming he's 'doubtful' - note the choice of word... Good luck all!

        1. Les Bleus
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          I like this post

        2. Rhinos
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Agree, ditto previous Ozil 'foot' injury

        3. Jazz!
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Interesting ... 😀

        4. Rabbinton
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Seems hopeful but I hope you're right

        5. Meinhoff
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Hardly an important game for this mind games to be used, but hey anything's possible

          1. Bollard
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            West ham pushing for European football. They have everything to play for!

        6. Gizzachance
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          yeah, people think hoping payet will be transferred out on some doubtful story, wham have something to play for, payet will be part of that, unless he is definitely ruled out by reliable source, i will be keeping him and not getting him out, unless it is confirmed he is out
          good luck all

      21. Gazj11
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Anyone who has Sanchez: are you captaining him or someone else?

        1. Les Bleus
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Him

          1. Cordomver
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Swapped to Kun

      22. Buck The Trent
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Ozil or KDB?

        1. HVT
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Kdb

        2. Stats Don\'t Lie
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Both?

        3. Big Sum
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Ozil

      23. Stats Don\'t Lie
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        What would you do with this team?
        De gea (Hennessey)
        PVA, Gabriel, bellerin (Delaney, simpson)
        Hazard, Sanchez (c), payet, Townsend (firmino)
        Deeney, Aguero, Carroll

        I was thinking something ballsy like hazard, firmino, deeney > tadic, mane, kelechi (-8)

        1. Bøwstring The Carp
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Payet ----> Mané/ Tadic is enough imo

          With Simpson ahead of Delaney on the bench in case PVA doesn't feature