Scout Betting
15 May 2016 1849 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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For the last time this season, we skulk outside Paddy Power’s door in an attempt to extract a final few strands of information to guide our deadline decisions.

Before we scan Paddy’s odds for Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to secure your own Paddy Power account, you can do so today and snap up one of several enhanced new customer offers.

Today’s acca tops the bill with odds of 25/1 on wins for Man City at Swansea, Man United over Bournemouth, Southampton against Crystal Palace and Spurs at Newcastle.

There’s also a final day double which offers the same odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham at Stoke and Liverpool at West Brom.

If you’d rather chance your arm on individual matches, you can get 12/1 on Leicester to win at Chelsea, or 14/1 on a victory for Sunderland at Watford.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.57
SanchezARS1.61
GiroudARS1.61
LukakuEVE1.72
LongSOT1.83
PelleSOT1.83
RooneyMUN1.83
WalcottARS1.90
IwobiARS1.90
KaneTOT1.90
DeeneyWAT2.00
RashfordMUN2.00
MartialMUN2.00
IghaloWAT2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
BentekeLIV2.10
De BruyneMCI2.20
ManeSOT2.20
IheanachoMCI2.20

Paddy have again earmarked Sergio Aguero (1.52) as the most likely scorer in the Gameweek. Given that the former Atletico Madrid marksman has netted in his previous six starts, it’s perhaps no real surprise. He’ll be striving to breach a Swansea City back line that has conceded nine goals in four match-ups but, while Manchester City are looking to stave off United’s challenge for fourth spot, it remains to be seen if Manuel Pellegrini’s men will go for goals or settle for the point they need.

In light of Arsenal’s potentially profitable home encounter against Aston Villa, Alexis Sanchez (1.61), Olivier Giroud (1.61), Theo Walcott (1.90) and Alex Iwobi (1.90) all feature very highly in Paddy’s assessment, with goals expected at the Emirates. Although the Villains’ defensive travails are well documented, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have bagged just six strikes in their last five outings. Nonetheless, Paddy are backing them strongly to rout Eric Black’s relegated side.

Perhaps optimistically, Romelu Lukaku (1.72) ranks fourth before Everton’s Goodison Park meeting with Norwich City. The Belgium international is in the midst of eight successive blanks and is playing for a team that charted third-bottom for key passes (46) across their previous quartet of match-ups.

Southampton’s Shane Long and Graziano Pelle have all been tipped at 1.80 for Crystal Palace’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have notched more goals than any team (11) in their last four fixtures and will face an Eagles squad that is surely focused on next weekend’s FA Cup final. Sadio Mane is also included in Paddy’s top bracket, ranked at 2.20 for an anytime goal – only Arsenal’s cast of options can better those odds amongst midfielders.

Talking of midfielders, having switched to a deeper role for United, it’s surprising to see that Wayne Rooney (1.83) ranked so highly ahead of his meeting with Bournemouth at Old Trafford. Rooney has failed to grace the scoresheet since Gameweek 24 and both Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial (2.00) look stronger prospects.

Harry Kane betters the odds of that United pair ahead of Tottenham’s trip to St James’ Park. Kane has scored an impressive six goals in his last four road trips, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men have the incentive of holding off the challenge of Arsenal for runners-up spot, ensuring that Spurs and Kane should show intent on Tyneside.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

TeamOdds
Arsenal1.61
Southampton1.90
Manchester United2.00
Manchester City2.62
Watford2.75
Tottenham2.80
Everton3.00
Chelsea3.50
West Ham3.60

Aston Villa have drawn blanks in six of their last nine fixtures, ensuring that Arsenal (1.61) are clear favourites for a shut-out at the Emirates with some of the shortest clean sheets odds we’ve seen this term.

Southampton (1.90) claim the silver-medal berth as they attempt to silence a Palace attack that’s registered three blanks in five league ties. The Eagles are expected to field a much-changed side for the south coast trip, while Ronald Koeman’s side are the Premier League’s in-form outfit along with champions Leicester.

Paddy clearly fancy Man United (2.00) to suppress Bournemouth, who have mustered just six goals in their last seven outings. United’s home defence is the best in the league and with David de Gea bidding for the Golden Glove, Louis van Gaal’s men have every incentive to earn a shut-out as they look to claim an unlikely Champions League berth ahead of rivals City.

City (2.62) themselves are ranked next but are some way behind in Paddy’s reckoning. Manuel Pellegrini’s side will do well to see off a Swans attack that has racked up seven goals in their previous two fixtures.

Watford’s odds have crept in from 3.20 to 2.75, no doubt as a result of talk from Sam Allardyce that he plans to play a youthful Sunderland lineup having seen his side secure top flight safety in midweek.

Tottenham (2.80) have conceded the fewest away goals (15) and match up against a Newcastle side that failed to score at Villa, while Everton (3.00) are priced somewhat generously against Norwich when you consider that they’ve managed a solitary shut-out since Gameweek 26.

  1. Bobby_Baggio
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Morning all - good luck for today chaps - So Sturridge > ???? (has to be one of the 2 below)

    A) Martial - rival who is 12 points behind me has him
    B) Kane - Vying for top goalscorer

    1. Your Mum's Athletic
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A - block that mofo

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        I know - never play like this, am always one for concentrating on my team but he just cant beat me - he's too cocky

        1. Your Mum's Athletic
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          then you have answered your own question 🙂

          1. Bobby_Baggio
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            haha indeed but do feel like Kane wants that top goalscorer

  2. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I'd everyone going tadic over mane then?

    1. Zizoulicious
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Gone both!

    2. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I would of been but waiting on Payet

    3. Your Mum's Athletic
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      pens, form, mane getting over illness

    4. Loonie1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Neither. Don't trust them to more than 60 mins. Koeman will get in Rodriguez and Pelle/Austin.

  3. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Lingard likely to start today?

    1. scootadee
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      should

  4. PDS
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Morning all,

    After a late season charge I’ve managed, somehow, to find myself top of my mini league by 5 points. Problem is I set my team up to BB last week which has left me somewhat limited and on paper I think my rival has got the better starting 11 now. I’m currently thinking of selling Hazard for Sanchez but I’d appreciate any other thoughts…

    Me:

    DDG (Mannone)
    PvA; Moreno; Pellerin (Azpilicueta, Cresswell)
    Payet, Firmino; Hazard; Mahrez
    Aguero(c); Carroll; Kane

    Rival:

    Mignolet (Robles)
    Bellerin; Gabriel; Kaboul; Simpson; Cresswell
    Sanchez; Payet; Firmino; Hazard
    Defoe; Deeney; Aguero

    Apologies, I appreciate there are hundreds of these flying around but being top never seemed possible this year and now I’m here I’m scared! Thanks!

    1. fickle
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Your liverpool players wont play. Maybe sell firmino to tadic and payet to sanchez (if payet is out too).

      Either way sanchez is a must imo

      1. scootadee
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        this

      2. PDS
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        That's my concern and Firming is just taking up space - but I have substitutes who can cover and as you say Sanchez seems to be the priority and that means having to sell Hazard. I don't fancy taking point hits as I think I'll need everything I can get this week.

  5. Jazz!
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    20 points behind rival who is captaining Sanchez.

    Should I captain Aguero (who he owns) or Mane (who he doesn't own)?

    1. Zizoulicious
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Copy him and captain Sanchez?

      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Walcott. 😛

      1. Jazz!
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        😆

    2. Lynxy
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Captaining a troll is dangerous, no? Captaining Aguero and hoping Mane does his job is safer I think. 😎

      1. Jazz!
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Higher ceiling that way though ... 🙂

  6. Perthite
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Odds of Milner playing significant time pretty low?

    1. Backup Dancer
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yh get rid.

  7. Christina.
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    So Rojo not in ManU squad.

    good.

  8. Bruin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Chances of Ozil starting?

    1. Backup Dancer
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Good I'd say. Unless somethings been said?

  9. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Hi... am I g2g with this lot?

    Does my bench cover expected absentees adequately?

    Or is it worth doing payet to kdb / mane for a hit and benching defoe?

    Or even Defoe to long?

    Darlow (robles)
    Smalling bellerin Gabriel (pva Simpson)
    Sanchez (c) hazard payet tadic (lanzini)
    Kun Defoe Carroll

    Thanks

    1. Backup Dancer
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      You've got enough cover not to need a hit. Leave as is.

  10. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Are people worried Mane wont start? Or is Tadic just the better option?

    1. Zizoulicious
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Tadic more involved and consistent. Mané explosive but sometimes peripheral. Both will start

  11. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Guys Please Best Two Mid players for this round if you have Sanchez Mahrez Hazard ... ?

  12. ..RL..
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I hope this works out for this week
    de Gea
    PvA-Smalling-Cresswell
    Sanchez(c)-Mane-Payet-Lanzini-Hazard
    Giroud-Defoe

    ML rival has +4 advantage and
    de Gea
    Rojo Smalling Bellerin
    Sanchez-Hazard-Townsend-Fabregas
    Carroll-Deeney-(Sturridge>??)
    A) I have deeney on the bench, should I play him instead of Defoe to balance out.
    B)Should I take another hit to do PvA to Gabriel to balance out an Arsenal clean sheet?
    C)Any confirmation on Payet?

  13. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Leading my ML by 3 points only, my team:

    Mignolet, Robles
    Bellerin, Gabriel, Smalling, Delaney, Cresswell
    Payet, Firmino, Sanchez(c), Mahrez, Townsend
    Caroll, Kun, Defoe

    Options:
    Payet to--->
    A) KDB
    B) Mane
    C) Tadic
    ----
    D) one of the above + defoe --> Kane/lukaku/gru for a hit (In fear that defoe and firmino both get benched + my ML competitor has him)
    E) one of the above + firmino out too

  14. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Who is the most nailed on Spurs player for today?

    A) Vertonghen
    B) Dier
    C) Rose
    D) Walker

    1. CABAYE4
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      B

  15. CABAYE4
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Who would you have first sub to cover Payet?

    Cresswell (sto) or Lingard (BOU)?

    1. Zizoulicious
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Lingard

  16. Forza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Gabriel, PvA, Payet, Defoe...

    I should make some of my players carry my coffin at my funeral so they can let me down one last time.

    1. CABAYE4
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      What's up with Gabriel?

      1. Forza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Chambers could play... Wenger is always stubborn to justify his signings.

    2. Cake by the pound
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      That's a bit drastic but made me lol have a + 1

  17. Sonnybillarfa
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I've got Sturridge, Firmino, Moreno, Payet, Defoe, PVA, Kaboul and 2 FT.

    Who would you prioritise dropping guys?

    1. Gerci
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      LIV players

    2. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Sturridge, Firmino, Moreno, PvA all won't start for sure.

      1. Sonnybillarfa
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks. That's the way I was leaning.

  18. nkhoughton
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Can anyone justify Mane over Tadic?

    1. Zizoulicious
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yes, higher ceiling

  19. pug_chops
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Any chance of some help with last decisions of the season?
    I'm chasing a 32 point gap.
    A) Alli to Mane or Tadic? He has neither. Thinking Mane, more explosive
    B) I have Mannone/ Robles, he has De Gea. Worth -4 to get a starter? If so De Gea or Forster?
    Thanks

  20. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    West ham bus should arrive at brittannia around 1:20 pm uk time

    Hopefully payet in or out will be confirmed then as they step off the bus

    Just got on the M40, traffic looks good, should be at the Britannia Stadium 1.20pm. dg

    https://twitter.com/davidgold/status/731790782210953216

    1. Zizoulicious
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Does DG travel on the team bus!?

    2. MiguelAngel
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Nice work

  21. Man Chest Hair United
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Chances of Walcott starting ? Looking for a punt

    1. Zizoulicious
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Depends if Wenger wants to give him a chance to claim an England spot.

      I think he will

  22. MiguelAngel
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Morning All. Best of luck this final week.

    Mannone
    Kos Smalling Cresswell
    Mane Ozil Payet Sanchez (c)
    Aguero Kane Defoe

    Eliot Townsend Simpson Delaney

    A) GTG
    B) Mannone > DDG
    C) Payet > Tadic/Eriksen
    D) Both moves for a-8

    1. Big Sum
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A) GTG

      1. MiguelAngel
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers bro

    2. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      B for me. Your squad looks good but I think you might end up with no keeper and DDG likely to keep clean sheet.

  23. Blue&White85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Chasing points in my league and considering throwing Giroud in. With Welbeck out do we think he's fairly certain to start? My only fear is that Wenger opts for Walcott.

    1. scootadee
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      i think he will start

  24. EL TANO
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    All this talk of payet but:
    Is Willian on the bus?

    1. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Where is busdriver when you need him...

  25. Blue Moon Rising
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Am I right in thinking that only 1st place gets a prize in FPL? Nothing for top 20/50?

  26. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    lol @ the predicted leicester lineup on guardian

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Why ?

  27. All about that Baines
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Which transfer is best?

    a) Payet out , De Bruyne in
    b) Payet out , Mane in
    c) Noble out, Mane in ( Bench Mahrez vs Chelsea)

    HELP!!

    1. scootadee
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

  28. kinglourenco
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    with rojo and darmian out, any chance fosu TFM plays?

    1. andymck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Nope, not in the squad

  29. Stimps
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Its been asked alot but

    Defoe or Carroll to Long?

    1. jg7u
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Defoe, if not for a hit.

      1. Stimps
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        It would be for a hit yeh...