Scout Betting
15 May 2016 1849 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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For the last time this season, we skulk outside Paddy Power’s door in an attempt to extract a final few strands of information to guide our deadline decisions.

Before we scan Paddy’s odds for Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to secure your own Paddy Power account, you can do so today and snap up one of several enhanced new customer offers.

Today’s acca tops the bill with odds of 25/1 on wins for Man City at Swansea, Man United over Bournemouth, Southampton against Crystal Palace and Spurs at Newcastle.

There’s also a final day double which offers the same odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham at Stoke and Liverpool at West Brom.

If you’d rather chance your arm on individual matches, you can get 12/1 on Leicester to win at Chelsea, or 14/1 on a victory for Sunderland at Watford.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.57
SanchezARS1.61
GiroudARS1.61
LukakuEVE1.72
LongSOT1.83
PelleSOT1.83
RooneyMUN1.83
WalcottARS1.90
IwobiARS1.90
KaneTOT1.90
DeeneyWAT2.00
RashfordMUN2.00
MartialMUN2.00
IghaloWAT2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
BentekeLIV2.10
De BruyneMCI2.20
ManeSOT2.20
IheanachoMCI2.20

Paddy have again earmarked Sergio Aguero (1.52) as the most likely scorer in the Gameweek. Given that the former Atletico Madrid marksman has netted in his previous six starts, it’s perhaps no real surprise. He’ll be striving to breach a Swansea City back line that has conceded nine goals in four match-ups but, while Manchester City are looking to stave off United’s challenge for fourth spot, it remains to be seen if Manuel Pellegrini’s men will go for goals or settle for the point they need.

In light of Arsenal’s potentially profitable home encounter against Aston Villa, Alexis Sanchez (1.61), Olivier Giroud (1.61), Theo Walcott (1.90) and Alex Iwobi (1.90) all feature very highly in Paddy’s assessment, with goals expected at the Emirates. Although the Villains’ defensive travails are well documented, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have bagged just six strikes in their last five outings. Nonetheless, Paddy are backing them strongly to rout Eric Black’s relegated side.

Perhaps optimistically, Romelu Lukaku (1.72) ranks fourth before Everton’s Goodison Park meeting with Norwich City. The Belgium international is in the midst of eight successive blanks and is playing for a team that charted third-bottom for key passes (46) across their previous quartet of match-ups.

Southampton’s Shane Long and Graziano Pelle have all been tipped at 1.80 for Crystal Palace’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have notched more goals than any team (11) in their last four fixtures and will face an Eagles squad that is surely focused on next weekend’s FA Cup final. Sadio Mane is also included in Paddy’s top bracket, ranked at 2.20 for an anytime goal – only Arsenal’s cast of options can better those odds amongst midfielders.

Talking of midfielders, having switched to a deeper role for United, it’s surprising to see that Wayne Rooney (1.83) ranked so highly ahead of his meeting with Bournemouth at Old Trafford. Rooney has failed to grace the scoresheet since Gameweek 24 and both Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial (2.00) look stronger prospects.

Harry Kane betters the odds of that United pair ahead of Tottenham’s trip to St James’ Park. Kane has scored an impressive six goals in his last four road trips, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men have the incentive of holding off the challenge of Arsenal for runners-up spot, ensuring that Spurs and Kane should show intent on Tyneside.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

TeamOdds
Arsenal1.61
Southampton1.90
Manchester United2.00
Manchester City2.62
Watford2.75
Tottenham2.80
Everton3.00
Chelsea3.50
West Ham3.60

Aston Villa have drawn blanks in six of their last nine fixtures, ensuring that Arsenal (1.61) are clear favourites for a shut-out at the Emirates with some of the shortest clean sheets odds we’ve seen this term.

Southampton (1.90) claim the silver-medal berth as they attempt to silence a Palace attack that’s registered three blanks in five league ties. The Eagles are expected to field a much-changed side for the south coast trip, while Ronald Koeman’s side are the Premier League’s in-form outfit along with champions Leicester.

Paddy clearly fancy Man United (2.00) to suppress Bournemouth, who have mustered just six goals in their last seven outings. United’s home defence is the best in the league and with David de Gea bidding for the Golden Glove, Louis van Gaal’s men have every incentive to earn a shut-out as they look to claim an unlikely Champions League berth ahead of rivals City.

City (2.62) themselves are ranked next but are some way behind in Paddy’s reckoning. Manuel Pellegrini’s side will do well to see off a Swans attack that has racked up seven goals in their previous two fixtures.

Watford’s odds have crept in from 3.20 to 2.75, no doubt as a result of talk from Sam Allardyce that he plans to play a youthful Sunderland lineup having seen his side secure top flight safety in midweek.

Tottenham (2.80) have conceded the fewest away goals (15) and match up against a Newcastle side that failed to score at Villa, while Everton (3.00) are priced somewhat generously against Norwich when you consider that they’ve managed a solitary shut-out since Gameweek 26.

  1. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    In your opinion who do you think will score more points

    Martial or Giroud

    And

    Smalling or Clichy

    Any ideas would be welcomed

    1. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Giroud & Smalling

    2. Sonnybillarfa
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

    3. Paul Psychic Octopus
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Pretty close, but I would say A. No real attacking upside with Mike/Clichy

  2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    payet to kdb?

    kdb lucky goal v arsenal, did he do anything else apart from that?

    1. Milner4eva
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Let's see if he's on the bus first

      1. Christina.
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        He probably will be, which opens a new can of worms...

  3. Jindaljain
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Already done -4..just heared news about payet but having left bench substitution chips should I transfer payet out for -8

  4. Tronity
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    G2G?!

    Hart
    Smalling, Bellerin, Gabriel
    Mahrez, Hazard, Sanchez(c), Payet
    Carroll, Aguero(vc), Martial

    Robles, Lanzini, Simpson, Sakho
    0 FT, £0.3itb

    Defending a 19 point lead - wish me luck!!

    1. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Same starters as me except DGea, Tadic/Mahrez and Kane/Kun ... you will be fine

      1. Tronity
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers - was looking at -4 to bring Tadic in for Payet but think will rely on Lanzini (and the 4 extra points)

        1. Hotdogs for Tea
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Lanzini is the perfect sub but the question is will Tadic get you 4 more points than Payet if he plays or Lanzini off the bench ? I am banking on a Spurs defender coming off my bench but would certainly stick in your position with Lanzini

    2. Sonnybillarfa
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      should be sorted. Hope there's some cash in it for you.

      1. Tronity
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers! £100 up for grabs so fingers crossed!

  5. Backup Dancer
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Just seen who's top of goals imminent 🙁

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      🙁

  6. UncleWoy
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Morning you lovely lot. Payet news has got me in a spin. Please help:

    Mignolet (Robles)
    Alderweireld, Smalling, PVA, Bellerin (Fuchs)
    Payet, Sanchez (TC), Coutinho (Iwobi, Lanzini)
    Kane, Carroll, Rashford

    Will I survive with:

    Mignolet > DDG
    Coutinho > KDB (for -4)

    Or should I go Carroll > Aguero as well?

    Am leading ML by 11pts and have triple captain for Sanchez, rival has no chips.

    1. Sonnybillarfa
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      probably A & Coutnho to Tadic for -4

      1. UncleWoy
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks Sonny. Much appreciated. I basically want Aguero, but thought that KDB would be the more sensible option. I was thinking about Tadic before so think you may have swayed me there.

  7. Mytteristen
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I have Payet, Defoe, Carroll, Lovren, TFM in my squad, and already did a transfer. So, would you stick and hope that two of them play, or would you transfer out someone for a hit?

    1. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Unfortunately you may have only Carroll starting from that lot.

  8. RoysCallerAnne
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    34 points off top 100k.

    What a disaster of a season 🙁

    On a more positive note, best of luck to all of you in your MLs, and well done if you made it to top 10k or better. 🙂

    1. Christina.
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Ditto RCA

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yeah poor season here too.kinda glad it's coming to an end.

  9. kinglourenco
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    with darmian and rojo out, any chance TFM will play?

    1. Mytteristen
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Not in the squad apparently

      1. Kiwivillan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Where did you read that?

    2. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I am hoping to see it before deadline

      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No, he's not in the squad.

    3. united07
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No TFM is injured and working to recover for the FA cup final.. CBJ will start at LB.

  10. Blue Moon Rising
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    A) Alderweireld to VVD

    Or

    B) Payet to Tadic?

  11. CunkOnFPL
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    What would you do with this team:

    Darlow (Robles
    Bell, PVA, Smalling (Gabriel, Simpson
    Haz, Lanzini, Milner, Payet, Sanchez
    Kun, Martial (Carroll

    1 FT, £1.2m

    Thanks in advance!

    1. enrico.palazzo
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Play Gabriel

  12. MiguelAngel
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Best of luck this final week lads...

    Mannone
    Kos Smalling Cresswell
    Mane Ozil Payet Sanchez (c)
    Aguero Kane Defoe

    Eliot Townsend Simpson Delaney

    A) GTG
    B) Mannone > DDG
    C) Payet > Tadic/Eriksen
    D) Both moves for a-8

  13. FPL Daniel
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Anyone going with Condom as punt? Liverpool will have youngsters and he looks like could score.

    Also are people considering Mirralas? I think if he's starting he'll score. But will he start?

    1. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Would really like to have Rondon today but no room....

    2. John Smith
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I think it's more of a punt to go without 😉

  14. Danstoke82
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Hi all. MLs wrapped up so playing for OR.

    Team GTG?;

    Mignolet
    Bellerin Smalling Cresswell
    Mahrez Sanchez Hazard Mane
    Aguero Carroll Long

    (-4)

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Lovely team

      1. Danstoke82
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers!

    2. Paul Psychic Octopus
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Carroll > Deeney

    3. andymck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Who's your second keeper? Don't think mignolet will play

      1. Danstoke82
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Robles. Risking no playing keeper but already on -4

  15. Weasel51
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Payet Long and Tadic?
    Giroud lanzini and tadic?

    Cheers

    1. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      At the moment. B.

      1. Weasel51
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers. That's what I'm thinking. Will wait closer to the deadline to make a final decision.

    2. England's Number 1
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Payet, Long, Tadic

  16. Beans on Toast
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Want to replace Defoe, best forward for under 5.8? Deeney, Rashford, Long, Iheanacho?

    1. Danstoke82
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Long

    2. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Why replace him?

      1. Beans on Toast
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Not sure he'll start, still have free transfer and no one else I really want to change

    3. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I got in kelechi

  17. Stats Don\'t Lie
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Some help lads?

    A) Aoa with townsend
    B) play pva

    1. scootadee
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. Nelson Vivas Fan Club
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A as PVA is uncertain

  18. England's Number 1
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Most insignificant last day ever. The Battle For 4th could be over in the first half an hour.

    1. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Goals galore. Huge FPL scores.

      1. Paul Psychic Octopus
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Clean sheets are usually as rare as hens' teeth on final day of season.

  19. Theatre_Of_Screams
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Start two:

    (A) Iwobi
    (B) Lanzini
    (C) Defoe

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      B c

    2. Paul Psychic Octopus
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      AB

  20. Smurf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Need a captain differential. Planned to captain Mane all week but today in starting to consider Hazard.

    Eden is back on form, playing at home, Chelsea score goals and I think they will be out to prove themselves against the current Ebglish Champions to show they are still at that level.

    1. Smurf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'm* English*

      Wow predictive text is awful.

    2. Clump
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Beenjoy on Sanchez but looking at Mane.
      Every time I place faith in him though...... 🙁

    3. Paul Psychic Octopus
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Am thinking the same. Hazard and Chelsea have points to prove, he's playing well, and heating up for the Euros.

  21. Clump
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Anyone have any ideas whether PVA will start.
    Someone posted a doubt earlier. Anything I should know about?
    Thanks in advance.

    1. Bob.
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Just that Sam said he will be playing some U 21 players

      1. Clump
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks.

    2. Paul Psychic Octopus
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Has to be a risk. Sunderland have nothing to play for and there will be several U21 players starting

    3. Lynxy
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Rumor has it that only Kone and Yedlin starts from the XI. But everything is unsure atm. Greenwood, Robson, Watmore and Pickford will start.

    4. Namtab Nomolos
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Big Sam said he's got the greenlight to play some youth team players, one of those is a PVA position player so there's a doubt now.

    5. Clump
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Cheers fellas.
      Just the info I was after.

  22. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Hi... am I g2g with this lot?.

    3m itb...worth disposing of payet or Defoe for a hit?...or stick

    Darlow (robles)
    Smalling bellerin Gabriel (pva Simpson)
    Sanchez (c) hazard payet tadic (lanzini)
    Kun Defoe Carroll

    Thanks

    1. ZLNR
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Lanzini on for Payet seems good

      And Defoe should get minimum 20 minutes once Big Sam is sick of N'Donkey could still be a goal in him then

      1. ZLNR
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        So stick

        1. Flynny
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Cheers...

  23. Perthite
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    If Payet plays, does that mean he has out-trolled Lukaku and Kolorov?

    1. Christina.
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      yeah, especially if it's a 10 minute 1 pt cameo.

    2. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Nowhere near Lukakus level

  24. ZLNR
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    1) KdB
    2) Tadic
    3) Punt on Walcott (as well as Sanchez)

    1. Sonnybillarfa
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      2

  25. Gerci
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    De Gea (Darlow)
    Gabriel Cresswell PVA (Clyne, Simpson)
    Sanchez Firmino Payet Hazard (Noble)
    Agüero Sturridge Kane

    A) Firmino -> Tadic
    B) Firmino -> Mané
    C) Sturridge -> Long
    D) Sturridge -> Giroud
    E) Payet -> Saints MID

    Choose 2.

  26. Bob.
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    20 pts ahead in my ML. Had a huge GW last week! 3 or 4 teams chasing so hard to know who Im playing against. I have AOA still available but not sure if I need it!

    Darlow
    Bellerin Smalling
    Sanchez (C) Hazard Payet Redmond Townsend
    Aguero Defoe Martial

    Robles Gabriel PVA Martin

    Thinking of doing Payet -> Mane and leave it at that? One of my rivals has Mane so he would be the player Id be most fearful of not having I guess. Other option is Redmond or Townsend to some cheapie like S.Davis. Cheers

    1. Clump
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Tadic or Mane. I'd steer clear of hits.

      1. Bob.
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Ya I think Payet -> Mane is the move to make alright. Safest!

        1. Clump
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Might be the week for AOA. Could well be a few leaky defences on the last day.
          Good luck.

  27. JaydenLFC87
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Mane TC Yay or Nay??

    1. scootadee
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      kun?

  28. MiguelAngel
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Payet > Eriksen or Tadic?
    (already got Kane & Mane)

    1. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Eriksen

      1. MiguelAngel
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers Roy

  29. Gastar
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Morning folks!!

    ------------------------| de Gea | ------------------------
    ---------------| Cresswell | Bellerín | Gabriel | ------------
    ---| Hazard | Payet | Sánchez (C) | Fabregas |--
    --------------| Agüero | Carroll | Defoe |----------------

    Subs: | Darlow | Milner | Simpson | PVA |

    £2.3M in the bank, 1FT

    I'm chasing a 17 point lead. The difference just now is:

    PVA/Bellerín/Gabriel/Hazard/Fabregas/Carroll
    vs
    Koné/Alder/Cresswell|/De Bruyne/Sissoko/Kane

    Rival has made 2 transfers for -4.

    Given what we know now regarding Sunderland and Payet, what is the best option you reckon?

    A) Milner --> Mané
    B) as above, but also Milner --> Tadic and bench Defoe (-4)
    C) Payet + Defoe --> Mané + Vardy (-4)
    D) Something else?

    Cheers!!