Scout Betting
15 May 2016 1849 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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For the last time this season, we skulk outside Paddy Power’s door in an attempt to extract a final few strands of information to guide our deadline decisions.

Before we scan Paddy’s odds for Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to secure your own Paddy Power account, you can do so today and snap up one of several enhanced new customer offers.

Today’s acca tops the bill with odds of 25/1 on wins for Man City at Swansea, Man United over Bournemouth, Southampton against Crystal Palace and Spurs at Newcastle.

There’s also a final day double which offers the same odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham at Stoke and Liverpool at West Brom.

If you’d rather chance your arm on individual matches, you can get 12/1 on Leicester to win at Chelsea, or 14/1 on a victory for Sunderland at Watford.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.57
SanchezARS1.61
GiroudARS1.61
LukakuEVE1.72
LongSOT1.83
PelleSOT1.83
RooneyMUN1.83
WalcottARS1.90
IwobiARS1.90
KaneTOT1.90
DeeneyWAT2.00
RashfordMUN2.00
MartialMUN2.00
IghaloWAT2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
BentekeLIV2.10
De BruyneMCI2.20
ManeSOT2.20
IheanachoMCI2.20

Paddy have again earmarked Sergio Aguero (1.52) as the most likely scorer in the Gameweek. Given that the former Atletico Madrid marksman has netted in his previous six starts, it’s perhaps no real surprise. He’ll be striving to breach a Swansea City back line that has conceded nine goals in four match-ups but, while Manchester City are looking to stave off United’s challenge for fourth spot, it remains to be seen if Manuel Pellegrini’s men will go for goals or settle for the point they need.

In light of Arsenal’s potentially profitable home encounter against Aston Villa, Alexis Sanchez (1.61), Olivier Giroud (1.61), Theo Walcott (1.90) and Alex Iwobi (1.90) all feature very highly in Paddy’s assessment, with goals expected at the Emirates. Although the Villains’ defensive travails are well documented, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have bagged just six strikes in their last five outings. Nonetheless, Paddy are backing them strongly to rout Eric Black’s relegated side.

Perhaps optimistically, Romelu Lukaku (1.72) ranks fourth before Everton’s Goodison Park meeting with Norwich City. The Belgium international is in the midst of eight successive blanks and is playing for a team that charted third-bottom for key passes (46) across their previous quartet of match-ups.

Southampton’s Shane Long and Graziano Pelle have all been tipped at 1.80 for Crystal Palace’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have notched more goals than any team (11) in their last four fixtures and will face an Eagles squad that is surely focused on next weekend’s FA Cup final. Sadio Mane is also included in Paddy’s top bracket, ranked at 2.20 for an anytime goal – only Arsenal’s cast of options can better those odds amongst midfielders.

Talking of midfielders, having switched to a deeper role for United, it’s surprising to see that Wayne Rooney (1.83) ranked so highly ahead of his meeting with Bournemouth at Old Trafford. Rooney has failed to grace the scoresheet since Gameweek 24 and both Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial (2.00) look stronger prospects.

Harry Kane betters the odds of that United pair ahead of Tottenham’s trip to St James’ Park. Kane has scored an impressive six goals in his last four road trips, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men have the incentive of holding off the challenge of Arsenal for runners-up spot, ensuring that Spurs and Kane should show intent on Tyneside.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

TeamOdds
Arsenal1.61
Southampton1.90
Manchester United2.00
Manchester City2.62
Watford2.75
Tottenham2.80
Everton3.00
Chelsea3.50
West Ham3.60

Aston Villa have drawn blanks in six of their last nine fixtures, ensuring that Arsenal (1.61) are clear favourites for a shut-out at the Emirates with some of the shortest clean sheets odds we’ve seen this term.

Southampton (1.90) claim the silver-medal berth as they attempt to silence a Palace attack that’s registered three blanks in five league ties. The Eagles are expected to field a much-changed side for the south coast trip, while Ronald Koeman’s side are the Premier League’s in-form outfit along with champions Leicester.

Paddy clearly fancy Man United (2.00) to suppress Bournemouth, who have mustered just six goals in their last seven outings. United’s home defence is the best in the league and with David de Gea bidding for the Golden Glove, Louis van Gaal’s men have every incentive to earn a shut-out as they look to claim an unlikely Champions League berth ahead of rivals City.

City (2.62) themselves are ranked next but are some way behind in Paddy’s reckoning. Manuel Pellegrini’s side will do well to see off a Swans attack that has racked up seven goals in their previous two fixtures.

Watford’s odds have crept in from 3.20 to 2.75, no doubt as a result of talk from Sam Allardyce that he plans to play a youthful Sunderland lineup having seen his side secure top flight safety in midweek.

Tottenham (2.80) have conceded the fewest away goals (15) and match up against a Newcastle side that failed to score at Villa, while Everton (3.00) are priced somewhat generously against Norwich when you consider that they’ve managed a solitary shut-out since Gameweek 26.

  1. 42towels
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Is Rojo out?

      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yes.

    1. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yes

      1. Steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Do we know this for sure?

          1. Steve
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Cheers looks pretty reliable

    2. fickle
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Not for sure, but likely. Blind wasn't at the hotel in a previous match and still played

      1. bigbudgie
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        The article actually says that Rojo was not included in the 18 man squad right? Question for owners, keep Rojo in the starting 11 just in case with Simpson first sub.

        1. bigbudgie
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          That was the worst question. Not even a ?

  2. 1314
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    sorry to ask , what time will the teams get updated ?

    1. 1314
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      i mean the fantasy teams

      1. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Probably about 20 minutes after deadline

    2. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      an hour before kick off . 2 and a half hours from now

    3. 1314
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      cheers !

  3. scootadee
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    will mignolet play?

    1. Danstoke82
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      50/50.

      Ward injured but Klopp has hinted that Bogdan might play.

      I'm risking Migs.

      1. scootadee
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        not bogdan, surely!

    2. Puzzle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      He won't.

      1. scootadee
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        thanks

  4. Gunned Down
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Tadic or mane for firmino?

  5. Get up ya bum
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Howdy. Source for this Defoe talk please?

    1. Odikostar
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Big sam said he's gonna play some youngsters, check Twitter

    2. Christina.
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Howdy champ. No idea....

      1. Steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        There's a link either early in this thread or late in the previous thread to a fans forum. Guy claiming his source is 90% right 90% of the time and he says Defoe on the bench

        1. Christina.
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          yeah, I saw that....not worth posting that to my old pal Champers though...

          1. Get up ya bum
            • 16 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            😉

        2. Get up ya bum
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Hmmm cheers. Dunno what to make of that lol

    3. Get up ya bum
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Cheers odikostar, that's old news. Heard there is leaked lineups or something.

      Hey ina sup buddy? On target for 4k? 😛

      1. Christina.
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        nah, fecking Carroll(tc). Couldhave been20 ahead in main ML, now i'm fighting off to punk...2 and 11 behind respectively.

        Luckily they own Darmian/Sakho and Rojo. And payet(I think).

        1. Get up ya bum
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          You'll have em mate 😎

    4. Weasel51
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Pickford
      Yedlin Kone oshea Robson
      Larsson Rodwell
      Watmore Lens Greenwood
      N'doye

      Is the team

    5. bigbudgie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      All speculation. But this site has decided that PVA isn't playing and Defoe is 50/50. Personally I think both will start. PVA maybe off at half time. But agian, that's just my opinion. Don't bookmark it.

      1. Get up ya bum
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Yeah cheers budgie. Just some dude having a guess by the sounds of it. Shenanigans

  6. tisza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    post DGW deja vu.
    Another big DGW then carnage for the following week.
    Now looks like I'm missing Firmino. Rojo, PVA, Defoe & Payet having already used an FT on getting Coutinho out.
    Was quite happy Thurs am with my team now looks like I'm going to have to take at least a -8.

    1. Koolswan
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      PVA and Defoe will play...Big Sam may get 3 or 4 youngsters at most...so I think there is no need to panic.

  7. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Clichy or VVD?

    1. Sylas
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      VVD

    2. Big Sum
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      VVD

    3. DameCorp
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      VVD

  8. asif316uk
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Long (c)

    who's with me?

    1. Danstoke82
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Ballsy but could pay off nicely.

    2. SweeSwee
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      You know Pelle will start with Long benched the moment you do that

      1. asif316uk
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        im 100 points ahead in my ML so i don't really care lol..
        just wanted to be different

  9. Danstoke82
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Who to play?

    Bellerin - Smalling - ???

    A) Cresswell
    B) Fuchs
    C) PVA

    ?

    1. Big Sum
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A) Cresswell

    2. Kun Tozser
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Cresswell - more set pieces with Payet out

      1. Danstoke82
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers guys, Cresswell it is.

      2. bigbudgie
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        oooo yeah. Didn't think of that. nice bonus for Cresswell owners there. Payet has solved my dilemma of having three hammers as well 🙂

  10. SweeSwee
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I want to get Mane

    Who do I get rid of:

    A) Payet
    B) Firmino

    1. DameCorp
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Firmino

    2. Christina.
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      take a guess...

    3. Paul Psychic Octopus
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      very unlikely Firmino will play

  11. Kun Tozser
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Best Sturridge + Payet replacement?

    a - Giroud + Tadic
    b - Giroud + KDB
    c - Kun + Arnie
    d - Ozil + Long
    e - Walcott + Long
    f - anything else?

    1. Big Sum
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Kun

    2. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      C

    3. Park the bus
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Kun and Tadic

    4. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

  12. Pirlø's Pen
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    120 points hits this season, which amounts to 480 points!
    that needs to change next season, sitting on 27k

    1. Ayew Serious
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      That's outrageous.

    2. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Don't change.

    3. Les Bleus
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      What?! That's crazy. I've about 30 or so point hits!

    4. Chenku╰☆╮
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I have 75 transfers.. that is nearly 160 pts in hits but I am sitting on 4.8k rank 🙂

  13. Puzzle
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Suggestions for this team? 1FT 4ish in the bank.

    Darlow (Robles)

    Bellerin, Gabriel, Smalling (PVA, Fuchs)

    Townsend, Payet, Hazard, Sanchez (c) (Lanzini)

    Carroll, Aguero, Defoe

  14. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Who Gonna Help me
    Guys Please Best Two Mid players for this round if you have Sanchez Mahrez Hazard ... ?

    1. Sylas
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      KDB & Mane/Tadic

    2. Paul Psychic Octopus
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      KDB

    3. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      can't get Both KDB & Mane or Tadic

      May both Mane & Tadic

  15. Chenku╰☆╮
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Time to go out with a bang... from no hits last night to -8..

    Finishing this season with 75 transfers feels weirdly nice now..

  16. StoneMountain
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Moreno or Gabriel? (with Bellerin also starting)

    1. Bob.
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Gab

    2. Dan United
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Gabriel

    3. Sylas
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Gab

    4. StoneMountain
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Thanks chaps!

  17. Les Bleus
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    So Payet pretty much confirmed out? Who to get in for him for a -4? Money no issue. Got Tadic, Sanchez, and Haz other mids. I also have Lanzini but he's cover for Defoe. Or just keep Payet and have Lanzini first sub?

    1. Man Chest Hair United
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'm in the same boat. I'm going Walcott or ozil

      1. Les Bleus
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Wow. Brave punt with Walcott 😉

        1. Man Chest Hair United
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Got a decent lead in my league and I think he might start up top

    2. Lynxy
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      We're all waiting for the bus to arrive. Wait another 2 hours and come back here. But have plans for both scenarios should Payet appears or not.

      1. Les Bleus
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Good advice. Cheers

    3. 1314
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'm leaving it till just before the deadline , and am considering to take out Defoe instead of Payet , Defoe is unlikely to start I think and striker option looks more explosive..

      1. Les Bleus
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Could go both ways but I agree. Cheers.

  18. fab
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Will Simpson start?

    1. Park the bus
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yes

  19. Dan United
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Best defender to go for? (excluding Arsenal)

    1. Park the bus
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Van Dijk imo

      1. Dan United
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers keep thinking between him, Smalling or Otamendi. As a Utd fan it maybe best to stay clear of the Utd or City options!

    2. Sylas
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Mike

    3. Danstoke82
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      VVD or Smalling

    4. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Valencia

  20. Park the bus
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Twitter search history littered with random FPL related words!

    Plan was to do Willian to Mane. Have I got enough here to get 11 out without a hit if I do that move:

    DDG
    Bellerin Gabriel Walker
    Payet Sanchez(c) Tadic Mahrez
    Defoe Aguero Carroll

    Hennessey Barkley Cresswell Moreno

    1. Sylas
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Easily imo.

    2. zøphar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      you said mane but included tadic
      your concerns are defoe and payet, with barkley and cresswell good subs. stick

  21. zøphar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Iwobi - worth a -4 to transfer out for Ozil?

    do we think he'll play?

    1. Park the bus
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'm not sure he will. Wilshere will start and think Walcott will too. Iwobi and Welbeck to drop out.

  22. Zero
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Defoe to Iheanacho/Long for -4?

    On level points with my rival but he has the better team so I need an edge!

    1. Man Chest Hair United
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Defoe could play

      1. Lynxy
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Greenwood says hi

  23. Sonnybillarfa
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Moreno, Firmino & Sturridge > Bellerin, Tadic & Giroud for a -4?

    1. Dan United
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yes!

    2. Loonie1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      0 points v more than 4 points, so yes.

    3. Birdman77
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      3 non-starters for 3 solid options...yep

  24. Rhys85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Chances of Borthwick-Jackson playing 60+ minutes today?

    1. Man Chest Hair United
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      5%

    2. Loonie1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Looks to be pretty good, unless Blind slots in at left back. But I'd say 80 %.

    3. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Decent I'd say

    4. Lynxy
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Darmian and Rojo are out, so he should play the full game.

  25. rdpx
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Poor season for me...

    but my girlfriend is 1,961 OR, so the house is doing well!

    Last day I have lots of players rumoured not to be starting...

    PVA
    Kaboul
    Moreno
    Ivanovic

    Firmino
    Payet

    Sturridge
    Carroll

    What's the likelihood of which of these playing?

    I see hits.

    1. zøphar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      carroll the most likely to play of that lot. ivan second

  26. Loonie1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    So I have Hennessey, Mignolet, Rojo, Milner and Payet reportedly not playing. Who should I get out?

    Other players are Cresswell, Bellerin, Morgan, Ake, Sanchez, Mahrez, Lennon, Aguero, Lukaku, Carroll. 1FT, 1,8 in bank.

  27. Christina.
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    ...ok, we need a plan of action here. when will Westham bus arrive? We need to stay off here posting garbage...Doos will post when he knows...otherwise we slow down the site and all end up with our balls in a knot.

      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      "doos will post when he knows"

      😆

    1. Get up ya bum
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      "Stay off here posting garbage" 😆 good one 😛

    2. Lynxy
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Hammers bus arriving in around 1hrs 50mins time

      1. Christina.
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Jebus, that's cutting it fine.

  28. Robben Mee Blind
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Correct bench order? (Playing Payet):
    Defoe, Rose, Cresswell

  29. ..RL..
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I hope this works out for this week
    de Gea
    PvA-Smalling-Cresswell
    Sanchez(c)-Mane-Payet-Lanzini-Hazard
    Giroud-Defoe

    ML rival has +4 advantage and
    de Gea
    Rojo Smalling Bellerin
    Sanchez-Hazard-Townsend-Fabregas
    Carroll-Deeney-(Sturridge>??)
    A) I have deeney on the bench, should I play him instead of Defoe to balance out.
    B)Should I take another hit to do PvA to Gabriel to balance out an Arsenal clean sheet?
    C)Any confirmation on Payet?

  30. JasonG123
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Currently playing Simpson. Payet to Mane/Ozil worth a -4?